2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 54.8%  5.8 pp[1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Oklahoma |
|---|
 |
 Government |
The 2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]
Trump easily carried Oklahoma on Election Day by a margin of 33.08%, down from 36.39 points in 2016. Oklahoma was one of two states where Trump won every county (though Oklahoma County was won by a plurality of votes, compared to the absolute majorities achieved across the state), the other being West Virginia. This also signaled the fifth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state, including those counties encompassed by Native American reservations. In this election, Trump also became the first presidential candidate ever to win more than a million votes in Oklahoma.[4] Biden, however, came within 3,326 votes of winning Oklahoma's most populous county Oklahoma County, and won more than 40% of the vote in Oklahoma's second-most populous county Tulsa. No Democratic presidential candidate has won Oklahoma County since Lyndon B. Johnson in his 1964 landslide, or Tulsa County since Franklin D. Roosevelt in his 1936 landslide. This is the first election since 2000 in which not every county voted in the majority for the Republican, as Oklahoma County was won by Republicans with a 49.21% plurality. However, these gains in urban Oklahoma were partly offset by continued falloff in southeast Oklahoma, where Biden even underperformed Hillary Clinton's performance four years earlier in most counties.
Primary elections
[edit]The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.
Republican primary
[edit]Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republican candidates.
Trump won the state in a landslide victory against his five opponents.
| 2020 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary[5][6] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Delegates[7] | |
| Count | Percentage | ||
 Donald Trump (incumbent)
|
273,738 | 92.60% | 43 |
| Joe Walsh (withdrawn) | 10,996 | 3.72% | 0 |
| Matthew Matern | 3,810 | 1.29% | 0 |
| Bob Ely | 3,294 | 1.11% | 0 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 2,466 | 0.83% | 0 |
| Zoltan Istvan | 1,297 | 0.44% | 0 |
| Total | 295,601 | 100% | 43 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and former Vice President Joe Biden were the major declared Democratic candidates.[8]
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[10] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 117,633 | 38.66 | 21 |
| Bernie Sanders | 77,425 | 25.45 | 13 |
| Michael Bloomberg | 42,270 | 13.89 | 2 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 40,732 | 13.39 | 1 |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[a] | 6,733 | 2.21 | |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[a] | 5,115 | 1.68 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 5,109 | 1.68 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[a] | 2,006 | 0.66 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 1,997 | 0.66 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 1,530 | 0.50 | |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 1,273 | 0.42 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 1,158 | 0.38 | |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 680 | 0.22 | |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 620 | 0.20 | |
| Total | 304,281 | 100% | 37 |
