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October 2000
This work was supported by the Climate Protection Division, Office of Air and Radiation, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency through the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC03-76SF00098.
Disclaimer This document was prepared as an account of work sponsored by the United States Government. While this document is believed to contain correct information, neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor The Regents of the University of California, nor any of their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by its trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any agency thereof, or The Regents of the University of California. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the United States Government or any agency thereof, or The Regents of the University of California.
October 2000
Report sponsored by Pacific Gas and Electric Company U.S. Department of Energy U.S. Environmental Protection Agency New York State Energy Research and Development Authority Iowa Energy Center Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance
The U.S. Government has the right to retain a nonexclusive, royalty-free license in and to any copyright covering this report.
CONTENTS
CONTENTS....................................................................................................................................................i LIST OF TABLES....................................................................................................................................... iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .........................................................................................................................iv ABBREVIATIONS .......................................................................................................................................1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY...........................................................................................................................2 Methodology ..................................................................................................................................................2 Summary of Results ......................................................................................................................................2 Conclusions and Recommendations for Future Work...............................................................................6 I. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................8
II. OVERVIEW OF U.S. INDUSTRIAL ENERGY USE ........................................................................9 Introduction ...................................................................................................................................................9 Industry in Context .......................................................................................................................................9 Economic Output.....................................................................................................................................9 Energy Consumption .............................................................................................................................11 Technology Change in Industry .................................................................................................................13 The Future Of Energy Use In Industry .....................................................................................................14 III. METHODOLOGY AND APPROACH ............................................................................................16 Preliminary Screening of Technologies .....................................................................................................16 Rating Criteria.............................................................................................................................................16 Potential for Energy Savings.................................................................................................................16 Investment Cost for New Technology/Replacement Cost for Existing Processes..................................17 Other Benefits........................................................................................................................................17 Rating Preliminary Technologies...............................................................................................................17 Detailed Assessment of Selected Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies .........................18 IV. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS...........................................................................................................23 Introduction .................................................................................................................................................23 Summary of Technology Characterizations..............................................................................................23 Energy Savings ............................................................................................................................................25 The Economics of Energy Savings .............................................................................................................27 Environmental Benefits ..............................................................................................................................29 Non-Energy Benefits ...................................................................................................................................29 Likelihood of Success ..................................................................................................................................31 Technologies from a National Energy Policy Perspective........................................................................31 Suggested Actions to Support Technology Development .........................................................................32 V. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER WORK...................................34 VI. TECHNOLOGY PROFILES..............................................................................................................36 Condensed Methodology and Summary of Assumptions ........................................................................37 Electron Beam Pasteurization (Food-1) ....................................................................................................38 Low Temperature Heat Recovery in the Food Processing Industries (Food-2).....................................40 Membrane TechnologyFood (Food-3) ...................................................................................................42 Cooling and Storage (Food-4) ....................................................................................................................45 Ultrasound Enhanced Dying (Textile-1)....................................................................................................48
Black Liquor Gasification (Paper-1)......................................................................................................... 50 Condensing Belt Drying (Paper-2) ............................................................................................................ 53 Direct Electrolytic Causticizing (Paper-3)................................................................................................ 55 Dry Sheet Forming (Paper-4) .................................................................................................................... 57 Heat Recover PaperEnclosing Hoods (Paper-5) .................................................................................. 60 High Consistency Forming (Paper-6) ....................................................................................................... 62 Impulse Drying (Paper-7) .......................................................................................................................... 64 Clean Fractionation (Chemicals-1) ........................................................................................................... 67 Gas Membrane Technologies (Chemicals-2) ............................................................................................ 69 Heat Recovery Technologies for Harsh Environments in Chemical Manufacturing (Chemicals-3) .. 71 Levulinic Acid for the Manufacture of Chemicals (Chemicals-4) .......................................................... 74 Liquid Membrane Technologies - Chemicals (Chemicals-5) .................................................................. 76 New Catalysts (Chemicals-6) ..................................................................................................................... 78 Autothermal Reforming (or Combined Reforming) (Chemicals-7) ....................................................... 80 Biodesulfurization of Gasoline (Refining-1) ............................................................................................. 86 Fouling Minimization (Refining-2)............................................................................................................ 88 Roller Kiln (Ceramics-1)............................................................................................................................ 90 100 Percent Cullet Use & Cullet Preheating in Container Glass Manufacture (Glass-1) .................... 93 Gas and Heat Recovery at Basic Oxygen Furnace (Steel-1) ................................................................... 96 Near Net Shape Casting/Strip Casting (Steel-2) ...................................................................................... 98 New EAF Processes (Steel-3) ................................................................................................................... 101 Low NOx Oxy-Fuel Burners in Steel Reheating Furnaces (Steel-4) ..................................................... 104 Smelting Reduction Processes (Steel-5) .................................................................................................. 107 Advanced Forming/Near Net Shape Casting (Alum-1) ......................................................................... 110 Efficient Cell Retrofit Designs (Alum-2)................................................................................................. 113 Improved Recycling Technologies (Alum-3) .......................................................................................... 114 Inert Anodes/Wetted Cathodes (Alum-4) ............................................................................................... 118 Continuous Melt Silicon Crystal Growth (Electron-1).......................................................................... 121 Advanced ASD Designs (Motorsystems-1) ............................................................................................. 123 Advanced Compressor Controls (Motorsystems-2)............................................................................... 125 Motor Diagnostics (Motorsystems-4) ...................................................................................................... 129 Motor System Optimization (Motorsystems-5)...................................................................................... 131 Pump System Efficiency Improvements (Motorsystems-6) .................................................................. 133 Switched Reluctance Drives (Motorsystems-7) ...................................................................................... 135 Premium Lubricants (Motorsys-8) ......................................................................................................... 137 Advanced CHP Turbines (Utilities-1) ..................................................................................................... 139 Advanced Reciprocating Engines (Utilities-2)........................................................................................ 141 Fuel Cells (Utilities-3) ............................................................................................................................... 143 Microturbines (Utilities-4) ....................................................................................................................... 146 Advanced Lighting Technologies (Lighting-1)....................................................................................... 149 Advanced Lighting Design (Lighting-2) ................................................................................................. 152 Anaerobic Wastewater Treatment (Other-1)......................................................................................... 157 High-Efficiency/Low NOx-Burners (Other-2) ........................................................................................ 160 Membrane Technology Wastewater (Other-3) ...................................................................................... 163 Process Integration/Pinch Analysis (Other-4)........................................................................................ 166 Process Control and Sensors (Other-5) .................................................................................................. 170 Variable Mining Machine (Mining-1)..................................................................................................... 173 REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................................... 176
ii
LIST OF TABLES
Table ES-1. Summary of Profiled Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies ................................4 Table ES-1. Summary of Profiled Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies (continued) .............5 Table ES-2. Technologies with High Energy Savings and a High Likelihood of Success..............................6 Table 1. Historical Share of Industrial Primary Energy Use in the United States ...........................................9 Table 2. Manufacturing Value Added by Sector, 1997 .................................................................................10 Table 3. U.S. Manufacturing Energy Consumption and Fuel Share by Fuel Type, 1985, 1994 ...................11 Table 4. 1994 Manufacturing Energy Consumption by Process and Fuel (TBtu).........................................12 Table 5. Manufacturing Primary Energy Consumption by Region: 1985, 1994 ...........................................13 Table 6. U.S. Industrial Energy Use Forecasting Studies..............................................................................15 Table 7. Preliminary Screening Rating System.............................................................................................18 Table 8. Technologies and Measures Considered in Preliminary Screening Analysis..................................19 Table 8. Technologies And Measures Considered In Preliminary Screening Analysis (Continued) ............20 Table 9. Summary of the Profiled Energy-Efficient Emerging Industrial Technologies...............................24 Table 10. Projected 2015 Implemented Primary Energy Savings Potential ..................................................25 Table 11. Projected 2015 Implemented Electricity Savings Potential...........................................................26 Table 12. Projected 2015 Implemented Fuel Savings Potential ....................................................................26 Table 13. Implemented Savings Share of Sector Projected 2015 Energy .....................................................27 Table 14. Technologies with the Lowest Cost of Saved Electricity ..............................................................28 Table 15. Technologies with the Lowest Cost of Saved Fuel .......................................................................28 Table 16. Environmental Benefits .................................................................................................................29 Table 17. Non-Energy Benefits.....................................................................................................................30 Table 18. Factors Contributing to a High Likelihood of Success..................................................................31 Table 19. Technologies with High Energy Savings and a High Likelihood of Success................................32 Table 20. Technologies Requiring Additional R&D .....................................................................................33 Table 21. Candidate Technologies for Field Trials and Demonstration ........................................................33 Table 22. Profiled Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies and their Technology Code...........36
iii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors of this report would like to extend heartfelt thanks to the many individuals who provided their valuable time and assistance on this project. Numerous experts, too many to be individually named, generously contributed to the project team by collecting and evaluating information on the technologies profiled. We would like to thank our sponsors, the Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E), the Office of Air and Radiation of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the Office of Industrial Technologies of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) under Contract No. DE-AC03-76SF00098, the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA), the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance (NEEA), and the Iowa Energy Center (IEC). Specifically, we would like to extend our gratitude to Steven Fok (PG&E), Skip Laitner (EPA), Ken Friedman (DOE), Miriam Pye (NYSERDA), Phil Degens (NEEA), and Bill Haman (IEC) who contributed to the development of the project methodology and offered their input at every step along the way. Finally we wish to acknowledge the expertise of our colleagues who assisted in the research, direction, and production of this report. We thank Steven Nadel at ACEEE for his advice and guidance, and Norma Anglani, who researched some of the technologies this summer. We also thank Susan Ziff, Liz Brown, and Renee Nida for their assistance in developing the final report.
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ABBREVIATIONS
ACEEE AEO ASD BOF Btu CADDET CHP CO2 DOE EAF EIA EPA EJ GDP GJ/t HVAC IEC kW kWh LBNL LPG MW MBtu MBtu/ton NEMS NOx NYSERDA NEEA OIT PG&E Co. PJ Quads R&D RD&D TBtu ton t TWh American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy Annual Energy Outlook adjustable speed drive (motors) basic oxygen furnace (steel making) British thermal unit Center for the Analysis and Dissemination of Demonstrated Energy Technologies combined heat and power carbon dioxide U.S. Department of Energy electric arc furnace (steel making) U.S. Energy Information Administration U.S. Environmental Protection Agency exajoule gross domestic product gigajoule per metric ton heating ventilation and airconditioning Iowa Energy Center kilowatt (electric) kilowatt-hour (electric) Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory liquid petroleum gas megawatt (electric) million Btu million Btu per short ton National Energy Modeling System oxides of nitrogen New York State Energy Research and Development Authority Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance U.S. DOE Office of Industrial Technologies Pacific Gas and Electric Company petajoule quadrillion Btu research and design research, development, and demonstration trillion Btu short ton (2000 pounds mass) metric ton terawatt-hour (electric)
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
U.S. industry consumes approximately 37 percent of the nations energy to produce 24 percent of the nations GDP. Increasingly, industry is confronted with the challenge of moving toward a cleaner, more sustainable path of production and consumption, while increasing global competitiveness. Technology will be essential for meeting these challenges. At some point, businesses are faced with investment in new capital stock. At this decision point, new and emerging technologies compete for capital investment alongside more established or mature technologies. Understanding the dynamics of the decision-making process is important to perceive what drives technology change and the overall effect on industrial energy use. The assessment of emerging energy-efficient industrial technologies can be useful for: identifying R&D projects; identifying potential technologies for market transformation activities; providing common information on technologies to a broad audience of policy-makers; and offering new insights into technology development and energy efficiency potentials. With the support of PG&E Co., NYSERDA, DOE, EPA, NEEA, and the Iowa Energy Center, staff from LBNL and ACEEE produced this assessment of emerging energy-efficient industrial technologies. The goal was to collect information on a broad array of potentially significant emerging energy-efficient industrial technologies and carefully characterize a sub-group of approximately 50 key technologies. Our use of the term emerging denotes technologies that are both pre-commercial but near commercialization, and technologies that have already entered the market but have less than 5 percent of current market share. We also have chosen technologies that are energy-efficient (i.e., use less energy than existing technologies and practices to produce the same product), and may have additional non-energy benefits. These benefits are as important (if not more important in many cases) in influencing the decision on whether to adopt an emerging technology. The technologies were characterized with respect to energy efficiency, economics, and environmental performance. The results demonstrate that the United States is not running out of technologies to improve energy efficiency and economic and environmental performance, and will not run out in the future. We show that many of the technologies have important non-energy benefits, ranging from reduced environmental impact to improved productivity and worker safety, and reduced capital costs.
Methodology
The assessment began with the identification of approximately 175 emerging energy-efficient industrial technologies through a review of the literature, international R&D programs, databases, and studies. The review was not limited to U.S. experiences, but rather we aimed to produce an inventory of international technology developments. We devised an initial screening process to select the most attractive technologies that had: (1) high potential energy savings; (2) lower comparative first costs relative to existing technologies; and (3) other significant benefits. While some technologies scored high on all of these characteristics, most had a mixed score. We formalized this approach in a very simple rating system. Based on the literature review and the application of initial screening criteria, we identified and developed profiles for 54 technologies. The technologies ranged from highly specific ones that can be applied in a single industry to more broadly crosscutting ones that can be used in many industrial sectors. Each of the selected technologies has been assessed with respect to energy efficiency characteristics, likely energy savings by 2015, economics, and environmental performance, as well as whats needed to further the development or implementation of the technology. The technology characterization includes a one to two-page description and a one-page table summarizing the results for the technology.
Summary of Results
Table ES-1 provides an overview of the 54 emerging energy-efficient industrial technologies. We evaluated energy savings in two ways. The third column of Table ES-1 (Total Energy Savings) shows the amount of total manufacturing energy that the technology is likely to save in 2015 in a business-as-usual scenario. The 2
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies fourth column (Sector Savings) reflects the savings relative to expected energy use in the particular sector. We believe that both metrics are useful in evaluating the relative savings potential of various technologies. Economic evaluation of the technology is identified in the summary table by simple payback period, defined as the initial investment costs divided by the value of energy savings less any changes in operations and maintenance costs. We chose this measure since it is frequently used as a shorthand evaluation metric among industrial energy managers. Payback times for the technologies range from the immediate to 20 years or more. Of the 54 technologies profiled, 31 have estimated paybacks of 3 years or less, with six paying back immediately Energy savings are most often not the determining factor in the decision to develop or invest in an emerging technology. Over two-thirds of technologies not only save energy but yield non-energy benefits. We separated these non-energy benefits into environmental and other categories. We assessed how important the environmental benefits are to the technology adoption decision and listed the nature of the other benefit(s). We include an assessment of the importance of these non-energy benefits. Technologies do not seamlessly enter existing markets immediately after development. The acceptance of emerging technologies is often a slow process that entails active research and development, prototype development, market demonstration, and other activities. In Table ES-1 we summarize the recommendations for the primary activities that could be undertaken to increase the technologies rate of uptake. Over half of these technologies have already been developed to prototype stage or are already commercial but require further demonstration and dissemination. Each technology is at a different point in the development or commercialization process. Some technologies still need further R&D to address cost or performance issues, some are ready for demonstration, and others have already proven themselves in the field and the market needs to be informed of the benefits and market channels needed to develop skills to deliver the technology. Our outlining of recommended actions in Table ES-1 is not an endorsement of any particular technology. Technology purchasers and users will ultimately decide regarding future development. However, the actions specified are intended to help identify whether a technology is both technically and economically viable and whether it is robust enough to accommodate the stringent product quality demands in various manufacturing establishments. Seventeen emerging technologies could benefit from additional R&D. We suggest further R&D for several primary metal technologies, and several cross-cutting motor and utility technologies. In addition to private research funds, several of the identified technologies have received some R&D support from DOE or other public entities, including federal and state agencies. There are also a large number of technologies that already have made some headway into the marketplace or are at the prototype testing stage, and therefore are candidates for demonstration for potential customers to gain comfort with the technology. While we recommend further demonstration and dissemination of these technologies, it was often difficult to understand what is limiting their uptake without more comprehensive investigation of market issues. Some of the technologies in this category are common in European countries or Japan but have not yet penetrated the U.S. market. Others are being newly developed in the United States and face challenges in reducing the risks perceived by potential purchasers. Two technologies, motor system optimization and pump efficiency improvement, are opportunities for training programs similar to those developed by DOE for the compressed air system management. For advanced industrial CHP turbine systems, the major recommended activity is removal of policy barriers. For other technologies, their unique markets will dictate the form of the educational and promotional activities. We urge the reader to follow up on any details in the specific technology profiles provided in Section VI of this report .
Levulinic acid from biomass Chemicals Liquid membrane technologies Chemicals chem. New catalysts Chemicals Chemicals Autothermal reformingammonia Plastics recovery Plastics Continuous melt silicon crystal Electronics growth Electron beam sterilization Food Food Heat recoverylow temperature Food Membrane technologyfood Cooling and storage 100% recycled glass cullet Hi-tech facilities HVAC Advanced lighting technologies Advanced lighting design Variable wall mining machine Advance ASD designs Advanced compressor controls Compressed air system management Motor diagnostics Motor system optimization Pump efficiency improvement Switched reluctance motor Advanced lubricants Anaerobic waste water treatment High-efficiency/low NOx burners Membrane technology wastewater Process integration (pinch) Sensors and controls Food Glass Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Mining Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting
Medium Medium 7.9 Somewhat High High 3.7 Significant Medium Medium 2.8 Compelling Medium High Immediate Somewhat High High Medium Medium High High Medium Medium Medium Medium High High High High High High 19.2 4.8 2.2 2.6 2.0 4.0 1.3 3.0 None None Somewhat Somewhat Significant None None None None None None None None Somewhat None None Significant Significant Significant Somewhat Somewhat Somewhat
P P P, Q P, Q P, Q P, Q O P P, Q, O P, Q, O P, S P, Q P, Q P, Q P, Q P, Q P, Q P, Q P, Q O P P P P, Q
Low Low 10.6 High Medium 1.1 Medium Low 0.0 High High 0.4 Low Low Immediate High High High High 1.5 3.0 7.4 0.1 0.8 3.1 4.7 2.3 2.0
Medium Low Medium Medium Medium Low High High High High Low Medium Low Medium
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Table ES-1. Summary of Profiled Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies (continued)
Simple Environ. Other3 Suggested Likelihood Sector2 Technology Sector Savings Payback Benefits Benefits Next Steps of Success Black liquor gasification Pulp & paper High 1.5 Somewhat P, S Demo High Condebelt drying Pulp & paper Medium 65.2 None P, Q Demo Low Direct electrolytic Pulp & paper Low N/A Somewhat P, Q R&D Medium causticizing Dry sheet forming Pulp & paper Medium Medium 48.3 Somewhat Q R&D, demo High Pulp & paper High Medium 3.9 Somewhat P, S Demo Medium Heat recoverypaper High consistency forming Pulp & paper Medium Medium Immediate Somewhat P, Q Demo Medium Impulse drying Pulp & paper High Medium 20.3 None P, Q Demo Medium Biodesulfurization Pet. Refining Medium Medium 1.8 None Q R&D, demo High Fouling minimization Pet. Refining High High N/A None P R&D Low Medium Medium 14.7 Significant P Dissem. Low BOF gas and sensible heat Iron & steel recovery Near net shape casting/strip Iron & steel High High Immediate Somewhat P, Q R&D High casting New EAF furnace processes Iron & steel High High 0.3 Somewhat P Field test High Oxy-fuel combustion in Iron & steel High Medium 1.2 Significant P Field test High reheat furnace Smelting reduction processes Iron & steel High High Immediate Significant P Demo Medium Ultrasonic dying Textile Medium Medium 0.3 Compelling P, Q Demo Medium Advanced CHP turbine Crosscutting High High 6.9 Significant P, Q Policies High systems Advanced reciprocating Crosscutting High High 8.3 Limited P, Q, O R&D, demo Medium engines Fuel cells Crosscutting High High 58.6 Significant P, Q Demo Medium Microturbines Crosscutting High Medium Never Somewhat P, Q, O R&D, demo Medium Notes: 1. High could save more than 0.1% of manufacturing energy use by 2015, medium saves 0.01 to 0.1%, and low saves less than 0.01%. 2. High could save more than 1% of sector energy use by 2015, medium saves 0.1 to 1%, and low saves less than 0.1%. 3. P=productivity, Q=quality, S=safety, and O=other. Total1 Energy Savings High High Low
We assess the technologys likelihood of success in the marketplace. While our study evaluates each technology in relation to a given reference technology, the reality of the market is that technologies compete for market share. We made a judgement (based on the energy savings, cost-effectiveness, importance of non-energy benefits, market conditions, data reliability, and potential competing technologies) as to the likelihood that the technology would succeed in the marketplace. From a national energy policy perspective, it is important to understand which technologies have both a high likelihood of success and a high energy-savings. While various audiences may be interested in sectorspecific or regional-specific technologies, the technologies listed in Table ES-2 are intended to provide guidance to those interested in the impact of energy-saving technologies on a more national level. This table also identifies the recommended next steps appropriate for each technology.
Table ES-2. Technologies with High Energy Savings and a High Likelihood of Success
Technology Efficient cell retrofit designs Advanced lighting technologies Advance ASD designs Membrane technology wastewater Sensors and controls Black liquor gasification Near net shape casting/strip casting New EAF furnace processes Oxy-fuel combustion in reheat furnace Advanced CHP turbine systems Autothermal reforming-ammonia Membrane technology - food Advanced lighting design Compressed air system management Motor system optimization Pump efficiency improvement High efficiency/low NOX burners Process integration (pinch analysis) Heat recovery - paper Impulse drying Smelting reduction processes Advanced reciprocating engines Fuel cells Microturbines Inert anodes/wetted cathodes Code Alum-2 Lighting-1 Motorsys-1 Other-3 Other-5 Paper-1 Steel-2 Steel-3 Steel-4 Utilities-1 Chem-7 Food-3 Lighting-2 Motorsys-3 Motorsys-5 Motorsys-6 Other-2 Other-4 Paper-5 Paper-7 Steel-5 Utilities-2 Utilities-3 Utilities-4 Alum-4 Total Energy Savings High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High High Likelihood of Success High High High High High High High High High High Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Recommended Next Steps Demonstraton Dissemination, demonstration R&D Dissemination, R&D R&D, demonstration, dissemination Demonstration R&D Field test Field test Policies Dissemination Dissemination, R&D Dissemination, demonstration Dissemination Dissemination, training Dissemination, training Dissemination, demonstration Dissemination Demonstration Demonstration Demonstratoin R&D, demonstration Demonstration R&D, demonstration R&D
Advanced forming Alum-1 Medium High R&D Plastics recovery Chem-8 Medium High Demonstration Continuous melt silicon crystal growth Electron-1 Medium High R&D 100% recycled glass cullet Glass-1 Medium High Demo Anaerobic waste water treatment Other-1 Medium High Dissemination., demonstration Dry sheet forming Paper-4 Medium High R&D, demonstration Biodesulfurization Refin-1 Medium High R&D, demonstration *note technologies in this table are listed in alphabetical order based on industry sector
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies and intertechnology competition have not been accounted for and ideally should be included in any type of integrated technology scenario, for it may help to better evaluate market opportunities. While this report focuses on the United States, state- or region-specific analysis of technologies may provide further insights into opportunities specific for the region served. Regional specificity is determined by the type of users (i.e., industrial activities) in the region, as well as the available technology developers. Combining the region-specific circumstances with the technology evaluations offered in this report may lead to varying policy choices for regional entities such as state governments, state or regional agencies, or utilities. Our selection of a limited set of 54 technologies was an arbitrary constraint based on the funding available. A number of the initial technologies screened appeared very interesting and warrant further study, but were eliminated due to resource constraints. In addition, the initial list of candidate technologies should not be viewed as all-encompassing. The authors are aware that other promising existing technologies exist, and that by their nature new technologies will be continually emerging. Ideally, the effort reflected in this report should be the start of a continuing process that identifies and profiles the most promising emerging energyefficient industrial technologies and tracks the market success for these technologies. An interactive database may be a better choice for it would allow the continuous updating of information, rather than providing a static snapshot of the industrial technology universe. This report identifies and profiles many promising emerging energy-efficient industrial technologies, which can achieve high energy-savings, and have a good likelihood of success due to their economic, environmental, product quality, and other benefits. We recommend next steps that product developers and policy-makers could undertake for each of the most promising technologies. Follow-up assessments are needed to identify additional emerging technologies, and to track the emergence of the technologies profiled in this report.
I. INTRODUCTION
Whether one is the general manager of a manufacturing plant looking to increase productivity or an environmentalist seeking to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, it is evident that technology plays a critical role in the nations economy. From a policy-making perspective, the better we understand technology developments the more effective we will be in utilizing our future research dollars and in undertaking sound strategy development. As just one example, few economic models today provide a reasonable characterization of both existing and emerging technologies. But even models with only a limited characterization of technology tend to forecast significantly different energy consumption patterns than those that reflect actual technology choices confronted by consumers and businesses (Laitner 2000a). Inappropriate characterization of technologies can lead to poor analysis and eventually less than optimal policy choices. Getting a clearer picture about emerging technologies will help to: Identify new R&D projects; Identify potential technologies for market transformation activities; Provide common information on technologies to a broad audience of policy-makers; and Offer new insights into technology development and energy efficiency potentials
The development of this report emerged from a desire across several research, development, and policymaking agencies to improve our common understanding of the status of emerging energy-efficient technologies in the industrial sector. Although many technologies save energy, often the driver for their adoption is reductions in capital costs and other non-energy benefits. It is important to better understand the developmental stories and drivers behind the emerging technologies. With the support of PG&E Co.,1 NYSERDA, DOE, EPA, NEEA, and IEC, staff from LBNL and ACEEE produced the current report. The sponsors are not responsible for the reports content, or any errors or omissions. This report focuses on key emerging energy-efficient technologies in the industrial sector. Our goal is to identify and assess these technologies from the viewpoint of both energy and non-energy benefits. While we focus on technologies that show a strong potential for energy savings, we also account for the nonenergy benefits associated with such technologies, since often these non-energy benefits can be the key driver in overall technology adoption. We hope that this assessment further identifies the significant potential available in the United States and other countries for further advancement toward greener production. This work complements the 1998 study, Emerging Energy-Saving Technologies and Practices for the Buildings Sector (Nadel et al. 1998), which provided data on technologies with the largest potential savings, including likely costs, savings, and date of commercialization. Similar to the 1998 report, the goal of this current effort has been to collect information on a broad array of potentially significant emerging energy-efficient industrial technologies and carefully characterize a sub-group of 54 emerging technologies. The characterization of an emerging, energy-efficient technology is somewhat difficult. What was emerging a decade ago may now be standard practice. In this report our use of the term emerging denotes technologies that are both pre-commercial but near commercialization and technologies that have already entered the market but have less than 5 percent of current market share. We also have chosen technologies that are energy-efficient (i.e., use less energy than existing technologies and practices to produce the same product) as well as technologies that often have other non-energy benefits associated with their use.
The PG&E Co. program is funded by California utility customers and is administered by PG&E Co. under the auspices of the California Public Utilities Commission.
Energy is necessary to help our industries create useful products; however, we are increasingly confronted with the challenge of moving our economy and society toward a cleaner, more sustainable path of production and consumption. The development and use of cleaner, more energy-efficient technologies can play a significant role in limiting the environmental impacts associated with many industries while enhancing productivity and reducing manufacturing costs.
Industry in Context
Economic Output Industrial activities are still a key component of U.S. economic output. In 1997, industrial activities accounted for 24 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), which that year was $8,300 billion in 1997 dollars, and employed 27 million full and part-time employees (BEA 2000). Within the industrial sector, manufacturing activity (consisting of all industrial activity outside of agriculture, mining, and construction) accounts for 70 percent of industrial value added (BEA 2000). Table 2 identifies the distribution of value added by various manufacturing activities throughout the United States. The table also provides aggregated totals for the four U.S. regions that correspond to the regions that are used in the reporting of manufacturing energy statistics.
In this report we present energy consumption and energy intensity information in both english units (Btus) and standard international units (joules), as the latter is the unit of international communication on energy issues. When appropriate we do note conversion factors. One quadrillion Btu (10^15) equals 0.95 EJ and one metric tonne equals 0.907 short tons. 3 Primary energy reflects the losses associated with the conversion, transmission and distribution of electricity. For the U.S. economy as a whole we use an electricity conversion efficiency of 33 percent. For calculation of primary energy savings in 2015 for the technology evaluation we assume a conversion efficiency of 40 percent accounting for the future efficiency improvement in power generation by 2015 (due to increased use of combined cycles and combined heat and power by 2015).
West Alaska Arizona California Colorado Hawaii Idaho Montana Nevada New Mexico Oregon Utah Washington Wyoming South Alabama Arkansas Delaware District of Col. Florida Georgia Kentucky Louisiana Maryland Mississippi North Carolina Oklahoma South Carolina Tennessee Texas Virginia West Virginia Midwest Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Michigan Minnesota Missouri Nebraska North Dakota Ohio South Dakota Wisconsin Northeast Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire New Jersey New York Pennsylvania Rhode Island Vermont U.S. Total U.S. Total ($billion current)
Note: Other manufacturing includes: tobacco products (SIC 21), furniture and fixtures (SIC 25), printing and publishing (SIC 27), rubber and plastics (SIC 30), leather products (SIC 31), instruments and related products (SIC 38), and miscellaneous manufacturing (SIC 39). Source: BEA 2000
10
Other
Total
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies As the table indicates, the South and Midwest accounted for nearly two-thirds of total manufacturing output in 1997. On a state level, the largest contributors to manufacturing GDP were California, Texas, Ohio, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Michigan, which together accounted for 40 percent of manufacturing output in 1997. Energy Consumption Energy expenditures between 1994 and 1996, the most recent years for available statistics, fluctuated between $60 and $70 million, which accounted for about 2 percent of total costs, although in some industries the share could have been as high as 6 percent (Census 1998). EIA produces periodic detailed statistics on energy consumption in the U.S. manufacturing sector.4 The most recent detailed data available are from 1994. Table 3 summarizes historical energy consumption by fuel between 1985 and 1994. Table 3. U.S. Manufacturing Energy Consumption and Fuel Share by Fuel Type, 1985, 1994 1985 Fuel Net electricity Residual fuel oil Distillate fuel oil Natural gas LPG Coal Coke and breeze Other Total final energy Total primary energy* Source: EIA 1988, 1997 TBtu (PJ) 2,173 (2,293) 505 (532) 185 (195) 4,647 (4,903) 96 (101) 1,304 (1,376) 590 (623) 4,102 (4,328) 13,615 (14,365) 18,027 (19,020) Fuel share 16% 4% 1% 34% 1% 10% 4% 30% 100% 1994 TBtu (PJ) 2,656 (2,802) 441 (465) 152 (160) 6,141 (6,479) 99 (104) 1,198 (1,264) 703 (742) 5,126 (5,408) 16,515 (17,424) 23,113 (24,386) Fuel share 16% 3% 1% 37% 1% 7% 4% 31% 100% % change 22% -13% -18% 32% 3% -8% 19% 25% 21% 21%
We used an electricity efficiency factor of 33 percent to convert from final to primary energy.
