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Department of Geosciences and Geography, University of Helsinki, Gustaf Hllstrmin katu 2a, Helsinki 00014, Finland
Department of Geography, University of Utah, 260 S. Central Campus Dr., Salt Lake City, UT 841112, United States
USDA Forest Service, Forest Health ProtectionOgden Field Ofce, 4746 South 1900 East, Ogden, UT 84403, United States
d
Rio Mesa Center, University of Utah, 201 S. Presidents Circle Room 210, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, United States
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a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 15 June 2012
Received in revised form 25 September 2012
Accepted 5 October 2012
Keywords:
C/N ratio
Spruce beetle
Dendroctonus rupennis
GLMM
Disturbance
Lake sediments
a b s t r a c t
Recent outbreaks of native bark beetles are unprecedented during the historical period. The aim of this
manuscript is to develop a proxy-based methodology to infer past bark beetle outbreaks using lake sediments to provide long-term context for recent outbreaks. We test three hypotheses to determine how
the ecological impacts of severe spruce beetle (Dendroctonus rupennis Kirby) disturbances are recorded
in lake sediment deposits. The resulting mortality and defoliation of Engelmann spruce is hypothesized
to: (1) decrease the ratio of spruce to r pollen; (2) reduce canopy interception of precipitation leading to
an increase in soil erosion and/or enhanced mobilization of terrestrial carbon; and (3) leach foliar nitrogen and enhance algal productivity resulting in increased nitrogen values in lake sediments. To test these
hypotheses, we analyzed sediment cores from six spruce beetle-affected basins in Utah for spruce/r pollen ratio (hypothesis 1), loss-on-ignition, magnetic susceptibility of sediments (hypothesis 2), and
d13CBOM, d15NTN, elemental C and N, and the C/N ratio of bulk organic material (hypotheses 2 and 3).
The dataset was statistically tested using general linear mixed models (GLMMs) to determine if the
response variables differed signicantly between outbreak and non-outbreak period. The spruce/r pollen ratio responded signicantly to outbreaks at all sites suggesting that this metric may be the most suitable for identifying past spruce beetle outbreaks. For our second hypothesis we found little support for an
inux of terrestrial C due to strongly individualist responses of the basins. For our third hypotheses we
found little support for increased sedimentary nitrogen, likely due to alterations to nutrient cycling from
human activities. Therefore the host/non-host pollen ratio provides the most promising metric for detecting past outbreaks.
2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Spruce beetles (Dendroctonus rupennis Kirby) are native to
western North America (WNA) and are considered important disturbance agents (Jenkins et al., 2008; Raffa et al., 2008). The ecological impacts of these insect outbreaks are profound (Baker and
Veblen, 1990; Logan and Powell, 2001; Amin et al., 2012). In Utah
and Colorado recent outbreaks of spruce beetle in mature Engelmann spruce (Picea engelmannii Parry ex Engelm.) have been particularly severe (Mielke, 1950; Dymerski et al., 2001; Kulakowski
and Veblen, 2006; DeRose and Long, 2007; Hebertson and Jenkins,
2008; Morris and Brunelle, 2012). Generally, increasing spruce
beetle populations result from temperature-driven accelerations
of their reproductive cycle, leading to exponential population
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: jesse.morris@helsinki. (J.L. Morris).
0378-1127/$ - see front matter 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2012.10.004
J.L. Morris et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 289 (2013) 7889
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J.L. Morris et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 289 (2013) 7889
Fig. 1. (A) Map of study area showing locations for lakes on the Wasatch Plateau, Aquarius Plateau, and Markagunt Plateau. (B) Photographs of ghost forests resulting from
spruce beetle-cause mortality during the 1990s. Note absence of needles on standing dead trees. (C) Photographs of bark beetle-attacked trees. Note copious amounts of sap,
frass, and boring dust. Photographs provided by Jesse Morris (B and C). Steve Munson (C).
