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NWS State College Aviation Weather Discussion
.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NW flow dominates the state. A good Huron connection is making
for enhanced lake effect snow showers (used to be a good/long-
lived band) for places just S of DUJ-FIG-UNV. However, it has 
broken up into more-cellular showers. In general, most recent
meso models continue to indicate a very steady-state set of 
conditions is expected overall during the next 18 hrs. MVFR NW 
with frequent but very brief dips to IFR in the snow showers for
BFD and JST. Prob of IFR cig at JST and BFD is 40-50pct, so no
good signal exists to point one way or the other (above/below
1000ft). Mainly VFR for IPT, MDT and LNS with a good downslope
flow and it's drying/subsidence.

The gusty NW wind continues into the night, and only weakens 
slightly, increasing back to current strength for Thursday 
daylight. The possibility of a 40-45KT wind just at the top of
the inversion will be enough to mention LLWS at a couple of
sites (JST-AOO), despite already having mentions of gusts in 
the wind groups. Most of the SHSN will be gone by mid-day Thurs
with the inversion lowering and capping the cloud tops at 
3500ft SE and perhaps only 2500ft for BFD. High pressure starts 
to float in from the west Thursday night, and should squash any 
remaining SHSN while also decreasing the wind.

Friday will hold light wind that should turn srly for the W.
However, high clouds will be increasing and lowering during the
afternoon as the next storm moves in from the west. 

Outlook...

Fri...Early AM low cigs poss NW Mtns. Late evening widespread
light snow/IFR vsbys possible, esp W Mtns.

Sat...AM light snow/IFR vsbys likely. Improvement late AM/PM.
Lake effect kicks in PM.  

Sun-Mon...Snow showers/tempo IFR vsbys possible W Mtns.

&&

 

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