Libertarian nominee
[edit]- Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University
Independent candidates
[edit]Three unaffiliated candidates filed to be on the Oklahoma presidential ballot, all by paying a $35,000 fee. Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins filed a lawsuit challenging the amount of the filing fee.[11]
- Jade Simmons, concert artist, speaker, and author[12]
- Brock Pierce, cryptocurrency entrepreneur and former child actor[13]
- Kanye West, musician[14]
Ballot order
[edit]Oklahoma determines ballot order by lot, with unaffiliated candidates listed below candidates of recognized parties. The drawing was held on July 16, with the resulting order for political parties being Republican, Libertarian, Democrat.[15] The unaffiliated candidates for president will be listed in this order: Jade Simmons, Kanye West, Brock Pierce.[16]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[17] | Safe R | September 10, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[18] | Safe R | September 4, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe R | July 14, 2020 |
| Politico[20] | Safe R | September 8, 2020 |
| RCP[21] | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen[22] | Safe R | July 26, 2020 |
| CNN[23] | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
| The Economist[24] | Safe R | September 2, 2020 |
| CBS News[25] | Likely R | August 16, 2020 |
| 270towin[26] | Safe R | August 2, 2020 |
| ABC News[27] | Safe R | July 31, 2020 |
| NPR[28] | Likely R | August 3, 2020 |
| NBC News[29] | Safe R | August 6, 2020 |
| 538[30] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]
Aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [b] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[31] | October 17–21, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 58.5% | 3.0% | Trump +20.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[32] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 59.2% | 4.6% | Trump +23.0 |
| Average | 37.4% | 58.9% | 3.7% | Trump +21.5 | ||
Polls
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,902 (LV) | ± 3% | 65%[d] | 35% | – | ||
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,191 (LV) | – | 59% | 40% | – | – | – |
| SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6[34] | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 5,466 (LV) | ± 1.33% | 59% | 37% | 1% | 2%[e] | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,174 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
| Amber Integrated[35] | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 55% | 33% | 1% | 5%[f] | 6% |
| SoonerPoll/News9[36][1] | Sep 2–8, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 60% | 35% | – | 1%[e] | 4% |
| SoonerPoll[37] | Aug 13–31, 2020 | 379 (LV) | ± 5.03% | 60% | 35% | – | 2%[g] | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 64% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,410 (LV) | – | 64% | 34% | – | – | 4% |
| DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate[38][A] | Jul 29–30, 2020 | 572 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 36% | – | 5%[h] | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[33] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 591 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | 1% |
| Amber Integrated[39] | Jun 3–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 36% | – | 4%[i] | 5% |
