Scoping Report - The Future Movement Group
Scoping Report - The Future Movement Group
Scoping Report - The Future Movement Group
Group Project
Scoping Report
August 2020
Group Number: 15
‘The Future Movement Group’
Scoping Report 31/08/2020
Executive Summary
The purpose of this report is to address the main issue of road freight & develop
design criteria for possible solutions to the industries sustainable shortcomings.
Road freight in Australia is an industry that we have relied on since late into the 20th
Century. All States & Territories in Australia rely on truck-drivers to move goods and
services to & from locations, a strong position being held by diesel and petrol-
powered vehicles. Diesel & Petrol are efficient sources of energy & is commonly
used for long haul travel as it is economically viable, accessible, & serviceable. Many
intertwining factors that are associated with diesel & petrol long haul freighting
includes; negative impacts on the environment due to large quantities of emissions
of gases & particulate matter, high workplace casualty rate, market holdings, high
employment, government investments, & empty & idle trips. Efficient & sustainable
freighting networks have the potential to integrate into Australia’s current freighting
systems to reduce emissions, produce new employment opportunities, reduce road
freight travel accidents, & increase productivity of freighting before resources of fossil
fuels are exhausted. To support the growing need for all industries to be more
sustainable to combat high rates of climate change, differing solutions that are
currently available were analysed & considered in the approach to make road freight
more sustainable in Australia. Rail freight, electric fuelled light rigid transport, liquified
natural gas fuelled heavy rigid transport, & automated upload programs are at the
forefront in Australia’s future freight, & transport industry & are the main points of
interest that were pursued.
Ultimately, the technologies & systems, in conjunction with each other, may produce
a sustainable road freight industry in Australia as determined by the design
objectives. The scope timeline, based off road freights most predominant & pressing
issue of fossil fuel exhaustion, is set at 20 years, for the purpose of constraining
implementation plan limits & design objectives to have effect by the year of 2040.
Through filtering various design options & pathways gained through the coalesced
available technologies and systems, against in-development designs, a comparison
can be evaluated, & preferred design option progression be undertaken within the
limitations of the scope timeline. Analysis of the environmental & socio-economic
benefits & restrictions that development plans entail will further progress into the
possible outcomes that may be achieved in the near future for Australia’s road freight
industry. Establishment of possible future sustainable freighting systems
implemented into the Australian trucking industry, needs to be concise, & to where
the transition will not compromise the design objectives ability to reach optimal levels
of sustainability and the systems longevity as whole. The issues of inefficiencies and
unsustainable practices within Australia’s current road freighting systems is
recommended by our design team to be targeted for solution, for the benefit of
Australia’s environment, financial wellbeing, and social clarity.
List of Abbreviations
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Table of Contents
1 Introduction ......................................................................................................... 7
1.1 Context/Scope............................................................................................... 7
1.2 Problem Definition ......................................................................................... 8
2 Design Objectives ............................................................................................... 9
2.1 Minimization of Road Freight Caused Casualties.......................................... 9
2.2 Minimisation of Environmental Impact ......................................................... 10
2.3 Improvement of Economic Growth in The Industry ..................................... 10
2.4 Suitable Transition Procedure ..................................................................... 12
2.5 Longevity ..................................................................................................... 12
3 Available Sustainable Design Concepts............................................................ 13
3.1 Automation .................................................................................................. 13
3.2 Data/Load Sharing ...................................................................................... 15
3.3 Emission friendly fuel sources ..................................................................... 15
4 Case Study – “GreenFox”, Linfox ...................................................................... 16
5 Implementation.................................................................................................. 17
5.1 The Aim ....................................................................................................... 17
5.2 Our Targets ................................................................................................. 18
5.2.1 Employment.......................................................................................... 18
5.2.2 Safety ................................................................................................... 18
5.2.3 Successful Plan Management .............................................................. 19
6 Conclusion ........................................................................................................ 20
7 References ........................................................................................................ 21
8 Appendix ........................................................................................................... 24
Tables
Table 1: Road deaths by jurisdiction (Bureau of Infrastructure and Transport
Research Economics, 2020) ...................................................................................... 9
Table 2: Costs of road congestion and public transport crowding are
forecasted to double from 2016 to 2031 (Infrastructure Australia, 2019).............. 11
Table 3: Candidate technologies for forecasts (Austroads, 2020) ...................... 14
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Figures
Figure 1: Energy Intensity Levels During “GreenFox” Program (Linfox, 2014) . 16
Figure 2: Projected future freight task, by major transport mode, 2018–2040
(Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics, 2019) ..................... 17
Figure 3: Fatality rates by road transport (Department of Infrastructure and
Regional Development, 2016) .................................................................................. 18
Figure 4: Federal Government Investment In Rail (Australian Railway Association,
2014) ........................................................................................................................ 19
Figure 5: Team Gantt Chart ................................................................................... 24
1 Introduction
1.1 Context/Scope
Road freight in Australia is an industry that reaches nearly all sectors in the
economy. It is vastly diverse in commodities and/or sectors including, & not limited to
construction, wholesale trade, animal & live animals & beverage, retail, & machinery
& manufacturing. Road freight accounts for about 35 per cent of total freight in
Australia (Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics, 2014), with
the majority (30 per cent) of freight tonnages coming from the delivery of crude
construction materials (e.g. sand, gravel & cement) (Bureau of Infrastructure,
Transport and Regional Economics, 2019).
