Corp Finance 2 SHV
Corp Finance 2 SHV
Corp Finance 2 SHV
2.
3.
4.
3.
5.
6.
Corporate Finance
1.
Venture Capital, IPO, and Debt Financing
2.
Capital Markets & Trading
3.
Stocks and Stock Evaluation
4.
Technical Trading
5.
Option Trading
Corporate Finance
Shareholder Value in the overall economic context
Market are continuously moving around an equilibrium
Researchers such as Schumpeter and Kondratieff
perceive this as normal and positive due to increased
innovation activities in downtimes
Also, increased M&A activities eliminate redundancies
and leads to stronger performance of the companies
Overall, cyclicity is a necessity in business life and
wealth building of a society in the long-term
Periods of Shareholder
creation and Shareholder
destruction are alternating
But: how to secure SHV in
the long-term
Under-Supply
Oil Crisis 1970s
World War II
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
Internet Crisis
September 11/Iraq War
2
Insights
Investment Volume TIAA-CREF und CalPERS ($ US billions)
300
TIAA-CREF
CalPERS
250
200
150
100
50
0
1990
1995
2000
2004
TIAA-CREF = Teachers Insurance and Annuity Association College Retirement Equities Fund
CalPERS = California Public Employees Retirement
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
Please display the stock price development of the following corporations from 1988 (or respectively the point
in time of going public) until today
UPS
Fedex
American Airlines
Lufthansa
Please discuss the stock price development and highlight specific events
Compare the stock price developments with the development of the Facebook stock price and try to outline a
15 year forecast for the Facebook stock provide a rationale for your assessment
Calculate the market capitalization over time as well for all abovementioned companies and compare and
comment on them
Analyze the S&P 500 Transportation Select Industry Index since its introduction and compare it with the
development of the abovementioned companies.
Identify one stock fund who is outperforming all of the companies and the Transportation Index above
Summarize all of your results and derive and assessment with regards to creation of Shareholder Value
Please display the stock price development of the following corporations from 1988 (or respectively the point
in time of going public) until today
Pfizer
Bristol-Myers Squibb
Baxter
Bayer
Please discuss the stock price development and highlight specific events
Compare the stock price developments with the development of the Google stock price and try to outline a
15 year forecast for the Google stock provide a rationale for your assessment
Calculate the market capitalization over time as well for all abovementioned companies and compare and
comment on them
Analyze the S&P 500 Pharmaceuticals Select Industry Index since its introduction and compare it with
the development of the abovementioned companies.
Identify one stock fund who is outperforming all of the companies and the Pharmaceutical Index above
Summarize all of your results and derive and assessment with regards to creation of Shareholder Value
Cash Value
Added (CVA)
Discounted
Free Cash
Flows
Economic
Earnings
Cash Flow
Return on
Investment
Discounted
Free Cash
Flows
Market
Capitalization
Market
Capitalization
+ Dividends
Profitability
Measure
Net Operating
Profit After Tax
(NOPAT)
Cash Flow
Cash Flow
(Dividends)
Capital
Investment
Measure
Economic
Book Capital
Invested
Capital
Internal
Internal
Internal
External
External
(internal only
dividends)
Criteria
Leading Metric
Shareholder
Value Creation
Perspective
Economic
Value Added
(EVA)
Market Value
Added (MVA)
Total
Shareholder
Return (TSR)
Basic Principle
Economic Book Capital
Net
Operating
Profit after
Tax
Capital
Charge
WACC
(= Shareholder Value)
Assets
Fixed Assets
Liabilities
Current Assets
Non-interest
bearing Liabl.
Economic Book
Capital (w/o
Adjustments)
=
Capital
Employed
Examples
Accruals for
- Pensions
- Tax
Accounts
Payable
Principle
Market
Value
Economic Book
Capital
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZCaeMTSTWYs
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
Principle
Dividends
Market
Capitalization
Market
Market
Capitalization
2010
2011
Total Shareholder
Return (TSR)
10
Cash Flow
Investment
(Acquisition
Values)
Cash Flow
Investment
Basis
CFROI
X
WACC
Cash Value
Added
(CVA)
Principle
11
Principle
Market Value
of Financial
Assets
Company
Value
Market Value
Liabilities
NPV of
Terminal
Value
NPV Free
Cash Flows
Shareholder
Value
12
6-
Year
Jahr
Terminal
Endwert Value
NPV
NPV ofdes
Barwerte
Barwert
Terminal
FCFs
EndwertsValue
Principle
13
Capital-market driven
Economic Value Added Approach
Assets
Fixed Assets
Liabilities
Current Assets
Non-Interest
bearing Liabilities
Attention:
Economic Value Added Approach operates
with a different capital basis than the External
Reporting: Economic Capital Accounting
Capital!