| Amber Integrated[40] | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 33% | – | 4% | 5% |
| Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/OK Sooner[41] |
Feb 10–13, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 62% | 34% | – | – | 4% |
Former candidates
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Generic Democrat
|
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence |
1,020,280 | 65.37 | +0.05% | |
| Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris |
503,890 | 32.29 | +3.36% | |
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen |
24,731 | 1.58 | −4.17% | |
| Independent | Kanye West Michelle Tidball |
5,597 | 0.36 | N/A | |
| Independent | Jade Simmons Claudeliah Roze |
3,654 | 0.23 | N/A | |
| Independent | Brock Pierce Karla Ballard |
2,547 | 0.16 | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,560,699 | 100.0 | |||
By county
[edit]| County | Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adair | 5,585 | 78.57% | 1,387 | 19.51% | 136 | 1.92% | 4,198 | 59.06% | 7,108 |
| Alfalfa | 1,978 | 87.44% | 232 | 10.26% | 52 | 2.30% | 1,746 | 77.18% | 2,262 |
| Atoka | 4,557 | 84.56% | 765 | 14.20% | 67 | 1.24% | 3,792 | 70.36% | 5,389 |
| Beaver | 1,968 | 90.36% | 190 | 8.72% | 20 | 0.92% | 1,778 | 81.64% | 2,178 |
| Beckham | 6,767 | 85.14% | 1,048 | 13.19% | 133 | 1.67% | 5,719 | 71.95% | 7,948 |
| Blaine | 3,136 | 80.39% | 688 | 17.64% | 77 | 1.97% | 2,448 | 62.75% | 3,901 |
| Bryan | 12,344 | 77.27% | 3,323 | 20.80% | 309 | 1.93% | 9,021 | 56.47% | 15,976 |
| Caddo | 7,013 | 71.13% | 2,670 | 27.08% | 176 | 1.79% | 4,343 | 44.05% | 9,859 |
| Canadian | 43,550 | 70.31% | 16,742 | 27.03% | 1,648 | 2.66% | 26,808 | 43.28% | 61,940 |
| Carter | 14,699 | 75.46% | 4,470 | 22.95% | 310 | 1.59% | 10,229 | 52.51% | 19,479 |
| Cherokee | 11,223 | 63.36% | 6,027 | 34.02% | 464 | 2.62% | 5,196 | 29.34% | 17,714 |
| Choctaw | 4,698 | 80.56% | 1,082 | 18.55% | 52 | 0.89% | 3,616 | 62.01% | 5,832 |
| Cimarron | 970 | 92.03% | 70 | 6.64% | 14 | 1.43% | 900 | 85.39% | 1,054 |
| Cleveland | 66,677 | 55.67% | 49,827 | 41.60% | 3,274 | 2.73% | 16,850 | 14.07% | 119,778 |
| Coal | 2,091 | 82.84% | 374 | 14.82% | 59 | 2.34% | 1,717 | 68.02% | 2,524 |
| Comanche | 20,905 | 58.67% | 13,747 | 38.58% | 979 | 2.75% | 7,158 | 20.09% | 35,631 |
| Cotton | 2,117 | 82.31% | 393 | 15.28% | 62 | 2.41% | 1,724 | 67.03% | 2,572 |
| Craig | 4,686 | 77.69% | 1,217 | 20.18% | 129 | 2.13% | 3,469 | 57.51% | 6,032 |
| Creek | 23,294 | 76.36% | 6,577 | 21.56% | 634 | 2.08% | 16,717 | 54.80% | 30,505 |
| Custer | 8,060 | 75.39% | 2,369 | 22.16% | 262 | 2.45% | 5,691 | 53.23% | 10,691 |
| Delaware | 13,557 | 78.61% | 3,472 | 20.13% | 216 | 1.26% | 10,085 | 58.48% | 17,245 |
| Dewey | 2,124 | 90.04% | 214 | 9.07% | 21 | 0.89% | 1,910 | 80.97% | 2,359 |
| Ellis | 1,688 | 90.12% | 162 | 8.65% | 23 | 1.23% | 1,526 | 81.47% | 1,873 |
| Garfield | 16,970 | 75.66% | 4,919 | 21.93% | 541 | 2.41% | 12,051 | 53.73% | 22,430 |
| Garvin | 8,878 | 81.29% | 1,865 | 17.08% | 179 | 1.63% | 7,013 | 64.21% | 10,922 |
| Grady | 18,538 | 80.25% | 4,144 | 17.94% | 419 | 1.81% | 14,394 | 62.31% | 23,101 |
| Grant | 1,916 | 86.07% | 280 | 12.58% | 30 | 1.35% | 1,636 | 73.49% | 2,226 |
| Greer | 1,605 | 81.35% | 328 | 16.62% | 40 | 2.03% | 1,277 | 64.73% | 1,973 |
| Harmon | 747 | 80.06% | 177 | 18.97% | 9 | 0.97% | 570 | 61.09% | 933 |