As the table indicates, energy use increased by 21 percent between 1985 and 1994, which translates into a growth of about 2 percent per year, slower than the rate of manufacturing economic growth over the same period. There has been a slow transition to more flexible fuels (natural gas, electricity), and the use of other fuels (primarily waste gas and biomass-derived fuels), which combined account for over 80 percent of the total fuel use in manufacturing. The use of oil and coal has declined even though overall energy consumption grew.
We discuss manufacturing energy use in detail in this section due to availability of data. Manufacturing accounts for roughly 70 percent of total industrial energy use.
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Boilers Total Process Use Process heating Process cooling Machine drive Electro-chemical Other process use Non Process Use HVAC Lighting Facility support On-site transport Conventional electricity generation Other Not allocated Total Source: EIA 1997
6 0 13 1,198
4 99
3,039 16,515
These fuels are used to operate a variety of manufacturing operations including process heating, cooling, motor drive, and providing general utilities (e.g., power or steam). Table 4 provides information on the breakdown of fuel use by process for manufacturing in 1994. Based on recent LBNL analysis (Einstein et al. 2000), we reallocated some of the coke/other fuels that were previously not allocated to boiler inputs and coke for process use in the metals industry. As the table indicates, the production of steam in boilers for electricity generation5 and process use accounts for the largest end-use within manufacturing, followed by process heating and machine drive. Process energy efficiency measures that reduce process steam consumption (e.g., drying measures in the pulp and paper industry) can also reduce boiler fuels use, as do direct boiler efficiency measures. The majority of natural gas is used in boilers and for process heating (e.g., furnaces), while half the electricity use is used for machine drive. When total motor systems are accounted for, a recent study found that process motor use accounted for 63 percent of all electricity use in industry in 1994 (Xenergy 1998). The consumption of energy for various processes is not equally divided among all industries. Rather, within manufacturing, there exist a set of activities in which the energy requirements to produce a unit of output are significantly higher than average energy requirements for manufacturing overall. These energyintensive sectors account for 80 percent of primary energy use in manufacturing but only a third of manufacturing value added. Energy-intensive sectors include paper; chemicals; petroleum and stone, clay, and glass products; primary metals; and food and kindred products.6 These industries are often a prime target for emerging energy-saving technologies since they tend to better leverage energy savings. At the same time, some of the energy intensive sectors are growing more slowly and are less likely to make new capital investments as compared to some of the faster growing industries such as electronics and metal fabrication. In both cases, non-energy benefits associated with the investment in energy-saving technologies can be a key factor in justifying the expenditures on new equipment. Table 5 identifies the regional distribution of manufacturing energy use in 1985 and 1994 with a breakdown of manufacturing sectors into energy-intensive and other manufacturing. Similar to the trends in manufacturing value-added, the South and Midwest accounted for the majority (three-fourths) of the
Cogeneration or CHP is an important aspect of industrial process use that is not fully captured in Table 4. In 1994, 128 TWh of electricity was produced by cogeneration in manufacturing, as compared to a net purchased amount of 778 TWh. Over a third of cogenerated electricity was produced by steam turbines connected to boilers or high-temperature processes. 6 Food and kindred products is normally included in energy-intensive since it too consumes a large amount of energy due to the high volume of product throughput even though the manufacturing processes themselves are less energyintensive than the other energy-intensive sectors.
5
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies countrys manufacturing energy use. The energy intensive sectors share of energy consumption was roughly three or more times greater than less-intensive sectors in all U.S. regions. Table 5. Manufacturing Primary Energy Consumption by Region: 1985, 1994
1985 NORTHEAST Energy-intensive Other MIDWEST Energy-intensive Other SOUTH Energy-intensive Other WEST Energy-intensive Other US TOTAL Energy-intensive Other Total TBtu (PJ) 1,664 (1,756) 657 (694) 3,793 (4,002) 1,122 (1,184) 6, 859 (7,236) 1,348 (1,423) 2,075 (2,189) 508 (536) 14,381 (15,172) 3,647 (3,848) 18,027 (19,020) Percent 9% 4% 21% 6% 38% 7% 12% 3% 80% 20% 100% 1994 TBtu (PJ) 1,662 (1,754) 740 (781) 4,732 (4,993) 1,545 (1,630) 9,294 (9,806) 1,954 (2,062) 2,536 (2,676) 650 (686) 18,224 (19,228) 4,888 (5,158) 23,113 (24,386) Percent 7% 3% 20% 7% 40% 8% 11% 3% 79% 21% 100%
Golove and Schipper (1996) performed a long-term analysis of the U.S. manufacturing sector from 1958 to 1991, which found that declines in energy intensity played the dominant role in limiting actual energy consumption. Belzer et al. (1995) also found that energy intensity declines accounted for over half of the energy savings in the industrial sector.
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LBNL and ACEEE the rate since they do incorporate cost information (i.e., an investment approach) but lack the representation of the influence of time and the impact of an increasingly critical mass of technology adopters (De Canio and Laitner 1997). Figure 1 shows a typical S curve of the adoption of continuous casting technology in the U.S. iron and steel industry. Although the technology eventually reached saturation during the 30-year period, it took much longer in the United States than in other steel producing countries.8 Many innovation and energy polices focus on accelerating the rate of adoption of specific technologies by reducing the costs or perceived risks of the technology. Figure 1. Continuous Casting Use in the United States (1970-1998)
100 % 80% 60% 40% 20% 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 0%
Source: IISI 2000a Various programs try to reduce several barriers to adoption. A wide array of policies to increase the implementation rate of new technologies has been used and tested in the industrial sector in industrialized countries with varying success rates. We do not discuss general programs and policies in this report but refer to the literature (see Alliance et al. 1997; Bernow et al. 1999; Martin et al. 1999; Interlaboratory Working Group 2000; and Worrell, Bode, and de Beer 1997). With respect to technology-diffusion policies, there is no single instrument to reduce barriers; instead, an integrated policy accounting for the characteristics of technologies, stakeholders, and countries addressed is needed. RD&D projects often reduce risk and lower initial investment costs. Technology procurement programs such as the golden carrot lower the initial risk to technology developers by subsidizing the research and product development for more efficient technologies. Demand-pull programs seek to organize buyer groups to create a more ready market for emerging technologies. Financial incentive programs such as tax credits or other financial instruments seek to underwrite the first cost of the investment by the purchaser. All of these policies aim to more rapidly increase the share of the technology than would have been the case in the absence of a policy instrument (Worrell, Bode, and de Beer 1997).
In Italy, South Korea, and Japan, for example, 96 percent or more of steel was continuously cast by 1993, whereas only 85 percent was continuously cast in the United States at that time (IISI 1996).
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Table 6. U.S. Industrial Energy Use Forecasting Studies
Study Annual Energy Outlook 2000 (AEO 1999) Scenarios for a Clean Energy Future (Interlaboratory Working Group 2000) Energy Innovations (Alliance to Save Energy, et al. 1999) Americas Global Warming Solutions (Bernow et al. 1999) Model NEMS NEMS (with modified baseline and policy inputs) NEMS (with the use of LIEF model to estimate policy impacts) LIEF (benchmarked in 1998 to NEMS) Key Policies Reference case incorporates existing policy trends. Includes sensitivity cases to low and high economic growth and low and high oil prices. Voluntary agreements, information programs, investment-enabling programs, regulations, R&D programs, cap and trade system (advanced scenario) Incentives, increased R&D, increased use of recycled feedstock, overcoming barriers to combined heat and power production Technical assistance, information programs, tax credits, R&D
In its Annual Energy Outlook, the EIA main reference case forecasts that primary industrial energy consumption will grow by 0.9 percent per year between 1998 and 2020 from 35.0 Quads (36.9 EJ) to 42.2 Quads (44.5 EJ) (EIA 1999). Similar conclusions are reached with the baseline or business-as-usual forecasts from the Scenarios for a Clean Energy Futures, Energy Innovations, and Americas Global Warming Solutions, which all forecast baseline growth rates from 0.7 to 0.9 percent per year, even though the initial consumption levels vary by study. Others argue that the rise of the Internet economy is more rapidly supplanting our demand for traditional manufactured goods than we currently acknowledge and we may begin to see much slower growth in the business-as-usual case.9 In the three policy change forecasts, there is a consensus that through various policy instruments and further reducing industrial energy consumption, various policies can make a difference in accelerating the rate of technology adoption. All three suggest that it is possible to achieve a future in which industry consumes the same energy as today but has managed to continue to grow economically. The models used to forecast industrial energy use do not include methodologies for technological choice; instead, they include estimated parameters that simulate technological improvements. Therefore, the approaches taken by these models have limited use in exploring how policies can accelerate technology adoption, but can provide useful information on the impacts of accelerated adoption. Enhancing the models to incorporate technology choice is a fertile area for future research. Not all efficiency technologies are potential future winners. Increasing the rate of adoption of efficient technologies often requires additional investment of time and resources to identify, assess, and integrate these new technologies into the marketplace. Our report contributes to this process by identifying what we believe to be some of the key emerging energy-efficient technologies that have the potential to help accelerate U.S. industry towards a more rapid improvement of energy efficiency than would be the case in business-as-usual circumstances. These technologies also can help transition our industrial base to the clean production approaches needed in the near future. The selected emerging energy-efficient industrial technologies would be in the start of the S-curve, as depicted in Figure 1.
Laitner (2000b) argues in particular argue that mainstream forecasts may be overestimating U.S. energy and carbon dioxide emissions in the year 2010 by up to 5 percentwhile significantly underestimating overall U.S. economic growth. In the industrial sector, the production of materials needed for construction (stone, clay, and glass materials) and paper production are particularly likely to face growing competition from the Internet.
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Rating Criteria
Potential for Energy Savings We sought to identify technologies that could have a large potential impact in terms of saving energy. These may be technologies that are specific to one process or one industry sector, or so-called crosscutting technologies that are applicable to a variety of sectors. High energy savings technologies were rated as those whose primary energy savings in 2010 could be 0.1 percent or greater of primary energy consumption in 1994. We chose 1994 as our energy base-year since that is the year in which the most recent detailed manufacturing energy consumption statistics were published (EIA 1997)10. Medium energy savings are those in which the industry-wide potential energy savings in 2010 could be between 0.01 percent and 0.009 percent of primary industrial energy consumption. Low energy savings are those in which potential savings could be below 0.009 percent. In estimating primary energy savings, we first identified the specific energy savings of each technology by comparing the energy used by the emerging technology to the energy required by current processes. Our second step was to scale up this savings estimate to see how much energy savingsfor industry overallthis technology would achieve by 2010. For the most part, we derived specific energy savings information from various technology assessment studies noted above. In scaling up the technology-specific energy savings to achieve a rough national estimate of energy savings, we relied on our general knowledge of the various industrial processes to which this technology could be applied. We also took into account structural limitations to the penetration of the technology. For
10
1998 energy data will not be available from EIA until after the conclusion of this project.
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies example, a mechanical pulping technology is limited by the total throughput of pulp to which the measure can be applied. Additionally, we recognized that market penetration, in the absence of significant policy support, can take time given the slowness of stock turnover in many industrial facilities. Our estimate of national energy savings is merely meant to be indicative of the relative impact of any particular technology on a national scale. Given time and resource constraints, our goal in calculating potential energy savings in the pre-screening stage was simply to estimate the relative impact (high, medium, low) of any particular technology, not specifically to provide a highly detailed calculation of energy savings. Investment Cost for New Technology/Replacement Cost for Existing Processes Because of the time-consuming nature of collecting detailed cost data, our goal for the preliminary screening was to develop a shorthand indicator of the relative expense of investing in the emerging technology. An emerging technology that's first cost was estimated to be 1 to 5 times or more expensive than replacement using existing practices was given a rating of "3," while a technology that's first cost was estimated as the same or cheaper was rated as "2" or "1," respectively. While such an approach can be useful as a pre-screening device, we realize that it has limitations, primarily that a more expensive technology may still be a good investment particularly if it can provide significant energy savings over a long period of timeThus we have further quantified the economic benefits of each technology, using metrics such as the cost of conserved energy and the internal rate of return. Other Benefits Usually, energy-efficient technologies are not purchased solely for their energy benefits but also because of other, non-energy benefits accrued from their use. We grouped these non-energy benefits into four categories: environmental, productivity, product quality, and safety (see below for details). These additional benefitsand not the energy savingscan often be the determining factor in deciding to purchase the technology. We judged how these other non-energy benefits would affect the technology choice decision. For technologies where these non-energy benefits were thought to be the dominant factor in selecting the technology, a rating of compelling was used. For a technology with non-energy and energy benefits that were judged of equal importance, a rating of significant was applied. For technologies with non-energy benefits, but energy savings drove the technology decision, a rating of somewhat was used. If the technology has no significant non-energy benefits that would influence the technology selection, a rating of none was applied. This terminology was also used in evaluating the non-energy benefits in the final profiles. Environmental benefits refer to reductions in air emissions (e.g., sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, particulate matter, dust) or reductions in waste streams that result from the use of the emerging technology. Productivity improvements can often result if the emerging technology reduces down-time required for operation and maintenance, reduces operation and maintenance costs, or increases yield. Product quality improvements and safety benefits often result from the fact that process energy requirements are more carefully controlled and monitored. In the preliminary screening we noted any other benefits that accompanied a particular technology or measure, but did not attempt to quantify them. We included the presence of other benefits in our rating system.
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As the rating system above indicates, a technology with high potential energy savings, low cost, and the presence of other high or compelling other benefits would be given a rating of 100. The lowest score a technology can receive is "20," where energy savings is low ("10"), cost is high ("10") and there are no other benefits ("0"). Table 8 below identifies all the technologies considered in our preliminary screening. In some cases we abbreviated the technology description for space considerations.
The write-up describes the measure, including the issues surrounding the analysis of energy savings and cost-effectiveness, key non-energy factors, and background on the evaluation of the technology, and recommends next steps advance the technology. Market information includes a description of the industries to which the technology/measure is applicable (e.g., cement, iron and steel, Crosscutting). We also provide information on the end-uses for the technology (i.e., process, process heating, process cooling, electrochemical processes, utilities, ventilation and space conditioning, lighting, motor and drives), the principal energy types used by the technology (i.e. electricity, gas, oil, coal, biomass, waste fuel, fuels [multiple fossil fuels], other), and the primary market segment (i.e., retrofit, new, replace on failure, original equipment manufacturers). There may be more than one market segment for which the technology is applicable; we used our judgement to identify the most predominant segment. Finally, we also included a key output driver or the energy consumption for our 2015 base-case related to that sector. For example, a steel furnace technology would have as a 2015 basecase reference value the expected steel output for that year. 2015 Base-case includes a description of the current technology or practice, the volume of production or annual operating hours associated used in the baseline and savings analysis, and baseline energy consumption for the existing process (i.e., fuels, electricity, primary). New measure information includes a description of the new technology, energy consumption information (i.e., fuel, electricity, primary energy), information on the current status of the technology (i.e., commercialized, field testing, prototype, research), the expected date of commercialization (if known), and the lifetime of the technology.
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Table 8. Technologies and Measures Considered in Preliminary Screening Analysis
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 Technology/Measure Ceramic Filters Ramex Tunneller Variable Wall Mining Machine Vibration Fluidized Bed Membrane Technology - Food Electron Beam Sterilization Heat Recovery - Low Temp. Cooling And Storage Heat Recovery Food High Temp. Freeze Concentration Supercritical Extraction Controlled Atmosphere Packaging 4 Or More Effect Evaporator Efficient Cooling Systems Condi-Cyclone Dryers Heat Pump Dryer Ultrasonic Dying Suction Slot Dewatering Direct Contact Water Heating Textile Heat Recovery Dyeing Vacuum System Automated Dyebath Reuse Membrane Technology Textiles Improved Drying Systems Direct Electrolytic Causticizing High Consistency Forming Black Liquor Gasification Impulse Drying Heat Recovery - Paper Dry Sheet Forming Condebelt Drying Flotation Deinking/Stickies Removal Bacterial Reduction Of Sulfur Press Drying Biopulping Fluidized Bed For Biomass Waste Air/Steam Impingement Drying Freeze Concentration Mill Effluent Fiber Loading Equipment/PCC Thermodyne Pulp Dryer Pressurized Groundwood-Super Direct Drying Cylinder Firing Molten Metal Paper Dryer Multi-Port Drying Cylinder Fluidized Bed Heat Exchanger New Refractory Materials Heat Recovery -Printing New Catalysts Clean Fractionation Levulinic Acid From Biomass Liquid Membranes Gas Membranes Heat Recovery Technologies Oxidation Of Benzene To Phenol Corn Fiber Fractionation Sector Mining Mining Mining Mining Food Processing Food Processing Food Processing Food Processing Food Processing Food Processing Food Processing Food Processing Food Processing Food Processing Food Processing Food Processing Textile Textile Textile Textile Textile Textile Textile Lumber And Wood Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Pulp And Paper Printing Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 Technology/Measure Oxy-Burners (Chemicals) Silicones From Sand Chlorate Cathodes for ClO2 Electrodeionization Advanced Chlorine Cells Advanced Cleanroom HVAC Selective Cracking-Ethylene Catalytic Autothermal Oxydehydrogenization Advanced Reactor Design-Methanol Advanced Recovery-Fractionation Melt Crystalization-Benzene Alkane Functionalization Catalysts Dividing Wall Column-Olefins Autothermal Reforming-Ammonia Membrane Reactor /Ammonia Adiabatic Pre-Reformer (Ammonia) Ammonia Process Control Membrane Reactor/Steam Reforming Ammonia Synthesis Using Sorbents Biodesulfurization Fouling Minimization Liquid Membranes In Refining Low Profile FCC Ammonia Absorption Refrigeration Hydrogen Purification Froth Flotation Plastics Recovery Heat Recovery In Plastics Water As Cooling Refrigerant Fluidized Bed/Plastics Recovery Tunnel Kiln Plastics Roller Kiln Innovative Tunnel Kiln Process Control-Glass Tanks Ion-Exchange System - Float Glass New Glass Melting Technologies Efficient Burners For Glass Furnaces Pre-Heat Technologies-Glass Electric Forehearth/Indirect Cooling 100 percent Recycled Glass Cullet Cogen--Exhaust Gas Drying Of Blast Furnace Slag For Blended Cements New Refractory Materials - Cement Fluidized Bed Kiln Mineral Polymers Heat Recovery For Cogeneration Advanced Communition High Efficiency Roller Mills Near Net Shape Casting/Strip Casting New EAF Furnace Processes Smelt Reduction Processes Oxy-Fuel/Reheat Furnace BOF Gas/Sensible Heat Recovery High Levels Of PCI Coke Oven Gas Cogeneration "Pickliq" HCL Regeneration Intelligent Inductive Processing Sector Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Cross-Cutting Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Refining Refining Refining Refining Refining Refining Plastics Plastics Plastics Plastics Plastics Ceramics Bricks/Tiles Glass Glass Glass Glass Glass Glass Glass Cement Cement Cement Cement Cement Cement Cement Iron and Steel Iron and Steel Iron and Steel Iron and Steel Iron and Steel Iron and Steel Iron and Steel Iron and Steel Iron and Steel
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Savings information identifies electricity, fuel, and primary energy savings for a typical application of the new technology relative to the reference technology. The analyst made an assessment of the rate at which the technology is expected to penetrate the market. We used a simplified, uniform penetration rate to represent a plausible estimate of the market penetration of each measure during the analysis period. We assigned measures to one of three standard penetrations rates (high, medium, and low). These rates are tied to assumptions how readily is the market likely to adopt the measures. In general, the penetration rates assume successful programs, and that the technologies compete against the reference technology but not against each other for the market share. While the market diffusion will be sigmoid as discussed in Section II: Overview of U.S. Industrial Energy Use, we assumed linear penetration. Thus, when the market requires a high level of intervention to successful adopt the measure, annual market-penetration rate was assumed to be 5 percent, with an ultimate penetration of 30 percent in 2015. For measures that require medium market intervention required, the annual market-penetration rate was assumed to be 7.5 percent, for an ultimate penetration of 45 percent in 2015. Where the intervention is low (i.e., the technology is likely to be adopted with little intervention), we assume that market penetration rates will be high: 10 percent per year to an ultimate penetration of 60 percent in 2015. These penetration rates begin in the first year after commercialization, or 2001 for those technologies that are already commercialized. For measures with retrofit as the predominate mode of market deployment, the portion of the market that can be impacted by a technology is assumed to be 100 percent. For replacement (i.e., replace on failure), the portion is assumed to be the period of the study (15 years) divided by the measure life. For new construction, it is the growth in capital investment for the target industry divided by the anticipated total installed capital value in 2015. Finally we estimated the share applications that the technology captures by 2015 (e.g., for which the measure is technically feasible and cost-effective to the end-user on a life-cycle cost basis). Feasible applications refers to the percentage of the total market that the technology is estimated to capture by 20
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies 2015. Any other key assumptions for savings potential are noted in the spreadsheet and profiles narrative, and the total 2015 fuels, electricity, and primary energy savings is calculated. Our 2015 energy savings estimate is relative to the 2015 base-case information identified in the market information section of the table. Cost information and analysis provides an estimate of the technology or measures investment cost ($/unit output), whether that investment is incremental or full cost, and any change in operations and maintenance cost ($/unit output) for adopting the technology. We include three measures of cost-effectiveness: cost of conserved energy11 for electricity, fuels, and primary energy, simple payback12 for the investment relative to the reference technology (years), and internal rate of return (IRR percent).13 Simple payback and internal rate of return are metrics that are often used by industries and financial analysts, while cost of conserved energy has been useful as a cost-effectiveness indicator for the policy community.14 Key non-energy factors are those factors that can significantly affect the decision to purchase a technology. These include the presence of other benefits (productivity, quality, environmental, other [i.e. safety]), and to what extent the technology is currently being promoted. In the evaluation section of this table, researchers identify the major market barriers that could impede the successful implementation of this technology. The technologys likelihood of success (high, medium, and low) is rated based on it its cost-effectiveness, key non-energy factors, and major market barriers. We suggest what next steps are appropriate to accelerate the deployment of the technology. Finally, the analyst provides an assessment of the overall quality of the data used in the analysis using a rating of excellent, good, fair or poor. Finally, we provide information on sources for the key data collected and principal contacts for those interested in follow up analysis. Treatment of Utility Technologies A slightly different approach was used to analyze the power generating technologies in this study. Each of the utility technologies has a unique capacity characteristic, ranging from microturbines with an electric generation capacity of below 300 kW to industrial CHP turbine systems with capacities approaching 50 MW. Therefore a methodology was developed using as a reference the primary energy required to generate 1kWh of grid-supplied electricity at an average delivered efficiency the projected 2015 grid efficiency of 33.4 percent (EIA 1999). This reference case was compared with the fuel and primary energy required to generate 1 kWh of electricity from utility technologies based on the efficiency of the technology. For each of the measures, the electricity savings is 1 kWh (the amount of electricity that would otherwise have been purchased from the grid). The fuel and primary energy savings are dependent on the respective efficiency of each measure. Using this approach, the relative energy savings of each technology was determined on a consistent basis. In determining the cost-effectiveness of the utility technologies, an average industrial electricity price of $0.039/kWh was used. This value is the projected 2015 industrial price for electricity in the AEO 2000 reference case (EIA 1999). Electricity prices vary wildly by region, service provider, and industrial segment. In reality, industrial facilities can pay a price of anywhere between $0.01 to $0.14 on average. This price is determined by any agreements that are established between a manufacturing facility and the local power supplier. The actual rate also depends on several other factors such as time of day (peak demand charges). The electricity price profoundly effects the economics of on-site electricity generation
11 The cost of saved energy is calculated by: (ACAP+ O&M)/E where: ACAP is the capital cost of technology annualized as a loan for the life of the measure, at the default discount rate (i.e., 15 percent), O&M is the change in annual operating cost, and E is the annual non-energy energy savings. 12 The simple payback is calculated by: CAP/(EC-O&M) where: CAP is the capital cost of the technology, EC is cost of the energy saved based on 2015 projected national energy price (EIA 1999), and O&M is the change in annual, nonenergy operating cost. 13 The IRR is calculated from a analysis based on the initial capital cost and the annual cash flow of energy cost savings and change in non-energy O&M for the life of the measure discounted at a rate of 15 percent. 14 While we calculate a general IRR and cost of conserved energy based on average energy savings, we realize that the attractiveness of the investment is very plant specific and that the attractiveness of an individual investment may look different from the technology viewed in national terms.
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LBNL and ACEEE technologies. For example, a 65 percent efficient 800 kW gas reciprocating engine has a simple payback period of 8 years when compared to purchased grid electricity at $0.039/kWh. At a purchased electricity price of $0.12/kWh, the simple payback drops to less than a year. Ancillary benefits can make electric generating technologies more economically attractive as well. Certain industrial sectors, such as the pharmaceutical, semiconductor and microelectronics sectors, demand highquality power, often with a reliability target of six-nines (i.e., 99.9999 percent). While the average reliability of the U.S. electric grid hovers near 99 percent, this is not reliable enough for many of these applications. Many of these industries must employ stand-by power systems to meet their requirements. No accepted methodology exists for determining this ancillary reliability benefit of an on-site power generating technology. In principle this can be determined by calculating the revenues that would be lost during a grid outage. This value however is highly site specific. In high-value applications, such as semiconductor or pharmaceutical manufacturing and data-centers where loss revenues can easily exceed $1 million/hour, this consideration can make generating technologies, even with high initial capital costs, economically attractive (Elliott and Spurr 1999). All the utilities, except for industrial CHP turbine systems, were evaluated in electricity generation only mode. It is also worth noting that all of the utility technologies in this study become more efficient when operated with heat recovery (cogeneration or CHP mode). The increased efficiency allows for a higher rate of return as well as lower combustion-related emissions per unit of generated energy. This option is particularly attractive in industries with high large process heat or space conditioning demands such as the food, chemicals, paper, and microelectronics industries. In conclusion, it should be noted at times the lack of reliable data (especially if the technologies are precommercial) can impede a thorough assessment. When this is the case, we note this and do not attempt to stretch the analysis beyond its ability to be supported by the underlying data. Our goal is to provide as thorough an assessment of the various emerging technologies as possible, given the available information.
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IV.
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
Introduction
The industrial sector is a significant energy user, consuming nearly 40 percent of U.S. primary energy resources and producing about a quarter of GDP. The development and use of cleaner, more energyefficient technologies can help limit the negative environmental impacts associated with many industries while enhancing productivity and reducing manufacturing costs. This study aims to identify and evaluate emerging energy-efficient technologies for use in the industrial sector. In this section we rank these technologies by overall energy savings, electricity savings, fuel savings, share of sector savings, and environmental benefits. We conclude with suggested actions to support the development of these technologies and evaluations of the likelihood of technologies to succeed in the marketplace.
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R&D Fair Dissem Fair Dissem, R&D Fair, Poor Dissem, demo Fair Demo Good Excellent Demo Demo Good R&D Good Good R&D, demo Demo Good Demo Fair Good Demo R&D, demo Excellent R&D Fair Good Dissem R&D Good Field test Fair Fair Field test
Significant P Demo Good Fair Compelling P, Q Demo None P,S Demo Fair None P Dissem. Fair None Q, P, O Dissem, demo Excellent None P, Q, O Dissem, demo Good None P, Q R&D Good Good None P, Q Dissem None P, Q Dissem Good None Somewhat None None Significant Significant Significant Somewhat Somewhat P, Q P, Q P, Q P, Q P, Q O P P P
Dissem, demo Good Dissem, train Good Dissem, train Good R&D Good Dissem. Good Dissem, demo Good+ Dissem, demo Poor Dissem, R&D Fair, Poor Fair Dissem. R&D, demo, Fair Sensors and controls Crosscutting High Medium 10 2.0 Somewhat P,Q dissem Advanced CHP turbine systems Crosscutting High High 10 6.9 Significant P, Q Policies Excellent Advanced reciprocating engines Crosscutting High High 7 8.3 Limited P, Q, O R&D, demo Excellent Fuel cells Crosscutting High High 7 58.6 Significant P, Q Demo Good Good Microturbines Crosscutting High Medium 7 Never Somewhat P, Q, O R&D, demo Notes: 1. "High" could save more than 0.1% of manufacturing energy use by 2015, medium is 0.01 to 0.1%, and low is less than 0.01%. 2. "High" could save more than 1% of sector energy use by 2015, medium is 0.1 to 1%, and low is less than 0.1%. 3. Immed is immediate. 4. P is productivity, Q is quality, S is safety, O is other.
