المحاضرة الرابعة - تخمين بيانات السقيط المفقودة

APN EYE [or, p?)- Qe, pe) F i _ 100+ 40.04 v= og = 3.71 43.71)? . = (Fz) = 19.41 = 20 Stations ea replat Estimating of Missing Precipitation Data a. From the i Precipitation is estimated from that observed at three stations as close to and as evenly spaced around the station with the missing record as possible. 61. If the normal annual precipitation at each of the index stations is within 10 % percent of that for the station with the missing record, use the following: Pa + Py + Pe pa fath tle ; co) Where : Pa, Py, Pe = precipitation values at index stations. P, = precipitation value at station of missing record. 2. If the normal annual precipitation at any of the index station differs from that at the station in question by more than 10 percent (%), the normal ratio method is used : aie N; nt ePs + ER) ————® a8 Ng ®t Ne Where : N= The normal annual precipitation enya This method is developed by U.S. Environmental data service.steer Example: 1 Precipitation station (X) in operative for part of a month during which a storm occurred, the storm totals at three | surrounding stations A,B and C were respectively 10.6, 8.9 and 12.2 cm. The normal annual precipitation amounts at stations X,A,B and C are respectively 97.8, 112.0, 93.47 and 119.9 cm. Estimate the storm a precipitation for station X ? 8 } a) Ca il) uy A US nad @ yd ! Sg GD png (Bo glial Anal Iasi gle (6a gill ball Au I pad 119.9 — 97.8 97.8 % of missing record = *100= 22.5% e 1 Ni Ingencral mmm Py Fo lwePs tet Nee) 97.8 978 ) + 534799 +99 122 onary Hse b. From the record of four stations : Another method used by U.S. National weather service for forecasting estimates precipitation at a point as the weight average of that at four stations, one in each of the quadrants delineated by North-South and East- eo West lines through the point.Ne YNare A A 1 1 + Patizet ihe tizh ‘B = 2. T,i,1,1 totptEe EE Or: py = Watat Wala + WeFe + Wo | Be Wat Wy + We + Wp Where: 1 W= ip = weight factor @) may nee @iNPN EYE Py Pp Pe Pp = Precipitations at stations A,B,C,D respectively Px = Precipitation at point X. L> distance between point and station. W.P ares rr) ray wes, C. From the record of two statio1 Rainfall values of two or even one adjoining station, where three adjacent stations are not there, may be used to estimate rainfall record of a station, by applying the ratio method, In this method the missing record of rainfall is computed from the ratio of the rainfall for the particular year, value in respect of which is missing at one station, to that of the rainfall of complete years at both stations. For one adjoining mary =H Pax _ rainfall of complete years at (x) fall of complete years at (B) 6)YY Nere For two adjoining stations Px2 _ Tatnfall of complete years at (x) Pa rainfall of complete years at (A) 1 Pe = [Pa + Bal ee Example: Estimate the missing rainfall record at station B for the year 1976 from the following data : Station (A) Station (B) wn isa isos ww aso ss wa 69 1u20 vw reas vara i 15 tana 60 ‘ 1916 va x i Solution: Pq rainfall at station (A)for 1976 Py rainfall at station (B)for 1976 rainfall station (A)from 1971 — 1975 rainfall station (B)from 1971 — 1975 @ iSYP ert M438 _ 138.9 4 145.9 + 1469 4132.3 41262 By 1976 1505+ 154.7 + 1590 + 147.4 + 145.0 Example: Precipitation station (X) was inoperative for part of a month during which a storm occurred. The respective storm totals at three surrounding stations A,B and C was 98, 80 and 110 mm. The normal annual precipitation amounts at stations X,A,B and C are respectively 880, 1008, 842 and 1080 mm. Estimate the storm precipitation for station X ? Solution : % of missing record = 1080 — 880 , 99 _ 22.7 - geo * 100= 22.7% Na Np * Ne SG Reg) 880/98 80 110 3 ( 008 * 342 * 7090) = 8627mmiExample: Estimate the rainfall for station (X) of the rainfall during a period of three surrounding stations A,B and C are 110, 95 and 130 mm respectively and the normal annual rainfall amount of stations X,A,B and C are respectively 1000, 1130, 950 and 1300 mm. eenry treet Solution ; 1300 — 1000 % of missi: eid LL of missing record 000 7 100 = 30% > 10% _Nx/Pa , Pp Pe as ( +h tn) a 95 | 130 *=—3~ \1130 * 950 * 1300, wean wpesYernere H.W: One of four monthly read rain gauge on a catchment area develops a fault in a month when the other three rain gauges record respectively 27, 42, and 51 mm. If the average annual precipitation amounts of these gauges are 726, 752 and 480 mm respectively and of the | | | broken gauge 694mm, estimate the missing monthly § || precipitation at the later. Eig > é Double Mass Analysis: 235 (St) Sti) ginal Double Mass Analysis tests the consistency of the record at a station by comparing its accumulated annual or seasonal precipitation with the concurrent accumulated values of mean precipitation for a group of surrounding stations. It is used usually when the gauge location is changed.

المحاضرة الرابعة - تخمين بيانات السقيط المفقودة

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