| Harper | 1,327 | 89.24% | 136 | 9.15% | 24 | 1.61% | 1,191 | 80.09% | 1,487 |
| Haskell | 4,165 | 83.07% | 783 | 15.62% | 66 | 1.51% | 3,382 | 67.45% | 5,014 |
| Hughes | 3,875 | 79.78% | 919 | 18.92% | 63 | 1.30% | 2,956 | 60.86% | 4,857 |
| Jackson | 6,392 | 77.75% | 1,646 | 20.02% | 183 | 2.23% | 4,746 | 57.73% | 8,221 |
| Jefferson | 2,026 | 84.95% | 319 | 13.38% | 40 | 1.67% | 1,707 | 71.57% | 2,385 |
| Johnston | 3,441 | 80.95% | 738 | 17.36% | 72 | 1.69% | 2,703 | 63.59% | 4,251 |
| Kay | 12,834 | 74.40% | 4,040 | 23.42% | 375 | 2.18% | 8,794 | 50.98% | 17,249 |
| Kingfisher | 5,521 | 85.40% | 854 | 13.21% | 90 | 1.39% | 4,667 | 72.19% | 6,465 |
| Kiowa | 2,673 | 78.00% | 699 | 20.40% | 55 | 1.60% | 1,974 | 57.60% | 3,427 |
| Latimer | 3,437 | 80.89% | 762 | 17.93% | 50 | 1.18% | 2,675 | 62.96% | 4,249 |
| LeFlore | 15,213 | 80.90% | 3,299 | 17.54% | 293 | 1.56% | 11,914 | 63.36% | 18,805 |
| Lincoln | 12,013 | 80.69% | 2,609 | 17.52% | 266 | 1.79% | 9,404 | 63.17% | 14,888 |
| Logan | 15,608 | 72.35% | 5,455 | 25.29% | 511 | 2.36% | 10,153 | 47.06% | 21,574 |
| Love | 3,305 | 81.08% | 711 | 17.44% | 60 | 1.48% | 2,594 | 63.64% | 4,076 |
| McClain | 15,295 | 79.51% | 3,582 | 18.62% | 359 | 1.87% | 11,713 | 60.89% | 19,236 |
| McCurtain | 9,485 | 82.72% | 1,858 | 16.20% | 124 | 1.08% | 7,627 | 66.52% | 11,467 |
| McIntosh | 6,172 | 74.05% | 2,031 | 24.37% | 132 | 1.58% | 4,141 | 49.68% | 8,335 |
| Major | 3,084 | 88.95% | 320 | 9.23% | 63 | 1.82% | 2,764 | 79.72% | 3,467 |
| Marshall | 4,891 | 80.66% | 1,100 | 18.14% | 73 | 1.20% | 3,791 | 62.52% | 6,064 |
| Mayes | 12,749 | 76.68% | 3,581 | 21.54% | 296 | 1.78% | 9,168 | 55.14% | 16,626 |
| Murray | 4,612 | 78.25% | 1,156 | 19.61% | 126 | 2.14% | 3,456 | 58.64% | 5,894 |
| Muskogee | 16,526 | 65.89% | 8,027 | 32.00% | 528 | 2.11% | 8,499 | 33.89% | 25,081 |
| Noble | 3,821 | 77.38% | 1,003 | 20.31% | 114 | 2.31% | 2,818 | 57.07% | 4,938 |
| Nowata | 3,610 | 82.21% | 712 | 16.21% | 69 | 1.58% | 2,898 | 66.00% | 4,391 |
| Okfuskee | 3,058 | 75.73% | 896 | 22.19% | 84 | 2.08% | 2,062 | 53.54% | 4,038 |
| Oklahoma | 145,050 | 49.21% | 141,724 | 48.08% | 7,966 | 2.71% | 3,326 | 1.13% | 294,740 |
| Okmulgee | 9,668 | 67.55% | 4,357 | 30.44% | 288 | 2.01% | 5,311 | 37.11% | 14,313 |
| Osage | 14,121 | 68.76% | 6,002 | 29.22% | 415 | 2.02% | 8,119 | 39.54% | 20,538 |
| Ottawa | 8,545 | 74.71% | 2,686 | 23.48% | 207 | 1.81% | 5,859 | 51.23% | 11,438 |
| Pawnee | 5,267 | 77.62% | 1,363 | 20.09% | 156 | 2.29% | 3,904 | 57.53% | 6,786 |
| Payne | 17,813 | 60.09% | 10,904 | 36.78% | 926 | 3.13% | 6,909 | 23.31% | 29,643 |
| Pittsburg | 13,851 | 77.28% | 3,768 | 21.02% | 305 | 1.70% | 10,083 | 56.26% | 17,924 |
| Pontotoc | 10,805 | 70.53% | 4,117 | 26.87% | 398 | 2.60% | 6,688 | 43.66% | 15,320 |
| Pottawatomie | 20,240 | 71.81% | 7,275 | 25.81% | 670 | 2.38% | 12,965 | 46.00% | 28,185 |
| Pushmataha | 4,016 | 84.74% | 668 | 14.10% | 55 | 1.16% | 3,348 | 70.64% | 4,739 |
| Roger Mills | 1,629 | 88.82% | 168 | 9.16% | 37 | 2.02% | 1,461 | 79.66% | 1,834 |
| Rogers | 34,031 | 76.38% | 9,589 | 21.52% | 933 | 2.10% | 24,442 | 54.86% | 44,553 |
| Seminole | 6,011 | 72.10% | 2,150 | 25.79% | 176 | 2.11% | 3,861 | 46.31% | 8,337 |
| Sequoyah | 12,113 | 78.73% | 3,035 | 19.73% | 238 | 1.54% | 9,078 | 59.00% | 15,386 |
| Stephens | 15,560 | 81.65% | 3,154 | 16.55% | 343 | 1.80% | 12,404 | 65.10% | 19,057 |