J.L. Morris et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 289 (2013) 7889
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Fig. 2. Summary of age-depth relationships for the six subalpine lake basins
discussed in this study based on 210Pb/137Cs dating analysis. Full laboratory
analytical results presented in Morris and Brunelle (2012).
4. Methods
4.1. Chronology
Chronologies for the six cores discussed here were established
through 210Pb/137Cs analysis (Fig. 2). The upper 24 cm of each sediment core was subsampled in 2-cm intervals. For example, sediments from 2 to 4 cm were homogenized yielding one subsample
(5 cc). Therefore 12 unique subsamples for each core were submitted for dating analysis, with the exception of BL, which was subsampled at 1-cm intervals (5 cc) for the upper 20 cm (Morris and
Brunelle, 2012). Subsamples were weighed and dried in a mufe
furnace at 100 C to remove water. Dehydrated samples were submitted to Dr. James Budahn at the US Geological Survey Laboratory
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J.L. Morris et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 289 (2013) 7889
Fig. 3. Time-series plots of nine response variables for the 20th century for six subalpine lakes in Utah. Note differences in scale of y-axes among sites. The approximate
temporal window of spruce beetle (Dendroctonus rupennis) outbreaks are delineated by dashed rectangles.
into a 50 ml beaker and then treated with excess 0.1 N HCl to remove carbonates and allowed to react for 48 h. Subsample residues
were then transferred into 1.7 ml vials, placed into a centrifuge,
and spun at 4000 rpm for 5 min after which the supernatant was
decanted. Residual acid was rinsed from the sediments by adding
distilled water, centrifuging, and decanting until the pH became
neutral (pH 7.0). The sediment residues were dried at 60 C for
48 h. The subsamples were combusted in a Costech 4010 Elemental Analyzer at 1650 C and inlet to a Deltaplus Isotope Ratio Mass
Spectrometry in continuous ow mode at the Stable Isotope Facility for Environmental Research (SIRFER) Laboratory at the University of Utah. Isotope values are calculated as dX
() = 1000(Rsample/Rstandard 1) where X is either 15N or 13C
and R is 15N/14N or 13C/12C respectively. dX is expressed in per
mil () relative to internationally agreed standards; V-PDB for organic carbon and atmosphere (AIR) for nitrogen. Sediment subsamples were analyzed together with internal standards (PLRM-1,
PLRM-2, and SLRM) calibrated to VPDB standard. The sediment
masses analyzed ranged from 2.5 to 10 mg for BL, 2 to
5.5 mg for EL, 2 mg for AP, 2.5 to 4.5 mg for MP, 1 to
2.5 mg for BaL, and 4 to 10.5 mg for PL. The standard deviations (1r) of isotope measurements of d13C and d15N were 60.2.
The d13C values of bulk organic matter (hereinafter d13CBOM) are
expected to reect the contribution of terrestrial organic matter
relative to organic matter derived from lacustrine primary productivity (Meyers and Lallier-Verges, 1999). The d15N values from sediments (total nitrogen, hereinafter d15NTN) are expected to vary
with changes in total nitrogen cycling, landscape disturbance,
and changes in algal productivity (Robinson, 2001).
4.6. Statistical analysis
The inuence of beetle population status (factor: endemic vs.
outbreak) on the seven environmental parameters was examined
using generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs), adding site as a
random effect to account for multiple measurements being taken
from the same sediment core from each lake (Bolker et al., 2009;
Zuur et al., 2009). Analyses were performed using the glmmPQL
function in the MASS package (Venables and Ripley, 2002) in R statistical software (R Development Core Team, 2011), assuming a
Gaussian distribution of errors and applying an identity link function. Model adequacy was conrmed by examination of residuals,
which were approximately normally distributed. Levels (95% condence levels) of the seven environmental variables under endemic and outbreak conditions were subsequently predicted from
the GLMMs (following Zuur et al., 2009).
