Buffets Bid For Media General
Buffets Bid For Media General
Buffets Bid For Media General
Sources: Media General, Inc. 10-K Reports, various years; Alliance for Audited Media--Newspaper
Audit Reports accessed 12/20/12.
Notes:
(a) Includes data on The Tampa Tribune
(b) Casewriter estimates based on published sources.
Exhibit 6: Media General Management Compensation—Employee Stock Options
Sources: Media General Inc., Annual Reports for 2006, 2008, and 2010; Proxy Statements dated April 27, 2006,
April 24, 2008, and April 26, 2012.
Note: All option terms are stated as of the original grant date.
Risk-Free
Rate
4.10%
4.40%
3.31%
2.30%
3.10%
2.70%
Revenue
Publishing/Newspapers $299.6 $328.4 $357.5 $436.9 $524.8
Broadcasting/TV $278.7 $306.8 $259.0 $322.1 $336.5
Digital Media $38.0 $43.0 $41.1 $38.4 $35.0
Total Revenue $616.3 $678.2 $657.6 $797.4 $896.3
Cost of Goods Sold $419.7 $442.9 $448.6 $562.6 $610.6
Gross Profit $196.6 $235.3 $209.0 $234.8 $285.7
Other Items:
Revenue Growth Rate -9.1% 3.1% -17.5% -11.0% n/a
EBITDA Margin 14.6% 18.8% 17.5% 15.5% 17.9%
Operating (EBIT) Margin 6.2% 11.0% 8.5% 6.5% 9.8%
Net Income Margin -12.0% -3.3% -5.4% -79.2% 1.2%
Interest Coverage 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.5
Capital Expenditures $19.1 $26.5 $18.5 $31.5 $78.1
Dividends Per Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.81 $0.92
Num. of Full Time Employees 4,200 4,650 4,700 5,600 6,900
Sources: S&P Capital IQ (accessed 9/20/12) and Media General Annual Reports, various years.
Notes:
(a) The losses included in the Unusual Items are largely due to non-cash impairment charges.
(b) The income tax calculation was affected by the existence of a deferred tax valuation
allowance, a deferred tax liability, and accumulated net operating losses (NOLs).
Exhibit 8 Media General Balance Sheet: 2007 to 2011 (US$ millions)
Assets
Cash & ST Investments $23.1 $31.9 $33.2 $7.1 $14.2
Accounts Receivable $97.0 $102.3 $104.4 $102.2 $133.9
Inventory $5.7 $7.1 $6.6 $12.0 $6.7
Other $21.3 $29.7 $60.8 $51.3 $159.0
Current Assets $147.1 $171.0 $205.1 $172.6 $313.8
Liabilities
Accounts Payable $26.6 $30.0 $26.4 $41.4 $32.7
Accrued Expenses $40.8 $40.5 $27.0 $50.6 $52.5
Current Portion of LT Debt $0.0 $6.9 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Other Current Liabilities $33.3 $42.4 $45.1 $38.8 $54.9
Current Liabilities $100.7 $119.8 $98.6 $130.7 $140.0
Long-Term Debt
Bank Term Loan (a) $363.1 $369.4 $285.8 $300.0 $300.0
Senior Notes (b) $294.9 $293.9 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Revolving Credit Facility $0.0 $0.0 $426.0 $430.0 $597.5
Capitalized Leases $0.2 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Total LT Debt $658.2 $663.3 $711.8 $730.0 $897.5
Pension Liabilities (c) $223.1 $170.7 $173.0 $251.2 $147.6
Other LT Liabilities $70.2 $62.2 $60.4 $67.1 $373.0
Total Liabilities $1,052.2 $1,016.0 $1,043.8 $1,179.0 $1,558.1
Other Items:
Total Shares Out (millions) 23.1 23.0 22.8 22.8 22.6
Debt-to-Total Capitalization 95.1% 80.3% 78.7% 82.5% 49.6%
Current Ratio 1.46 1.43 2.08 1.32 2.24
Sources: S&P Capital IQ (accessed 9/20/12), and Media General Annual Reports, various years.
Notes: a) The Bank Term Loan matured in March 2013 and had a rate of ~ 5.00% (= Libor + 4.75%).
b) The Senior Notes had a face value of $300 million, a final maturity in February 2017,
and an interest rate of 11.75%.
c) Includes $132 million for a funded pension plan and $91.1 million for other unfunded
pension and benefits plans.
