Q3 A Delta Natural Strategy
Q3 A Delta Natural Strategy
Q3 A Delta Natural Strategy
Based on the above analysis, we assume that the stock return follows the normal
distribution, and we select the period from 23 / 03 in 2018 to 09 / 03 in 2020. By multiplying the
standard deviation of all daily yields by the square root of 365 days, the historical volatility of
30.74% can be obtained. We can find that the implied volatility of options is lower than the
historical volatility. This shows that option pricing is too low, we can carry out arbitrage through
delta neutral portfolio.
Constructing a delta neutral portfolio at 10/03/2020
When an option is determined to be undervalued, the long position of call option should be
taken to make use of the wrong option. In order to keep portfolio delta neutral, a certain number of
shares must be short to offset the delta caused by long-term call options. We were to long 2000 calls
(20 contract ), we would be required to short 250 shares.
Rebalancing at 17/3/20
Number of
Delta per unit units Position
Short Stocks 2 -250 -250
+450
Therefore, we must short an additional 450 shares in order to rebalance our portfolio to be
delta neutral.
V7 = 2,000*0.006522+700*2.86
less transaction costs : 19.95
V7 = $1995.09
The value of the portfolio after 14 days was:
V14 = 2,000*0.008848+700*3.27
V14= $2306.70
Q4 Performance evaluation
In order to benchmark our returns, the risk-free interest rate will be used to calculate the
return on the initial investment. Cash rate can use the 0.25% published by Reserve Bank of
Australia. The following table shows the value of the portfolio over two weeks and under different
conditions. The value of the portfolio already includes the associated transaction costs.
Return
(no Return
Risk free rate Return (rf) No Balance balance) Rebalanced (rebalance)
10/03/2020 $1062.44 NA $ 1062.44 NA $ 1062.44 NA