Cost Estimation & Plant Economics

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COST ESTIMATION & PLANT ECONOMICS

Methaonol Plant Capacity=100 TPD


Cost in 1971=Rs 3.6 x 108 ; Cost index ,year 1971=132[4 ]
Cost index,year 2002=402
Fixed capital investment=3.6 x 108 x402/132 i.e,FCI=Rs.10.96x 107 This is nothing but
the present cost of the plant.
Using Peter & Timmerhaus
Estimation of total investment cost:
a. Direct cost:
A. i.Purchased equipment cost(PEC)
Taking a 25% FCI,PEC=Rs. 2.74 x 108
ii. Installation cost
Taking a 35% PEC,this is=0.822 x 108
iii. Instrumentation & Control cost
Taking a 15% PEC,this cost=Rs.0.411x 108
iv Piping,installed cost
Taking a 50% PEC,this is=1.37x 108 Rs
v. Electrical & installed cost
Taking a 25%PEC, this is=Rs.0.685 x 108
B. Building,process,auxillary
Taking a 45% PEC,this is=1.233 x 108 Rs.
C. Services- facilities & yard improvement
Taking a 75%,this is =2.055 x 108 Rs.
D. Land
Taking a 6%,this is =0.1644 x 108 Rs.
Then Total Direct cost=9.4804 x 107 Rs. Which is around 86% of FCI
b. Indirect costs
A. Engineering & supervision cost:
Taking a 15% of D.C. this is=1.42206 x 108 Rs.
B. Construction expenses & contractor’s fee;
Taking a 10%,this=0.94804 x 108
C. Fixed Capital Investment=Direct cost+ Indirect cost
i.e, new FCI=12.7273 x 108 Rs.
D. Working capital
Taking 15% TCI, WC=0.15 TCI

Total Capital Investment,TCI=FCI+WC


Solving,TCI=14.975 x 108
WC=2.246 x 108

Estimation of Total Product Cost:


1. Manufacturing Cost=Direct Product cost+ Fixed charges + Plant overhead cost
A. Fixed Charges:
Depreciation=1.30972 x 108 Rs.
Local taxes-taking a 2.55 of FCI, is =0.318 x 108 Rs.
Insurance – taking a 0.7% of FCI, is =0.089 x 108 Rs.
Rent =0.13974 x 107 Rs.
Then total Fixed Charges= 1.85646 x 108 Rs.

B. Diect Production cost: We know FC is about 10-20% of TPC.Taking a


15%,TPC=12.3764 x 108 Rs.

Raw materials-taking a 25% of TPC, is=3.0941 x 108 Rs.


Operating lobour- taking a 15% of TPC, is = 1.856 x 108
Direct supervisory & clerical labour-taking a 15% ,is = 0.278 x 108 Rs.
Utilities –taking a 15% of TPC,is=Rs.1.856 x 108
Maintenance & repairs-taking a 5%,is = 0.6364 X 108
Operating supplies-taking a 15%,is = 0.0955 x 108
Laboratory charges-taking a 15% of OL,is=0.2784 x 108 Rs.

Total Direct Production cost=8.0944 x 108 Rs. Which is about 60.54% of TPC

C. Plant Overhead Costs:


Taking a 8% of TPC, this is=0.99 x 108 Rs..

Therefore total manufacturing cost=10.9409 x 108 Rs.

2. General Expenses = Administrative cost+ Distribution & selling cost + research


development cost
Administrative cost-taking a 4% of TPC,is= 0.495 x 108
Distribution & Selling cost- taking a 12% of TPC,is = 1.485 x 108 Rs.
Research & Development cost- a 5% of TPC= 0.61882 x 108 Rs.
Then General E xpenses=2.599 x 108 Rs.

3. Total Product Cost = Manufacturing cost + General Expenses = 13.5399 x 108 Rs.
This is greater than the assumed value(12.3764 x 108)

PROFIT ANALYSIS:
A. Earnings:
Total gross earnings= Total income – TPC = 1.2 x 109 Rs.
Calculation of total income:
Annual working days=340
Annual methanol prodution =100 tonnes
Wholesale price of methanol = Rs.85/kg
Annual total income= 2.55 x 109 Rs.

B. Annual Rate of Return=gross profit/TCI =48.4 %


Gross profit = gross earnings – tax
Tax = 30% of gross earnings

C. Pay-back period = 100/R.O.R = 2 years

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