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Energy Savings
Depending on the particular technology and application, the technologies will reduce electricity consumption, fuel consumption, or both. Table 10 presents the 28 technologies having high total energy savings, rated according to their primary energy savings (i.e. accounting for losses in the production and delivery of electricity). These savings represent the estimated 2015 implemented savings under a businessas-usual scenario (i.e. excluding policy efforts to stimulate adoption of a specific technology). As would be expected, the Crosscutting technologies (motor systems, lighting, utilities) save the largest amount of primary energy, followed by selected specific technologies in energy-intensive sectors (steel, petroleum, paper, aluminum, and chemicals). However, this does not mean that sector-specific technologies should be overlooked, as many of these may save substantial amounts of energy in a particular sector, or may have important additional benefits (see below). Table 10. Projected 2015 Implemented Primary Energy Savings Potential
Technology Motor system optimization Advanced reciprocating engines Compressed air system management Pump efficiency improvement Advanced CHP turbine systems Advanced lighting design Advanced lighting technologies Fuel cells Near net shape casting/strip casting Sensors and controls Fouling minimization Membrane technologywastewater Microturbines Black liquor gasification Efficient cell retrofit designs Process Integration (pinch analysis) Autothermal reformingAmmonia Condebelt drying Electron beam sterilization Inert anodes/wetted cathodes Smelting reduction processes Impulse drying Membrane technologyfood Advance ASD designs New EAF furnace processes Heat recoverypaper High efficiency/low NOx burners Oxy-fuel combustion in reheat furnace Code Motorsys-5 Utilities-2 Motorsys-3 Motorsys-6 Utilities-1 Lighting-2 Lighting-1 Utilities-3 Steel-2 Other-5 Refin-2 Other-3 Utilities-4 Paper-1 Alum-2 Other-4 Chem-7 Paper-2 Food-1 Alum-4 Steel-5 Paper-7 Food-3 Motorsys-1 Steel-3 Paper-5 Other-2 Steel-4 Sector Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Iron and steel Crosscutting Petroleum refining Crosscutting Crosscutting Pulp and paper Aluminum Crosscutting Chemicals Pulp and paper Food processing Aluminum Iron and steel Pulp and paper Food processing Crosscutting Iron and steel Pulp and paper Crosscutting Iron and steel Primary Energy TBtu (EJ) 1502 (1585) 777 (820) 563 (594) 502 (530) 484 (510) 408 (430) 231 (244) 185 (195) 138 (146) 136 (143) 123 (130) 118 (125) 67 (71) 64 (68) 46 (49) 38 (40) 38 (40) 34 (36) 34 (36) 34 (36) 32 (34) 30 (32) 27 (28) 25 (26) 24 (25) 22 (23) 21 (22) 21 (22)
Electricity is a unique energy source, with significant emissions and a large infrastructure supporting its generation and delivery. Many industries, including electric utilities, will find it important to focus on technologies that save electricity. Table 11 identifies the top 20 technologies in terms of electricity savings. Our estimate of savings is based on an economically feasible market penetration in 2015 under business-asusual conditions. As Table 11 indicates, the Crosscutting technologies concerning motor systems, lighting, and utilities are expected to have the most significant impact in terms of savings along with selected sectorspecific technologies. The most important sector-specific technologies are black liquor gasification (a potentially large self-generation technology in the pulp and paper sector) and technologies that reduce electricity use in the aluminum and electric arc furnace/secondary steel sectors. According to EIA, the total forecast of electricity use for the U.S. industrial sector in 2015 is 13,000 TWh (EIA 1997). While the top technology only represents 1 percent of total forecast electricity use, this is still a significant amount, representing $7 billion in electricity expenditures alone. Since electricity is one of the most high-quality and expensive energy inputs, small reductions in electricity expenditures can have a large impact on reductions in operating costs for various manufacturing establishments.
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Table 12 identifies the top 14 technologies in terms of fuel savings. Unlike the electricity savings, the technologies highlighted in this table are primarily sector-specific; although Crosscutting technologies (membranes, sensors, process integration) show strong potential for fuel savings. The fuel savings below tend to reflect better utilization of low-quality or by-product fuels, improved heat recovery, or better direct application of process heating. Similar to electricity savings, no one technology represents an overwhelming proportion of industrial fuel consumption in 2015 (estimated at 31,960 TBtu), but each of the technologies in Table 12 represent a savings in energy expenditures between $30 and $900 million per year. Table 12. Projected 2015 Implemented Fuel Savings Potential
Technology Membrane technology wastewater Fouling minimization Sensors and controls Near net shape casting/strip casting Impulse drying Autothermal reforming-Ammonia Process Integration (pinch analysis) Membrane technologyfood Condebelt drying Smelting reduction processes Dry sheet forming Oxy-fuel combustion in reheat furnace High efficiency/low NOx burners Heat recoverypaper Code Other-3 Refin-2 Other-5 Steel-2 Paper-7 Chem-7 Other-4 Food-3 Paper-2 Steel-5 Paper-4 Steel-4 Other-2 Paper-5 Sector Crosscutting Pet. Refining Crosscutting Iron and steel Pulp and paper Chemicals Crosscutting Food processing Pulp and paper Iron and steel Pulp and paper Iron and steel Crosscutting Pulp and paper Fuel Savings TBtu (PJ) 276 (292) 123 (130) 111 (117) 86 (91) 64 (67) 38 (40) 37 (39) 36 (37) 34 (36) 32 (34) 28 (30) 23 (24) 21 (23) 20 (21)
The presentation in the last three tables focuses on aggregate energy savings. These technologies are dominated by measures that are applicable in a broad range of industries (e.g., Crosscutting) or in the dominant energy-intensive industries. In Table 13 we identify those technologies that offer important energy savings to their industry sector. These technologies have a high share of energy savings relative to energy use within the specific sector, where we define high as having a greater than 1 percent share of sectoral primary energy use. While the savings for a given technology may be modest in absolute terms, it may be important to the limited sector in which it is applicable. As noted in Section 2: Overview, there is significant regional variation in the distribution of industry. Many of the energy-intensive industries are concentrated in a few states. The industrial sector in some other states may be dominated by less energy26
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies intensive industries. Thus, states with concentrations of these industries may find these technologies of significant interest. Table 13. Implemented Savings Share of Sector Projected 2015 Energy
Technology Continuous melt silicon crystal growth Motor system optimization Roller kiln Hi-tech facilities HVAC Efficient cell retrofit designs Near net shape casting/strip casting Advanced reciprocating engines Inert anodes/wetted cathodes Compressed air system management Pump efficiency improvement Advanced CHP turbine systems Fouling minimization Advanced lighting design Electron beam sterilization Black liquor gasification Advanced lighting technologies Membrane technologyfood 100% recycled glass cullet for container glass Smelting reduction processes Fuel cells New EAF furnace processes Autothermal reformingAmmonia Code Electron-1 Motorsys-5 Ceramics-1 HVAC-1 Alum-2 Steel-2 Utilities-2 Alum-4 Motorsys-3 Motorsys-6 Utilities-1 Refin-2 Lighting-2 Food-1 Paper-1 Lighting-1 Food-3 Glass-1 Steel-5 Utilities-3 Steel-3 Chem-7 Sector Electronics Crosscutting Ceramics Crosscutting Aluminum Iron and steel Crosscutting Aluminum Crosscutting Crosscutting Crosscutting Pet. Refining Crosscutting Food processing Pulp and paper Crosscutting Food processing Glass Iron and steel Crosscutting Iron and steel Chemicals Share of sectoral savings 20.0% 11.5% 8.2% 7.4% 6.6% 6.4% 5.9% 4.9% 4.3% 3.8% 3.7% 3.4% 3.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0%
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Environmental Benefits
For some industries, the cost of complying with environmental regulation can be an important driver in the decision to invest in particular energy-efficient technologies, especially in the non-attainment areas. Of the 54 technologies profiled, 20 had environmental benefits that were either compelling or significant. These technologies are presented in Table 16. The benefits mainly fall in the areas of reduction of wastes and emissions of criteria air pollutants. The use of environmentally friendly emerging technologies is often most compelling when it enables the expansion of incremental production capacity without requiring additional environmental permitting. In selected cases, the decision to invest in these technologies based on tgeir environmental criteria is part of a larger, long-term business strategy towards sustainable development and staying ahead of the regulatory curve.
100% recycled glass cullet for container Glass-1 glass Advanced lubricants Motorsys-8 Anaerobic waste water treatment High efficiency/low Nox burners BOF gas and sensible heat recovery Oxy-fuel combustion in reheat furnace Smelting reduction processes Ultrasonic dying Advanced CHP turbine systems Fuel cells Other-1 Other-2 Steel-1 Steel-4 Steel-5 Textile-1 Utilities-1 Utilities-3
Non-Energy Benefits
While energy and environmental concerns factor into technology investment decisions at many industrial facilities, it is frequently the productivity and product quality benefits that most frequently ensure the adoption of a technology. Improvements in productivity and quality contribute significantly to the economic attractiveness of a given technology and may indeed be the largest deciding factor in technology investments. Thirty-five technologies in this study had significant or compelling productivity, quality, or other non-energy benefits.
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Liquid membrane technologiesChem-5 chemicals Biodesulfurization Refin-1 Dry sheet forming Paper-4 Chem-2 Gas membrane technologies chemicals Oxy-fuel combustion in reheat Steel-4 furnace New EAF furnace processes Steel-3 Efficient cell retrofit designs Alum-2 Fouling minimization Refin-2 Levulinic acid from biomass Chem-4 (biofine) Advanced CHP turbine systems Utilities-1 High Consistency forming Paper-6 Sensors and controls Other-5 Electron beam sterilization Food-1 Motor system optimization Motorsys-5 Advanced reciprocating engines Microturbines Pump efficiency improvement Utilities-2 Utilities-4 Motorsys-6
Near net shape casting/strip Steel-2 casting Continuous melt silicon crystal Electron-1 growth Impulse drying Paper-7 Condebelt drying Paper-2 Advance ASD designs Motorsys-1 Advanced lubricants Motorsys-8 Advanced compressor controls Motorsys-2
Compressed management
air
system Motorsys-3
Significant
Somewhat
Inert anodes/wetted cathodes Alum-4 Clean fractionationcellulose Chem-1 pulp Variable wall mining machine Mining-1 Switched reluctance motor Motorsys-7 Advanced lighting technologies Lighting-1 Advanced lighting design Lighting-2
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Likelihood of Success
It is difficult to predict how likely a technology is to be successful in the marketplace. Many factors will contribute to the outcome, including: changes in market conditions; the value of the energy and non-energy benefits; strategic considerations; and competition from other technologies. Based on all these factors, we made a qualitative assessment of the likelihood that a technology would succeed in the marketplace. Table 18 presents the twenty-one technologies rated with a high likelihood of success. They span the range of industrial sectors, but in general tend to have among the shortest paybacks. In addition, all have energy and/or non-energy benefits, which help account for the high likelihood of success.
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Table 19. Technologies with High Energy Savings and a High Likelihood of Success
Technology Efficient cell retrofit designs Advanced lighting technologies Advance ASD designs Membrane technology wastewater Sensors and controls Black liquor gasification Near net shape casting/strip casting New EAF furnace processes Oxy-fuel combustion in reheat furnace Advanced CHP turbine systems Code Alum-2 Lighting-1 Motorsys-1 Other-3 Other-5 Paper-1 Steel-2 Steel-3 Steel-4 Utilities-1 Total Energy Savings High High High High High High High High High High Likelihood of Success High High High High High High High High High High Recommended Next Steps Demo Dissem., demo R&D Dissem., R&D R&D, demo, dissem. Demo R&D Field test Field test Policies Dissemination Dissem., R&D Dissem., demo Dissem. Dissem., training Dissem., training Dissem., demo Dissemination Demo Demo Demo R&D, demo Demo R&D, demo R&D R&D Demo R&D Demo Dissem., demo R&D, demo R&D, demo
Autothermal reforming-ammonia Chem-7 High Medium Membrane technology - food Food-3 High Medium Advanced lighting design Lighting-2 High Medium Compressed air system management Motorsys-3 High Medium Motor system optimization Motorsys-5 High Medium Pump efficiency improvement Motorsys-6 High Medium High efficiency/low NOX burners Other-2 High Medium Process integration (pinch analysis) Other-4 High Medium Heat recovery - paper Paper-5 High Medium Impulse drying Paper-7 High Medium Smelting reduction processes Steel-5 High Medium Advanced reciprocating engines Utilities-2 High Medium Fuel cells Utilities-3 High Medium Microturbines Utilities-4 High Medium Inert anodes/wetted cathodes Alum-4 High Medium Advanced forming Alum-1 Medium High Plastics recovery Chem-8 Medium High Continuous melt silicon crystal growth Electron-1 Medium High 100% recycled glass cullet Glass-1 Medium High Anaerobic waste water treatment Other-1 Medium High Dry sheet forming Paper-4 Medium High Biodesulfurization Refin-1 Medium High *note technologies in this table are listed in alphabetical order based on industry sector
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Table 20. Technologies Requiring Additional R&D
Technology Advanced forming Inert anodes/wetted cathodes Continuous melt silicon crystal growth Electron beam sterilization Membrane technologyfood Advance ASD designs Switched reluctance motor Direct electrolytic causticizing Dry sheet forming Fouling minimization Near net shape casting/strip casting New catalysts Biodesulfurization Advanced reciprocating engines Microturbines Membrane technology wastewater Sensors and controls Code Alum-1 Alum-4 Electron-1 Food-1 Food-3 Motorsys-1 Motorsys-7 Paper-3 Paper-4 Refin-2 Steel-2 Chem-6 Refin-1 Utilities-2 Utilities-4 Other-3 Other-5
There are, however, a large number of technologies that already have made some headway into the marketplace or are at the prototype testing stage. The technologies presented in Table 21 represent excellent candidates for demonstrations. For some, field trials are needed to gain operating experience, but with others, demonstration is required for potential customers to gain comfort with the technology.
While we recommend further demonstration and dissemination of a given technology, it is often difficult to understand what is limiting a technologys uptake without a more comprehensive investigation of market issues. Some of the technologies in this category are common in European countries or Japan but have not yet penetrated the U.S. market. Others are being newly developed in the U.S. and face challenges in reducing the perceived risks by investors. Two technologies, motor system optimization (motorsys-5) and pump efficiency improvement (motorsys-6), are opportunities for training programs similar to those developed by the DOE for the compressed air system management (motorsys-3). For advanced industrial CHP turbine systems (utilities-1), the major recommended activity is removal of policy barriers. For others, their unique markets will dictate the form of the educational and promotional activities. We urge the reader to follow up on details in the specific technology profiles.
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34
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies While our study evaluates each technology in relation to a given reference technology, the reality of the market is that technologies compete for market share. Interactive effects and inter-technology competition (e.g., paper drying technologies) have not been accounted for, but ideally should be in any type of integrated technology scenario. We expect that the data collected in this study will prove valuable to modelers who evaluate technology choices in the market. The authors will explore this issue further in a forthcoming companion report. These observations lead us to suggest that an appropriate follow-on activity would be to establish an ongoing emerging industrial technology characterization effort. This effort would involve setting up a database to catalog emerging energy-efficient industrial technologies as they are identified. Our preliminary screening list of 174 technologies could form the initial basis for this database. Each year, a number of technologies would be selected for a more detailed assessment, as has been done for this study. In addition, every few years some of the detailed technology profiles would be revisited to update the information and track the technologies success in the marketplace. This database, along with the associated detailed technology assessments, would be a valuable resource to researchers, modelers, product developers, and policy-makers, all of whom need standardized information regarding these important emerging energy-efficient industrial technologies.
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36
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Electron beam technology has perhaps the greatest potential for the safe, effective, and cost-efficient radiation pasteurization of meat, dairy, and canned goods. In electron beam systems, a multi-stage electron accelerator generates a dense beam of high-energy electrons. This beam is magnetically focused and scanned across the target, providing saturation of the food product with electrons that deposit their energy and break the chemical bonds of its atoms. Electron beam sterilization has been used in medical devices for more than 40 years, but only in recent years have the problems of relatively low penetration ability and device complexity been solved. Electron beam pasteurization competes with the other radiation treatments as an alternative to thermal pasteurization. Thermal pasteurization is the primary technology employed in the dairy and canning industries. In the traditional pasteurization process for milk, the liquid is raised to a temperature of 162 degrees Fahrenheit (72 C) for 15 seconds followed by rapid cooling to 44 degrees (7 C). Liquid foods such as milk, fruit juices, beer, and wine are pasteurized using plate-type heat exchangers consisting of a large number of thin, vertical steel plates that are clamped together in a frame. The plates are separated by small gaskets that allow the liquid to flow between each successive plate. After the process is completed, the product is packaged under aseptic conditions to prevent recontamination of the product. The technology uses over 90 percent less energy than conventional pasteurization techniques. During the 1970s, several companies, including Varian Associates, Proctor and Gamble, and Siemens began renewed research in the application of x-ray technology for medical equipment and their involvement in the improvement of accelerated electron technology raised performance parameters to a new level. The major disadvantage of electron beams has been that the electrons dont penetrate more than an inch and a half into an organic object. Improvements in the equipment design have overcome this problem to a certain degree. The greatest advantage of electron beam pasteurization is that it is quite versatile. The technology can be utilized to treat products that would normally undergo thermal treatment as well as products that cannot withstand the high temperatures of traditional pasteurization. Meat products and fresh fruits and vegetables can be irradiated to kill bacteria and molds. One of the largest market barriers that face this technology is the stigma that is associated with irradiated foods. None of the countrys major food companies will publicly acknowledge interest in food irradiation (Skerret, 1997), but developments such as the Clinton Administrations food-safety initiative may renew interest in this area. Economics will play a large role in determining which of the alternative approaches to thermal pasteurization will ever become widely used in food processing. Food is a relatively inexpensive commodity, therefore even slight decreases in processing costs can have a big impact on consumer prices. Electron beam processing currently adds an additional ten cents or so per pound of product (www.techreview.com/articles/nd97/skerrett.html), but demonstration facilities such as SureBeam Corporations electronic pasteurization system in Sioux City, Iowa (www.surebeamcorp.com/food/systems.php), could soon bring about lower costs. Electron beam pasteurization techniques can be a viable option for foods that cannot withstand high temperatures, such as meats, cheeses, fruits, and vegetables. In order for this technology to truly enter the marketplace, the initial capital and installation costs will need to come down, in all but the more expensive specialty food markets.
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tons
Food Process heating, other Natural gas, electricity, coal New, replace on failure 93150000
heat pasteurization of milk (raise from ambient to 162 F for 15 sec, then cool to 44 F) 1.00 tons 4.40E+02 kWh Okos, et al. 1998 1.25 MBtu Okos, et al. 1998 4.99 MBtu Okos, et al. 1998, assume 42.5% heating efficiency, 19.5% cooling efficiency electron beam pasteurization of milk 50.00 kWh 0.00 MBtu 0.43 MBtu Commercialized 1995 10 Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 389.62 1.25 4.57 low 8% 2903.45 9.28 34.04 100 Incremental 10 0.08 24.04 6.55 19.2 0.37% Significant Significant None H,M,L Medium Public perception Low Testing on safety Fair Implementing electron beam is capital intensive 89% 100% 91% Industry must overcome negative stigma of irradiated foods
Electron beam pasteurizes in a few seconds and does not require heating Does not alter the taste or quality of the food
Several companies are involved in promoting the technology Negative publicity involving irradiated food. Banned in EU Testing for safety must be done to allay fears of public
H,M,L E,G,F,P
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Heat Recovery Applications in the Food Industry Data Table
Units
Heat Recovery Applications in the Food Industry food-2 Use of heat exchangers at various applications in the food industry.
Notes
Market Information: Industries End-use(s) Energy types Market segment 2015 basecase use Reference technology Description Throughput or annual op. hrs. Electricity use Fuel use Primary energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Est. avg. measure life Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions Elec svgs potential in 2015 Fuel svgs potential in 2015 Primary energy svgs potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in other costs Cost of saved energy (elec) Cost of saved energy (fuel) Cost of saved energy (primary) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources
TBtu
EIA99
Minimal use of heat recovery in drying systems and to preheat boiler feed water TWh TBtu TBtu 58 985 1478.3 EIA, 1997 EIA, 1997
Use of heat recovery technologies to lower energy consumption in drying and to reduce losses from boilers TWh 58 TBtu 958 1451 TBtu Commercialized, Research Depends on specific application 1995 Distributor claims heat exchanger in non-corrosive environment has indefinitely lifetime if properly maintained Years 25 TWh/% TBtu/% TBtu/% % TWh TBtu TBtu $/Mbtu-s $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 0 27.0 27.0 Low/Medium 30% 0 9.4 9.4 16 Full cost 0 2.48 2.48 2.48 4.8 20% Somewhat Somewhat None H,M,L Low Awareness Low Promote pinch analysis Fair Fears of fouling and corrosion Estimate of capital investment based on sample projects Rough estimate value of average productivity benefits 0% 3% 2%
Increased throughput, less heat and vapor discharged to facility and atmosphere
H,M,L E,G,F,P
Own estimates based on literature survey EIA, 1999 EIA, 1999 Numerous CADDET reports Conversation with distributor (West Chem Equipment), author judgement Author judgement Numerous CADDET reports George Fisher Co.(Sam Wharry), West Chem Equipment
percent will be fuels consumed to meet the food industrys electricity demand (AEO 1999). Of the total energy consumed for steam demand, 20 to 25 percent is lost due to boiler inefficiencies (AEO 1999, Drescher et al. 1997). The use of heat recovery systems can lower the boiler losses to 12 to 16 percent in industries where there are opportunities for heat recovery (Drescher et al. 1997). Assuming that 20 percent of energy use falls into this category and is retrofit for heat recovery by 2015, 14 TBtu (15 PJ) of energy savings can be attained. For drying systems, we assume that 16 percent of food industry energy use is used for drying (CADDET Newsletter 1997). Estimates of the potential savings from heat recovery systems for drying range from 10 to 50 percent for various projects (Drescher et al. 1997, Mercer 1994). We assume that 20 percent of the drying energy demand is appropriate for heat recovery and retrofit by 2015, and that these projects on average reduce dryer energy demand by 25 percent. Under these conditions, energy consumption is lowered by 9.5 TBtu (10 PJ).
41
Sugar
*Electrodialysis Source: Kseoglu et al. 1993, Maaskant et al. 1995, KMS 2000. We focus on the dairy, beverages, fruit and vegetables industry. Almost 40 percent of the total membrane market of over $1 Billion in the U.S. is found in the food industries (Wiesner and Chellam 1999). The dairy industry is the most important sector using membranes in the U.S. (Dziezak 1990). The fruit and vegetable industry has a large potential for improved energy efficiency using membranes. The beverage sector is also an important sector for applying membranes. For example, membranes can be used for the removal of alcohol from beer and the treatment of water, but this application may decrease rapidly because of the possibility of producing beer without alcohol. In the sugar sector, membranes are used in almost 20 percent of the potential applications in countries like The Netherlands. In the dairy and fruits and vegetable industries, membrane technology is considered proven in many applications. Barriers to implementation include the lack of information, as well as the need for specific membranes in specific applications. Major suppliers are APV (Denmark), Koch Membrane Systems (U.S.), Osmonics (U.S.), U.S. Filter (U.S.). Research is directed at new applications, more efficient and longer lasting
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Membrane Technology in the Food Industry Data Table
Units Membranes Food-3 Process Applications of Membranes in the Food Industry Market Information: Industries Food End-use(s) Separation Energy types Fuel Market segment New 2015 basecase use Tbtu 1712.0 Reference technology Description Evaporation, Clarification Throughput or annual op. hrs. N/A. Electricity use Fuel use Primary energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Est. avg. measure life Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions Elec svgs potential in 2015 Fuel svgs potential in 2015 Primary energy svgs potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in other costs Cost of saved energy (elec) Cost of saved energy (fuel) Cost of saved energy (primary) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources GWh TBtu TBtu 930 147.8 155.7 Notes
SIC 20
primary primary energy energy use use AEO, EIA 1999 2000 forecast forecast ofof Food Food
Estimated energy use in 'membrane-eligible' process uses, 15% of 1994 pump use Estimated energy use in 'membrane-eligible' process uses, 15% of 1994 fuel use
Membrane technology replaces existing separation processes GWh 2662 TBtu 88.7 TBtu 111.3 Commercial, Research 1990 10 -1732 59.1 44.4 Medium 60% -1039 35 26.6 450 Full cost -55 N/A 0.59 0.78 2.2 45% Somewhat Somewhat Somewhat H,M,L Medium Specificity, Unknown Medium Dissemination, R&D Fair, Poor AEO 2000 EIA, 1996 (MECS 1994) Estimate based on case-studies and Eichhammer, 1995 Wiesner and Chellam, 1999 Author estimate Estimate based on payback period of case-studies (Caddet) (CADDET) Case-studies (Caddet) (CADDET) Actual costs vary heavily depending on application Actual costs vary heavily depending on application -186% 40% 29% Many applications commercial; new membranes under development
Years GWh/% TBtu/% TBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $/Mbtu-s $/Mbtu-s $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years %
Actual savings depend on application Actual savings depend on application Actual savings depend on application Rough estimate, based on current uses
H,M,L E,G,F,P
membranes. Federal research programs (e.g. ATP) support development of membrane technology, as well as development of specific applications (e.g. DOE, EPA). Dairy industry. Worldwide, many thousands of m2 membranes have been installed in the dairy industry. It also is the sector with the longest history of the use of membranes, which are used for the desalting of whey
43
LBNL and ACEEE (NF)15, the concentration of whey (RO), the conversion of milk into cheese and soft cheese and the preparation of egg white and egg yolk. For example, a nano-filtration unit was installed in 1996 for whey concentration at a dairy plant in The Netherlands, replacing a two-stage evaporation process (CADDET 1998a). The system reduced steam use by almost 70 percent (from 13 MBtu/ton (15 GJ/t) dry solids to 3.6 MBtu/ton (4.2 GJ/t) dry solids), while power consumption increased from 89 kWh/ton (98 kWh/t) to 153 kWh/ton (168 kWh/t) dry solids. Net energy savings were 8.8 MBtu/ton (10.2 GJ/t) water removed. Additional savings were achieved in the use of sodium hydroxide and nitric acid, as well as reduced transport costs and emission charges, reducing the payback period to 1.3 years (CADDET 1998a). The investment costs were $9.3 ft2 ($100/m2) (CADDET 1998a). Current developments in dairy industry are the reduction of bacteria in milk and the clearing of dairy fluids. The application of membranes in the dairy industry is considered to be in an important phase for implementation on a large scale. Beverages. Water treatment is an important application of membranes in the beverages industry (Comb 1995). For example, membranes are used by Coca-Cola (in Salina, KS) and membranes are also used for juice concentration and for alcohol recovery in the production of non-alcoholic beers (Gach et al. 2000). A number of breweries (e.g. Miller Brewing Co.) already apply membranes for alcohol removal from beer. Nevertheless, potential exists for further application and development. Replacement of plate membranes by new spiral membranes at the Heineken brewery in Den Bosch, The Netherlands, reduced pumping energy and water demand, and resulted in savings of 0.17 kWh/gallon beer (4.6 kWh/100 liter beer). At investments of $0.06/gallon (1.7$/100 liter) production capacity, the simple payback period was just over 4 years (CADDET 2000a). Fruits and Vegetables. There have been several demonstration projects using membranes in the fruits and vegetables industry. At Golden Town Apple Products in Canada, a combination of ultra-filtration and reverse osmosis was used for apple juice concentration (CADDET 1996a). In this process, the juice is heated to about 140F (60C) and afterwards passed through the reverse osmosis membrane and the ultrafiltration membrane. The system has a maximum capacity of 3,000 l/hr for feedstock, 1,500 l/hr for final concentrate and 1,500 l/hr for water removed by reverse osmosis. It is most economical for small systems that need to remove no more than 4,500 to 9,000 pounds (2040 to 4080 kg) of water an hour. The energy savings are estimated to be 66 percent compared to an evaporation process, while the volume of the equipment is reduced by 50 percent as are the transportation costs. The payback period of the combined system is about 2.5 years (CADDET 1996a). It is extremely difficult to estimate the potential energy savings from implementation of membranes in the food industry without a detailed study. For specific applications, energy savings may be up to 40-55 percent of the energy needs for distillation and evaporation. Research is aimed at increasing the number of applications, increasing product quality, lifetime, and increasing energy savings. A European study estimated that membranes could be used to replace 15 percent of fuel using applications in the food industries (Eichhammer 1995). Based on this estimate, we assume that fuel savings are on average 40 percent, while electricity use increases by 10 percent of the fuel savings (expressed as final or site energy). Additional production savings are achieved through product quality, reduced water use, and lower operation costs. The investment and operating costs depend heavily on specific application, and may even be site-specific. However, for the purposes of this study we make a general estimate, noting that the costs may vary widely in practice. Generally, capital costs are expressed per unit of surface area, while about half of the capital costs are for the system components (e.g. pumps, piping) (Wiesner and Chellam 1999). System costs may vary between $6/ft2 and $37/ft2 (200$/m2 and 1300$/m2). Based on the different case studies we estimate an average payback period of 3 years, including non-energy benefits. Membrane life of a properly operated facility may easily exceed 10 years (Wiesner and Chellam 1999). We assume a lifetime of 10 years. The energy savings and cost estimates are rough. Given the large potential application area and potential energy savings, an in-depth study into membrane applications, energy savings, and capital and operational cost benefits is warranted.
15
By the mid-1990s more than 10,000 m2 for the desalting of whey had already been installed in the U.S. dairy industry (Maaskant et al. 1995).
