Q3 A Delta Natural Strategy

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Q3 a Delta natural strategy

Based on the above analysis, we assume that the stock return follows the normal
distribution, and we select the period from 23 / 03 in 2018 to 09 / 03 in 2020. By multiplying the
standard deviation of all daily yields by the square root of 365 days, the historical volatility of
30.74% can be obtained. We can find that the implied volatility of options is lower than the
historical volatility. This shows that option pricing is too low, we can carry out arbitrage through
delta neutral portfolio.
Constructing a delta neutral portfolio at 10/03/2020
When an option is determined to be undervalued, the long position of call option should be
taken to make use of the wrong option. In order to keep portfolio delta neutral, a certain number of
shares must be short to offset the delta caused by long-term call options. We were to long 2000 calls
(20 contract ), we would be required to short 250 shares.

Delta per unit Number of units Position


Short Stocks 2 -250 -250

Long Calls 0.250 2000 250

Transaction costs associated with the portfolio include:


• Brokerage fee of $19.95 for purchase of shares valued between $1000 and $10000
• Brokerage fee for options up to $10000 $34.95
• The settlement fee for each transaction contract is $0.13 per contract
The value of the portfolio is:
V0 = 2,000*0.003718+250*4.45
less transaction costs : $0.13*20 + 34.95+19.95
V0 = $1062.44
Rebalancing the portfolio at 17/03/2020
The decision to rebalance the portfolio on March 17, 2020 was made because it was the
most recent exercise date. At this time, the increment of options increases to 0.35.

Rebalancing at 17/3/20
Number of
Delta per unit units Position
Short Stocks 2 -250 -250

Long Calls 0.3532 2000 700

+450
Therefore, we must short an additional 450 shares in order to rebalance our portfolio to be
delta neutral.
V7 = 2,000*0.006522+700*2.86
less transaction costs : 19.95
V7 = $1995.09
The value of the portfolio after 14 days was:
V14 = 2,000*0.008848+700*3.27
V14= $2306.70

Q4 Performance evaluation
In order to benchmark our returns, the risk-free interest rate will be used to calculate the
return on the initial investment. Cash rate can use the 0.25% published by Reserve Bank of
Australia. The following table shows the value of the portfolio over two weeks and under different
conditions. The value of the portfolio already includes the associated transaction costs.

Return
(no Return
Risk free rate Return (rf) No Balance balance) Rebalanced (rebalance)
10/03/2020 $1062.44 NA $ 1062.44 NA $ 1062.44 NA

17/03/2020 $1995.09 0.02% $ 2234.50 12.00% $ 1619.69 52.45%


25/03/2020 $2306.70 0.02% $ 2583.50 15.61% $ 2438.10 17.11%

Net profit of Rebalanced Portfolio


Through the new value of the call on 25/3/2020, We lose (2000 * 0.88) = $176 from long
the calls. But we make a profile of $4.45 - $3.27 = $1.18 * 450 = $531 from the increase in value of
the share. After factoring in transaction costs ($57.5 + $19.95) = $77.45. We earn a net profile of
$531 - $176 - $77.45 = $277.55. This indicates that delta hedging strategies may obtain abnormal
returns.

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