5. Results
5.1. Wasatch Plateau
5.1.1. Blue Lake (BL)
The spruce/r pollen ratio declines during the 1990s Wasatch
outbreak (Fig. 3). MS exhibits a long-term decreasing trend over
the 20th century which continues during the 1990s Wasatch outbreak. Carbonate and %org values are generally stable but decrease
during the 1990s Wasatch outbreak. The d13CBOM versus C/N ratio
scatter plot suggests that BL sediments are dominated by organic
matter of algal origin (Fig. 4). Linear regression plots suggest an
inorganic nitrogen component (Fig. 5) and d15NTN values of this
lake range from 0 to +2.1 (Fig. 3). The d13CBOM increases
while d15NTN decreases during the 1990s Wasatch outbreak
(Fig. 3). The C/N ratio, %C, and %N generally decrease over the latter
20th century (Fig. 3).
5.1.2. Emerald Lake (EL)
The spruce/r pollen ratio declines with both the 1990s Wasatch and 1900s Emerald outbreaks (Fig. 3). A long-term declining
trend in MS is evident over the 20th century which decreases
through both outbreaks. From LOI, carbonate decreases during
the 1900s outbreak though does not respond to the 1990s Wasatch
outbreak. The %org increases during the 1990s Wasatch outbreak.
The d13CBOM versus C/N ratio scatter plot indicates that the organic
matter composition is lacustrine algae as well as land plant contributions (Fig. 4). Linear regression plots suggest an inorganic nitrogen component (Fig. 5) and d15NTN values of this lake range from
0 to +3 (Fig. 3). The d13CBOM and d15NTN do not respond to
either the 1990s Wasatch or 1900s Emerald outbreaks. The %C
and %N increase during the 1990s outbreak. The C/N ratio declines
J.L. Morris et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 289 (2013) 7889
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Fig. 4. Scatterplots of d13CBOM, versus C/N ratio for Blue Lake and Emerald Lake (Wasatch Plateau); Banana Lake and Purple Lake (Aquarius Plateau); Alpine Pond and Morris
Pond (Markagunt Plateau). The expected values for lacustrine algae, C3-, and C4-derived organic matter (end-member values) are indicated by polygons (modied after
Meyers and Lallier-Verges (1999)).
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over the 20th century before increasing during the 1990s Wasatch
outbreak and then again decreasing at the core top.
5.2. Aquarius Plateau
5.2.1. Banana Lake (BaL)
During the 1930s Aquarius outbreak the spruce/r pollen ratio
declines at BaL (Fig. 3). The MS trend generally increases towards
modern, with a conspicuous increase during the outbreak. There
are visually detectable peaks in MS (e.g. 1905) but not during the
1930s Aquarius outbreak. Carbonate is essentially stable and does
not respond to the 1930s Aquarius outbreak. Towards present, carbonate increases slightly before decreasing steeply ca. 2000. The
d13CBOM versus C/N ratio scatter plot conrms dominance of algal
material with a terrestrial component (Fig. 4). Linear regression
plots suggest an inorganic nitrogen component (Fig. 5) and
d15NTN values of this lake range from 2 to +2 (Fig. 5).
The d13CBOM, d15NTN, and %org are unresponsive to the outbreak
(Fig. 3). The %C is generally stable and %N is unresponsive to the
1930s Aquarius outbreak. The C/N ratio is variable over the 20th
century; however during the 1930s Aquarius outbreak it is stable.
5.2.2. Purple Lake (PL)
The spruce/r pollen ratio decline occurs during the 1940s at PL,
lagging the 1930s Aquarius outbreak (Fig. 3). During the 1930s
Aquarius outbreak MS and carbonate are essentially stable. Carbonate exhibits little variability and generally exhibits a decreasing
trend over the record. The %org is unresponsive during the 1930s
Aquarius outbreak and initiates an increasing trend ca. 1970. The
d13CBOM versus C/N ratio scatter plot conrms organic matter composed of lacustrine algae and C3 plant material (Fig. 4). Linear
regression plots suggest an inorganic nitrogen component (Fig. 5)
and d15NTN values of this lake range from 0 to +3 (Fig. 3).