44
45
Notes
Market Information: Industries End-use(s) Energy types Market segment 2015 basecase use Reference technology Description Throughput or annual op. hrs. Electricity use Fuel use Primary energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Est. avg. measure life Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions Elec svgs potential in 2015 Fuel svgs potential in 2015 Primary energy svgs potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in other costs Cost of saved energy (elec) Cost of saved energy (fuel) Cost of saved energy (primary) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources
Estimated energy consumption for cooling in the food industry TWh TBtu TBtu 11 0 94.4 Xenergy, 1998
Innovative designs of cooling/refrigeration equipment in food preservation TWh 9 TBtu 0 75 TBtu Thermal storage, other technologies being developed Commercial 1990 Years 15 TWh/% TBtu/% TBtu/% % TWh TBtu TBtu $/Mbtu-s $/Mbtu $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 2 0.0 18.9 Low 40% 1 0.0 7.5 32 Full cost -6 -0.53 -0.53 -0.53 2.6 38% None None Somewhat Somewhat Low Caddet, 1990 CADDET, 1990 (on (on primary primary energy energy basis) basis) Credit for shift of peak electricity use (on primary energy basis) 20% N/A. 20% Estimates based on case studies
H,M,L
H,M,L E,G,F,P
Xenergy, 1998 CADDET, Caddet, 1993; 1993a; Caddet, CADDET, 1997 1997j Author's estimate Author's estimate Caddet, 1990 CADDET, 1990 CADDET, Caddet, 1990 1990
46
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies For the technology characterization, we assume a potential for energy efficiency improvement of 20 percent on average, which can be achieved using different technologies, e.g. thermal storage, natural gas engine (not for non-attainment areas) and the use of new refrigerants in small-scale industrial applications. Higher energy savings are possible in specific cases, as outlined above. Given the incentives for reduction of peak power use and expected peaking-power shortages in important food producing regions, we assume that there is a substantial interest in implementing new refrigeration equipment in the food industry. Hence, we estimate that between 2000 and 2015 40 percent of the potential may be realized. Capital costs will depend heavily on the specific site and cooling conditions, as well as technology implemented. Hence, the costs and profitability of the investment will vary widely. We base the cost estimate on the thermal storage system installed at Kirk Produce, Placentia (CA) (CADDET 1990). The cost savings because of switching to off-peak hours electricity use have been accounted as a productivity benefit. Other benefits may occur, such as increased product quality (CADDET 1990), but have not been taken into account in the cost estimates. Most technologies, except for the use of selected new refrigerants, have been demonstrated commercially. Hence, dissemination of the results among other potential users is needed, as is demonstration of new concepts or innovative combinations of efficient cooling systems.
47
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies stepped into the breach. One of the principal researchers in the area indicates that the primary activity need to more the technology into market is funding to demonstrate a commercial prototype (Grady 2000). The United States-Asian Environmental Partnership has also identified this technology as one of six key emerging textile technologies (USAEP 1999). Ultrasound Enhanced Dying Data Table
Units Notes Ultrasonic Dying Textile-1 Replace existing continuous web drying with ultrasonic enhanced dying Market Information: Industries Textile SIC 226 End-use(s) Other Energy types Electricity, gas Market segment Both new dye ranges and as a retrofit to existing ranges New, retrofit 2015 basecase million 4291 Based on 1999 Cotton Broadwovens production (Census 2000) , sq.yds. scaled using EIA 2000 growth projection (Honeycutt 2000). Reference technology Description Web dying of cotton broadwovens using a continuous dye range 1,000,000 Throughput or annual operating hours sq.yds 92.2 Electricity use kWh 1992 energy intensity is based on prorating MECS Energy use for textiles to cotton broadwovens as reported in Current Industrial Reports (Census 1998). Fuel use MBtu 53.0 53.8 Primary Energy use MBtu New Measure Information: Description Apply ultrasound to web dying, reducing temperature, contact time, & eliminating salts & urea Electricity use kWh 92.2 Fuel use MBtu 10% by reduced contact time and increased dye transfer rate at lower 47.7 temperatures. 48.5 Primary Energy use MBtu Current status Bench-scale prototype Date of commercialization 2005 Estimated average measure lifetime Years 10 Savings Information: Electricity savings kWh/% 0 0% Fuel savings MBtu/% 5.3 10.0% Primary energy savings MBtu/% 5.3 9.9% Penetration rate 45% penetration in 2010 Medium Feasible applications % 23% Feasible 50% of cotton broadwovens Other key assumptions for savings Does not include savings in wash water treatment Electricity savings potential in 2015 GWh 0 5.1 Fuel savings potential in 2015 TBtu Primary energy savings potential in 2015 TBtu 5.1 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost $ 100,000 Cost to add ultrasound generators (McCall et al, 1992) Full cost Type of cost Cost of generators incremental to range cost -330,000 Change in annual costs (O&M/other benefits) $ Increases throughput by 50% for same O&M Cost of conserved energy (electricity) $/kWh NA Cost of conserved energy (fuel) $/MBtu -58,526 Cost of conserved energy (primary energy) $/MBtu -58,526 Discount rate for all CCE calculations is 15% Simple payback period Years 0.3 Internal rate of return % 330% Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Compelling Increases throughput, thus expanding capacity and reducing unit O&M cost for existing capacity Product quality benefits Compelling More first quality fabric due to Reduced improved control. Environmental benefits Reduces volume of waste water, while reducing salt and urea Compelling Other benefits None Current promotional activity H,M,L Low Commercialization suspended due to funding cuts. Evaluation Major market barriers Lack of domestic manufacturers, commercial equipment, and increased first cost Likelihood of success H,M,L Medium Recommended next steps Funding of production prototype demonstration Data quality assessment E,G,F,P Fair Sources: 2015 basecase Census 2000 and Honeycutt 2000 Basecase energy use Derived from EIA 1997 New Measure energy savings McCall et al 1992, Grady 2000 Lifetime Grady 2000, Mock 2000 Feasible applications Mock 2000 Costs McCall et al 1992, Grady 2000 and Mock 2000 Key non energy factors McCall et al 1992, Grady 2000 and Mock 2000 Principal contacts Perry Grady, NCSU 919/515-3255 Additional notes and sources
49
50
Mton
SIC 26
Per air dry ton pulp. Recovery boiler sizes range from XX - YY Power output of 800-850 kWh/ton pulp Range of 24-27. HP steam output of 11 to 14 Mbtu/ton pulp
Black liquor gasification with combined cycle gas turbine, BLGCC Power consumption ranges fm. 68-400 kWh/ton. Power production ranges fm. 1200-3000 kWh/ton pulp kWh 267 Fuel consumption ranges 22-38 Mbtu/ton. Steam output of ranges from 7-14 Mbtu/ton pulp MBtu 28.7 MBtu 31.0 Gasifier demo facilities operating, but not with CC turbines Research Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 30 961 -2.1 6.1 Medium 15% 10097 -22 63.7 20 Incremental 5 0.01 -3.82 1.33 1.5 69% Somewhat None Somewhat Somewhat Medium Technical, marketing H,M,L E,G,F,P High Demonstration Excellent 34% Assume a power production of 2000 kWh/ton. -8% Increased black liquor/biomass consumption 23% Assume feasible for 15% of 2015 chemical pulp production Savings applied to feasible applications for 2015 output Savings applied to feasible applications for 2015 output 2% savings. Primary energy consumption of 3549 Tbtu in 2015 Full investment cost range - $300/t pulp. replacing at end of life. Operation and maintenance. Range from $2-7 shown in literature.
Increased throughput, fuel flexibility, reduced capital costs Reduced emissions Reduced explosion risk comapred w/ conventional systems. Demonstration facilities already constructed Refractories, gas cleanup, chemical recovery systems. High cost of initial units Encourage demonstration project of combined cycle facility
H,M,L
EIA, 1999 Larson et al., 2000; Consoni et al.,1998 Larson et al., 2000; Consoni et al.,1998; Lorson et al., 1997 Worrell et al.,1997a Larson et al., 2000, Robinson, 2000. Larson et al., 2000 Lason et al. 2000; Sadowski et al.1999; OIT 1999a Eric Larson, http://www.princeton.edu/~cees
The U.S. Department of Energy is interested in promoting both black liquor and biomass gasification through its support of research and demonstration projects under the Office of Industrial Technology. The DOE recently issued two rounds of solicitations on biomass and black liquor gasification. Georgia Pacific will be demonstrating an MTCI low pressure atmospheric system in a soda chemical pulping mill, a process that produces a feed similar to black liquor (Robinson 2000). Plans to demonstrate a high-temperature
51
LBNL and ACEEE system, a joint Kvarener/Air systems project, were unsuccessful but other demonstration projects may emerge in the second round of DOE solicitations. Recent research on capital cost estimates for gasification systems by a research team that consisted of staff from Princeton University and Weyerhaueser found a range of costs for high-temperature and lowtemperature combined cycle facilities. These costs ranged $270-340 $/ton ($300-375/t) pulp for a commercially developed technology as a new installation (Larson et al. 2000), and depend in part on the additional complexity introduced into the mill related to gas cleanup and chemical recovery. In general, the gasification combined cycle system is expected to have equal or slightly higher costs when compared to conventional systems while at the same time allowing for increased throughput and most importantly, increased power generation (OIT 1999, Larson et al. 2000). Therefore, while annual operations costs were estimated to increase slightly to between $2-7/ton ($2-8/t) compared to existing systems, the credit a mill receives from reduced electricity purchases make the cost-effectiveness of such a system relatively attractive. The electricity buyback price therefore becomes an important driver in project economics (Larson et al. 1998, Sadowski, et al. 1999). The gasification systems also are expected to improve environmental performance, with fewer particulates and nitrogen oxides than in conventional systems (OIT 1999). Finally, gasifiers are less likely to explode; this provides additional safety benefits. The opportunities for this technology are large. A majority of the recovery furnaces and conventional power boilers in existing pulp and paper plants are 20 to 30 years old and more than half of them will need to be replaced or upgraded in the near future (OIT 1999, Larson and Raymond 1997). Analysis from the industry/DOE teams gives the technology a high rating (Erikson and Brown 1999). However, additional research and demonstration are needed before gaining market acceptance. Some key areas include: developing adequate clean up systems for the medium Btu gas, improving refractory reliability, demonstrating cost-effective chemical recovery (especially sulfur separation), and demonstrating overall system integration (Larson and Raymond 1997, Oscarsson 1999). It seems clear that a cost-shared, public-private partnership that involves several companies would be needed to help overcome the technological barriers and to reduce risks given the high capital cost of initial units. This is beginning, but more active involvement will be required. For this technology to be successful in the marketplace, further development, testing, and demonstration will be necessary in the U.S. For the near term, given additional developmental barriers, we believe that there is a medium likelihood of achieving significant market penetration in the near term (by 2015) with increasing successes likely in the slightly longer term.
52
53
Mton
Pulp and Paper Process heating Fuels, electricity New, retrofit 132.5
SIC 26
Drying section, paper production tons 1 kWh 19 MBtu 8.6 8.7 MBtu Condensing belt drying system kWh 19 MBtu 7.3 7.5 MBtu Commercial 1996 Years 20 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu 0 1.3 1.3 Medium 20% 0 34 34.1
Worrell et al., 1997a 0% De Beer, 1998b 15% De Beer, 1998b 15% Applicable to most paper grades. Demo currently w/ linerboard
Investment cost Type of cost Change in other costs Cost of saved energy (elec) Cost of saved energy (fuel) Cost of saved energy (primary) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources
260 Incremental 0 N/A 32.24 32.24 65.2 -9% Significant Somewhat None
Assume full paper machine costs of $1000/ton. Assume 50% drying end. $600/ton full investment cost. (De Beer, 1998; Worrell et al. 1997)
Reduced capital expenditure (small machines), higher production rate Improvement in strength properties
H,M,L
H,M,L E,G,F,P
US demonstration at commercial scale Good EIA, 1999 Elaahi & Lowitt, 1988; Nilsson et al, 1995; Giraldo & Hyman, 1994; Jaccard & Willis, 1996 De Beer, 1998b Worrell et al., 1997a Retulainen, E., Hmlinen, A. 1999 De Beer, 1998b Retulainen, E., Hmlinen, A. 1999 Timo Ojala (Timo.Ojala@valmet.com)
54
These costs are lower than the costs for rebuilding existing facilities. These are rough estimates based on similar costs to operate electrolytic reduction cells in aluminum facilities, and include costs for inert anode cells, cell controls, and the potline.
16
55
SIC 26
Existing recausticizing process (including lime kiln) ton Based on energy use per ton pulp 1 kWh Martin et al., 2000 14 MBtu Jaccard and Willis, 1996; Nillson et al., 1995 2.1 MBtu 2.3 Direct causticizing using electrolytic reduction kWh Pfromm, 2000 272 MBtu 0.0 MBtu 2.3 Pre-commercial 2005-2010 Years 10 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % -258 2.1 0.0 low 10% -1811 15 -0.3 -10 Incremental 0 0.01 -0.93 40.17 N/A N/A Compelling Somewhat Somewhat H,M,L Somewhat Technical Medium Good EIA, 2000 Martin et al. 2000 Pfromm, 2000 ASME, 1999 Author estimate Pfomm, 2000 Pfromm, 2000 Peter Pfromm, IPST (peter.pfromm@ipst.edu) Assume that cell costs will be lower than existing costs -1912% Pfromm, 2000 100% 0% Initially mills with capacity bottlenecks
Discount rate for all CCE calculations is 15% No payback: net energy savings too low
Reduction of capital investment requirements Better control of causticizing process may lead to better product quality Reduction of dust and other emissions from lime kilns on site Pre-commercial but technology has support Still need technology to be tested Continued R&D
H,M,L E,G,F,P
While the promise of this technology is strong, and there is industry support, it is still in its early stages of development. It is unlikely that a full-scale working cell will likely be deployed until 2005, but given success, we could expect to see the technology begin to make headway initially for cases of incremental capacity expansion at particular mills, and later with replacement of existing technology.
56
57
Pulp and Paper Process heating Fuels, electricity New, retrofit 132.5
SIC 26
Martin et al., 2000 Fuel use primarily in drying, not forming stage; Martin et al.,2000
Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years %
710 4.6 10.6 Commercial 1985 20 -230 4.3 2.3 Medium 5% -1521 28 15.5 350 Incremental 0 -0.24 13.02 23.87 48.3 N/A. None Significant Somewhat -48% 47% 18%
Improved product quality for personal hygiene products Reduction in water waste Technology already in the marketplace In niche market. Technology not likely applicable for broader application For the niche market Research/demonstration on applicability to other grades
H,M,L
H,M,L E,G,F,P
EIA, 1999 Elahi & Lowitt, 1998; Nillson et al., 1995; Jaccard & Willis, 1996 De Beer, 1998 Worrell et al., 1997a Pivko, 1999 Pivko, 1999 De Beer, 1998; Pivko, 1999 Ivan Pivko, Notabene Associates Inc. ibpivko@aol.com; 941-3838404
58
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies It appears that dry sheet forming technology will continue to be developed for specialty applications and in the near future will not be adapted for production of standard paper grades. Rather, the higher quality product has caused a restructuring of tissue production for personal hygiene products in standard paper mills to non-wovens dry forming technology.
59
60
Mton
Pulp and Paper Process heating Fuels, electricity New, retrofit 132.5
SIC 26
Drying section paper production tons 1 kWh 18 MBtu 1.8 MBtu 2.0
Martin et al., 2000 (electricity share for the whole drying section) 20% of Fuel use in drying is for air heating; de Beer, 1998
Enclosing hood in the drying section of papermaking allows to recover the heat necessary for air heating kWh CADDET, 1994f; Van Deventer, 1997 12 MBtu CADDET, 1994f; Van Deventer, 1998 1.1 MBtu 1.2 Commercial Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 20 6.30 0.76 0.81 Medium 20% 166.9 20.1 21.6 9.5 Full cost 0.07 0.25 2.09 1.95 3.9 25% Somewhat None Somewhat Somewhat Medium CADDET 1994f; Conchie, 1993 O&M costs CADDET (1994f) 35% 41% 41% Author estimate, based on stock turnover of larger machines Based on lifetime of other drying technologies
Increased throughput Reduced emissions Safety. The steam is not discharged indoor Installations do already exist in EU Information
H,M,L
H,M,L E,G,F,P
Medium Continued demonstration Good EIA, 1999 Martin et al. 2000 (CADDET 1994f) (Conchie 1993). De Beer 1998; Martin et al. 2000 Both paper mills and waste paper mills (CADDET 1994f) (Conchie 1993). (CADDET 1994f) (Conchie 1993). CADDET 1994f; Willem van Zanten (w.van.zanten@novem.nl)
$17.6/ton paper (de Beer et al. 1994). Because the heat exchangers require frequent cleaning, the additional O&M costs will amount to $1.6/ton paper. In addition to energy savings, enclosing hoods and optimizing ventilation can also increase productivity. In one installation, the payback from increased material throughput (an additional 5,500 tons) was less than 1.5 years (CADDET 1994d). Enclosing hoods and optimizing ventilation can be a successful technology in the marketplace for all paper grades, and there might be a likelihood of achieving significant market penetration for the future. It is most likely that this technology would be installed for larger newer machines, so rapid market penetration is limited.
61
62
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies particular boxboard applications (e.g. liquid packaging), this technology has a large potential to gain a broader acceptance into the U.S. market in the near term. High Consistency Forming Data Table
Units High Consistency forming paper-6 High Consistency forming Market Information: Industries End-use(s) Energy types Market segment 2015 basecase use Reference technology Description Throughput or annual op. hrs. Electricity use Fuel use Primary energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Est. avg. measure life Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions Elec svgs potential in 2015 Fuel svgs potential in 2015 Primary energy svgs potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in other costs Cost of saved energy (elec) Cost of saved energy (fuel) Cost of saved energy (primary) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources Notes
Mton
SIC 26
Martin et al., 2000 Fuel use primarily in drying, not forming stage; Martin et al.,2000
Install high consistency former kWh 430 MBtu 9.2 MBtu 12.8 Commercial 1985 Years 20 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ 50 0.0 0.4 Medium 9% 612 0 5.2 -10 Incremental 0.6 -0.02 -2.26 Immediate N/A Significant Significant Somewhat H,M,L Low Technical, marketing Medium
Demonstrated in Japan and Canada SymFlo HC model Worrell et al., 1997a 10% 0% Savings attributed to reduced energy use in drying stage 3% Exclude light grades of paper
$70/tonne for new installation Assume no additional cost for installation of high consistency former Operations and maintenance
H,M,L E,G,F,P
Demonstration Fair EIA, 1999 Jaccard and Willis, 1996, Giraldo & Hyman, 1994; Elaahi & Lowitt, 1988 Dudley 2000; de Beer 1998 Worrell et al., 1997a Dudley 2000; Eklund 2000 Dudley 2000; de Beer 1998 Eklund, 2000 Weyerhauser, Longview mill
63
64
Mt on
SI C 26
Dr yi ng sect i on,paperpr oduct i on t ons 1 kW h 19 M Bt u 8. 6 M Bt u 8.7 I m pul se dr yi ng syst em kW h 170 M Bt u 6. 2 M Bt u 7.6 C om m er ci al 1996 Year s 20 kW h/ % M Bt u/ % M Bt u/ % % GW h Tbt u Tbt u $ $ $/ kW h $/ M bt u $/ M bt u Year s % 151 2. 4 1. 1 M edi um 20% 4009 64 29.5 70 I ncr em ent al 0 0. 07 4. 66 10. 04 20. 3 0% 810% 28% 13%
R educed capi t alexpendi t ur e( sm al lm achi nes) ,hi gherpr oduct i on r at e I m pr ovem enti n st r engt h pr oper t i es
O ne m aj orsuppl i er ,nonUS
H, M, L E, G, F, P
U S dem onst r at i on atcom m er ci alscal e G ood EI A,1999 El aahi& Low i t t ,1988;N i l sson etal ,1995;G i r al do & H ym an, 1994;Jaccar d& W i l l i s,1996 D e Beer ,1998 W or r el letal . ,1997a M ar t i n etal . ,2000 D e Beer ,1998b;W or r el letal . ,1997a D e Beer ,1998b;O r l of fetal .1999 D .O r l of f ,I SPTG eor gi a( davi d. or l of f @ i pst . edu)
65
LBNL and ACEEE reduced basis weight (i.e. increased strength) by 2.5-5 percent, with an overall 20 percent improvement in productivity (Orloff et al. 2000). The drying section can also be reduced, resulting in lower capital costs. It allows an existing paper mill to operate at increased speeds (thus increasing production capacity), and allows for a new paper machine to significantly reduce the number of conventional drying rollers. While the technology is promising, there were problems initially with the paper delaminating or sticking to the roll (Boerner and Orloff 1994, Orloff and Crouse 1999). Recent research has focused on inhibiting sheet delamination through impulse drying at elevated ambient nip-opening pressures or through controlled depressurization (Orloff and Crouse 1999, Orloff et al. 2000). These new methods may actually improve the operational flexibility of the technology. Still, there is concern that technical obstacles for commercialization might be insurmountable (Ronkainen 2000). The creation of a commercial market for impulse drying has not yet become a reality and the development of full-scale commercial demonstration units will still be needed to help transition this technology to market. There does not yet appear to be significant backing for a large scale U.S. demonstration project and researchers at the Swedish pulp and paper research institute have recently stated that there is still a lot of work to be done before commercial application will be reality (Luiten 2000).
66
Ethylene glycol and propylene glycol are used to produce a variety of products such as antifreeze, and also as a major feedstock for the plastics industry. In this analysis, we have considered the plastics industry as the main market for these two chemicals for the sake of calculating their future demand. According to the Annual Energy Outlook 2000, the plastics industry is expected to grow by 2.9 percent annually until 2015. We have also assumed that 30 percent of all new capacity for producing ethylene and propylene glycol. The new facilities will be located at current wet-milling sites. This would allow the mills to sell a much more high-valued product, in addition to the feed that they already sell. Some of the barriers to the implementation of this technology include the variable price of corn and the relatively high initial capital equipment costs of equipping a corn mill with fractionation equipment. The success of this technology is perhaps most highly dependent on a low corn purchase price. The barrier of capital cost could perhaps be overcome by the attractive payback of this technology.
67
tons
Chemicals Process heating, other Electricity, gas, coal, other New 5600000
Scaled up production (1997) using EIA 1999 growth in plastics industry - this represents 0.01% of the energy use in the U.S. chemical industry and 0.5% of the energy use in industrial organic chemicals
Reference technology Description Throughput or annual operating hours Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Estimated average measure lifetime Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions for savings Electricity savings potential in 2015 Fuel savings potential in 2015 Primary energy savings potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in annual costs (O&M/other benefits) Cost of conserved energy (electricity) Cost of conserved energy (fuel) Cost of conserved energy (primary energy) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New Measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources
Petrochemically derived ethylene glycol and propylene glycol (by acid or thermally catalyzed hydration of ethylene or propylene 1.0 tons 4.67% electric - EIA 1997 0.000056 kWh 3.9 MBtu 61% natural gas, 26.9% other, 6.72% coal - EIA 1997 3.9 MBtu Ethylene glycol production uses 4.09 * 10^9 btu/ton - DOE 2000a Separation of corn fiber to produce ethylene glycol, propylene glycol, and xylitol 0.00012 kWh 10.98% electric - EIA 1997 3.4 MBtu 45% coal, 39.31% n.g., 2.89% other, 0.578% resid fuel oil - EIA 1996 3.4 MBtu OIT 1999 Pilot plant 2005 15 Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % -6.88E-05 0.464 0.464 Medium 13% -0.000050 0.338 0.338 130 Incremental -66.7 646484.40 -95.84 -95.84 1.9 52% Somewhat None Significant Significant Medium -123% 12% 12% New capacity additions Savings potential applied to 47,000 tons of fractionated product in 2015 Savings potential applied to 47,000 tons of fractionated product in 2016 Savings potential applied to 47,000 tons of fractionated product in 2017 OIT 1999 Assumed 30% of production savings based on OIT 1999
H,M,L
Uses a renewable feedstock, reduces 1.8 million tons of waste by 2010 Lower production costs Eastman Chemical has pilot plant and moving towards scale-up
H,M,L
Equipping corn mills with process and distribution equipment Infrastructure Medium Co-funding of production scale demonstration E,G,F,P Good EIA 1999 DOE-OIT 2000a OIT 1999 OIT 1999 Personal Communication with Joe Bozell, NREL (303) 384-6276 OIT 1999 OIT 1999
68
69
tons
Chemicals Process heating, other Electricity, gas, coal, other New, replace on failure 6915000.0
SIC 28
Projected production of methanol EIA 1999, DOE 2000a. As much as 50 percent (2135 trillion btu/year) of the energy use in the organic chemical industry is used for separations.
Reference technology Description Throughput or annual operating hours Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Estimated average measure lifetime Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions for savings Electricity savings potential in 2015 Fuel savings potential in 2015 Primary energy savings potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in annual costs (O&M/other benefits) Cost of conserved energy (electricity) Cost of conserved energy (fuel) Cost of conserved energy (primary energy) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New Measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources
Distill the mixture to its azeotropic point, then do a liquid/liquid extraction 1.0 tons 11.36 kWh CADDET 1999a 2.32 MBtu Assumed that the heat for distillation required 20% more energy than mem sep. 2.42 MBtu Distill the mixture to its azeotropic point, separate with gas membrane kWh 1.93 MBtu 1.93 MBtu CADDET 1999a Commercialized 1997 15 Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 11.36 0.386 0.483 Medium 3% 1.96 0.067 0.084 -1.0 Incremental 1.62 0.13 3.75 3.00 10.2 8% None Somewhat Significant Significant Medium Availability High Establish markets Good 100% 17% 20% Estimated market share of separated methanol Savings potential applied to 5% of the methanol market in 2015
1,100,000 for installation of new unit CADDET 1999c (for 20 ton/day facility) Operating costs are lower, but membrane must be replaced frequently ($11,823 annually for 20ton/day facility)
H,M,L
Decreases CO2 emissions by 0.1325 tons/ton product per year Investment 10% less below conventional installation Morton International BV has operating facility Limited production of specific membranes Membrane technology can be used in the food and petrochem industries
H,M,L E,G,F,P
CADDET 1999c, EIA 2000 CADDET 1999c CADDET 1999c CADDET 1999c Assumption of analyst CADDET 1999c CADDET 1999c
70
72
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies While these heat exchangers are also applicable to other harsh chemical environments, we focus in this assessment on nitric acid and sodium hydroxide production. We estimate that these heat exchanger technologies could be adopted in 30 percent of all nitric acid and sodium hydroxide production in the U.S. by 2015. This would lead to energy savings of 8.1 TBtu per year. Based on the reported projects, the cost for these installations would be roughly $8 per MMBtu saved annually, which, given an average fuel price to the chemical industry of $3.42 per MMBtu, indicates a payback period of 2.4 years. The payback could be considerably faster depending on the site-specific factors of the application. For example, if the introduction of the heat exchanger alleviates a bottleneck in production the increase in output provides a large productivity benefit (Reay 1999). In the sodium hydroxide project, the increased productivity lowered the payback period to five weeks (CADDET 1992). Other benefits that accompany compact heat exchangers in these applications are reduced maintenance and replacement costs, and lower installation costs due to the reduced size and weight of the equipment. This technology is likely to be successful. The entire class of compact heat exchangers accounts for only 510 percent of the sales at this time, but their sales are increasing much more rapidly than total heat exchanger sales (Reay 1999). The key to promoting these technologies is to disseminate information and establish demonstration projects in the U.S. that illustrate the use of compact heat exchangers in harsh environments.
73
74
tons
Chemicals Process heating, other Electricity, gas, coal, other New 150000
DOE 2000a, EIA 1999 - currently, levulinic acid is a niche chemical, but new product applications could increase the market.
Dehyrdrative treatment of biomass or carbohydrates with acid 1 tons www.epa.gov/greenchemistry/sba99.htm 85 kWh www.epa.gov/greenchemistry/sba99.htm 42 MBtu www.epa.gov/greenchemistry/sba99.htm 42.7 MBtu Acid hydrolysis of 6-carbon sugars 80 kWh 38.0 MBtu 38.7 MBtu Demonstration 2002 20 Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 5.00E+00 4.000 4.043 High 15% 0.113 0.090 0.091 1000 Incremental -640 -96.05 -120.06 -118.80 1.53 65% Significant None Significant Significant High $344,000 for installation of demonstration scale plant www.pnl.gov/news/1998/98mthf $0.32/lb www.epa.gov/greenchemistry/sba99.htm 6% 10% 9%
www.epa.gov/greenchemistry/sba99.htm www.epa.gov/greenchemistry/sba99.htm 4-6 ton per day plant in South Glens Falls, NY
Produces high yield capacity with less waste and fewer byproducts Reduces landfill waste Makes the production of levulinic acid economical Biometics, Honeywell, NYSERDA involved in development
H,M,L
H,M,L E,G,F,P
75
76
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Liquid Membrane Technologies - Chemicals Data Table
Units Liquid Membrane Technologies Chem-5 Replace liquid/liquid extraction Market Information: Industries End-use(s) Energy types Market segment 2015 basecase Notes
tons
Chemicals Process heating, other Electricity, gas, coal, other New, replace on failure 805680
SIC 28
2015 production of isopropyl alcohol AEO 2000,DOE 2000a (15% up from 1997). As much as 50 percent (2135 trillion btu/year) of the energy use in the organic chemical industry is used for separations.
Reference technology Description Throughput or annual operating hours Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Estimated average measure lifetime Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions for savings Electricity savings potential in 2015 Fuel savings potential in 2015 Primary energy savings potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in annual costs (O&M/other benefits) Cost of conserved energy (electricity) Cost of conserved energy (fuel) Cost of conserved energy (primary energy) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New Measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources
Distill the isopropyl/water mixture to its azeotropic point, then do a liquid/liquid extraction 1.0 tons 120.90 kWh 11% electricity EIA 1997 8.36 MBtu 89% fuel EIA 1997 9.39 MBtu 25% of energy (4693 btu/lb) is for separation. DeBeer 1994 Distill the mixture to its azeotropic point, separate with liquid membrane 120.90 kWh 3.34 MBtu Technology saves 60% of separation fuel input MBtu 4.38 Commercialized 2000 10 Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 0.00 5.016 5.016 Medium 20% 0.0 0.81 0.81 -7 Incremental 17 3.11 3.11 11.2 6% None None Significant Significant High Availability Medium Establish markets Good $62.6/ton for full installation of membrane separator DeBeer 1994 Operating costs are lower, but membrane must be replaced frequently 0% 60% 53%
H,M,L
Decreases CO2 emissions Investment 10% less than conventional installation Dow Chemical promoting Limited production of specific membranes Membrane technology can be used in the food and petrochem industries
H,M,L E,G,F,P
DOE 2000a, EIA 2000 DeBeer 1994 DeBeer 1994 DeBeer 1994 DeBeer 1994 DeBeer 1994
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78
SIC 28
2015 production of ethylene EIA 1999, DOE 2000a (15% up from 1997). This is an example - virtually all chemical processes use catalysts, therefore improvements would greatly lower energy use in the industry.