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
17
1,8
Stock X
Strong volatilities
1,6
1,4
1,2
1
0,8
0,6
0,4
0,2
0
1994
2000
2004
18
Criteria
Market Capitalization
Weighting
Market Capitalization of
common stocks
Current value:
11.868 points
(April 23, 2015)
Source: Wikipedia
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
19
(Starting
point usually
Government
bond return
rate)
High Risk
Investment,
e.g. S&P 500
Risk free
investment, e.g.
Government
Bonds
Cost of Equity
From practical perspective:
Average Interest rate on Liabilities
(means: investor would like to earn at
least the interests paid to loan givers)
Formula
Cost of Equity = (Risk Free Premium + Beta (S&P 500 Return Government Bonds Return))/ (1-t)
t = tax rate; applicable when EBIT (Earnings before Interest and Tax) is used to determine Profits. If Profits are calculated based on NOPAT (Net
Operating Profit after Tax) no tax rate is required in the formula
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
20
Assets
Fixed
Assets
Liabilities
+
(Interests (1-t)) x Percentage Liabilities
Current
Assets
NIBL
=
Weighted Average Costs of Capital
(WACC)
21
Formula
Cost of Equity =
(Risk free return + Beta Factor (S&P 500 Return Government Bond Return))/ (1-t)
Usually = Government
Bond Return
In practical application
often used = interests
(in %) granted to loan
givers
( Based on Balance Sheet
and P&L (Liabilities and
Interests)
Simplification:
Interest payments compared
with liabilities in Balance
Sheet leads to average
interest rate of a company)
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
Calculated by
Investment Banks
Product Revenues
Revenues
+
Other Revenues
EBIT
COGS
+
Costs
SG&A
+
R&D
ROCE
(Return on
Capital
Employed)
:
Accounts Receivable
+
Current Assets
Economic
Value
Created
Inventories
Others
+
Weighted
Average
Cost of
Capital
Capital
Employed
Fixed Assets
Intangibles
PP&E
+
Financial Assets
Equity
Liabilities
Debt Ratio
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
Accounts Payable
+
Non-interest
bearing Liabilities
Accruals
+
Others
23
24
Economic
Capital
Adjustments
NIBLs
NonOperating
Assets
Total
Book
Assets
Net Book
Assets
Economic
Capital
Adjustments
Economic
Book
Capital
NIBLs
NonOperating
Assets
Debt
+
Preferred
Stock
Book Value
of Capital
Invested
Book
Equity
25
Less:
NIBLs
Total
Book
Assets
Accounts Payable
Selected Other
Current Liabilities
Accrued Expenses
NonOperating
Assets
Non-Operating
Assets
Cash
Investments
Marketable
Securities
Long-Term and
Short-Term
Notes
Receivable
Deferred Tax
Asset
Economic
Capital
Adjustments
Economic Book
Capital
Adjustments
Economic
Book
Capital
R&D Capitalization
Goodwill
Accumulated
Amortization
Capitalized
Operating Leases
LIFO Adjustments
Etc. (See Appendix)
26
Income Statement
Operating
EBIT
+
NOPAT
Adjustments
NOPAT
Economic
Earnings
Cash Taxes
Economic
Book Capital
Capital
Charge
x
WACC
Balance Sheet
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
27
Converting from
Accounting Life to Economic Life
R&D
Accounting for
Off-Balance Sheet Transactions
Operating leases
Advertising
Recorded goodwill
Classifying
Non-Debt Capital as Debt
Pension liabilities
28
Basic Principle
EVA Adjustments
Balance Sheet
Assets
E&L
FA
CA
+
50 Mill
P&L
Lease Contract 5 Years,
payment p.a. 8 Mill (= NPV
30.5 Mill)
8 Mill 8 Mill
8 Mill 8 Mill
3
Yearly
8 Mill
Elimination of
Lease rates and
replacement by
depreciation on
NPV of leased
Asset
29
Basic Principle
EVA Adjustments
Balance Sheet
Investment Value of
R&D Investment
Assets
E&L
FA
CA
2*
P&L
R&D Expenses
R&D Amortization
Investment Value of
R&D Investments =
Total Revenues
past 5 years
*) Divided by 2, based on general assumption that only 50% of R&D efforts lead to revenues
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
30
Price
Revenues
Volume
EBIT
COGS
Costs
SG&A
Inventories
Others
Accounts
Receivable
NOPAT
Adjustments
NOPAT
Tax
Economic
Earnings
Assets
Economic
Book Capital
PP&E
Investments
Accounts
Payable
Non-interest
bearing Liabl.