The C/N ratio, d15NTN, and d13CBOM do not respond to the 1930s
Aquarius outbreak (Fig. 3). The %C is generally stable through the
outbreak with a subtle decrease between 1960 and 1970 while
%N increases slightly ca. 1960. The C/N ratio is stable during the
1930s Aquarius outbreak.
5.3. Markagunt Plateau
5.3.1. Alpine Pond (AP)
The spruce/r pollen ratio decreases coincident with the 1990s
Markagunt outbreak (Fig. 3). MS is variable throughout the record
and decreases during the 1990s Markagunt outbreak. Carbonate
increases slightly during the 1990s Markagunt outbreak. The
%org is variable over the 20th century though decreases during
the outbreak (Fig. 4). The d13CBOM versus C/N ratio scatter plot suggests sediments composed of lacustrine algae (Fig. 5). Linear
regression plots suggest an inorganic nitrogen component (Fig. 5)
and d15NTN values of this lake range from 1 to +2
(Fig. 3). The d13CBOM, d15NTN, %C, %N, and C/N ratio are variable over
the 20th century though all parameters decrease during the 1990s
Markagunt outbreak (Fig. 3).
5.3.2. Morris Pond (MP)
Beginning around 1980, the spruce/r pollen ratio begins a
decreasing trend before decreasing conspicuously during the outbreak (Fig. 3). The MS trend is variable over the 20th century with
no apparent response to the 1990s Markagunt outbreak (Fig. 3).
Carbonate exhibits some variability over 20th century with an increase evident during the 1990s outbreak. The %org increases towards modern with a steep increase during the outbreak. The
d13CBOM versus C/N ratio scatter plot suggests that organic matter
is composed of algal and terrestrial sources (Fig. 4). Linear regression plots suggest an inorganic nitrogen component (Fig. 5) and
d15NTN values range from 1 to +1 (Fig. 3). The d13CBOM
and d15NTN trends are variable with no obvious response during
the outbreak (Fig. 3). The %C, C/N ratio, and %N are variable over
the 20th century and decrease during the 1990s Markagunt
outbreak.
5.4. Statistical analyses
Seven response variables were tested using GLMMs. We elected
to test %N because of its relevance for our third hypothesis which
states that a pulse of nitrogen after an outbreak should cause signicant changes in nitrogen values of lake sediments. The variability existing among the six sites (Fig. 6) is quantied by the random
effects values provided in Table 1. Of the seven response variables,
three parameters differed signicantly under outbreak conditions
relative to the non-outbreak period: spruce/r ratio, MS, and
carbonate (Table 1). The spruce/r pollen ratio responded most
clearly across all six sites (p < 0.001). For the entire dataset, the
pollen ratio decreased by a factor of 2:1 between non-outbreak
and outbreak years after controlling for site effects (Fig. 7; Table 1).
Two parameters (%C and %org), were not tested because they vary
stoichiometrically with %N and are therefore strongly collinear.
6. Discussion
6.1. Sedimentary pollen ratio
Our rst hypothesis states that because spruce beetle outbreaks
result in loss of mature spruce across a landscape, then signicant
decreases in the ratio of spruce to r pollen should occur. Such
changes would be a useful proxy for detecting past outbreaks. This
hypothesis is based on qualitative observations of pollen shifts presented by Anderson et al. (2010), Morris et al. (2010), and Morris
and Brunelle (2012) but until now has not been statistically tested.
Visual inspection of the ratio data indicates that the spruce/r ratio
decreases contemporaneous with spruce beetle outbreaks (Figs. 3
and 6). Statistical analysis indicates support (p > 0.001) for our rst
hypothesis (Table 1). When all outbreaks are considered across all
sites, the spruce/r pollen decreases by a factor of 2:1 following the
onset of an outbreak (Fig. 7).