Road freight transport is the dominant transport system for the Australian non-bulk
market, therefor requiring large numbers of workers, businesses & financial inputs in
the sector. In 2015–2016, the ABS recorded that all transport related sectors
accounted for the employment of around one million persons, & contributed $122.3
billion to the Australian economy, accounting for 7.2 per cent of the period’s GDP
(Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2018). This indicates the importance of the transport
& freighting industry and that continued financial evolution needs to be considered in
the approach for sustainable freighting systems.
Alike with all areas of industry within the Australian economy, the freighting sector
coincides with relative changes & implementations of upgrades, reforms & tariffs.
Since the establishment of the NHS in the mid 1970’s, transport & freighting in
Australia has seen a rapid increase, then slowing towards a more linear relationship
with time. It is expected that road freight will grow at a slower rate of around two per
cent per annum after 2012 (Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional
Economics, 2019). Future growth of the freighting transport & logistic services has
been calculated by government departments (e.g. BITRE) & independent
researchers alike (e.g. IBISWorld), both pointing towards Australia (under median
condition scenarios of GDP growth, population & oil prices) being subject to relatively
slow positive growth per annum, similar to today’s growth figures mentioned
previously. The kilometres truck drivers complete are distributed with a strong bias.
Freighting transport TKM predominantly occurs between Australian State &
Territories capital cities & regional areas, & inside capital cities, as road is the main
route of transport for Australian consumed and/or produced commodities. Almost all
of transport is completed using heavy vehicles that make up 95 per cent of
Australia’s road freight fleet that weigh 4.5 tonnes or more, & only occupy less than
ten per cent of all total road usage (Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional
Economics, 2014). The dominance of articulated heavy vehicles (Trucks with a
primary mover, towing singular or multiple trailers or containers attached by
turntable) illustrates trends in business & efficiency bias towards these trucks
compared to light rigid vehicles which are vastly outnumbered. Business trends on
preferred or more efficient vehicles is a tying factor to the impact road freight has on
the environment. As climate change rates continue to grow and so does the
awareness for the need to adapt business & everyday concepts, road freight is seen
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to face a big challenge in this transition. In 2012, it was recorded that from Australia’s
total transport emissions, 20 per cent was from trucks, outlining the dissimilarity in
improvement of fuel efficiency in vehicles & the development of alternative energy
vehicles, against the growth of the amount of transport activity (Climate Change
Authority, 2014).
Demand for reform and improvements of the road freighting system is increasing in
Australia. Knowledge of fossil fuel exhaustion, high rates of workplace deaths, slow
economic growth & significant emission levels has led to this problem gaining
momentum & requiring detail defined solutions.
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2.5 Longevity
The road freight industry will continue to exist in Australia in some form for decades
to come. The Australian landscape with multiple primary producers spread across
multiple terrain types prevents rail, sea, and air from removing road freight
completely. Phasing in the correct balance of automated and emission free
technology could allow for the road freight industry to operate sustainably
indefinitely. Decisions made over the course of the next 20 years will lay a
foundation for a new era for road freight. Desired deign options to be implemented
will address previously mentioned issues and reap positive impacts on social,
environmental, & financial aspects of sustainability for many years in the future.
3 Available Sustainable Design Concepts
For all the many challenges facing road freight in Australia, there are just as many or
more concepts and technologies available to address them. Some technologies
(adaptive cruise control) are established and now require higher rates of adoption.
Some technologies (automated data gathering and sharing, FCVs or EVs) are in the
early stages of implementation and require further testing. Some technologies (Fully
Automated Vehicles for all environments) are still at concept stage and require
engineering.
The sections below explore concepts and technologies at each stage and consider
the benefits, risks, and likely resistances of implementing them. The explored
concepts are not intended to be exhaustive but rather are targeted at some of the
primary issues identified earlier in this report, and illustrative of concepts that can be
implemented successfully to significantly increase the sustainability of road freight in
Australia.
3.1 Automation
Safety concerns continue to be at the forefront of issues facing the road freight
industry in Australia. As an industry road freight employs two per cent of our
population (Safe Work Australia, 2015)and yet accounts for over 30 per cent of all
work fatalities (Newman, et al., 2017). This is not only an issue on our highways, as
E-commerce continues to bring freight vehicles to local streets increasing concern
over traffic safety in urban areas (McDonald, et al., 2019). Automation may have the
power to diminish road freight prevalence in urban areas with the uptake of UAVs or
“drones” (Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development, 2017), however
automation also has the power to promote road freight by significantly addressing
safety concerns.
Automation can mean very different things and while drivers will not always be
required, there are many ways that automation can increase safety on the road
between now and that eventual goal. The stages of automation have been given 5
categories by Austroads, as shown in Table 2.