Reference technology Description Throughput or annual operating hours Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Estimated average measure lifetime Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions for savings Electricity savings potential in 2015 Fuel savings potential in 2015 Primary energy savings potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in annual costs (O&M/other benefits) Cost of conserved energy (electricity) Cost of conserved energy (fuel) Cost of conserved energy (primary energy) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New Measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources
Distill the isopropyl/water mixture to its azeotropic point, then do a liquid/liquid extraction tons 1.0 kWh 11% electricity EIA 1997 528.40 14.59 MBtu 89% fuel EIA 1997 16.39 MBtu Process energy of 8197 Btu/lb, DOE 2000a Pyrolysis of hydrocarbons kWh 423 11.67 MBtu 13.11 MBtu R&D 2005 20 Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 105.68 2.917 3.278 Low 15% 439.8 12.14 13.64 50 Incremental 4 0.11 4.11 3.66 7.9 11% None None Somewhat H,M,L Medium Catalyst ligands costs $30k-$50k per pound Operating costs are lower, but catalyst must be replaced frequently 20% 20% 20%
DOE 2000a DOE 2000a Catalysts could save 20% of primary energy use (average)
Decreases need for process heat and pressurization All major chemical companies are involved in catalyst research
H,M,L E,G,F,P
Medium R&D Fair DOE 2000a, EIA 2000 DOE 2000a, EIA 2000 DOE 2000a, and judgement of analyst Judgement of analyst Judgement of analyst DOE 2000a, EIA 2000
79
Reforming processes that combine steam reforming and partial oxidation are the most efficient. These processes are called advanced processes. In one of these advanced processes, autothermal reforming (ATR) process, both reaction (1) and (3) play an important role. The processes of partial oxidation and steam reforming are highly integrated, i.e. both reactions take place in one reactor. This reactor has similarities to the secondary reformer of the steam reforming process. The reactions that take place are combinations of combustion and steam reforming (Christensen and Primdahl 1994). In the combustion zone, the reaction is: combustion zone: CH4 + 3/2 O2 CO + 2 H2O (2)
This reaction is without CO2 production because CO is the primary combustion product, which is converted to CO2 by a slow secondary reaction. In the thermal and catalytic zones, the reactions (1) and (2) occur to form H2. The oxygen content of the oxidant in the reforming process depends on the application of the syngas. For the production of NH3, air is needed because this contains the N2 necessary for the synthesis of ammonia. Autothermal reforming has been used since the 1960s on a small scale. Research has been done to upgrade the process and make it suitable for large scale production. Haldor Topse has used autothermal reforming in small scale designs since the 1960s, and has adapted its design for CO-rich synthesis gas, especially for methanol production (Rostrup-Nielsen 1993). Statoil, the Norwegian oil company, is building a new methanol factory on the north-west coast of Norway. The plant will use an ATR designed by Haldor Topsoe with a capacity of 2,400 tpd. Other producers (e.g. Lurgi) also market ATR methanol plants. Uhde in Germany developed the Combined Autothermal Reformer (CAR) process and has built a demonstration plant. According to Uhde the energy requirement would be around 24.5 MBtu/ton NH3 (LHV) at plant scales larger than 500 tpd (Christensen and Primdahl 1994, Marsch and Thiagarajan 1993). 80
N ot es
Market Information: Industries End-use(s) Energy types Market segment 2015 basecase use Reference technology Description Throughput or annual op. hrs. Electricity use Fuel use Primary energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Est. avg. measure life Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions Elec svgs potential in 2015 Fuel svgs potential in 2015 Primary energy svgs potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in other costs Cost of saved energy (elec) Cost of saved energy (fuel) Cost of saved energy (primary) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality beneifts Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources
Mtons
SIC 2873
Average steam reforming ammonia plant tpy Plants size varies between 33,000 and 1,800,000 tons/year 1 kWh 127 MBtu 33.8 34.9 MBtu Autothermal reformer kWh 127 MBtu 26.8 27. 9 MBtu Commercial 1996 Years 30 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 0 7.0 7.0 Low 30% 0 38 37.8 55 Retrofit -0.5 N/A 1.13 1.13 3.7 26% Somewhat Significant H,M,L Low Slow market development for ammonia limits uptake technology Commercial Medium Marketing, Retrofit assistance Fair Worrell et al., 2000 Worrell et al., 2000 Czuppon et al., 1996 Author's estimate Author's estimate Christensen and Primdahl, 1994; Smit et al., 1994 EFMA, 1995 Mike Grant, Haldor Topsoe, Houston, TX (281) 228 5095 0% 44% 20% Slow market development for ammonia limits uptake technology
H,M,L E,G,F,P
81
LBNL and ACEEE The advanced KRES (Kellogg Reforming Exchanger System) process (Czupon 1994) is also based on autothermal reforming. The KRES system has first been installed in Canada (at Ocelot Ammonia, Co, Kitimat, BC) to provide syngas for an equivalent of 350 tpd ammonia. The KRES process has also been integrated in a new ammonia plant design: Kellogg Advanced Ammonia Process (KAAP), of which the first have been built in Trinidad and other countries. The specific energy consumption of the KRES-process is estimated at 25.9 MBtu/ton (HHV) (equivalent to 27.2 GJ/tonne (LHV), including feedstocks (Czuppon et al. 1996). For 2015 we assume that retrofit of an existing ammonia plant by replacing the reformer with an autothermal reformer and integrating into the plant may reduce natural gas use to 26.8 MBtu/ton ammonia (HHV) (Czuppon et al. 1996), or (28.1 GJ/tonne, LHV). We assume that power consumption does not increase (assuming the KRES-process without additional oxygen consumption). The capital costs for a new greenfield plant for a modern ammonia plant using autothermal reforming are smaller than current technology (Czuppon et al. 1996). Exact investments are not given by the developers of the processes, and will depend on the local situation and capacity. Christensen and Primdahl (1994) estimated the investment costs of an autothermal reformer to be lower than the investments in both the primary and the secondary reformer of the AMV-ICI process. The reformers in the AMV-process count for 21 percent of the total investment (300 US$/tonne). The investments for an ATR will probably be around than 55 US$/ton (Smit et al. 1994), assuming retrofit of an existing plant. O&M costs are lower compared to that of a conventional steam reformer. An autothermal reformer, reducing the fluegasses from a fired primary reformer, may reduce NOx emissions by 50 percent (EFMA 1995). Next steps include the commercial application of an integrated autothermal reformer.
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SIC 2821
Plastics manufacture for automobiles ton 1 kWh 887 MBtu 49.4 MBtu 57.0 Advanced recovery technologies kWh MBtu MBtu 1065 7.8 16.9 Near commercial 2002 20 -178 41.6 40.1 Medium 70% -40 9 9.0 225 Full 0 N/A 0.86 0.90 2.8 36% Somewhat None Compelling H,M,L Medium Technical H,M,L E,G,F,P High Fair -20% 84% 70%
Electricity for mechanical recycling and for ASR & other thermoplastics recovery
Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years %
Costs of $150-300/ton recovered material Assume that operations competitive in cost with virgin plastics (Kobler, 2000)
Need to further develop and demonstrate technology Still significant support for the technology. High activity in Europe as well. U.S. demonstration, regulatory changes
Salyp, 2000; DeGaspari, 1999 Worrell et al., 1994 Kobler, 2000 Author estimate Author estimate Daniels, 2000; Kobler, 2000 DeGaspari, 1999 Recovery Plastics Int'l (801-973-4774); Ed Daniels, ANL (630-2522000)
Aside from energy savings, the environmental implications of recycling technologies are significant. Roughly 25 percent of the weight of the vehicle is currently landfilled, which includes plastics, foam, 84
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies copper, trace metals, rubber, and fluff. ASR recycling is estimated to divert at least 40 percent of this currently landfilled materials (Kobler 2000). Installation cost estimates for plastics separations technologies vary in range from $100-350/ton ($110390/t) recovered material based on annual recovery capacity (Daniels 2000, Kobler 2000). Operations costs are claimed to be competitive or lower than existing virgin plastics and estimates have been given of 15-20 cents/pound for the RPI process and 50-75 cents/pound for the ANL process (Daniels 2000, Kobler 2000). The relative payback will also depend on the market price for the various recovered materials, assuming they meet market specifications. Ranges for the virgin prices for various polymers are shown in the table below (Kobler 2000). Material Polypropylene (PP) PP Filled ABS PUR foam PC Nylon Market price (/lb.) 32-40 40-50 55-70 30-35 60-85 80-98
These processes are both pre-commercial. Paybacks are estimated to be 2 years or less on new plant investment although the technology has not been fully deployed (Kober 2000, USCAR 2000, Daniels 2000) These recovery technologies are pre-commercial. MBA polymers began commercial operations 1999 and processes several million pounds of recovered plastics per month of computer housings (MBA Polymers 2000). The company claims to have an operational commercial separations process applicable for ASR at its Richmond (CA) facility (Biddle 2000). An ANL froth flotation system was demonstrated in the U.S. at the Appliance Recycling Centers of America in Minneapolis, Minnesota, but no permanent demonstration facility has been constructed (USCAR 2000). In 1999, Argonne signed a licensing agreement with N.V. Salyp, a recycler in Belgium, to incorporate the foam cleaning system into demonstration facilities, but it is not clear whether Salyp will also incorporate the plastics recycling component of the system into their manufacturing process (DeGaspar, 1999, Fisher 2000). Also, skepticism has been raised on the efficacy of the froth flotation technology as compared to other technologies in producing a high quality product (Schedler 2000). RPI may have the most market ready system as they have been operating a 1-ton/hour demonstration plant in Utah since 1998. RPI claims that it is within a year or two of commercialization (Kobler 2000, USCAR 1998). Aside from technical and economic feasibility, the full commercialization of this technology is dependent on changes in U.S. environmental regulations. Existing regulations promulgated in 1976 under the Toxic Substances Control Act are unclear but apparently do not allow the reintroduction of any product containing more than 2 parts per million of toxic polychlorinated Biphenlys (PCBs) (Kobler 2000, USCAR 2000, EPA 2000a)17. Shredder residue on average has concentrations of 10-30 ppm PCBs, however this residue is primarily on the surface of the plastics and generally not embedded in the plastic material itself (Kobler 2000). ASR technologies that wash the plastic surfaces are able to remove the PCBs and produce products below the 2 ppm PCBs level. Clarification in the regulations to account for this will help to stimulate the ASR plastics recovery market (Kobler 2000). R&D support by the VRP was curtailed because of this issue but there is optimism that this will be remedied soon and the EPA is looking into modification possibilities (Yester 2000, Fisher 2000). Other key issues in the development of large-scale recovery facilities include ensuring access to a consistent source and volume of ASR streams so that recovered plastics customers such as auto manufacturers can be ensured of continued uninterrupted supply. Were this technology successful, it could significantly affect the plastics supply market for automobiles and other applications requiring higher-end plastics. We believe that there is a high likelihood of the potential for a growing domestic market over the near term assuming the resolution of the regulatory issues.
The original legislation states that no person may manufacture, process, or distribute in commerce or use any polychlorinated biphenyl in any manner other than in a totally enclosed manner (i.e. any manner that would expose human beings to PCBs) (EPA 2000).
17
85
86
million barrels
SIC 2911 http://www.oit.doe.gov/factsheets/petroleum/pdf/gasbiopet.pdf DOE-OIT 1998a 2% annual growth -personal communication w/ J. Decicco 2000
Hydrodesulfurization of the feed to the fluid catalytic cracking unit (Merox Process) 1.0 barrels 11.14 kWh DOE-OIT 1998a 0 MBtu DOE-OIT 1998a 0.09 MBtu DOE-OIT 1998a Biocatalytic removal of sulfur from gasoline 9.99 kWh Assumed 10% savings over conventional technology http://www.oit.doe.gov/factsheets/petroleum/pdf/gasbiopet.pdf MBtu 0 MBtu 0.09 http://www.oit.doe.gov/factsheets/petroleum/pdf/gasbiopet.pdf Bench scale trials 2005 Years 15 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ 1.15 0 0.01 Medium 45% 2210 0 18.85 -131506 Incremental 72118 43268 5072392.48 1.823 55% ANL 1998 Based on 25,000 bbl/day facility 18M for biodesulf vs. 36M for hydro 10% 0% 10%
Significant None H,M,L Medium Capital and equipment intensive High Research, scale-up Excellent
H,M,L E,G,F,P
EIA 1999 Personal communication with John Decicco 2000 http://www.oit.doe.gov/factsheets/petroleum/pdf/gasbiopet.pdf Argonne National Laboratory 1998 EIA 1999 Argonne National Laboratory 1998
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Fouling minimization practices kWh 5.17 MBtu 0.40 0.4 MBtu Bench scale trials 2005 Years 15 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh TBtu TBtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 0.00 0.07 0.07 Low 20% 0 123 123 N/A N/A NA NA NA N/A N/A Significant None None H,M,L Low Technical Low Fair 0% 15% 14%
Reduce downtime
H,M,L E,G,F,P
89
90
Notes
Market Information: Industries End-use(s) Energy types Market segment 2015 basecase use Reference technology Description Throughput or annual op. hrs. Electricity use Fuel use Primary energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Est. avg. measure life Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions Elec svgs potential in 2015 Fuel svgs potential in 2015 Primary energy svgs potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in other costs Cost of saved energy (elec) Cost of saved energy (fuel) Cost of saved energy (primary) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources
Mt
Estimated 1994 energy use 71 Tbtu: 60 Tbtu fuel, 11 Tbtu electric, slow growth expected
Tunnel Kiln kWh MBtu MBtu Roller Kiln kWh MBtu MBtu 100,000 tpy 0 4.5 4.5
Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years %
0 1.9 1.9 Commercial 1993 30 0 2.7 2.7 Medium 15% 0 6 5.8 10 incremental 0 N/A 0.57 0.57 1.9 N/A None Somewhat Significant 0% 59% 59%
Competition of improved tunnel kilns Half of kiln turnover will use roller kiln technology
Estimated investment costs are 10$/ton annual capacity over a tunnel kiln Incremental costs over that of a tunnel kiln
H,M,L
Low Demonstration for bricks Medium Demonstration for bricks Fair Slow stock turnover of kilns
H,M,L E,G,F,P
Virta 1998: production equal to 1997 Author's estimate on basis of Whittemore (1999) Tomassetti 1995; CADDET 1993c Author's estimate Tomassetti 1995; Elmi 1993 Tomassetti 1995; CADDET 1993c Author's estimate
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LBNL and ACEEE layer of products, while new designs have a double layer. This is well suited for ceramic products. However, it less suited for the larger capacity brick kilns. Developers like the Italian firm Mori (the main developer of the rollerkiln for ceramics) are trying to develop multi-layer kilns. Other suppliers of roller kilns are SACMI (an Italian firm with an U.S. subsidiary), Lex Kiln (CA), and Keller (Germany). Investment costs for a tunnel kiln with a capacity of 110,000 tons/year (100,000 t/year) were estimated at $2.1 million (Tomasseti 1995), equivalent to approximately $19/ton-capacity ($21/t-capacity). Tomassetti (1995) expects roller kilns to be less expensive than a tunnel kiln. Kilns for sanitary ware have a lower capacity and higher typical investment costs. The roller kiln for ceramics as described in the demonstration project in The Netherlands had higher investment costs of $38/ton-capacity ($41/t), with a payback period of 2 to 2.5 years with Dutch gas prices of $3.00/MBtu ($2.80/GJ) (CADDET 1993c). The 1994 natural gas price for the stone, clay and glass industries in the U.S. was $2.83/Mbtu ($2.68/GJ), which would give an average U.S. payback period of 2.7 years. For this study we will assume that the investments of a roller kiln are equal to that of a tunnel kiln, both for bricks and other ceramic products. The maintenance costs are lower or equal compared to that of a conventional tunnel kiln. Roller kilns will likely be implemented when the conventional tunnel kilns need to be replaced, or when expanding capacity at an existing facility. Competing technologies will be more efficient tunnel kilns as developed in Europe and the U.S., or retrofitting existing facilities with improved insulation with low thermal mass materials (LTM), LTM-carts, and improved heat recovery. The DOE NICE3-program sponsors the demonstration of a new kiln with LTM-insulation in Southern California, reducing energy use by half and reducing NOx emissions by 40 percent. R&D is needed to develop materials that can hold the heavy weight of tiles and bricks while withstanding the stresses of rapid heating and cooling. R&D is also directed at the construction of a kiln with a good air circulation and at ensuring good brick quality. The applicability of the technology for different types of bricks should be demonstrated, before implementation is feasible (Elmi 1993).
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100 Percent Cullet Use & Cullet Preheating in Container Glass Manufacture (Glass-1)
The glass industry is a capital- and energy-intensive industry and serves four distinct markets: glass containers, fiberglass for insulation and structural applications, flat glass for windows, and specialty glass such as tableware, light bulbs, television tubes, and fiber optics. The industry had shipments of about $27 billion, and spent over $1.9 billion on new capital equipment in 1997. The industry spent about $1.4 billion on fuels and energy, representing over 5 percent of its value of shipments in 1997. The glass industry includes major corporations but also small businesses and is spread across the nation, concentrated in Ohio, Pennsylvania, California, North Carolina, Texas, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, and Wisconsin. In 1997, the glass industry produced approximately 21 million tons (19 Mt) of glass products and used 2.25 million tons (2.04 Mt) of recycled glass, which are know as cullets. The glass industry used in excess of 250 TBtu (260 PJ) annually (EIA 1996). Nearly 80 percent of this energy is supplied by natural gas for the glass melting, with electricity accounting for the majority of the remaining energy used (EIA 1996). We focus on the production of container glass. In the U.S., the glass industry produces approximately 10.3 million tons (9.4 Mt) of glass containers annually and more than 650,000 tons (590,000 t) are also imported (GPI, 2000). Approximately 35 percent (or 3.8 million tons (3.4 Mt)) of all glass containers available to consumers are recycled, of which 2.25 million tons (2.04 Mt) are recycled into glass containers. The other recovered glass containers may be used for secondary recycling, e.g. abrasives, asphalt. The production of container glass in the U.S. consumed 66 TBtu (70 PJ) natural gas, 2 TBtu (2 PJ) oil and 4.3 TWh in 1994 (EIA 1997). This is approximately 114 TBtu (120 PJ) on a primary energy basis. The average specific fuel consumption based on the MECS data is estimated to be 6.6 MBtu/ton (7.7 GJ/t), of which an estimated 5.8 MBtu/ton (6.7 GJ/t) is used in the smelting furnace. Energy use for container glass furnaces could be somewhat lower, although wide variations in energy intensity exist. Although glass containers already contain on average over 20 percent cullets in the U.S., higher use of cullets is possible. In Europe container glass manufacturers sometimes use 80 percent cullets, while the first furnaces using 100 percent cullets are now being introduced. Increasing cullet use by 10 percent will reduce fuel use by approximately 2.5 percent (Enneking 1994). Increasing cullet use to 100 percent will allow larger energy savings as the temperature can be lowered below the typical melt temperature of 1550oC, since the sand does not need to be melted. We assume energy savings of 19 percent on fuel for glass melting, or equivalent to 1.13 MBtu/ton (1.31 GJ/t) glass for furnaces switching to 100 percent cullet use. Energy is also saved in the production of soda ash, which constitutes approximately 20 percent of the raw material feed. We assume that 0.15 ton of soda ash is used per ton of container glass in the U.S. Increasing cullet use to 100 percent will save energy use for soda ash manufacture with 1.3 MBtu/ton glass (1.5 GJ/t) (assuming 8.8 Mbtu/ton soda ash (10.2 GJ/t)) (Enneking 1994). However, increased use of cullets will lead to increased processing of recovered glass, as the quality of the cullets becomes more important to maintain product quality. We assume 0.17 MBtu/ton (0.20 GJ/t) (Enneking 1994) for glass separation and cleaning, consuming approximately 0.13 MBtu/ton glass (0.15 GJ/t). Net energy savings at the glass plants are estimated at 1.0 MBtu/ton (1.2 GJ/t), and indirect energy savings at 1.3 MBtu/ton glass (1.5 GJ/t). Energy efficiency can be further improved by batch cullet preheating. Especially in oxy-fuel-fired furnaces preheating is an efficient way to recover the heat contained in the flue gases. Currently, the fluegasses can be used to generate steam. Cullet preheaters have been under development since the 1980s. Commercial applications can be found in a few kilns around the world (e.g. in Germany, The Netherlands). Cullet preheating development projects are ongoing in the United States (supported by DOE, NYSERDA) and Europe. In the cullet preheater the cullets are preheated to a temperature of 570 1000oF (300-540oC) in direct contact with the flue gases (OIT 1999, Lubitz 1999). Preheating reduces energy use in the furnace, reduces oxygen use, and improve productivity of the furnace by reducing melting time and increasing furnace longevity (OIT 1999). For a cullet load of 90 percent the fuel savings are estimated at 0.40 MBtu/ton, HHV (0.42 GJ/t, LHV) (Lubitz 1999). Higher preheating temperatures may lead to fuel savings of 0.5 MBtu/ton glass (0.6 GJ/t) (OIT 1999).
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Average Glass Melting Furnace ton/yr 95500 kWh 39 MBtu 5.8 MBtu 6.1
Use of 100% recycled cullet feed into glass melting furnace, combined with cullet preheating in an oxy-fuel furnace kWh 39 MBtu 4.4 MBtu 4.7 Demonstration 2000 Years 25 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu 0 1.4 1.4 Medium 25% 0 4 4.3 New furnace would have lower capital cost than conventional furnace Assuming retrofit 0% 24% 23%
Depends on cullet quality Significant H,M,L Medium Cullet quality, lifetime High Full scale demonstration Good
H,M,L E,G,F,P
Feasible applications: Fair EIA, 1999 EIA, 1997 Enneking, 1994; Pieper et al., 1995 Pieper et al., 1995 Pieper et al., 1995 Enneking, 1994; Lubitz, 1999; Portner, 1999
94
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Due to increased productivity, a furnace with cullet preheating can be smaller than a furnace without preheating. This leads to reduced capital costs. The typical investment costs for a furnace without preheating are estimated at $55 million and with cullet preheating at $51 million for a furnace capacity of 276 tons/day (250 tonnes/day) (Pieper et al. 1995). Hence, the replacement costs would be $40/annual ton ($44/annual tonne) lower than a conventional furnace. It is also possible to add a cullet preheater to an existing furnace, as was done at PLM Glasindustrie, Dongen, The Netherlands. The specific costs for this project were $9.9/ton ($10.9/t) (Dfl2.45 Million for a 320 tonnes/day furnace, 1996) (CADDET 1997d). The change in operating costs depends on the oxygen costs. At oxygen costs of 8.5cts/Nm3, the cullet preheater would reduce operating costs by approximately $4/ton (based on German conditions, 1995) (Pieper et al. 1995). We will assume production cost savings of $2/ton. Campaign life (i.e. the period that the furnace is used continuously, before being rebuilt) of a furnace is about 10-12 years, while the total operating lifetime is approximately 21-25 years (Pieper et al. 1995). The reduced fuel use and lower flame temperature will lead to reduced X emissions, while SOx emissions can be reduced if the sodium sulfate content of the raw material is reduced. In a German oxyfuel-furnace with cullet preheating the NOx emissions were reduced to 0.5 lb./ton glass (0.25 kg/tonne) (Lubitz 1999), or less than 500 mg/Nm3. Oxyfuel furnaces without preheating can achieve about 0.6-0.7 lb./ton glass (0.300.36 kg/tonne) (Portner 1999). Uncontrolled PM emissions may increase without sufficient emissions control equipment, as cullet preheating may increase the emissions (Enneking 1994). Hence, efficient gas cleanup is needed. Also, high preheating temperatures and long preheating times may lead to increased COemissions, due to combustion of organics in the cullet-mix (Enneking 1994), and dioxin emissions. At a furnace with preheating in Germany dioxin emissions of 0.04 ng/Nm3 were measured (ng = 10-9) (Lubitz 1999). The main barrier is quality control of the cullets, e.g. sorting and removal of inert contamination. To reduce CO emissions from the preheater, organic matter should be removed as much as possible from cullets. Based on glass collection schemes in Europe we estimate that approximately 60 percent of waste glass can be recovered, and that 60 percent of that can be used for glass manufacture, estimated at 4.8 Million tons by 2015. Hence, we estimate the maximum penetration of this technology at 25 percent of the 2015 container glass production. At an average lifetime of 25 years for a glass furnace 60 percent of the current furnace capacity will be replaced by 2015. If all retired furnaces would be replaced by new pre-heating, oxy-fuel furnaces the energy savings would be higher. We have not accounted for this in the estimated savings. Savings could be an additional 17 TBtu (18 PJ) due to installing pre-heating furnaces. Future needs consist of two parts. Firstly, demonstration of the technology at commercial scale at a US plant. Secondly, the collection of waste glass has to become more effective (i.e. larger volume of waste glass recovered) and efficient (i.e. increased separation on color, and at low cost), so that more waste glass can be used by the container industry.
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Gas and Heat Recovery at Basic Oxygen Furnace Data Table
Units BOF gas and sensible heat recovery steel-1 Recovery of BOF-Gas and Heat Market Information: Industries End-use(s) Energy types Market segment 2015 basecase use Reference technology Description Throughput or annual op. hrs. Electricity use Fuel use Primary energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Est. avg. measure life Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions Elec svgs potential in 2015 Fuel svgs potential in 2015 Primary energy svgs potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in other costs Cost of saved energy (elec) Cost of saved energy (fuel) Cost of saved energy (primary) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources Notes
Mtons
Basic Oxygen Furnace Plant with 2 or 3 converters ton steel Capacity may vary between 1 and 5 Million tons/year 1 kWh 27 MBtu 0.3 0.5 MBtu Repressed Combustion system with waste heat boiler and dry gas cleaning system kWh 29 MBtu -0.4 -0.2 MBtu Commercial Technology common in Europe and Japan and in all new BOF-steel plants 1980's Years 30 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % -2 0.7 0.7 Low 23% -30 11 10.8 20 Full cost 0.1 -1.57 4.27 4.37 14.7 3% Small None Significant H,M,L Low Capital Cost H,M,L E,G,F,P Low Good Strict environmental regulation for PM and CO may make technology attractive Cost data are assessed to be fair EIA, 1999 Worrell et al., 1999 IISI, 1998 Based on review steelmaking facilities Worrell et all, 1993; Inoue, 1995 IISI, 1998; VAI Voest Apline Industries, Pittsburgh, PA -7% 246% 136% No plants recover BOF-gas in the U.S. 50% of Large Scale BOF-plants by 2015
Recovery of iron-containing dust and recycling in steel plant Reduced CO and PM emissions
97
98
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Near Net Shape Casting Data Table
Units Near net shape casting/strip casting steel-2 Replace current continuous casting with direct near net shape casting Market Information: Industries Iron and Steel End-use(s) Process heating Energy types Gas, electricity Market segment 2015 basecase use Reference technology Description Throughput or annual op. hrs. Electricity use Fuel use Primary energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Est. avg. measure life Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions Elec svgs potential in 2015 Fuel svgs potential in 2015 Primary energy svgs potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in other costs Cost of saved energy (elec) Cost of saved energy (fuel) Cost of saved energy (primary) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources New 115.6 Notes
SIC 331
Mtons
Greenfields & refit of existing facilities. Some retrofit applications AEO 2000, continuous casting output
Continuous casting/hot rolling tons kWh MBtu MBtu 1 206 2.8 4.6 Unit consumption presented. Casters range from 150 kton/y to 3,000 kton/y Worrell et al., 1999 Worrell et al., 1999 Worrell et al., 1999
Near net shape casting/thin strip casting kWh 30 MBtu 0.3 MBtu 0.6 Commercialized 1995 Years 20 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu 176 2.5 4.0 High 30% 6093 86 138 90% 90% 90%
Worrell et al., 1997, DeBeer, 1998a Worrell et al., 1997. DeBeer, 1998a estimates 0.0 Near net beams but not yet flat rolled products No flat rolled caster yet commercial Worrell et al., 1999
Apply to non high end steel products, Worrell et al.,1999 Savings applied to feasible applications for 2015 output Savings applied to feasible applications for 2015 output 6% savings. Assume 15% less than conventional casting systems. Full retrofit cost $103 Worrell et al. 1997
-18 Incremental -40 -0.24 -17.35 -10.82 -0.4 #DIV/0! Significant Somewhat Somewhat
Discount rate for all CCE calculations is 15% Based on $2/Mbtu average 1994 primary energy for steel
Reduced production time, reduced capital costs Improved surface properties Reduced emissions Conferences, marketing by suppliers, research consortiums Also, CSP flat rolling plants limited
H,M,L
H,M,L E,G,F,P
Significant literature; limited field data EIA, 1999 Worrell et al. 1999 Worrell et al., 1997 Worrell et al. 1999 SMS, 1995; Tomasseti, 1995, Kuster, 1996 DeBeer, 1998a Flemming, 1995; Tomasseti, 1995, Kuster, 1996, Worrell et al. 1999
99
LBNL and ACEEE ongoing, with the cooperation of European and Japanese steel companies (Worrell 1995, Opalka 1999). The U.S. Department of Energy has identified near net casting as one of its focus technologies in the steel Industries of the Future and is currently devoting its effort to evaluating strip cast steel in conventional applications (DOE 1999) Capital costs for near net shape casting plants are expected to be lower than current practice due to the elimination of the reheating furnaces. Estimates on the reduction of capital costs have ranged from 30-60 percent below current practice (SMS 1995, Tomasseti 1995, Kuster 1996). Given that this technology is still new, we currently estimate a capital cost 15 percent below conventional continuous casting. Operations and maintenance costs are also expected to drop by 20-25 percent, although these reductions will depend on local circumstances (Worrell 1995, Tomasseti 1995). Tomasseti 1995 has also noted that integration of casting and rolling has also significantly reduced dust emissions resulting in a near dust-free environment. While this technology looks promising, there are also some important technical challenges that need to be addressed. The US steel industry noted in their technology roadmap the need to develop a better knowledge of the variations of heat transfer, develop new models, sensors, and control systems, develop new techniques of liquid flow control, and finally to develop post-processing steps to improve strip steels mechanical properties (AISI 1998). Maintaining a high level surface quality has been a big hurdle in many demonstration projects (Opalka 1999). Additional technical work is needed on mold level control, mold cooling, deformation, and wear, surface roughness of the roll, and resistance of components to liquid steel, and atmospheric and surface oxidation (Kuster 1996, de Beer 1999). A much tighter control on upstream operations and flows are needed so as to ensure that the caster does not bottleneck the process (Kuster 1996, Worker 1998). There is also the issue of many mills having invested considerable resources into existing more conventional casting technologies. Finally, as the DOE research shows, it is unclear as to whether thin strip cast steel can compete with cold rolled steel for high end markets such as automobiles and appliances (Kuster 1996). However, given the significant research efforts that are being undertaken on this technology by consortia in Europe, Japan, and Australia, to address technical concerns, we believe that the penetration rate for nonhigh end applications before 2015 is likely to be high, yielding potential savings of 9 percent of steel energy use. Our recommended next steps on this technology include further research and development to overcome remaining technical barriers and the use of small scale flat rolling demonstration projects.