6.2. Sedimentary mineral, organic, and carbonate content
Our second hypothesis states that because reduced canopy
interception of precipitation results following post-outbreak needlefall, then increases in soil erosion and/or the mobilization of terrestrial carbon (i.e. woody litter, needles, frass, and boring dust)
will be detectable in lacustrine deposits. This is because lakes are
sensitive to terrestrial mineral and organic input resulting from
landscape disturbances (Gedye et al., 2000; Heiri et al., 2001;
Shuman, 2003). The second hypothesis is based on studies documenting post-outbreak increases in streamow, sediment runoff,
and accumulations of ne and coarse organic debris in surface
water and on the forest oor (Love, 1955; Bethlahmy, 1974,1975;
Potts, 1984; DeRose and Long, 2007; Klutsch et al., 2009). Our
results suggest that contributions of terrestrial organic material
(non-pollen) are not signicant in the sediments of these six basins
during outbreaks relative to non-outbreak periods. While the
erosion signal at some lakes appeared to initially support our
second hypothesis, for example increasing MS at BaL (Fig. 3), when
analyzed for the entire dataset overall MS decreased signicantly
during outbreaks (Table 1). This could be due at least three factors.
The rst is that four of the six records we examined correspond to
spruce beetle outbreaks that occurred during the 1990s (Wasatch
and Markagunt outbreaks). Core top samples are often occulent
J.L. Morris et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 289 (2013) 7889
85
Fig. 5. Linear regression plots for %N and %C for the six basin in our study. If the regression line passes close to the origin (0, 0), then inorganic nitrogen is only a small
component of total nitrogen (Mller and Mathesius, 1999). All basins in our study appear to have considerable inorganic nitrogen since the regression does not pass through
the origin.
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J.L. Morris et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 289 (2013) 7889
Fig. 6. Plots of nine response variables examined for this study reporting median (central line), upper/lower quartile (boxes), maximum/minimum excluding outliers
(whiskers), and outliers (open circles). Samples from each lake were assigned to non-outbreak years (0) and outbreak years (1).
Table 1
Results of GLMM analyses examining the effects of spruce beetle population status (xed effect) and site (random effect). All intercepts are signicantly different from zero.
Response variable
Spruce/r ratio
MS
Carbonate (CaCO3)
%N
d15NTN
C/N ratio
d13CBOM
Fixed effects
Random effect
0.50 0.10
1.34 0.58
10.91 4.37
1.30 0.15
0.87 0.26
12.12 1.10
18.25 5.22
0.45 0.06
0.52 0.17
0.88 0.42
0.11 0.06
0.18 0.11
0.36 0.34
0.23 0.33
<0.001
0.002
0.036
0.071
0.106
0.295
0.476
0.23
1.40
10.60
0.36
0.62
2.64
12.66
J.L. Morris et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 289 (2013) 7889
87
no conspicuous response. In lakes with apparent increases in nitrogen during outbreaks relative to pre-outbreak samples, these nitrogen values did not differ signicantly from the range of variability
evident in pre-outbreak samples (Fig. 6). One potential explanation
is that the nitrogen signal could be saturated by inorganic nitrogen
deposition from the atmosphere related to human activities. Wolfe
et al. (2003) found that decreases in the C/N ratio and d15N correspond temporally to increases in anthropogenic activity in Colorado. Similar trends to those presented by Wolfe et al. (2003) are
apparent in examining the C/N ratio and d15N timeseries plots
(Fig. 3 Blue, Emerald, Purple and Morris). It is therefore conceivable
that the nitrogen signal may be receiving enrichment from atmospheric deposition of anthropogenic sources. Exploring the nitrogen signal prior to the 20th century and/or analytical
methodologies that isolate the inorganic nitrogen fraction may
be useful for assessing spruce beetle outbreaks and requires further study.
7. Summary and conclusions
Fig. 7. Spruce/r pollen ratios (mean 95% condence interval) for the endemic
and outbreak phases of the spruce beetle, predicted by generalized linear mixed
modeling for the populations of lakes sampled.
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