Austroads notes that there has been relatively slow uptake of A1 automation so far
for heavy vehicles. 77 per cent of car sales are for models with auto-emergency
braking, across heavy vehicles this figure drops to six per cent. While this is not
encouraging, there is optimism that the benefits of automation become increasingly
pronounced as progression continues down the table. At the point where highly
automated driving on motorways is viable, it opens the ability for drivers to perform
other tasks while in the cabin, at least for parts of the journey (Austroads, 2020). This
will open the industry up to not only safety enhancements, but also very tangible
upswings in productivity, and drive a market-led transition.
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Title Brief
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Linfox launched a program known as “GreenFox” with the main goal to reduce
current carbon emissions. Linfox is the largest privately owned trucking company in
the world spanning across 10 countries, over 19,000 employees & nearly 5,000
vehicles under their name (Linfox, 2014). By incorporating the “One planet
framework” Linfox set out to establish set goals which would achieve varying results.
One of them being to reduce their carbon emission by half by 2015 compared to their
2007’s carbon emission record (Linfox, 2014).
These initiatives that were carried out showed great success. As much as a 36 per
cent reduction in carbon emissions was seen by 2009 (Linfox, 2014), only two years
after the program had started, majority of this stemming from proper driver training &
retrofitting of warehouses. These massive changes were achieved predominantly by
many minor changes within the company which lead to large successful outcomes in
long-term. Supply chain improvements, vehicle optimisation, new tyre technologies,
aerodynamic vehicle design & electrical efficiency are other initiatives carried out by
Linfox to lighten their carbon footprint. The improvements made towards a more
sustainable system has led to an energy consumption level that was half of what it
was at the start of the eight year program (Linfox, 2014). Energy consumption levels
in 2007 (the start of the program) was 25GJ per 1000km which dramatically
decreased to 12.5GJ per 1000km in 2015 (refer to figure 1), reaching the set goal.
Linfox reported that most of their carbon reduction came from ‘improved use of
operator equipment’ & minimal energy usage (Linfox, 2014). The trucking company
has also made efforts to research alternative fuel solutions such as biofuels & LNG
for implementation into their business scope.
Ultimately, the operations Linfox utilized to reduce carbon emissions have shown
great advancements towards a more sustainable road freight industry through its
vast extent of energy consumption analysis & problem solving.
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5.2.1 Employment
Road freight employs a vast amount of people all around Australia (as previously
stated in Chapter 1 of this report), & therefore requires a plan of transition for people
to cope with new technologies, new systems, upskill or transition into another
industry sector. A plan that does not account for the employment of current & future
employment will not be sustainable & a viable option, as it would not coincide with
our design criteria.
5.2.2 Safety
As defined in the design objectives, the implemented design will need to be socially
considerate, more specifically, reduce fatalities in the freight industry. Road freight is
a burdening industry on health services & costs, to where the implementation of a
more expensive system initially would be more beneficial to the economy in the long
run. The implementation of the design should not compromise current trends of
declining fatality rates on the road (refer to Figure 3).
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6 Conclusion
The goal of the report developed by the design team was to research, analyse, &
theorise the issues & possible solutions to the problem selected, unsustainable road
freight in Australia, regarding its scope & characteristics. The foundations of
research & chosen design objectives in the report allowed future development to be
undertaken in suitability of design options. ‘The Future Movement’ team has
successfully provided a variety of design options that cater to the design criteria of
minimization of fatalities in the industry, minimization of environmental impacts,
financially backed to cope with Australia’s growing population & economic demand,
suitable to fit into Australia’s freight sector, & is likely to lead to long-term positive
repercussions. By addressing the social burdens, the freighting industry may see
declining number of fatalities on Australian roads caused by freighting activities, & in
term reduce financial strains on businesses & the health sector. This focus would
also lead to a lessening in negative stigma directed towards the safety of road
freight. Utilizing the data gathered, further research into how positive the impacts on
the environment each design option may incur can be achieved readily. Financial
considerations were accounted for in the ideation phase of the team’s selection
process to try & increase economic stability in a growth declining industry. In
conjunction with the other design goals, a focus on whether the researched design
options could be suitable for Australia & its freighting needs. The sustainability of
design option would also be heavily influenced by the longevity of the positive results
that would occur from its implementation. The team’s concerns of exhaustion of
fossil fuel and climate impacts would be the forefront of the driving factors of behind
the sustainable longevity of the chosen design.
The next phase of development will be the further analysis & choosing of design
options with team scoring based off the design criteria. The highest-ranking designs
may be decided to be executed in singularity or cooperatively with other options to
achieve the optimal results. Decisions of hypothetical applications of the final
solution would occur, set to a smaller, individual plan that would not hinder our
sustainability goals, & eventually be replicated throughout Australia.
Ultimately, the main objective of achieving an in-depth scope of the social,
environmental & financial factors changing the present and future road freight in
Australia to a sustainable industry was accomplished. Our personal expectations of
success were met through the conceptualization and analysis of the solutions
present in the document.
7 References
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8 Appendix