| Texas | 4,505 | 81.60% | 894 | 16.19% | 122 | 2.21% | 3,611 | 65.41% | 5,521 |
| Tillman | 2,076 | 76.66% | 597 | 22.05% | 35 | 1.29% | 1,479 | 54.61% | 2,708 |
| Tulsa | 150,574 | 56.46% | 108,996 | 40.87% | 7,108 | 2.67% | 41,578 | 15.59% | 266,678 |
| Wagoner | 26,165 | 74.04% | 8,464 | 23.95% | 709 | 2.01% | 17,701 | 50.09% | 35,338 |
| Washington | 17,076 | 72.66% | 5,790 | 24.64% | 635 | 2.70% | 11,286 | 48.02% | 23,501 |
| Washita | 4,086 | 85.53% | 598 | 12.52% | 93 | 1.95% | 3,488 | 73.01% | 4,777 |
| Woods | 2,993 | 81.38% | 591 | 16.07% | 94 | 2.55% | 2,402 | 65.31% | 3,678 |
| Woodward | 6,611 | 84.92% | 1,005 | 12.91% | 169 | 2.17% | 5,606 | 72.01% | 7,785 |
| Totals | 1,020,280 | 65.37% | 503,890 | 32.29% | 36,529 | 2.34% | 516,390 | 33.08% | 1,560,699 |
By congressional district
[edit]Trump won all of Oklahoma's congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 60.11% | 37.31% | Kevin Hern |
| 2nd | 76.10% | 22.15% | Markwayne Mullin |
| 3rd | 74.58% | 23.15% | Frank Lucas |
| 4th | 65.23% | 32.22% | Tom Cole |
| 5th | 51.56% | 45.95% | Kendra Horn (116th Congress) |
| Stephanie Bice (117th Congress) |
Electors
[edit]- Republican Party electors
Ronda Vuillemont-Smith, Lonnie Lu Anderson, Chris Martin, Steve Fair, Linda Huggard, A. J. Ferate, Carolyn McLarty[44]
- Libertarian Party electors
Erin Adams, Danny Chabino, Drew Cook, Kevin Hobbie, Rex Lawhorn, Jay Norton, Victoria Whitfield[45]
- Democratic Party electors
Judy Eason McIntyre, Eric Proctor, Jeff Berrong, Christine Byrd, Demetrios Bereolos, Pamela Iron, Shevonda Steward[46]
- Electors for Jade Simmons
Shanda Carter, Terrence Stephens, Hope Stephens, Elizabeth Stephens, Dakota Hooks, Phalanda Boyd, Quincy Boyd[12]
- Electors for Kanye West
April Anderson, Craig Alan Weygandt, Will Flanagan, Tom Krup, Megan Krup, Gretchen Schrupp, David Schrupp[14]
- Electors for Brock Pierce
Robert Murphy, Susan Darlene Murphy, Richard Prawdzienski, Jessy Artman, David Selinger, Shane Wayne Howell, Angela McCaslin[13]
Analysis
[edit]Oklahoma, a majority-White, mainly-rural state sandwiched between the South and the Midwest, has long been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, although Democrats did well in state-level elections until the 2000s. 4 of 5 congressional seats are considered non-competitive for Democrats, and it hasn't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson carried it in 1964, against the backdrop of his nationwide landslide victory. Oklahoma was last competitive at the presidential level in 1996.
Despite Trump's win in the state, Biden came less than 1 percentage point of flipping the rapidly-urbanizing Oklahoma County, which hosts the state capital, while he also reduced Trump's margin of victory in Tulsa County. Meanwhile, Trump carried the state's only Hispanic-majority county of Texas, located in the Oklahoma panhandle. He also held onto the only two plurality-Native American counties in the state: Adair and Cherokee, both encompassed by the Cherokee Reservation, and the latter hosting the tribal capital in Tahlequah. Trump also exhibited considerable strength in the historically Democratic region known as "Little Dixie," carrying Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district by 54%. The counties encompassed by the Cherokee, Choctaw, Chickasaw, Muscogee, Seminole, Osage, and Pawnee reservations were all captured by Trump by large margins.
Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Oklahoma came from whites, with 71% support; he narrowly won 50% of the state's non-white vote (most notably from the state's large Native American population). Oklahoma, often termed the "Buckle of the Bible Belt", is a very religious state, with Trump capturing the Protestant vote by 78%.[47]
Exit polls
[edit]| 2020 presidential election in Oklahoma by demographic subgroup (New York Times)[48] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Biden | Trump | % of
total vote |
| Total vote | 32.29 | 65.37 | 100 |
| Ideology | |||
| Liberals | 73 | 27 | 21 |
| Moderates | 46 | 52 | 30 |
| Conservatives | 7 | 91 | 49 |
| Party | |||
| Democrats | 90 | 9 | 29 |
| Republicans | 7 | 92 | 68 |
| Gender | |||
| Men | 26 | 72 | 46 |
| Women | 37 | 62 | 53 |
| Race/ethnicity | |||
| White | 28 | 71 | 78 |
| Non-white | 49 | 50 | 22 |
| Age | |||
| 18–29 years old | 55 | 43 | 10 |
| 30–44 years old | 36 | 62 | 20 |
| 45–64 years old | 29 | 70 | 37 |
| 65 and older | 28 | 71 | 33 |
| Sexual orientation | |||
| LGBT | – | – | 10 |
| Not LGBT | 25 | 75 | 90 |
| Education | |||
| High school or less | 29 | 70 | 29 |
| Some college, or associate degree | 36 | 62 | 36 |
| College graduate | 20 | 69 | 22 |
| Postgraduate degree | – | – | 13 |
| Area type | |||
| Urban | 43 | 55 | 17 |
| Suburban | 39 | 59 | 37 |
| Small town | 25 | 73 | 20 |
| Rural | 21 | 78 | 25 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the election.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ a b West (B) with 1%; Pierce (I) and Simmons (I) with less than 1%
- ^ Pierce (I), Simmons (I), West (B) and "refused" with 1%
- ^ Would not vote with 2%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 5%
- ^ "Neither" with 3%; "refused" with 1%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Broyles' campaign
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Oklahoma
- Presidency of Joe Biden
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2020 United States elections
References
[edit]- ^ "2020 November General Election Turnout Rates". United States Elections Project. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
- ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ Casteel, Chris (November 15, 2020). "Trump's Oklahoma County squeaker, Horn's Grady County connection and 3 other things about the election". The Oklahoman. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
- ^ "Candidate Information". Oklahoma State Election Board.
- ^ "Presidential Preferential Primary and Special Elections – March 3, 2020". OK Election Results. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
- ^ "Oklahoma Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
- ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
- ^ "Presidential Preferential Primary and Special Elections – March 3, 2020". OK Election Results. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
- ^ "How Many Delegates Do The 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates Have?". NPR.org. National Public Radio. Retrieved March 3, 2020.
- ^ "Howie Hawkins Files Federal Lawsuit Against Amount of Oklahoma Presidential Filing Fee | Ballot Access News". July 16, 2020. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
- ^ a b "2020 Oklahoma Statement of Candidacy - Jade Simmons" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. July 15, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 18, 2020.
- ^ a b "2020 Oklahoma Statement of Candidacy - Brock Pierce" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. July 15, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 13, 2020.
- ^ a b "2020 Oklahoma Statement of Candidacy - Kanye West" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. July 15, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 17, 2020.
- ^ "Oklahoma State Election Board".
- ^ "General Election Ballot Order Set | The McCarville Report". Retrieved May 7, 2021.
- ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
- ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
- ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- ^ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
- ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ a b c d e f SurveyMonkey/Axios
- ^ SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6
- ^ Amber Integrated
- ^ SoonerPoll/News9
- ^ SoonerPoll
- ^ DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate
- ^ Amber Integrated
- ^ a b Amber Integrated
- ^ a b c Cole Hargrave Snodgrass
& Associates/OK Sooner - ^ Amber Integrated
- ^ "OK election results". Retrieved November 27, 2020.
- ^ "Oklahoma Republican Electors" (PDF). Oklahoma Republican Party. July 14, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 19, 2020.
- ^ "Libertarian Certification Letter" (PDF). Oklahoma Libertarian Party. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 18, 2020.
- ^ "Democratic Certification Letter" (PDF). Oklahoma Democrats. July 14, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 18, 2020.
- ^ "Oklahoma Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 16, 2020.
- ^ "Oklahoma Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
External links
[edit]- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Oklahoma", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Oklahoma: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Oklahoma". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Oklahoma at Ballotpedia