Cost of
Capital
Intangibles
(e.g.
Goodwill)
Other NIBL
x
Interest
WACC
Economic
Capital
Adjustments
Cost of
Equity
Debt Ratio
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
31
Revenue
Expenses
Assets
$80.0
$31.0
$28.0
$29.0
$27.0
$26.0
$19.0
$12.0
Alcoholic
Beverages
Soft Drinks
Snacks
Mate- Salaries
rial & Wages
Depreciation
Repair
Leasing
$12.0
$8.0
G&A
PP&E
Working
Capital
$7.0
Intangibles
32
Homework Assignment
April 30, 2015
Assignment questions
If you do not find any insights please research the 10k and
Appendix (for German companies) for further hints but
please aware do not invest too much time in researching
data: if cannot find any insights please search the internet
or use an assumption (i.e. R&D as % of revenue)
Homework Assignment
April 30, 2015
Assignment questions
Please calculate the EVA for each firm based on the annual
data for 2014 use the simplified version to determine
Economic Book Capital
If you do not find any insights please research the 10k and
Appendix (for German companies) for further hints but
please aware do not invest too much time in researching
data: if cannot find any insights please search the internet or
use an assumption (i.e. R&D as % of revenue)
34
Value-Based Approach
Strategy-oriented Approach
Financials
Good for planning insufficient
guidance for execution
Operations
Resourcen
35
Critical
Success
Factors
Potential
Candidate
Measure
Strategy Breakdown
Visions
36
Vision
To be the most
innovative
telecommunications service
provider in
Europe
Functional
Strategy
Objectives
CSF
Potential
Measures
Product
Strategy
Customer
Strategy
Market
Strategy
R&D
Strategy
Operations
Strategy
HR Strategy
37
Measurement Prioritization
Approach
High
Value Tree
Priority
Measures
Value
Impact
Low
Low
Strategic
Significance
High
Strategy
Breakdown
38
Strategic
Importance
Value Impact
Controllability
Measurability
Prioritization
R&D budget/revenue
Revenue growth/industry
growth
Economic Earnings
Cash Flow
COGS reduction
Inventory reduction
Training days
39
Measurement Screening
Approach
Value
Indicator 1
Indicator 2
High
Priority
Measures
Value
Impact
Low
Low
Strategic
Significance
High
Market
Operations
Resources
Indicator 1
Indicator 2
Indicator 1
Indicator 2
Indicator 1
Indicator 2
40
Value
Operations
Are we
Are we managing
effectively
for superior cost,
penetrating our
quality, time and
target markets
flexibility?
and meeting
the needs of
our customers?
Resources
Are we
properly
managing our
tangible and
in-tangible
assets?
41
Value
High Priority
Measures
Economic Earnings
Cash Flow
Cost Reductions
Error Rates
Training Days
Market
Operations
Resources
42
Cascading
Corporate Dashboard
Holding
Alcoholic
Beverages
Sales &
Marketing
Divisional Dashboard
Soft
Drinks
R&D /
Operations
Functional
Dashboard
43
Finance
Market &
Customer
Product Margins
ROCE
EBIT
Capital Employed
Debt/Equity Ratio
Operations
Resources
Costs of Goods
sold
Quality
Delivery Reliability
Total Productivity
Material Costs
Reduction
Capital
Expenditure Ratio
Employee
Satisfaction
44
Financial
Perspective
How do we look to
shareholder?
Customer
Perspective
Internal Business
Perspective
How do customers
see us?
What must we
excel at?
Innovation and
Learning
Can we continue to
improve and
create value?
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
45
Customer
Perspective
Internal
Business
Perspective
Goals
Measures
Reliable delivery
% on-time delivery
Continuous cost
improvement
Operational excellence
Innovation leader
# of new patents
Working Capital
Strategy
Innovation &
Learning
Perspective
Financial
Perspective
46
Strategy Dimension
Strategic Capabilities
Change
Creativity
Entrepreneurship
Internal Process
Perspective
Customer Perspective
Revenue Growth
Strategy
Shareholder Value
Optimization
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
Productivity
Strategy
Financial Perspective
47
Communicating and
Linking
Communicating and
educating
Setting goals
Linking rewards to
performance measures
Feedback and
Learning
Balanced
Scorecard
Business Planning
Setting targets
Aligning strategic
initiatives
Allocating resources
Establishing milestones
Prof. Dr. Sren Dressler
48
Financials
Market/ Customer
Product
Profitability
ROCE
EBIT
Capital Employed
Debt/Equity Ratio
Processes
COGS
Quality
Delivery
Capabilities
Productivity
Material Cost
Reduction
Resources
Investments
Employee
Satisfaction
49