Peabody Energy - JP Morgan Submitted
Peabody Energy - JP Morgan Submitted
Peabody Energy - JP Morgan Submitted
Statement on
Forward-Looking Information
Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The company uses words such as
anticipate, believe, expect, may, forecast, project, should, estimate, plan, outlook, target, likely, will, to be or other similar words to identify
forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions that the company believes are reasonable, but they are open to
a wide range of uncertainties and business risks that may cause actual results to differ materially from expectations as of February 24, 2015. These factors are
difficult to accurately predict and may be beyond the companys control. The company does not undertake to update its forward-looking statements. Factors that
could affect the companys results include, but are not limited to: supply and demand for our coal products; price volatility and customer procurement practices,
particularly in international seaborne products and in the companys trading and brokerage businesses; impact of alternative energy sources, including natural gas
and renewables; global steel demand and the downstream impact on metallurgical coal prices; impact of weather and natural disasters on demand and production;
reductions and/or deferrals of purchases by major customers and ability to renew sales contracts; credit and performance risks associated with customers,
suppliers, contract miners, co-shippers, and trading, banks and other financial counterparties; geologic, equipment, permitting, site access, operational risks and
new technologies related to mining; transportation availability, performance and costs; availability, timing of delivery and costs of key supplies, capital equipment or
commodities such as diesel fuel, steel, explosives and tires; impact of take-or-pay agreements for rail and port commitments for the delivery of coal; successful
implementation of business strategies; negotiation of labor contracts, employee relations and workforce availability; changes in postretirement benefit and pension
obligations and their related funding requirements; replacement and development of coal reserves; maintenance of adequate liquidity, excluding the cost,
availability, access to capital and financial markets; ability to appropriately secure our obligations for land reclamation, federal and state workers compensation,
federal coal leases and other obligations related to the companys operations; effects of changes in interest rates and currency exchange rates (primarily the
Australian dollar); effects of acquisitions or divestitures; economic strength and political stability of countries in which the company has operations or serves
customers; legislation, regulations and court decisions or other government actions, including, but not limited to, new environmental and mine safety requirements;
changes in income tax regulations, sales-related royalties, or other regulatory taxes and changes in derivative laws and regulations; litigation, including claims not
yet asserted; terrorist attached or security threats, including cypersecurity threats; impacts of pandemic and illnesses; and other risks detailed in the companys
reports filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Adjusted EBITDA is defined as (loss) income from continuing operations before deducting net interest expense; income taxes; asset retirement obligation expenses;
depreciation, depletion, and amortization; asset impairment and mine closure costs; charges for the settlement of claims and litigation related to previously divested
operations; and changes in deferred tax asset valuation allowance and amortization of basis difference related to equity affiliates. Adjusted EBITDA, which is not
calculated identically by all companies, is not a substitute for operating income, net income or cash flow as determined in accordance with United States
GAAP. Management uses Adjusted EBITDA as the primary metric to measure segment operating performance and also believes it is useful to investors in
comparing the companys current results with those of prior and future periods and in evaluating the companys operating performance without regard to its capital
structure or the cost basis of its assets.
Adjusted (Loss) Income from Continuing Operations and Adjusted Diluted EPS are defined as (loss) income from continuing operations and diluted earnings per
share from continuing operations, respectively, excluding the impacts of asset impairment and mine closure costs and charges for the settlement of claims and
litigation related to previously divested operations, net of tax, and the remeasurement of foreign income tax accounts on the companys income tax provision. The
company calculates income tax benefits related to asset impairment and mine closure costs and charges for the settlement of claims and litigation related to
previously divested operations based on the enacted tax rate in the jurisdiction in which they have been or will be realized, adjusted for the estimated recoverability
of those benefits. Management has included these measures because, in the opinion of management, excluding those foregoing items is useful in comparing the
companys current results with those of prior and future periods. Management also believes that excluding the impact of the remeasurement of foreign income tax
accounts represents a meaningful indicator of the company's ongoing effective tax rate.
Shanghai
U.S. impacted by
lower natural gas
prices, declining
export opportunities
India imports strong
on expanding
demand and
inefficient domestic
production
(Tonnes in Millions)
120
China
India
100
50
33
80
39
60
40
20
0
29
36
30
36
29
26
75
47
45
54
34
60
70
25
Stable Supply
Expected in 2015
20
15
15
10
Flat
2013
2014
2015P
Thermal Coal
Supply
2014 marked
by oversupply
as producers
increased volumes
to lower unit costs,
leveraged weaker
currencies
2015 supply
growth to be partly
offset by drop
in U.S. exports
Prices also
influenced by
recent oil moves
36%
29%
30%
20%
20%
Nuclear
Coal
10%
Natural Gas
15%
0%
Source: Peabody Global Analytics and EIA.
10
SPRB / ILB
59%
Other Regions
41%
+6%
SPRB and ILB
share expected to
rise to 65% in 2017
Source: Peabody Energy Global Analytics.