100
101
Mtons
Iron and Steel Process Heating Electricity, fuel New, Replacement 58.0
331 Electric Arc Furnace to melt scrap into liquid steel Replacement at end of life existing furnaces
Electric arc furnace (average performance in 1994) ton/yr kWh MBtu MBtu 1 436 0.14 3.8 EAF annual capacities vary between 5,000 and 1.5 Million tons/year
Advanced Electric Arc Furnaces with Scrap Preheating and High Use of Oxygen kWh 240 MBtu 0.4 MBtu 2.5 Field Test 2000 Years 40 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% 436 -0.3 1.4 Low 12% 100% -193% 36% No advanced EAFs in use, although some are very efficient designs Half of potential market between 2000 and 2015 Between 2000 and 2015 potentially 14 Mtons EAF capacity will be build
3032 -2 23.9 4 Incremental -8 -0.02 27.40 -5.30 0.3 305% Additional costs over conventional AC-EAFs
Significant None Somewhat H,M,L Medium Technical, marketing High Field Test, Marketing Fair
Reduced tap-to-tap time, reduced electrode and refractory consumption Improved feedstock flexibility Reduced offgas volumes; easier to clean Promotional
H,M,L E,G,F,P
EIA, 1999 Worrell et al. 1999 Jones 1997; Worrell et all 1999; Mannesmann 1998 Worrell et al., 1999 Worrell et al., 1999 Jones, 1997; Mannesmann, 1998; Reichelt and Hofmann, 1996
102
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies only 3.6 lb./ton steel (1.8 kg/tonne) (Jones 1997). The capital costs of a large Comelt-unit are expected to be equal to that of a DC furnace (Jones 1997), and higher for small capacities. The production costs are estimated to be $8-10/ton lower than conventional DC or AC furnaces (Berger and Mittag 1995). Based on the projects discussed above, we assume for the year 2015 a new electric arc furnace to have an electricity consumption of 240 kWh/ton (265 kWh/metric tonne), fuel injection of 0.41 MBtu/ton (0.48 GJ/t) and oxygen injection of 1060 cubicfeet/ton (30 Nm3/metric ton). Energy consumption estimates are based on a 100 percent scrap charge. Increased use of DRI will increase power consumption, while hot metal charging will decrease power consumption. Oxygen production consumes approximately 0.68 kWh/Nm3 (IISI 1998). Total power consumption is estimated at 261 kWh/ton (287 kWh/t). The capital costs of a new concept electric arc furnace are lower than costs for a DC-furnace, but higher than capital costs of an AC furnace. The costs of an AC-furnace are approximately 10-15$/ton. We estimate the incremental capital costs at approximately $4/ton based on the additional capital costs of DC furnaces and scrap preheating systems as given in Worrell et al. (1999). The new furnace designs will result in lower operating costs due to reduced tap-to-tap time, lower electrode and refractory use, reduced air cleaning costs, as well as reduced energy costs. Based on the expectations of the various processes we estimate total production cost decreases at $8/ton. New furnace designs will be first applied in greenfield EAFs, followed by replacement of old EAFs in existing plants. Assuming an EAF-production of 58 Million tons in 2015 (EIA, 1999) we assume that an additional 8 million tons (7.3 Mt) of greenfield capacity will be constructed by the year 2015. Additionally 5.5 million tons (5.0 Mt) of existing capacity is likely to be replaced by 2015. We assume that half of this capacity will use the discussed EAF-concepts, or 7 million tons (6.4 Mt). Implementation barriers can be found in the perceived risks of the advanced technology, as well as higher capital costs. Although first orders are apparently placed for some of the processes, the technology needs fullscale commercial demonstration in the U.S. The suppliers of these technologies are well placed in the U.S. market with U.S. subsidiaries and manufacturing facilities.
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Low NOx Oxy-Fuel Burners in Steel Reheating Furnaces Data Table
Units Notes Oxy-Fuel Burners in Reheating Furnaces Steel-4 Advanced Oxy0Fuel Burners in Steel Reheating Furnaces Improve Efficiency and Reduce NOx-Emissions Market Information: I ndust r i es SI C 33 I r on & St eel Enduse( s) R eheat i ng f ur naces i n hotr ol l i ng m i l l Pr ocess H eat i ng Ener gy t ypes N at ur algas,coke oven gas Fuel M ar ketsegm ent R et r of i t ,N ew Est i m at ed t hr oughputi n 2015 ( EI A,1999) 2015 basecase use 116. 6 Reference technology D escr i pt i on Aver age r eheat i ng f ur nace ( cont i nuous and bat ch) Thr oughputor annualop.hr s. Ton,capaci t y m ay r ange f r om a f ew t / ht o over300 t / h 1 El ect r i ci t y use kW h El ect r i ci t y use f orf ans i s ver y sm al l 0 Fueluse M Bt u 2. 2 Pr i m ar y ener gy use M Bt u 2.2 New Measure Information: D escr i pt i on R api df i r i ng oxyf uelbur ner s wi t h Low N O x com bust i on char act er i st i cs El ect r i ci t y use kW h 6 Fueluse M Bt u 1. 5 Pr i m ar y Ener gy use M Bt u 1. 6 C ur r entst at us NI C E3 pr oj ectofone oft he pr oduct s Fi el d Test / C om m er ci al i zed D at e ofcom m er ci al i zat i on 1998 Est .avg.m easur el i f e Year s 10 Savings Information: El ect r i ci t y savi ngs kW h/ % 6 90% Fuelsavi ngs M Bt u/ % 0. 7 90% Pr i m ar y ener gy savi ngs M Bt u/ % 0. 6 90% Penet r at i on r at e Low Feasi bl e appl i cat i ons % 30% Ot herkey assum pt i ons El ec svgs pot ent i ali n 2015 GW h 213 Fuelsvgs pot ent i ali n 2015 Tbt u 23 Pr i m ar y ener gy svgs pot ent i ali n 2015 Tbt u 21.2 Cost Effectiveness I nvest m entcost $ 2 Type ofcost Ful lcost C hange i n ot hercost s $ 0. 67 C ostofsaved ener gy ( el ec) $/ kW h 0. 03 C ostofsaved ener gy ( f uel ) $/ M bt u 0. 32 C ostofsaved ener gy ( pr i m ar y) $/ M bt u 0. 35 Discount rate for all CCE calculations is 15% Si m pl e payback per i od Year s 1. 2 I nt er nalr at e ofr et ur n % 82% Key non energy factors Pr oduct i vi t y benef i t s Pr oduct i on capaci t yi ncr ease by up t o 25% Si gni f i cant Pr oductqual i t y benef i t s N one Envi r onm ent albenef i t s N O x em i ssi on r educt i on ofup t o 7090% Si gni f i cant Ot herbenef i t s C ur r entpr om ot i onalact i vi t y H, M, L M ar ket i ng by pr oducer s,D O EOI T M edi um Evaluation M aj orm ar ketbar r i er s Econom i c Li kel i hood ofsuccess H, M, L Hi gh R ecom m ended nextst eps Di ssem i nat i on D at a qual i t y assessm ent E, G, F, P Fai r Sources: 2015 basecase EI A 1999 Basecase ener gy use W or r el letal . ,1999 N ew m easur e ener gy savi ngs Far r el letal . ,1993;Am er i can C om bust i on,2000,Sel i nes,2000 Li f et i me Fl anagan,1993 Feasi bl e appl i cat i ons C ost s D er i ved f r om W or r el letal . ,1999 Key non ener gy f act or s Far r el letal . ,1993;Am er i can C om bust i on,2000,Sel i nes,2000 Pr i nci palcont act s R on Sel i nes,Pr axai r( 914)3456457 Tol y Par nas,Am er i can C om bust i on ( 770)5644180 ( ext .251)
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LBNL and ACEEE The oxy-fuel-burner can be installed in existing furnaces without rebuilding the furnace. Based on the costs of other burner systems we estimate the investment costs at $2.3/ton-capacity ($2.5/t-capacity) (Worrell et al. 1999). Assuming oxygen-supply is present, we only include the costs for oxygen delivery in the capital costs, and the production costs in the operation and maintenance costs. Oxygen costs are estimated at 0.04$/Nm3 (De Beer et al. 1998a). Application of oxy-fuel burners may result in productivity increases (up to 25 percent) and up to 70-90 percent reduction in NOx emissions. Although, oxy-fuel burners can lead to increased productivity, the value will depend on the utilization of the furnace. We assume that the productivity increase is on average valued at 1$/ton (derived from Worrell et al. 1999). The technology is likely to be successful. The applicability of the technology depends on the furnace design and the use of competing technologies. Competing technologies may be other low-NOx burner designs as well as recuperative burners. We assume that the technology could potentially be applied to 30 percent of the hot rolled steel production by 2015. Furhter dissemination of experiences with these burners to industry and air quality regulators is needed to increase the penetration of this technology in the market.
106
107
H,M,L E,G,F,P
EIA 1999;Margolis, 1996 Margolis, 1996; Worrell et al., 1999 De Beer et al. 1998a; IISI, 1998 Worrell et al., 1999 De Beer et al. 1998a De Beer et al. 1998a, IISI 1998; Meijer et al., 1994
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies extensive gas clean-up at the coke plant necessary. Coke making and ore preparation release large amounts of particulate matter. Inherent to the smelting reduction processing route is the absence of the formation of most of the problematic compounds in coke making, while the fuel gas produced has much lower sulfur content than coke gas. In smelting reduction, hydrocarbons are not condensed, but combusted at the high reactor temperatures. Integration, abandoning coke quenching, and reduced ore handling will reduce PM emissions. We base the description of the energy characteristics on the analysis on De Beer et al. (1998a) and IISI (1998). Smelting reduction plants generally have a higher coal input per ton product than current blast furnaces, but export larger quantities of fuel gas. The exported offgas of the COREX-process has a heating value of approximately 7 MJ/Nm3 (LHV) and is relatively clean (sulphur content of 10-70 ppm) (Phringer et al.1991). Net energy consumption of smelt reduction is therefore lower than that of the blast furnace route. U.S. integrated steel plants use on average 16.0 MBtu/ton pig iron (18.6 GJ/t hot metal (thm), including energy use for pellet making) (Worrell et al. 1999). Net primary energy consumption of smelt reduction process may vary between 11.4 and 13.4 MBtu/ton hot metal (13.3 and 15.6 GJ/thm) (De Beer et al. 1998). We will assume a 2010-2015 performance of 12.9 Mbtu/ton pig iron (15.0 GJ/thm). In the long term further reductions leading to a net specific energy consumption (SEC) of 11.4 MBtu/ton (13.2 GJ/thm) may be expected (De Beer et al., 1998). Primary energy use estimates depend heavily on the chosen use of the off-gas (i.e. power generation in a combined cycle or steam-cycle, or for production of DRI). Currently operating COREX-plants show energy consumption levels comparable to the blast furnace routes, i.e. 16.4 Mbtu/thm (17.3 GJ/ton hot metal) (IISI 1998), but at much smaller scales. Future improvements can be achieved by new process developments, increased capacities, optimization of the carbon monoxide/oreinteraction, and optimization of fuel gas use. Investment costs are lower compared to the conventional process route, as coke making and ore preparation may be abandoned. This will also result in lower operating costs. Capital costs of modern blast furnacebased plants are high are approximately $349/ton hot metal ($385/thm) (De Beer et al., 1998). The investments involve coke plants, ore preparation (sintering, pelletization) and the blast furnace. The investments required for the COREX-process are estimated to be around $227/ton hot metal (250 US$/thm) (excluding ore agglomeration plant) (Meijer et al.1994; De Beer et al. 1998). The capital required for a commercial sized CCF plant are estimated to be $136-163/ton hot metal (150-180 US$/thm) (Meijer et al.1994). The operating costs of a smelt reduction plant will depend on local conditions, but may be expected to be significantly lower due to the abandoned processes. The reduction of operation and maintenance costs for the CCF process in Western-European conditions is estimated to be $16/ton pig iron (18 US$/t) pig iron (Meijer et al. 1994). Coke plants consume high grade coking or metallurgical coal types, which are more expensive than steam coal. Steam coal costs are on average $5/ton ($5.5/t) lower than coking coal (De Beer at al. 1998). Smelting reduction technology makes it possible to use steam coal, thereby reducing fuel costs (compared to a blast furnace). The production costs of pig iron via the blast furnace route are estimated at $110-$145/ton hot metal ($122-160/thm) (De Beer et al. 1998). Smelting reduction processes will result in production costs of 5 percent to 35 percent below the costs of the conventional route (De Beer et al., 1998). For the period 2010-2015 we assume a cost reduction of 10 percent, or $11-15/ton hot metal ($12-16/thm). Next steps include the commercialization of the second-generation smelting reduction process through demonstration on a near-commercial scale. Due to the large costs involved this should preferably be a project shared by (various) steel companies, technology providers and other parties.
109
111
LBNL and ACEEE application and these have not yet been solved by the industry. One of the main reasons is that when casting harder alloys at thinner gauges, the rolling forces tend to separate the sheet (Erdman 1999, Hamer 2000, Ertan et al. 1999). Near net shape casting was identified as a high mid-term research priority by the aluminum industry in its aluminum technology roadmap process undertaken with the U.S. Department of Energy. It is unclear whether the technical challenges of operating thin strip casting machines with harder alloys will be overcome. However, significant opportunities exist in the near term with foil and thin sheet. Next steps involve further research, development and demonstration.
112
113
114
18
The VFD is also being designed to be used as a melter and can replace existing side-well reverberatory furnaces and electric induction melters, while offering additional gains in efficiency. In this write up however, we do not address new melt technologies but focus on decoating technologies. We do recognize that these two steps are likely to become increasingly integrated (as the VFD/VFM design suggests) into new combined designs in the future.
115
H,M,L E,G,F,P
116
Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies In the area of dross/salt cake recovery, ALUMITECH began operation of a commercial closed loop dross/salt cake recycling facility in Cleveland which allows for additional aluminum recovery (between 4-8 percent increase over existing processes) and the processing of the non-metallic portion (NMP) of the dross into usable products such as calcium aluminate for steel refining (Pickens 2000). The recycling of byproducts nearly eliminates landfilling costs ($20-40/ton) (Pickens 2000). Similar approaches for metal and salt recovery are also taking place in Europe and Japan. One system manufactured by Altek increases the initial recovery of dross through a dross press to very high levels, and requires further dross processing (Pawlek 2000). The costs of recovery systems vary. A modern beverage can recycling facility can cost $180 to $360 per ton annual capacity ($200-400/tonne annual capacity) (Pawlek 2000). About 20 percent of all recovered aluminum is from beverage cans (Aluminum Association 2000). The incremental investment cost for IDEXTM kiln technology is expected to be greater than existing decoating kiln technology, but is highly dependent on the initial kilns sophistication (DeSaro 2000). Environmental regulation may also be a driver for adopting new decoating kiln technologies. Recent regulations directed at the secondary aluminum industry regulate the emissions of particulate matter and of hazardous air pollutants (HAP) by limiting total hydrocarbon emissions (as a proxy for HAP). (DeSaro 2000, Federal Register 2000). New decoating and melt technologies that reduce emissions (the IDEX eliminates nearly all volatile organic compounds and significantly cuts other emissions) have become increasingly attractive for that reason. Yet, even these new technologies may still require add-on controls to meet EPA emission requirements (Santiago 2000). This combination of drivers (productivity and environmental) promises for a rapidly growing market for advanced recycling technologies. Since its introduction as a commercial technology in 1999, there have been 2 IDEXTM kilns sold in the US market and 10 in other countries. Given standard uptake, this is fairly rapid (DeSaro 2000). These types of technologies should become standard for greenfield facilities since any increased installation costs are outweighed by the significance of environmental compliance as well as increased yield. Next steps include continued demonstration of recycling technologies.
117
118
Mt
SIC 3334
Hall-heroult cell, primary aluminum smelting tonne MWh MBtu MBtu 1 16.2 0.00 137.9 Unit consumption presented. Smelters cell amperage range from 175-300 kA EIA, 1997, USGS, 2000 EIA, 1997, USGS, 2000
Efficient cell retrofits MWh 11 MBtu 0.00 MBtu 93.5 Not yet commercialized 2005-2015 Years 10 MWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 5.2 0.0 44.4 Medium 15% 3943 0 33.5 1000 Incremental -50 0.03 N/A. 3.36 4.0 25% Significant Somewhat Significant Somewhat High Technical Medium RD&D Good 32% N/A. 32%
Assume replacement of existing potlines (ASME, 1999) Incremental costs assumed Credit Suisee, 2000
Reduced costs for anodes; reduced material losses No CO2 emissions or perfluorocarbons Safety
H,M,L
H,M,L E,G,F,P
EIA 1999 EIA 1999; USGS 2000 Margolis et al. 1998; Van Leeuwen 2000 ASME 1999 Author estimate ASME 1999; Van Leeuwen 2000 Van Leeuwen 2000; ASME 1999 S. Dillich (OIT, U.S. DOE) sara.dillich@ee.doe.gov
119
LBNL and ACEEE materials proved too difficult to maintain required quality in their manufacture (ASME, 1999). However, industrial research laboratories (Alcoa, Pechiney, Comalco, Commonwealth Aluminum, Kaiser) have all been continuing to work on wetted cathode technologies. Comalco (New Zealand) has built 25 TiB2 wettable cathode commercial demonstration cells over the past decade (with government support) (ASME 1999). The Comalco technology combines TiB2 with pitch to layer the cell bottom, while Reynolds and Kaiser are pursuing an approach to develop TiB2 metal tiles for the cell bottom. The tile design might extend the wear life of the cell. The U.S. DOE is also supporting research with Northwest Aluminum Technology, Advanced Refractory Technologies, Material Modification Inc., Electrochemical Technology Corp., Brooks Rand Ltd., and Pacific Northwest Laboratory on wettable cathode development (DOE 2000c). Since neither the inert anode nor the wetted cathode technology is commercially available, it is difficult to estimate the investment costs for the technology. Van Leeuwen (2000) asserts that inert anodes can be used in existing cells with minimal refit costs $5-18/short ton ($6-22/metric tonne) while wettable cathodes would have no refit costs. The use of a combined advanced anode/cathode cell in a bi-polar combination would probably be more appropriate for a greenfield facility. Current costs for total aluminum plants are $3600-4000/short ton annual capacity ($4,000-4,500/t) capacity, (Brumm 2000, Margolis and Eisenhauer 1998). The reduction of the anode baking facility would reduce costs by $900/short ton ($1,000/t). While advanced cell manufacturing would clearly be more expensive, the reduction in the cost of the anode production facility would offset some of the increase. ASME 1999 estimates a wide range of capital investment cost of $3200-$6800/short ton ($3,500-7,500/t). We conservatively assume in our analysis an incremental cost of $900/ton ($1,000/t) capacity. In addition to energy savings, advanced cell technologies could have significant environmental benefits since they would eliminate the emissions of carbon dioxide and per-fluorocarbons, which are greenhouse gases (GHGs) with very high global warming potentials (Margolis and Eisenhauer 1998, ASME 1999). These environmental benefits could become significant in light of increasing concern about global warming and reduction of GHGs. However, just as important are several productivity benefits drive the development of this technology. Van Leeuwen (2000) estimates reduced costs in potroom labor and up to 20 percent increases in productivity, as well as improved health and safety. Also, product quality is likely to improve since less material is contaminated by anode dissolution into the metal (Margolis and Eisenhauer 1998). The barriers to the development of advanced cells incorporating inert anodes and wettable cathodes are primarily technical and economic. Appropriate anode materials have yet to emerge, and additional modeling and systems based research approaches are going to be needed to achieve commercialization. The American Society of Mechanical Engineers rated the likelihood of success of an inert anode breakthrough as low (ASME 1999). However, a recent evaluation of the potential of both the inert anode and wettable cathode technology from Credit Suisse/First Boston rated the likelihood of success of both technologies as high, with commercialization of the anode and cathode technology separately within five years (Van Leeuwen 2000). Even if inert anode and wettable cathode technologies emerge as retrofit options for existing potlines within the next 5 years, a combined advanced cell technology, more likely suited for greenfield facilities is a more distant reality and could limit rapid expansion into the domestic market. Additional research and demonstration are needed to move the market forward in for this technology.
120
121
Czochkralski (CZ) method 1.00 tons 54540 kWh 0 MBtu 465.2 MBtu Continuous melt silicon crystal growth 27273 kWh 0 MBtu 232.6 MBtu Pilot plant 2003 7 Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 27267 0.00 232.6 Medium 40% 657.8 0 5.61 629076 Incremental 125815 10.16 1191 -5.04 #DIV/0! Significant Somewhat Somewhat H,M,L High Dependent on markets High Research, scale-up Excellent 0.50 0.00 0.50
Personal communication with Greg Mihalik, 2000 Personal communication with Greg Mihalik, 2000
Cost of modifications to the grower plus cost of recharge system Estimate 20 percent of incremental cost
Pot scrap has been reduced from about 8.8 to 2.2 lbs per run Reduced scrap
H,M,L E,G,F,P
Reed, et al. 1999 EIA 1999 Personal communication with Greg Mikalik, 2000 Personal communication with Greg Mikalik, 2000 Reed, et al. 1999 Personal communication with Greg Mikalik, 2000
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123
124
100.0
95.0
90.0
85.0
Modern microprocessor-based technologies allow for much tighter control ranges as well as lower systempressure-control points. The largest benefits of these controls can be obtained in multi-compressor systems, which are much more complex and sophisticated. Controls for single compressors can be relatively simple. System controls coordinate the operation of multiple individual compressors when meeting the system requirements.
Two general kinds of system controllers exist: single-master (sequencing) controls and multi-master (network) controls. Impacts of controls on system pressure (DOE 1998). Multi-master controls are the latest technology in compressed air system control, coming in systems capable of handling four or more compressors (Perry 2000). They provide both individual compressor control and system regulation by means of a network of individual controllers. The controllers share information, allowing the system to respond more quickly and accurately to demand changes. One controller acts as the lead, regulating the whole operation. This strategy allows each compressor to function at a level that produces the most efficient overall operation. The result is a highly controlled system pressure that can be reduced close to the minimum level required (DOE 1998).
time
These controls match system demand with compressors operated at or near their maximum efficiency points, and allow the system pressure to be set lower (Figure 1). Every 2-psi of pressure difference produces about a 1 percent change in energy consumption, so for this example, the system pressure can be reduced 15 psi, thus yielding about a 7.5 percent energy reduction. Although costing $1000 per compressor more than other controls, these controls represent the most energy-efficient system available (Perry 2000). In addition, to energy savings, the application of controls can eliminate the need for some existing compressors, allowing extra compressors to be sold or kept for backup. Alternatively, capacity can be expanded without the purchase of additional compressors. The reduced operating pressure will reduce system maintenance requirements. Also, a more constant pressure level can enhance production quality control by providing more precise operation of pneumatic equipment (DOE 1998). In spite of the attractive return, there are two principal barriers to the use of this technology: higher first cost, and lack of appreciation of the importance of compressed air system efficiency. Educational efforts,
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LBNL and ACEEE such as the Compressed Air Challenge (CAC 2000), are key to the expanded deployment of these technologies. Advanced Compressor Controls Data Table
Units Notes Advanced compressor controls Motorsys-2 Use of microprocessor-based air compressor controls in place of conventional cascading setpoint controls Market Information: Industries Cross-cutting End-use(s) Motors and drives Energy types Electricity Market segment Retrofit, new Compressed air is approximately 9% of industrial electricity 2015 basecase GWh 1,173,798 Reference technology Description Multiple screw compressor system using cascading setpoint controls Throughput or annual operating hours cfm/hr Assumes 6,000 annual operating @ 30% of rated capacity 100 Electricity use kWh Based on average 22hp/cfm (DOE 1998) 16.4 Fuel use MBtu NA Primary Energy use MBtu 0.140 New Measure Information: Description Multiple screw compressor system using microprocessor-based, multi-master controls System control pressure reduced from 90 to 82.5 psi w/ 1% savings per Electricity use kWh 15.8 2 psi Fuel use MBtu NA Primary Energy use MBtu 0.135 Current status Commercial Date of commercialization 1992 Estimated average measure lifetime Years 15 Savings Information: Electricity savings kWh/% 0.6 3.5% Fuel savings MBtu/% NA Primary energy savings MBtu/% 0.005 3.5% Penetration rate 45% penetration in 2010 Medium Feasible applications % 23% Assumes half of energy use in large, multi-compressor systems Other key assumptions for savings Reducing system pressure will result in additional savings from reduced leak volumes discussed in motorsys-3 Electricity savings potential in 2015 Fuel savings potential in 2015 Primary energy savings potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in annual costs (O&M/other benefits) Cost of conserved energy (electricity) Cost of conserved energy (fuel) Cost of conserved energy (primary energy) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New Measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources H,M,L GWh TBtu TBtu $ 9,244 NA 3.2 150 Full 0 0.0002 NA 20.9 0.04 5824% Significant Somewhat None Significant Low Prorated cost per 100 cfm assumes controls ~$1000 per compressor for 4 or more compressors (Perry 2000)
Improved pressure control increases available capacity and improves equipment operation Precise pressure control may improve equipment performance May avoid need for addition compressor purchase or allow retirement of existing compressor with resulting reduced O&M and salvage value Focus has been on compressed air system optimization
H,M,L
High first-cost; lack of appreciation of compressed air system savings. Medium Education programs E,G,F,P Good EIA 1999; Xenergy 1998; Nadel, et al, 2000 Nadel, et al, 2000 Nadel, et al, 2000 Nadel, et al, 2000 Nadel, et al, 2000; Xenergy 1998 Perry 2000 Nadel, et al, 2000 Neal Elliott, ACEEE rnelliott@aceee.org
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kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh TBtu TBtu $ $ $/kWh $/MBtu $/MBtu Years %
410 NA 3.497 medium 23% 66,026 NA 563 0 Full 6.15 0.015 NA 1.8 0.38 undefined Significant Somewhat None Significant Medium
25% 25% 45% penetration in 2010 Feasible in 50% of compressed air system capacity
No equipment purchases usually required Fee and staff time cost ~$0.015 per kWh saved (Nadel et al 2000)
Discount rate for all CCE calculations is 15% Based on increase in O&M cost Since there is no capital cost, IRR undefined Improve system operation and increases pressure stability More precise pressure control may allow for improved equipment performance May avoid need for addition compressor purchase or allow retirement of existing compressor with resulting reduced O&M and salvage value CAC is providing training and limited trade marketing
H,M,L
Customer awareness and availability of trained CA system experts Medium Significant problems have been encountered with conveying message Continued education and awareness building Good EIA 1999; Xenergy 1998; Nadel, et al, 2000 DOE 1998 DOE 1998 DOE 1998 Nadel, et al, 2000; Xenergy 1998, DOE 1998 Nadel, et al, 2000 DOE 1998 Bill Scales 516-248-9096
E,G,F,P
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First cost and lack of management infrastructure necessary to realize benefits Non-energy benefits are compelling H,M,L High Demonstration and education E,G,F,P Good EIA 1999, Nadel, et al 2000; Xenergy, 1998 Nadel, et al 2000 Boteler 2000 Boteler 2000 Elliott 2000 Boteler 2000 Boteler 2000, Nadel et al 2000 Rob Boteler, USEM 314-553-1179
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pump or fan system, with the goal of matching output to process demand Cross cutting Motors and drives Electricity Retrofit 7,825,322
GWh
Existing 20 HP exhaust fan system with damper controls hrs 6000 kWh 5.8 MBtu NA 0.050 MBtu Reduce motor speed to match flow requirements by changing belts and pulleys kWh 4.7 MBtu NA 0.040 MBtu Commercial Application of standard engineering practice, formalized in early ~1980 1980s Years Systems tend to fall out of optimization due to facility changes 10 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh TBtu TBtu $ 1.2 NA 0.010 Medium 11% 176,070 NA 1,502 410 Full 0 0.0117 NA 1.368 1.50 67% Significant Significant Somewhat Significant Low Cost of replacing belts and pulleys, plus two hours of engineering at $100/hour If fan speed is reducted, bearing life my be extended 20% Savings are not dependent upon existing equipment efficiencies NA 20% 45% penetration in 2010 Feasible in 25% of industrial motor loads
Better matching of motor driven equipment to demand can improve process throughput, and may allow free up capacity for expansion, Better matching of motor driven equipment to demand can improve process control Reduced fan speed can reduce environmental noise Reduced fan speed can reduce worker noise exposure
H,M,L
Lack of knowledge, reluctance to pay engineering fees, lack of skilled providers H,M,L Medium Expanded end-user education, development of engineering training E,G,F,P Good EIA 1999, Nadel et al 2000, Xenergy 1998 Nadel et al 2000, Xenergy 1998 Nadel et al 2000, Wroblewski 1996, Martin 1999, Hanson 1997 Nadel et al 2000, Wroblewski 1996, Martin 1999 Nadel et al 2000, Martin 1999 Nadel et al 2000 Nadel et al 2000 Vern Martin, Flow Care 519-740-8733
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More stable system operation More consistent flow, allows for more stable process operation Ability to downsize equipment and free up space DOE has distributed a design program, and has been working with the Hydraulic Institute to deploy an educational program
H,M,L
Lack of knowledge, reluctance to pay engineering fees, lack of skilled providers Medium Expanded end-user education, development of engineering training E,G,F,P Good H,M,L EIA 1999, Nadel et al 2000, Xenergy 1998 DOE 1999d DOE 1999d Nadel et al 2000, Martin 1999 Nadel et al 2000, Martin 1999 DOE 1999d Nadel et al 2000 Vern Martin, Flow Care 519-740-8733
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135
Precise speed control may allow for increased output for equipment More precise speed control may allow for reduced defect rate
H,M,L
R&D, demonstrations
H,M,L
Manufacturing difficulties, price premium, noise Medium continued R&D focusing on cost reductions E,G,F,P Good EIA 1999, Nadel, et al 2000; Xenergy, 1998 Nadel, et al 2000 Nadel, et al 1998, Howe, et al, 1999 Nadel, et al 1998, Howe, et al, 1999 Nadel, et al 1998, Howe, et al, 1999 Nadel, et al 1998, Howe, et al, 1999 Nadel, et al 1998, Howe, et al, 1999 Neal Elliott, ACEEE rnelliott@aceee.org
136
137
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68% efficiency natural gas boiler plus 33.4% efficiency grid electricity 6000 hours Typical annual operating hours for a CHP system kWh 1.000 Obtain 1 kwh from grid MBtu 0.00562 Obtain 0.005 MBtu from boiler based on Power/Heat of 0.607 0.01848 MBtu Energy required to produce the 1kwh of grid elec.and .005 MBtu of boiler steam 5 MWe CHP system operated at 80% load with 73% efficiency ; Power/Heat = 0.607 kWh 0 MBtu Overall efficiency of 73% 0.012 MBtu 0.012 Commercialized 1998 Years A refit must be done after 10 years. Cost of refit is 20% of the initial 10 capital cost kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % kWh Mbtu Mbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 1.000 100% -0.007 -120% 0.01 33% high 60% Average 2015 grid electricity price is $0.039/kWh and natural gas price $3.38/Mbtu 79200 Decreased grid electricity -534.8 Increased fuel use 483.8 Net primary energy savings 1070 full -0.0096 0.01 (1.45) 1.60 6.9 9% Significant Significant Significant H,M,L High Onsite Sycom, 2000 $45/kWyear for CHP, $5/Mbtu for gas boiler
Includes refit cost of $214 at year 11 Fewer shutdowns due to grid outages Greater reliability Higher efficiencies mean better fuel utilization
H,M,L E,G,F,P
High Favorable tax policies Excellent EIA 1999 EIA 2000 Onsite Sycom, 2000 Onsite Sycom, 2000 Onsite Sycom, 2000 Onsite Sycom, 2000
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GWh
Grid supplied electricity at 33.4% delivered efficiency hours 6000 kWh 1 MBtu 0 MBtu 0.0102 800 kW reciprocating engine operated 6000 hours per year at 85% load with 65% efficiency kWh 0 MBtu 0.0052 MBtu 0.0052 Commercial 2000 Years 7 A refit after 7 years. Cost of refit is 50% of the initial capital cost kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % kWh Mbtu Mbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 1.000 100% -0.005 0.0050 49% low 12% Assumes 20% of electric power demand classified as premium Average 2015 grid electricity price is $0.039/kWh and natural gas price $3.38/Mbtu 156506 Decreased grid electricity -821.5 Increased fuel use 777.3 Net primary energy savings 350 Full 0.0142 0.01 (1.33) 1.40 8.3 4% Onsite Sycom, 2000 Competes against capital cost embedded grid price $85.20/kWyear - Onsite Sycom, 2000
Improved reliability can offer increase up-time Improve power quality can improve product quality in sensitive applications Increases on-site emissions and it is unclear whether is cleaner than grid supplied electricity Can allow expansions without needing to upgrade utility service, and can allow for peak load shaving Both manufacturer and government R&D and demonstration
H,M,L
Market barriers to distributed generation Medium Continued R&D and demonstrations E,G,F,P Excellent EIA 1999 EIA 1999 Onsite Syscom Energy 2000 Onsite Syscom Energy 2000, EIA 1999 Onsite Syscom Energy 2000 Onsite Syscom Energy 2000, Bautista 2000 Elliott and Spurr 1999
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Mill kwh
Grid supplied electricity at 33.4% delivered efficiency 6000 kWh Assume a 200 kW load application 1 MBtu Electricity purchased from the grid. no fuel inputs on site 0.0 MBtu 0.0102 Install fuel cells for industrial use kWh 0 MBtu 0.007 MBtu 0.007 Pre-commercial 2005 Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu 7 1.000 -0.007 0.003 low 5% 65211 -2 185 MCFC costs run roughly $5000/kW; $1,500/kw after long term production. We assume $70/kwyear based on Onsite Sycom, 2000 100% 0% 33% Niche applications in the industrial sector
Both MCFC and SOFC models. PAFC already commercial Estimated economic life. A refit must be done after 7 years. Cost of refit is 50% of the initial capital cost
1500 Incremental 0.012 0.06 (8.18) 16.46 58.6 -14% Somewhat Somewhat Significant
Increased reliability could lead to cost savings Higher power quality Little to no NOx emissions Several fuel cell promotion organizations (see text)
H,M,L
H,M,L E,G,F,P
At first in niche markets Cost data projected for full scale production EIA 1999 EIA 1997 See text Blok et al. 1996 EIA, 1997; judgement See text
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies In addition to the improvements in energy conversion, fuel cells provide improved power quality and reliability, and have the flexibility to be scaled according to a variety of industrial processes. In the near term fuel cells will be particularly attractive for those industries which value an non-interruptible supply of high quality power, (such electronics manufacturing) especially in non-attainment areas that are facing tough air quality regulation. While fuel cells definitely have significant potential, particularly in niche end-uses in the industrial sector, production costs are still high due to the lack of large scale production lines. MCFC installation costs for recent projects are running about $5,000/kW (FuelCell Energy 2000). Siemens plans on achieving an installation cost of $1,300-1,500/kW for their SOFC model after achieving mass production, but initial costs are much higher (Forbes 2000). Eventual electricity delivery costs are estimated to be less than $0.05/kWh (Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Investor, U.S. DOE 2000, Forbes 2000). We assume an increase in O&M costs of $70/kw-year based on (Onsite-Sycom 2000). Given the progress in mobile and small-scale stationary applications, it is more likely that these applications may first reach levels of mass production with medium temperature fuel cells with some of the technology know-how spinning off to larger scale, high-temperature industrial cell applications. There is a high level of activity surrounding the promotion of fuel cell technologies given their potential application in all end-use sectors19. While PAFC are already commercialized, SOFC and MCFC are in the demonstration stage under cost-shared arrangements between the U.S. government. The key U.S. manufacturer of SOFC is Siemens-Westinghouse, and of MCFC is FuelCell Energy, Inc.(www.fce.com). Other international companies are also involved in MCFC and SOFC fuel cell development in Canada, Europe, and Japan (see http://www.h2eco.org/links.htm, and www.h2fc.com). Full commercialization expected before 2005. Given the higher costs of new fuel cell systems, we assume that penetration will be limited in the near term to niche applications (e.g. electronics manufacturing) where power quality and reliability are at a premium.