Exhibit 10 Cash Flow Forecasts for Media General’s Entire Newspaper Division (including The Tampa Tribune)
Actual Results for the Year Ending 12/31 Forecast Results for the Year E
Item 2007A 2008A 2009A 2010A 2011A 2012F 2013F
Sources: Media General, Inc., Form 8-K, 4/9/12; Gabelli & Company, Inc., Media General Inc. Research Report, 4/12/12; and ca
Note: As of 3/31/12, Gabelli & Company and its affiliates owned 35.2% of Media General's Class A stock.
cast Results for the Year Ending 12/31
2014F 2015F 2016F
Average
As of Dec. 31, 2011 (book values in millions) Leverage Equity
Company Revenue Assets Debt Equity D/V (a) Beta (b)
A.H. Belo Corp. A newspaper company that owned and operated four daily newspapers and
associated web sites. AH Belo was created in February 2008, when Belo Corp. (a
media conglomerate) spun off its newspaper division into a separate public
company. Belo Corp. retained the television division while A.H. Belo became a
newspaper publishing company.
Beasley Broadcast Group A radio broadcasting company that owned 26 FM and 16 AM stations. The
stations played a diverse range of formats: Hispanic, oldies, rhythmic, country,
news, and sports talk programs.
Courier Corp. A book manufacturing and publishing company. Target markets included
religious, educational textbooks, and specialty trade books.
Gannett Co. The largest U.S. newspaper company. It published 82 dailies (including USA
Today) and 600 community papers in 35 states. It also had both daily and weekly
community newspapers published in the UK.
Journal Comm., Inc. A diversified media company with operations in publishing (48% of revenue) and
broadcasting (52% of revenue). It published an urban newspaper, weekly papers,
and shoppers; and owned 33 radio and 13 TV stations.
Saga Communications A broadcast company engaged in acquiring and operating radio and television
stations. It owned 9 TV stations, 61 FM radio stations, and 30 AM radio stations.
lue of equity.
WACC
Risk Free Rate (30 years treasury) 2.90%
Average Asset beta 1.29
Optimal capital structure 4
Optimal capital structure 33%
Debt Beta 0.20
MEG Equity beta 6.84
Market risk premium 6%
Cost of Equity 44%
Cost of Debt 10.26%
After tax cost of debt 7%
Terminal Growth rate 2.00%
Debt 658.00
Equity 34.00
Debt% 95.1%
Equity% 4.9%
WACC 8.50%
301.30
301.30
MEG DIVISION VALUATION
2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F
Revenue (Lower Sales Growth 287.1 282.5 285.33 288.18 291.06
EBIT 14.20 13.70 13.84 13.98 14.12
Tax 4.97 4.80 4.84 4.89 4.94
NOPAT 9.23 8.91 8.99 9.08 9.17
Add: Depreciation 20.0 16.0 12.0 9.0 6.0
Less: Capital Expenditure 5.0 5.5 5.9 6.0 6.0
Less: Change in NWC -0.6 -0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
FREE CASH FLOW 24.85 19.64 14.81 11.79 8.88
Terminal Value
TOTAL 28.35 5.28 24.90 26.20 24.80
MEG VALUE $123.87
Agreed price $142.00
Transaction Value ($18.13)
2017F-Onwards
111.54
111.54
VALUING WARRANTS WHEN THERE IS
DILUTION
Input Data
Stock Price now (P)
Exercise Price of Option (EX)
Number of periods to Exercise in years (t)
Compounded Risk-Free Interest Rate (rf)
Standard Deviation (annualized s)
Output Data
Present Value of Exercise Price (PV(EX))
s*t^.5
d1
d2
Delta N(d1) Normal Cumulative Density Function
Bank Loan N(d2)*PV(EX)
Value of Call
Initial outlay
Principal payment
Interest payments
Discount rate
No of periods
NPV
1.2
0.01
8
1.76%
44.50%
0.0087
1.2587
4.5449
3.2862
1.0000
0.0087
1.19
4,650,000.00
0.01
$46,500.00
3.14
$14,601,000.00
$14,554,500.00