11
MATS Ruling
Proposal represents
60 GW of coal plants
major EPA overreach
to be retired by 2017
Terms are only preliminary;
245 GW of coal-fueled
Likely to be challenged and
generation will remain
litigated by multiple groups
PRB and ILB best-positioned
as higher utilization and basin Peabody supports advanced
coal technology; Strongly
switching offset power
opposes rules that punish
plant retirements
electricity consumers
Source: Peabody Global Analytics and company announcements.
12
13
5,000
Coal
Oil
4,000
Natural Gas
3,000
2,000
Nuclear
1,000
Hydro
Renewables
2000
2015P
2030P
Source: Wood Mackenzie primary energy demand projection. BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2014; United Nations, Department of Economic and
Source:
WoodPopulation
Mackenzie.Division World Urbanization Prospects: The 2014 Revision.
Social Affairs,
14
15
Our Strategy
Maintain position
in higher-growth,
low-cost U.S. basins
Utilize major Australian
metallurgical and
thermal coal platform
Maximize strong global
presence serving highergrowth Asian markets
Australia Platform
Competitive advantage with
mines close to ports; Ports
near high-growth regions
Peabody is largest seaborne
low-vol PCI supplier
Significant potential for future
development; Opportunities
being evaluated for when
market conditions warrant
17
Reduced
Selling and
Administrative
Expenses
Nearly 16%
Improved
Australian
Productivity
32%
Increased U.S.
Productivity
18%
Total Savings
Completed
4 OwnerOperator
Conversions
Evaluating mining
methods to improve
productivity and
maximize yields
Insourcing more
maintenance,
expanding conditionbased monitoring
systems and increasing
equipment availability
Leveraging global scale
by reviewing major
procurement contracts
18
$78
$74
$68
$70
$65 $67
Commissioned longwalls
at North Goonyella
and Metropolitan mines
Successfully completed
owner-operator
conversions
95% of Australian
production under
owner-operator model
$60
Reduced annual
production at higher-cost
Burton Mine by 1.5
million tons; Targeting
lower-cost reserves
$50
$40
$30
2012
2013
2014
2015P
2015 Australian costs per ton based on guidance of 2 4% lower compared to 2014.
19
0%
880
-10%
-20%
AUD Versus
USD
4,140
-30%
Oil Price
Per Barrel
-40%
-50%
-60%
July
Sept.
Nov.
Jan.
Source: Bloomberg. Represents AUD and WTI prompt prices. Hedged positions as of Feb. 11, 2015.
20
~$350 Million
LBA and
VEBA
Payments
~$650 Million
Debt Service
And Capex
Fixed obligations
temporarily elevated
due to final LBA and
VEBA payments
LBA payments end
in 2016
~$275 million in 2015;
~$250 million in 2016
Additional LBAs not
expected until after 2020
Fixed obligations, shown above, are annual cash payments associated with debt service, capital investments, PRB reserve installments
and health benefit trust (VEBA) payments. 014.
21
$997
$900
$800
$700
$600
$500
$400
$328
$300
$200
$194
$180 $200
2014
2015P
$100
$0
2012
2014.
2013
~$300
Cash
~$200 AR
Securitization
~$1,500
Revolver
Aggressive actions to
maintain adequate liquidity
through cost reductions,
capital discipline and
non-core asset sales
Generated ~$130 million
in asset sales in 2014
Amended credit
amendment enhances
financial flexibility
Relaxed covenants for life
of facility and added second
lien debt capacity; Maintaining
size, duration and pricing
23
Revolver
$3,000
6.000%
$1,000
Securitization
$500
7.375%
7.875%
Convertible
$1,500
6.250%
6.500%
$2,000
Term Loan B
Millions $
$2,500
2026
2066
$2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
24
Global Scope
Best-In-Class
Operations
Competitive
Position
Major Growth
Potential
PeabodyEnergy.com
AdvancedEnergyForLife.com
Appendix:
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited)
Quarter Ending
Mar. 31, 2015
Low (2)
High (2)
160
147
13
(2)
107
(105)
-
$
$
(105)
(0.39)
-
200
162
15
(4)
105
5
(83)
-
Year Ended
Dec. 31,
2014 (1)
2013 (1)
$
$
$
(83)
(0.32)
-
814.0
655.7
81.0
52.3
5.7
(15.4)
428.2
203.9
(597.4)
154.4
-
$ 1,047.2
740.3
66.5
6.3
(15.7)
425.2
$
$
(2.7)
(749.1)
(2.83)
0.57
(279.9)
104.5
528.3
30.6
(112.8)
(11.3)
$
$
(44.3)
(286.0)
(1.12)
1.56
0.07
(0.39)
(0.32)
(0.01)
(2.27)
(0.17)
0.34
This information is intended to be reviewed in conjunction with the companys filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
27