19
Some of the main U.S. bodies include: the National Hydrogen Association (http://www.ttcorp.com/nha/), the U.S. Department of Energy and Department of Defense, fuel cell research programs operated by the Federal Energy Technology Center (www.fetc.doe.gov), the Fuel Cell Commercialization group (http://www.ttcorp.com/fccg/), the American Hydrogen Association (http://www.clean-air.org/), and the U.S. Fuel Cell council (http://www.usfcc.com/), the Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Investor (http://www.h2fc.com/) and others.
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Microturbines (Utilities-4)
As discussed in the introduction, a number of technologies are available to generate electricity on site, and compete against grid supplied electricity for both energy and reliability. Microturbines are a new class of small combustion turbine engines, ranging in size from 25 kW to 500 kW of electric generating capacity (DOE 1999a). Like the current class of industrial turbines, which were developed using jet engines as a model, these devices have derived from several types of turbo-machinery, including aircraft auxiliary power units (APU) and industrial gas compressors. Like their larger siblings, microturbines can run on a variety of liquid and gaseous fuels, with natural gas projected to be the most common. Microturbines are high-speed devices, usually rotating at over 40,000 rpm. They come in several physical configurations, which represent tradeoffs in cost and performance. The engine can be a single-shaft machine, which reduces cost, or a split-shaft machine, which is more complex but allows for direct drive of a generator, thus avoiding the need for an inverter. Another design consideration is choice of bearings. Air bearings, which have emerged as the technology of choice, reduce the cost of the microturbine, but oil bearings offer longer life and are more rugged. One configuration of microturbines, the simple-cycle machine, is less expensive, but is also less efficient than a recuperated and/or intercooled machine. Simplecycle microturbines are projected to have an efficiency of 26-30 percent (DOE 1999a). When heat recovery is implemented, the efficiency could approach 40 percent (DOE 1999b). When used in a cogeneration or combined heat and power (CHP) system, the fuel conversion efficiency can approach 80 percent (DOE 1999a). The first cost premium for CHP is approximately 40 percent compared to a simple cycle configuration (Bautista 2000). Four domestic manufacturers are currently in the microturbine market: Honeywell (2000) (formally AlliedSignal), Capstone (2000), Elliott (2000) and Ingersoll-Rand (2000) (formerly Northern Research and Engineering Company). Most units are at the commercial demonstration stage and should not be considered a fully commercial technology. A number of large companies, such as GE (2000) and ABB (van Trigt 1998) are exploring entering the market either through an acquisition or the introduction of a new unit. Thus far, the marketing of microturbines has focused on the commercial marketplace. However, these devices can address important needs in manufacturing as well, because the standard manufacturing establishment has an average electricity demand of just under 400 kW (Census 1996). Microturbines can be used to generate a portion of a plants needs onsite, reduce demand during peak periods, or support premium power applications (e.g., microelectronics manufacturing) (Elliott and Spurr 1999). Microturbines are even more efficient when operated as part of a CHP system, which can meet some of the facilitys thermal requirements as well. However, microturbines will have to compete with reciprocating engines and fuel cells to gain a stronghold in this market. While the first cost of microturbines appear attractive compared to fuel cells, they are less attractive when compared with reciprocating engines. A recent analysis for the Energy Information Administration (EIA) has estimated the current installed costs in CHP mode to be $1,970 per kW, dropping to $915 by 2010. This is compared with $1,390 per kW installed today and $990 per kW in 2020 for a comparable reciprocating gas engine. It is projected that the first costs would become competitive during this studys time frame (Onsite 2000). These microturbine cost estimates appear higher than current prices that manufacturers are quoting (GE 2000, Honeywell 2000, and Tanner 2000). As the Onsite (2000) study notes, these cost quotes frequently do not include all equipment necessary for a functional install (GE 2000). Also, as a recent new analysis points out, many manufacturers appear to be selling below cost to build market share (Kaplan 2000). One of the promises of microturbines is greater reliability and a lower operating cost than reciprocating engines. However, field experience with microturbines has been limited, and because the technology is evolving very rapidly, reliable information about performance is not readily available. Another area in need of improvement is environmental emissions, in particular NOx. While manufacturers have raised hopes that microturbine emissions would be much lower than emissions from other technologies, current rates are similar to those for low-emissions gas engines (Greene and Hammerschlag 2000). The
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GWh
Grid supplied electricity at 33.4% delivered efficiency hours 6000 kWh 1 MBtu NA MBtu 0.0102 100 kW microturbine operated 6000 hours per year at 85% load with 40% efficiency kWh N/A MBtu 0.0085 MBtu 0.0085 Commercial demonstration 2001 Estimated economic life. A refit must be done after 7 years. Cost of refit is 50% of the initial capital cost. Years 7 kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% 1 -0.00001 0.002 Low
17%
Assumes that 20% of electric power demand can be classified as premium, penetration rate 25% in 2010 5% Average 2015 grid electricity price is $0.039/kWh and natural gas price $3.38/Mbtu Decreased grid electricity 39,900 Increased fuel use -0.3 Net primary energy savings 67 641 Full 0.0125 (0.00) 95.18 (0.48) N/A Undefined Significant Significant Somewhat Somewhat High Bautista 2000. Competes against capital cost imbedded grid price
Discount rate for all CCE calculations is 15% Not cost effective against grid electricity
H,M,L
Improved reliability can offer increase up-time Power quality can improve quality in sensitive apps Increases on-site emissions and it is unclear whether is cleaner than grid supplied electricity Allows expansion without util. upgrade and peak shaving Both manufacturer and government R&D and demo
H,M,L
High first cost, lack of proven reliability, and market barriers to DG Medium Continued R&D and demonstrations E,G,F,P Good EIA 1999 EIA 1999 Onsite Syscom Energy 2000 Onsite Syscom Energy 2000, DOE 1999c Onsite Syscom Energy 2000 Onsite Syscom Energy 2000, Bautista 2000 Elliott and Spurr 1999 Bruce Hedman, Onsite Sycom bhedman@onsitesycom.com
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LBNL and ACEEE Department of Energy has identified this as another important area for development, with the application of low emissions technologies developed as part of the advanced turbine system program (DOE 1999c). In addition to the technical issues, a number of market barriers exist in installing distributed generation technologies, which will need to be removed for this technology to achieve its full market potential (Alderfer, Eldridge and Starrs 2000). Efforts are underway at both the national and state levels to address these barriers. Current projections for operating costs are for $90 per kWyear falling to $75 by 2020 (Onsite 2000). These compare favorably with reciprocating engines today and appear even more attractive in the future. Realizing these performance goals require further product development with deployment of advanced materials and operating experience (DOE 1999c). In the configuration of electric generation only, microturbines appear unable to compete against the average industrial energy price for grid supplied electricity. In CHP mode the economics appears somewhat more efficient, but they are still not competitive. These assessments do not take into account variations in energy prices or valuation of ancillary services such as reliability. If a combination of these were to increase to twice the EIA 2015 estimate for electricity of $0.0039/kWh, the payback would fall to 2.9 years with an IRR of 34 percent in simple cycle mode and 3.4 year with an IRR of 29 percent in CHP mode. An ancillary benefit of $0.039 per kWh is perhaps at the low end for premium-power applications such as are currently seen in pharmaceutical and semiconductor applications (Elliott and Spurr 1999). The systems can offer high reliability and power quality as well as low noise. This analysis would indicate that the market for microturbines would likely be limited to premium power applications.
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Krepchin 2000). In the Midwest, utilities are educating account representatives and customers about the products (Rogers 2000). and in California, several manufacturers and distributors of high-intensity fluorescent lighting products are expanding their marketing efforts and working with Southern California Edison to incorporate the technology into their new construction programs (Rogers 2000). Additional information dissemination, a broader range of demonstrations and case studies, and continued utility incentives and support would create further demand for the technology.
151
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies improve the long-term market viability of these systems. In addition, studies on the impacts of daylighting on worker productivity are needed. The results of such studies in schools appear to have significantly increased interest in daylighting of school facilities and could have a similar effect in the industrial sector. Advanced Lighting Design Data Table
Units Notes Advanced lighting design Lighting-2 Daylighting with dimmable fluorescent replacement for HID Market Information: Industries Cross-cutting End-use(s) Lighting Energy types Electricity Market segment New, retrofit Lighting electric use is 7% of industrial electricity consumption 2015 basecase use 91,000 Reference technology Description 400W metal halide lamp/ballast/bell-shaped spun-aluminum fixture; 2 fixtures per zone Throughput or annual op. hrs. Hours 5000 Electricity use kWh/yr 4650 Fuel use MBtu N/A Primary energy use MBtu 39.5 New Measure Information: High-intensity fluorescent fixture w/4-T5 lamps/electronic ballast (2 fixtures per zone); dimming controls; daylight Description pipe 2000 hours 100% dimming; 2000 hours 50% dimming; 1000 hours no Electricity use dimming kWh 936 Fuel use MBtu N/A Primary Energy use MBtu 8.0 Current status Commercialized Date of commercialization 1996 Est. avg. measure life Years Fixtures; controls; light pipe 20 Savings Information: Electricity savings kWh/% 3714 80% Fuel savings MBtu/% N/A N/A Primary energy savings MBtu/% 31.6 80% Penetration rate Medium Feasible applications % 70% of industrial HID; 60% of industrial fluorescent 66% Other key assumptions Elec svgs potential in 2015 GWh 47,971 Fuel svgs potential in 2015 Tbtu N/A 53% primary savings. Lighting 2015 primary energy 773.5 Tbtu. Tbtu Primary energy svgs potential in 2015 408 Cost Effectiveness $370 for 2 fixtures w/installation; $100 controls; $600 light pipe Investment cost w/installation $ 1070 Type of cost Full cost Change in other costs $ 0 Cost of saved energy (elec) $/kWh 0.05 Cost of saved energy (fuel) $/Mbtu N/A Discount rate for all CCE calculations is 15% Cost of saved energy (primary) $/Mbtu 5 Simple payback period Years Based on $11.43/Mbtu average cost for electricity 2.97 Internal rate of return % 34% Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Dimming capability/improved lighting quality increase worker performance Somewhat Less glare/better color rendition improve product inspection Somewhat Product quality benefits None Environmental benefits Added savings w/ task lighting; reduced HVAC load; faster start-up Significant Other benefits Demonstrations, utility incentives, supplier marketing, research H,M,L High Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Cost of daylight pipe particularly high Lack of info; first cost Likelihood of success H,M,L Cost of daylighting must come down Medium Recommended next steps Info dissemination; demos Rebates/incentives for new construction and retrofits Substantial industry and independent literature, limited field data Data quality assessment E,G,F,P Good Sources: 2015 basecase EIA 1999 Basecase energy use Rogers and Krepchin 2000; EBN 2000; E Source 1997 New measure energy savings Rogers and Krepchin 2000; Krepchin 1999; Miller 2000 Lifetime Rogers and Krepchin 2000; Krepchin 1999; Miller 2000 Feasible applications Rogers 2000; Miller 2000 Costs Rogers 2000; EBN 2000; E Source 1997; Krepchin 1999; Miller 2000 Key non energy factors Rogers and Krepchin 2000; EBN 2000; Krepchin 1999; Miller 2000 Principal contacts Jim Rogers 978/256-1345; Greg Miller, Sun Pipe, 847/272-6977 Additional notes and sources
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Normalize on a square foot basis for reference and new technologies Weighted average based on US cleanroom distribution
Efficient HVAC in hi-tech facilities kWh 336 MBtu 0.9 MBtu 3.8 Commercialized Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 144 0.0 1.2 Medium 30% 1637 0 13.9 20 Incremental 0 0.02 #DIV/0! 2.61 4.0 0% Somewhat None None Somewhat Medium Information Medium Consortiums, roadmap Fair 20 30% 0% 25%
H,M,L
H,M,L E,G,F,P
McIlvane, 1996 Mills et al., 1996 Tschudi and Sartor, 2000 Tschudi and Sartor, 2000 Tschudi and Sartor, 2000 Tschudi and Sartor, 2000 Tschudi and Sartor, 2000 William Tschudi, LBNL (WFTschudi@lbl.gov)
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LBNL and ACEEE There are marketing obstacles to the promotion of this technology. These obstacles primarily are geared toward the need for better information to cleanroom designers, builders, and operators on HVAC efficiency opportunities through increased information and education, and the lowering of perceived risk given what would be a higher first cost. LBNL and other research institutions have taken an early role in attempting to promote collaborations with key hi-tech industry associations, but this work is still in its early stages. In addition to collaboration and engaging in a roadmapping process, other potential opportunities to encourage increased industry participation in HVAC efficiency include the development of a benchmarking tool to allow for inter-industry comparisons. We believe that in the absence of an existing consortium there is a medium likelihood of success of dramatically improving HVAC efficiency. A complicating factor is that the lifetime of cleanroom processes are significantly less than the lifetime of the buildings in which the measures are installed, so there is a possibility for increase in maintenance costs in the long term if HVAC equipment must be recalibrated. Next steps will require additional demonstration projects to improve acceptance by the industry.
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20 These costs are calculated based on the cost of energy in The Netherlands. Using lower U.S. energy costs, the payback period is 0.8 years.
157
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies built by 2015. These plants can be used by a variety of industrial facilities, including papermaking, food processing, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and distilleries. The market potential varies for these industries from 30 to 40 percent for the paper industry to 100 percent for processing of sugar, starch, and alcohol based on the size of the mills, types of mills, and their water consumption (Habets 2000). We estimate an average market potential of 33 percent of selected food, paper, and chemicals sectors based on a weighting of 1994 energy consumption. Adoption of this technology depends on energy costs as well as effluent controls and disposal costs. This technology is being rapidly adopted in Brazil, Japan, China, Mexico, and Europe. Adoption in the U.S. has been slow, especially in the paper industry. In the past, the U.S. Department of Energy held a number of seminars promoting this technology, but these were discontinued in the early 1980s. Currently, the only promotion in the U.S. is through the large companies that produce this type of system such as Biothane Corporation in Camden, New Jersey (Richards 1996). Market barriers include the low cost of energy, especially vis--vis the cost of the technology, as well as negative perceptions based on past experiences with less effective systems. Another barrier is the lack of information, including reliable data, available on this technology. Stricter effluent regulations combined with government-sponsored demonstration programs that provide real data on this technology, targeting marketing of this technology to potential users, and investment incentive programs could all help to promote increased adoption of anaerobic wastewater treatment (Richards 1996, Habets 2000).
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Tbtu
Conventional burners in existing boilers or furnaces 1 Boilers and furnaces are available in any size 0 kWh 6758 TBtu 6758.0 TBtu Low-NOx High Efficiency Burners 0 kWh 6543.6 TBtu 6543.6 TBtu Commercial 1996 20 Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $/MBtu $/MBtu $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 0 214.4 214.4 Low 10% 10% of industrial natural gas use is in non-attainment areas 0 21 21.4 7 Full -0.1 N/A 0.94 0.94 3.1 33% Somewhat None Significant H,M,L Medium 0% 3% 3%
Improved burner capacity could lead to higher throughput in specific cases Reduction of NOx emissions by 30 - 70%
H,M,L E,G,F,P
Estimates based on few case-studies EIA 1999 EIA 1999 CADDET 1997h, COEN 2000, Berntsson et al. 1997 Author estimate Author estimate CADDET 1997h; Berntsson et al. 1997 Author estimate Steve Londerville, COEN Company (650) 697-0440
For example, the Pyrocore ceramic burner marketed by Alzeta Corp. (after development with the Gas Research Institute, US EPA and Southern California Gas Company) is used for direct firing applications in the food industry (with extremely low emissions) (CADDET 2000c) and for process heaters in the oil industry (CADDET 1989). Energy savings were not specified in either application. In natural gas boilers NOx is mainly generated through thermal processes. Advanced burner designs can reduce NOx emissions, while maintaining or improving efficiency. NOx emissions from standard industrial gas boilers can be between 60 and 200 ppm. Low NOx burners can reduce emissions to 20-30 ppm, while 161
LBNL and ACEEE ultra-low NOx burners (also used for direct heating applications) can reduce emissions to 5-9 ppm. COEN has installed low-NOx burners that comply with California air quality standards in the oil industry (Bakersfield, CA), textile plant (Vernon, CA), as well as heating plants (Sacramento, CA). In these plants NOx emissions between 9 and 26 ppm have been achieved, at high efficiencies. Efficiency gains are not always specified. In the case of a heating plant in Sacramento (CA), an efficiency gain of 3 percent was achieved (COEN 2000). We assume fuel savings of 2 percent for using high-efficiency (ultra) low-NOx burners. While the capital costs of the burner are comparable to those of standard burners, the total system costs would be lower, if SCR NOx-removal would need to be installed. Implementation of high-efficiency Low-NOx burners will be primarily driven by air regulation. We assume that implementation is limited to non-attainment areas. However, no industrial energy consumption data is readily available for nonattainment regions (STAPPA-ALAPCO 1999). In July 2000, 31 regions were non-attainment areas for ground level ozone (EPA 2000b). We estimate that 10 percent of all industrial boiler capacity is found in non-attainment areas, and would need NOx-reduction measures. Natural gas use for boilers in 2015 is estimated at 4118 TBtu (4344 PJ) (AEO 1999). For high-temperature applications NOx-emission reductions are limited by the necessary high flame temperatures needed. Still, modern burners designed to mix the combustion air and fuel well, reduce NOxemissions. The Gyro-Therm burner developed in Australia for the cement industry achieves reductions in NOx-emissions of 30 to 70 percent, while saving 5 percent on fuels in a clinker kiln in the cement industry. The stable flame reduced refractory wear. The technology has been applied in several cement plants around the world including the U.S. (e.g. Ash Grove, Durkee, OR). The payback period is around 2 years (CADDET 1997h). Stordy Combustion Engineering (United Kingdom) has developed a low-NOx regenerative burner that can achieve NOx emissions of 100-125 ppm at air-preheat temperatures of 1000oC (CADDET Newsletter 1999), resulting in fuel savings of 40 percent compared to conventional burners at near-stoichiometric conditions (Flanagan 1993). Potential applications are found in the metals industry, e.g. reheating furnaces, aluminum smelting, copper smelting. For high temperature applications, we assume that new burners can save 5 percent on average for natural gas burners, while maintaining low NOx-emissions, across various process heating applications. As implementation is driven by air quality regulation, uptake of the technology will be highest in nonattainment areas. Due to the lack of data on industrial energy use for process heating applications in nonattainment areas we assume that the technology can be used in 10 percent of natural gas fired heating applications. We exclude natural gas use in the chemical industry (where most gaseous fuels are not necessarily natural gas), glass industry and specific natural gas applications in the steel industry. Hence, natural gas use for process heating in 2015 is estimated at 2640 TBtu (2785 PJ) (AEO 1999). The costs will depend on the individual applications of the burners. The costs of low NOx-burners for large utility boilers is estimated at 10-20 $/kW (Berntsson et al. 1997). The costs are different for the often smaller industrial applications. Based on the case-studies we assume a simple payback period of three years for retrofit-situations. The reduced use of FGR in existing boilers may lead to reduced operating costs, as may reductions in NOx emissions offsets. For example, the ARCO Refinery boiler project in Bakersfield (CA) with a capacity of 62.5 MBtu/hr (65.9 GJ/hr) can result in a reduction $54,000 in reduced emission offsets (or 2.9 $/kW), while reduced use of FGR resulted in an additional saving of $40,000 at full capacity (COEN 2000). These cost-savings will be highly site-dependent. The main driving force for Low NOx-burners is air quality regulation. The relative low cost compared to options like SCR or FGR makes them attractive options. However, in the design of Low NOx burners energy efficiency should be an integrated part of the design. Future steps include the dissemination of information on Low-NOx burner technology to potential users and air quality regulators, as well as demonstration of burners in different applications, especially with respect to furnace applications.
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Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % TWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years %
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies It is extremely difficult to estimate the potential energy savings from implementation of membranes for water treatment without a detailed study. For specific applications energy savings may be up to 40-55 percent of the energy needs for evaporation. Additional production savings are achieved through product quality, reduced water use, lower operation costs, which are site-specific. Energy use for other treatment may be very low (coagulation, coarse filtration), or high (evaporation). Energy use for evaporation is very high (i.e. 100 MBtu/1000 gallons water evaporated (106 GJ/1000 gallons)). Mechanical vapor recompression would reduce the heat demand, but has still a high power demand of 25-50 kWh/1000 gallons (Fok and Moore 1999). However, most industrial wastewater is probably pre-treated with physical, chemical or biological means before being disposed to the public sewer system or surface water. Large industrial facilities may need to evaporate water for sludge disposal. We assume that 50 percent of wastewater is treated using biological and chemical technologies (consuming 0.8 Mbtu/1000 gallons (0.8 GJ/1000 gallons) and 30 kWh/1000 gallons, derived from Fok and Moore (1999)), and 50 percent uses only coagulation and mechanical treatment (using 4 kWh/1000 gallons). Energy use for a membrane system is estimated at 15-40 kWh/1000 gallons (Fok and Moore 1999). We assume a two-step UF/RO-process with an average consumption of 45 kWh/1000 gallons. The investment and operating costs depend heavily on specific application, and are site-specific. However, for the purposes of this study we make a general estimate, noting that the costs may vary widely in practice. The capital costs of membrane systems are relatively high, but may be lower than alternative processes, as shown by the example of Tri-Valley Growers, CA. Generally, capital costs are expressed per unit of surface area, while about half of the capital costs are for the system components (e.g. pumps, piping) (Wiesner and Chellam 1999). Investment costs are estimated for polymer membrane plants for oily wastewater streams are estimated at 30$/gallon-day (Koch 2000), while annual operating costs are estimated at 5$/gallon-day. Operating costs for a chemical treatment plant are estimated at $10/gallon-day, and for evaporation at 16$/gallon-day (Koch 2000). We assume average operating costs of 11$/gallon-day for non-membrane equipment (EPA n.d.). Re-use of water will reduce the water purchase fees and discharge fees. The reduced costs are estimated at 0.4 cts/gallon-saved, although they may vary by location. Membrane life of a properly operated facility may easily exceed 10 years (Wiesner and Chellam 1999). We assume a lifetime of 10 years. The energy savings and cost estimates are rough. Given the large potential application area and potential energy savings, an in-depth study into membrane applications, energy savings, capital and operational cost benefits is warranted.
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While opportunities for energy optimization still exist, even in the energy intensive process industries such as chemicals, petroleum refining, and pulp and paper sectors, the focus here is on emerging applications. Site-wide energy strategies or Total Site analysis. In general, direct heat exchange between hot and cold process steams is practical only within an individual process unit. For large complexes, involving multiple process units, direct heat exchange is usually not feasible, but there can still be opportunity for significant energy savings through indirect thermal integration, through the plant utility (steam and power) system. The technique applied here is to treat the residual heating and cooling requirements of each process unit (after all possible heat recovery has been accomplished within that unit) as if they were process streams, and then develop a set of heat source and sink curves representing the overall site. These curves reveal the optimum number and pressure for steam headers, and the optimum type and size of cogeneration projects. Savings in hot utility (i.e. using process heat to replace utility steam from boilers) of between 10 and 40 percent have been consistently demonstrated in over 70 projects (Eastwood and Kelfkens 1998). 166
Cross cutting Process heating, process cooling Fuels, electricity New and retrofit AEO 2000. Based on EIA 1997 energy shares for specific industries 1871
Current energy consumption in existing processes applied to steam use and compression use in refining
EIA, 1997; Xenergy, 1998; compression electricity use at refineries EIA, 1997. Indirect fuel use for boilers from SIC: 20, 22, and 20% of SIC 28 EIA, 1997
Process integration-emerging technologies TWh 25% compressor savings in refining 0.6 Tbtu 10% savings in various emerging applications 839.0 844.4 Tbtu Comercial Total site pinch, hydrogen pinch, batch processes Years TWh/% TBtu/% TBtu/% % TWh Tbtu Tbtu $/Mbtu-s $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 15 0.2 93.2 95.0 40% 0.1 37.3 38.0 5.0 Incremental 0 0.86 0.86 0.86 2.3 43% Somewhat None Somewhat H,M,L Information Medium Demonstration Fair EIA 1999 EIA 1997 Kumana, J. 2000b; Linnhoff, B.; Tainsh, B.; Wasilewski, 1999 Author estimate from general pinch literature Author estimate Kumana, J. 2000b; author estimate Kumana, 2000b Kumana & Assoc.-- jkumana@aol.com/Linhoff March (www.linhoffmarch.com) 25% 10% 10%
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LBNL and ACEEE Batch processes. While the methodology for application of pinch analysis to batch processes is not new (Kemp and Deakin 1989, Obeng and Ashton 1988), the market has not caught on, and is nowhere close to reaching its full potential. Two R&D projects carried out under the auspices of the Best Practice program in the UK on batch process integration identified an energy savings of 8 percent and 40 percent respectively. In the first case, in a resin factory, a key savings was the use of condenser heat to pre-heat the reactor fuel and material feeds. These case studies demonstrate that energy savings are not necessarily limited to energy intensive industries, but could have significant applicability to food, pharmaceutical, fine chemicals and other industries where batch processes dominate (ETSU 1999). The major benefit here is not necessarily energy, but productivity of capital and labor. The resource being conserved is processing time, through better scheduling and proper matching of equipment functionality, which means one can get more output from the same plant, or save capital when building a new plant for a given production rate. Water Pinch. While this application is not specifically geared toward energy savings we include it here because water conservation and wastewater minimization has a significant, albeit indirect, impact on energy, and in fact changes the optimum heat recovery strategy (Mann and Liu 1999). Only two companies Aspen Technology, Inc. and Linnhoff March, Ltd. - currently offer commercial-grade software for modeling/reconciling the water balance, and development of reuse/recycle options for wastewater minimization based on pinch principles. Reported savings have ranged between 15 and 60 percent depending on the industry sector (Aspen Technology 2000, Dhole et al. 1996, Linnhoff March Online 2000a, Tripathi 1996, Kumana 1996). Part of the reason that savings are so high is that water conservation has not received the attention it deserves, and so there is a lot of potential savings left on the table. Hydrogen Pinch. In certain process industries, (e.g. petroleum refining), high purity hydrogen gas is a critical (and very expensive) process raw material. During the process operation, the quality of hydrogen is degraded in terms of concentration and pressure. The impure hydrogen is unsuitable for reuse, and is typically burned as fuel. The goal of pinch analysis as applied to hydrogen management is to determine the optimum regeneration, reuse, and recycle strategy to minimize the total costs associated with capital investment in new hydrogen generation and upgrading facilities, and energy consumption (Linnhoff et al. 1999, Eastwood 2000). Reducing hydrogen demand/supply bottlenecks are particularly valued given the potential shortages that many refineries are facing. Using a pinch analysis approach for hydrogen systems has already demonstrated hydrogen feed savings of 25 percent and compression power savings of 35 percent (Linnhoff et al. 1999, Kumana 2000a). Some of the key measures include: the re-use of hydrogen rejected from one process directly in another process, the mixing hydrogen streams of different compositions to provide a stream suitable for re-use, compression and/or purification of reject hydrogen (e.g. using pressure swing adsorption), and process changes to improve hydrogen utilization (Linnhoff et al. 1999). Some of the early U.S. companies to explore the use of hydrogen pinch include Arco (recently purchased by BP Amoco) and Citgo/Lyondell (Kumana 2000a). Pollution Prevention. Pinch Analysis also has applications in pollution prevention. When less energy is consumed, the emission of combustion byproducts (CO2, NOx, SO2) is reduced. When freshwater is conserved, the flow of wastewater effluent is reduced. In addition, methodologies are under development that optimize the selection and sizing of specific pollution control technologies (Kumana and Rossiter 1994, Rossiter 1995, El-Halwagi 1997). However, the commercial experience and success rate so far has been limited. The strength of these new techniques is that they can be combined with existing thermal pinch analysis approaches to give particular process industries a broader array of analytical techniques to identify energy and capital savings. Whether in new plant designs or expansions, it is possible to reduce capital costs by 510 percent and to shorten the construction schedule when applying emerging techniques (Kumana 2000b). By comparison, the cost of undertaking a pinch study is relatively small ($25-250K) with ongoing software support costs of $15,000-25,000/year (Kumana 2000b). Based on the existing experience in the market, it is clear that the application of emerging pinch analysis techniques has the potential to cost-effectively save energy. We estimate 25 percent savings in compression energy use for refineries and 10 percent savings for the application of total site analysis, and batch analysis techniques to the food, textile, and specialty chemicals industries.
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies As noted above, careful planning utilizing pinch analysis techniques can reduce new plant construction costs as well. Based on payback times of 1-4 years for most thermal pinch projects, we estimate an average investment cost of $5 per MMBtu ($5.3/GJ) of energy saved. While traditional pinch analysis has been employed in certain industries, it is still underutilized. Kumana argues that this is primarily due to technical misconceptions by plant managers, who often believe that their processes are already optimized and that additional heat recovery projects will not be economical under todays fuel price regime (Kumana 2000b). The enabling technologies that accompany pinch projects are already available in the market; what is lacking is corporate commitment to conserving the earths rapidly dwindling resources of fossil fuels and clean water. Further demonstration projects are necessary to better prove the feasibility of these techniques in the marketplace.
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Moisture, oxygen and temperature Typically 2-18% savings control, air flow control Knowledge based, fuzzy logic Note: The estimated savings are valid for the specific application (e.g. lighting energy use). The energy savings can not be added, due to overlap of the systems. Sources: (Caffal 1995, WEC 1995). Modern control systems are often not solely designed for energy efficiency, but rather at improving productivity, product quality and efficiency of a production line. Applications of advanced control and energy management systems are in varying development stages can be found in all industrial sectors. Control systems result in reduced downtime, reduced maintenance costs, reduced processing time, and increased resource and energy efficiency, as well as improved emissions control. For example, in cement kilns NOx emission reductions of 20 percent have been achieved through installing process controls (CADDET 1997i). Many modern energy-efficient technologies depend heavily on precise control of process variables, e.g. strip casting in the steel industry and process integration in the chemical industries. Hence, in estimating the potential energy savings double-counting should be avoided. For this characterization we exclude building energy management systems, lighting controls, as well as adjustable speed drives (discussed elsewhere in this study). Application of process control systems is growing rapidly, and modern process control systems exist for virtually any industrial process. However, still large potentials exist to implement control systems, and more modern systems enter the market continuously. For example, the journal Hydrocarbon Processing produces a semi-annual overview of new advanced process control technologies for the chemical and oil refining industry. Process control systems depend on information of many stages of the processes. A separate but important area is the development of sensors that are inexpensive to install, reliable, and analyze in real-time. Development aims at the use of optical, ultrasonic, acoustic, and microwave systems, that should be resistant to aggressive environments (e.g. oxidizing environments in furnace or chemicals in chemical processes) and withstand high temperatures. The information of the sensors is used in control systems to adapt the process conditions, based on mathematical (rule-based) or neural networks and fuzzy logic models of the industrial process.
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies Process Controls and Sensors Data Table
Units Notes Process Controls and Sensors other-5 Modern process control systems using advanced sensors and knowledge-based or fuzzy logic control systems Market Information: Cross-Cutting Industries Processes, utilities, other End-use(s) Excluding motor systems, lighting, HVAC Fuels, electricity Energy types Retrofit Market segment N/A 2015 basecase use Reference technology Energy consumption for applicable process (excl. motors, building energy use) Description Throughput or annual op. hrs. Electricity use TWh 337.1 TWh, based on MECS 1994 (or 31% of industrial power use) 337 Fuel use Primary energy use New Measure Information: Description Electricity use Fuel use Primary Energy use Current status Date of commercialization Est. avg. measure life Savings Information: Electricity savings Fuel savings Primary energy savings Penetration rate Feasible applications Other key assumptions Elec svgs potential in 2015 Fuel svgs potential in 2015 Primary energy svgs potential in 2015 Cost Effectiveness Investment cost Type of cost Change in other costs Cost of saved energy (elec) Cost of saved energy (fuel) Cost of saved energy (primary) Simple payback period Internal rate of return Key non energy factors Productivity benefits Product quality benefits Environmental benefits Other benefits Current promotional activity Evaluation Major market barriers Likelihood of success Recommended next steps Data quality assessment Sources: 2015 basecase Basecase energy use New measure energy savings Lifetime Feasible applications Costs Key non energy factors Principal contacts Additional notes and sources TBtu TBtu 12291 15156.4 12.291 Tbtu, based on MECS 1994 (or 89% industrial fuel use, excl. feedstocks)
Modern process control systems using advanced sensors and knowledge-based or fuzzy logic control systems TWh TBtu TBtu 327 11922 14701 Commercialized, research 1995 10 10 369.0 454.9 Low 30% 3 110.7 136.5 6 Full cost -1 0.001 0.20 0.20 2.0 50% Significant Significant Somewhat H,M,L High Technical High Fair Own estimates based on literature survey EIA, 1999 EIA, 1997; Xenergy, 1998 Conservative average of many case-studies Retrofit, costs are estimate of average costs, based on payback of 2 years Rough estimate value of average productivity benefits 3% 3% 3%
Reduced downtime and maintenance costs, improved yield Less off-spec production Reduced emissions, improved yield Process control is recognized as important measure
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LBNL and ACEEE Neural network-based control systems have successfully been used in the cement (kilns), food (baking), non-ferrous metals (alumina, zinc), pulp and paper (paper stock, lime kiln), petroleum refineries (process, site), and steel industries (EAFs, rolling mills). New energy management systems that use artificial intelligence, fuzzy logic (neural network), or rule-based systems mimic the best controller, using monitoring data and learning from previous experiences. For example, improved process control using neural networks in electric arc furnaces in the steel industry can help to reduce electricity consumption beyond that achieved through classical control systems. Neural networks or fuzzy logic systems analyze data and emulate the best controller. For EAFs, the first fuzzy logic control systems have been developed using current, power factor and power use to control the electrodes in the bath (Staib and Bliss 1995). The average power savings are estimated to be up to 8 percent (or 38 kWh/t), with an average increase in productivity of 912 percent and reduced electrode consumption of 25 percent (Staib and Bliss 1995). The actual savings depend on the scrap used and the furnace operation. Furnace maintenance costs are reduced as well. In 1994, advanced control systems were installed at 16 furnaces in the U.S. (Kimmerling 1997), with a total capacity of 6.4 million tons (5.8 Mt) (equivalent to 9 percent of the U.S. EAF capacity in 1994). The capital and commissioning costs are estimated to be $250,000 per furnace, with annual costs savings at roughly $0.90/ton ($1/t) (Kimmerling 1997). The capital costs are expected to be $0.86/ton ($0.95/t) (Worrell et al. 1999). The measure is assumed to be applicable to 90 percent of the U.S. EAF capacity. Similar applications are found in the cement industry, where energy savings of up to 8 percent have been found, with a payback period between 1 and 2 years (CADDET 2000d). Process knowledge based systems (KBS) have been used in design and diagnostics, but are hardly used in industrial processes. KBS incorporates scientific and process information applying a reasoning process and rules in the management strategy. A recent demonstration project in a sugar beet mill in the UK using model based predictive control system demonstrated a 1.2 percent reduction in energy costs, while increasing product yield by almost 1 percent and reducing off-spec product from 11 percent to 4 percent. This system had a simple payback period of 1.4 years (CADDET 2000e). Although, energy management systems are already widely disseminated in various industrial sectors, the performance of the systems can still be improved, reducing costs and increasing energy savings further. For example, total site energy monitoring and management systems (Kawano 1996) can increase the exchange of energy streams between plants on one site. Traditionally, only one plant or a limited number of energy streams were monitored and managed. Research for advanced sensors and controls is ongoing in all sectors, both funded with public funds as private research. Several projects within DOEs Industries of the Future try to develop more advanced control technologies, and sensors and controls are also represented in a Crosscutting OIT-program. Outside the U.S., Japan and Europe also give much attention to advanced controls. The main opportunities can be found in further development of advanced controls and sensors, as well as the marketing of existing advanced controls. In our analysis we will assume ongoing development of energy management systems, resulting in improved performance through better control strategies and improved and real-time information as well as lower costs. We assume that on average energy efficiency savings of 3 percent are feasible. We exclude electricity use for motors and energy use for industrial buildings, as this is covered under other technologies (ASD, building management systems). By 2015 we assume that modern process control systems can be applied to an additional 30 percent of applicable industrial energy use. Estimating the specific costs of installing energy management systems is difficult. The pay back period of such systems is often not only influenced by energy savings, but more often by non-energy benefits which have a large impact (e.g. improved process throughput or product quality). Investment costs vary typically between 0.5 and 30$/MBtu-(0.47 and $28.40 per GJ) saved (ETSU 1994), with pay back periods mostly from 1 to 4 years (Caffal 1995) in industrial applications. We assume an average payback period of 2 years. The lifetime of EMS is dependent on the equipment for which it is used and progress in development of new controls. We estimate it to be 10 years on average for this study. Future steps include further development of new sensors and control system, demonstration in commercial scale, as well as dissemination of the benefits of control systems in a wide variety of industrial applications.
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Modern Longwall Mining Machine (cutting only) 3,400,000 tpy Average size of longwall miners in US 2,540,000.0 kWh 0 MBtu 21590.0 MBtu Variable Wall Mining Machine with Dual Duct Ventilation 2,030,000 kWh 0.0 MBtu 17255.0 MBtu Prototype demonstration Currently no active development ongoing 25 Years kWh/% MBtu/% MBtu/% % GWh Tbtu Tbtu $ $ $/kWh $/Mbtu $/Mbtu Years % 510000 0.0 4335.0 Low 20% 6 0 0.1 200000 Incremental -10000 0.04 N/A. 4.83 10.6 7% Somewhat None None Significant Low Structure Mining Industry Low Commercial Demonstration Fair EIA 1999 EIA 1995a; EIA 1999; Kelley, 2000 Kelley 2000 Authors estimate Authors estimate Authors estimate Kelley 2000 J.H. Kelley, Kelastic Mine Beam Co. (724) 832 8832 Mike Plaha, RAG American Coal (410) 689-7500 Estimated costs of a new mining machine are $10.6 Million Improved working conditions and safety, improved productivity 20% N/A. 20%
H,M,L
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Emerging Energy-Efficient Industrial Technologies The costs of a variable wall mining machine are likely to be similar or slightly higher to those of traditional longwall mining machines. The slightly higher costs may be due to the costs of the dual ventilation system. However, this may lead to operational cost savings. No specific cost data was available at the time of the study. We estimate the additional investments at $200,000 per machine, compared to the costs of a modern longwall mining machine of $10.6 million (EIA 1995). We assume reduction in annual costs due to improved automation and working environment safety. Currently, no further development work is going on, and implementation of the technology has not happened, due to the limited number of new longwall/variable mining machines installed in the U.S., as well as further concentration of equipment manufacturers and users. Demonstration of the technology on a close to commercial scale in collaboration with the coal mining industry would be necessary to demonstrate the potential benefits of this technology.
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Erdman, T. 1999. R&D, and Expansion, Keep Strip Casting Growing. In 33Metalproducing.com Online. June. Cleveland, OH: 33Metalproducing.com Online. Online at: www.33Metalproducing.com. (Alum-1) Erikson, D. and C. Brown. 1999. Operating Experience with a Gasification Pilot Project. Tappi Journal. 82 (9): 4850. (Paper-1) Ertan, S., A.S. Akkurt,Y. Birol, M. Dundar, S. Hamer, E. Ozden, C. Romanowski, K. Sarioglu, G. Yildizbayrak. 1999. The Effect of Casting Paramaeters on Twin Roll Cast Strip Microstructure. Technical Paper. Assan Aluminum Turkey and FATA Hunter Inc. (Alum-1) [ETSU] Energy Technology Support Unit. 1994. An Appraisal of UK Energy Research, Development, Demonstration and Dissemination. London, UK: Her Majesty's Stationery Office. (SCQ) -----. 1999. Design and operation of energy-efficient batch processes. Best Practice Program, Report Brochure. (Other-4) [FAO] Food and Agricultural Organization, United Nations. 2000. Statistical database online at: http://www.fao.org. (Paper-4) Farrell, L.M., T.T. Pavlack, and L. Rich. 1993. Operational and Environmental Benefits of Oxy-Fuel Combustion in the Steel Industry. In Proceedings of the 12th Process Technology Conference. Pittsburgh, PA, October 24-27. (Steel-4) Fisher, M. (American Plastics Council). 2000. Personal Communication with Nathan Martin. August. (Chemicals-8) Fisher, M. and F. Mark. 1999. The Role of Plastics in Automotive Shredder Residue (ASR): Characterization and Enviornmental Assessment. Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) International Congress and Exhibition, SAE Technical Paper Series 1999-01-0664. (Chemicals-8) Fiscor, S. 2000. U.S. Longwall Census 2000. In Coal Age. February. pp.32-36. (Mining-1) Flanagan, J.M. 1993. Learning from Experiences with the Process Heating in the Metals Industry. CADDET Analyses Series, No. 11. Sittard, The Netherlands: IEA-CADDET. (Steel-4) (Other-2) Flemming, G. 1995. Personal communication with Nathan Martin. Dusseldorf, Germany: SMS Schloemann-Siemag Aktiengesellschaft. (Steel-2) Fok, S. and B. Moore. 1999. Zero-Discharge: An Application of Process Water Recovery Technology in the Food Processing Industry. In 1999 ACEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Industry, Proceedings. Washington, DC: American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy. 595-603. (Other-3) Forbes, C. (Siemens-Westinghouse). 2000. Personal communication to Nathan Martin regarding SOFC Fuel Cells. June. (Utilities-3) Freeman, B. (Electric Power Research Institute). 2000. Personal communication with Nathan Martin regarding fuel cell technologies. June. (Utilities-3) Fuel Cells 2000. 2000. Website: www.fuelcells.org. Washington, DC: Fuel Cells 2000. (Utilities-3) FuelCell Energy. 2000. Website: www.fuelcellenergy.com. Danbury, CT: FuelCell Energy. (Utilities-3) Gach, G.J., D.J. Paulson, and D.D. Spatz. 2000. Crossflow Membrane Filtration Applications in the Beverage Industry. Minnetonka, MN: Osmonics, Inc. (Food-3) [GE] General Electric. 2000. Microturbines. http://www.gepower.com/en_us/expl/html/by_prod/microturbines.html (Utilities-4) Online at:
Gitlitz, J.1995. Aluminum. In Encyclopedia of Energy Technology and the Environment. John Wiley and Sons, Inc. (Alum-2) (Alum-4) Giraldo, L.B. and B. Hyman, 1994. Energy Consumption Patterns in the Paper and Paperboard Industry, prepared for Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Mechanical Engineering Department, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, August 1994. (Paper-6)(Paper-7)
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Habets, L. (Paques BV). 2000. Personal communication to Lynn Price. August 2. (Other-1) Hamer, S. (Fata Hunter). Personal communication with Nathan Martin regarding thin strip casting. July. (Alum-1) Hanson, M. (Energy Center of Wisconsin). 1997. Personal communication to Neal Elliott. Madison, WI: 608-2384601. (Motorsys-5) Hekkert, M.P. and E. Worrell. 1997. Technology Characterisation for Natural Organic Materials. Report No. 98002. Utrecht, The Netherlands: Utrecht University, Dept. of Science, Technology, and Society. (Paper-2) (Paper4) Honeycutt, Crawford. (EIA, Washington, D.C.) Personal Communication with Author. August 17,2000. 202-5861420 Honeywell, Inc. 2000. Website: http://www.parallon75.com/ (Utilities-4) Howe, B., A. Lovins, D. Houghton, M. Shepard, and B. Stickney. 1999. Drive Power: Technology Atlas Series, Vol. IV. Boulder, CO: E Source, Inc. (Motorsys-8) (Motorsys-7) Huangfu, E. (U.S. Department of Energy). 2000. Personal communication Nathan Martin. August. (Refin-2) Hydrogen Fuel Cell Investor, The. 2000. Website: http://www.h2fc.com/defaultNS4.html. Copyright David Redstone, H2FC Editor. (Utilities-3) [IISI] International Iron and Steel Institute. 1996. Steel Statistical Yearbook, 1995. Committee on Economic Studies. Brussels, Belgium: International Iron and Steel Institute. (Overview) -----. 1998. Energy Use in the Steel Industry. September. Brussels, Belgium: International Iron and Steel Institute. (Steel-1) (Steel-5) -----. 2000a. Continuously-cast steel output, 1997 to 1999. Brussels, Belgium: International Iron and Steel Institute. Data online at: http://www.worldsteel.org/trends_indicators/figures_7.html. (Overview) -----. 2000b. EAF Technology State of the Art and Future Trends. March. Brussels, Belgium: International Iron and Steel Institute. (Steel-3) Ingersoll-Rand. 2000. http://www.ingersoll-rand.com/energysystems/. (Utilities-4) Inoue, K. 1995. The Steel Industry in Japan: Progress in Continuous Casting. In Energy-Efficiency Utilizing High Technology: An Assessment of Energy Use in Industry and Buildings. Appendix A: Case Studies, by M.D. Levine, E. Worrell, L. Price, N. Martin. London, UK: World Energy Council. (Steel-1) Iron and Steelmaker. 1999. 1999 Continuous Caster Roundup. In Iron and Steelmaker. November. 26 (11). (Steel-2) Isenberg-OLoughlin, J. 1998. Strip Casting Comes Alive with BHP Steels Breakthrough. In 33 Metal Producing Online. Online at: www.33.metalproducing.com. (Steel-2)
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Perry, W. (Kaeser Compressors). 2000. Personal communication to Neal Elliott. August. (Motorsys-2)
Fredricksburg, VA.
Pfromm, P. 2000. Personal communication Nathan Martin regarding Direct Electrolytic Causticizing. August. (Paper3) Pickens, J. 2000 (forthcoming). Assuring the Benefits of Aluminum Recycling: Engineering Economical Environmental Solutions to the Issues of Black Dross and Saltcake (draft). To be presented at the Alumitech Conference, Atlanta, GA. (Alum-3) Pieper, H., T. Platzer, and J. Becher. 1995. Comparison of Ecological and Economic Aspects of a Modern Regenerative End-Fired Furnace and the Second Generation Sorg LoNOx Melter. In Glass Sci. Technol. 68 (7): 241-245. (Glass-1) Pivko, I. 1999a. Technology in Search of Markets. Nonwovens Industry Story Archive. Article online at: http://www.nonwovens-industry.com/jan991.htm. (Paper-4) -----. 1999b. Technology in Search of Markets. Longboat Key, FL: Notabene Associates Inc. (Paper-4) -----. 2000. (Notabene Associates, Inc.) Personal communication with Nathan Martin regarding dry forming technology. August. (Paper-4) Plunkert, P.A. 1997. Aluminum. Washington, DC: U.S. Geological Survey. (Alum-3) Portner, D. 1999. Experiences with an Oxy-Fuel Container Furnace. In Glass Industry 80 (6): 25-28. (Glass-1) Phringer, O., R. Hauk, B.H.P. Havenga, W.L. Kepplinger, F. Wallner, and H. Wiesinger. 1991. Betriebserfahrungen mit dem COREX-Verfahren und dessen Entwicklungspotential. Stahl und Eisen 111 (9): 37-44. (Steel-5) Reay, D. 1999. Learning from Experiences with Compact Heat Exchangers. CADDET Analyses Series, No. 25. United Kingdom: IEA-CADDET. (Chemicals-3) Reed, J., N. Hall, and A. Oh. 1999. Market Progress Evaluation Report Silicon Crystal Growing Facilities. Arlington, VA: TecMRKT Works. (Electron-1) Reichelt, W. and W. Hofmann, 1996. Contiarc - An Energy Optimised and Environmental Scrap Melting Process. In Stahl und Eisen 116 (5): 89-92 (in German). (Steel-3) Retulainen, E. and A. Hmlinen. 1999. Three Years of Condebelt Drying at Stora Enso Pankakoski Mill in Finland. Paper presented at the Tappi Engineering Conference, September 12-16th, 1999. (Paper-2) Richards, E.A. 1996. Bioenergy from Anaerobically Treated Wastewater. In Brewers Digest. Text of article online at: http://www.execpc.com/~drer/anadoc.htm. (Other-1) Roberto, R. 1992. Low-Pollution Processing with Advanced Radiant Gas Burner. In Gas Research Institute Digest 15 (1). Online at: www.gri.org. Robinson, V. (U.S. Dept. of Energy, Office of Industrial Technologies). 2000. Personal communication to Nathan Martin. June. (Paper-1) Rogers, J. (Independent Consultant). 2000. Personal communication to Jennifer Thorne. August 16. (Lighting-1) (Lighting-2) Rogers, J. and I. Krepchin. 2000. New High-Intensity Fluorescent Lights Outshine Their HID Competitors. ER-00-1. Boulder, CO: E Source, Inc. (Lighting-1) (Lighting-2) Ronkainen, P. (Valmet Corporation). 2000. Personal communication to Nathan Martin. June/July. (Paper-2) (Paper-4) Rossiter, A. P. (ed.). 1995. Waste Minimization through Process Design. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Inc. (Other-4) Rostrup-Nielsen, J.R. 1994. Production of Syngas. In Catalysis Today. Vol. 18: 305-324 (Chemicals-7) Sadowski, R., B. Kinstrey, S. Henderson, and P. Parthsarathy. 1999. Black Liquor Gasification: A Combination Approach. In Tappi Journal. 82 (11): 59-62. (Paper-1)
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Tschudi, W. 2000. Draft Roadmap for High Tech Buildings. Internal memo at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. May. (HVAC-1) [USAEP] The United States Asian Environmental Partnership. 1998. Clean Technologies in U.S. Industries: Focus on Textiles. Online at: http://www.usaep.org/reports/textiles.htm. Washington, DC: U.S. Agency for International Development. (Textile-1) [USCAR] United States Council for Automotive Research. 1998. USCAR Bubbling About Plastics Separation for Recycling. In Newsletter. Fall. Article online at: http://www.uscar.org/techno/flotation.htm (Chemicals-8) -----. 2000. Personal communication with with Susan Yester to Nathan Martin regarding U.S. car research consortium. August. (Chemicals-8) [USGS] United States Geological Survey. 2000. Mineral Commodity Summaries. Washington, DC: U.S. Geological Survey. Online at: http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs/. (Alum-1) (Alum-2) (Alum-3) (Alum-4) Valenti, M., 1998. A Cradle for New Steel Technologies. In Mechanical Engineering. 120 (11): 60-64. (Steel-4) Van Deventer, H.C. 1997. Feasibility of Energy-Efficient Steam Drying of Paper and Textile Including Process Integration. In Applied Thermal Engineering. 17 (8): 1035-1041. (Paper-5) Van Leeuwen, T. 2000. An Aluminum Revolution. Zurich, Switzerland: Credit Suisse First Boston Corporation. (Alum-4) Van Trigt, P. (ABB Power Generation Limited). 1998. Personal communication to Neal Elliott. October. Baden Switzerland. (Utilities-4) Virta, R.L. 1998. Clay and Shale. In Minerals Yearbook 1998. Washington, DC: United States Geological Survey. (Ceramics-1) Wallace, R. 1998. Personal communication to Sam Wheeler. April. St. Louis, MO: Reliance Corporation. 941-746-3515. (Motorsys-7) Ward, D.T. 2000. Growth of Nonwovens Shows No Signs of Slowing. In International Fiber Journal. 15 (1). Article online at: http://www.ifj.com/issue/february00/34.htm (Paper-4) Wartena, R. (Institute of Paper Science and Technology). 2000. Personal communication with Nathan Martin. September. (Paper-3) [WEC] World Energy Council. 1995. Efficient Use of Energy Utilizing High Technology: An Assessment of Energy Use in Industry and Buildings. London, UK: World Energy Council. (SCQ) (Refin-2) Welch, B. 1999. Aluminum Production Paths in the New Millenium. In Journal of Metals 51(5). (Alum-4) Wechsler, R. 2000. Caststrip LLC. Personal Communication to Nathan Martin. October. (Steel-2) Whittemore, O.J. 1999. Energy Use and Efficiencies in Firing Ceramics, Melting Glass. In American Ceramic Society Bulletin. July. pp. 69-71. (Ceramics-1) Wiesner, M.R. and S. Chellam. 1999. The Promise of Membrane Technology. In Environmental Science and Technology. 33(17): 360-366A. (Food-3) (Other-3) Worker, C. Advances at billet and thin slab mills. In New Steel. May. Online at: www.newsteel.com. (Steel-2) Worrell, E. 1994. Potential for Improved Use of Industrial Energy and Materials. PhD Thesis. Utrecht, The Netherlands: Utrecht University. (Refin-2) (Chemicals-8) Worrell, E. 1995. Advanced Technologies and energy efficiency in the iron and steel industry in China. In Energy for Sustainable Development. November. (Steel-2) Worrell,,E, J-W. Bode, and J. De Beer,. 1997a "Analysing Research and technology Development Strategies: The 'ATLAS' Project, Energy Efficient Technologies in Industry", Prepared for Directorate General XVII of the European Commission, Dept. of Science, Technology & Society, Utrecht University (Report 97001), (Paper 1-7)(Steel-2)
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