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    Ngineering ATA Nalysis: Math 4

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    Jeanelyn Rodegerio
    This document provides information and examples about binomial distributions. Binomial distributions describe experiments with a fixed number of trials, two possible outcomes per trial (success/failure), and where the probability of success is the same for each trial. The document defines the requirements of binomial distributions and provides sample problems and solutions calculating probabilities of outcomes, expected values, means, and standard deviations. It also discusses the shape of binomial distribution graphs under varying probabilities of success and number of trials.

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    Ngineering ATA Nalysis: Math 4

    Uploaded by

    Jeanelyn Rodegerio
    83 views14 pages
    This document provides information and examples about binomial distributions. Binomial distributions describe experiments with a fixed number of trials, two possible outcomes per trial (success/failure), and where the probability of success is the same for each trial. The document defines the requirements of binomial distributions and provides sample problems and solutions calculating probabilities of outcomes, expected values, means, and standard deviations. It also discusses the shape of binomial distribution graphs under varying probabilities of success and number of trials.

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    Binomial-Distribution

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    This document provides information and examples about binomial distributions. Binomial distributions describe experiments with a fixed number of trials, two possible outcomes per trial (success/failure), and where the probability of success is the same for each trial. The document defines the requirements of binomial distributions and provides sample problems and solutions calculating probabilities of outcomes, expected values, means, and standard deviations. It also discusses the shape of binomial distribution graphs under varying probabilities of success and number of trials.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    Download as pdf or txt
    83 views14 pages

    Ngineering ATA Nalysis: Math 4

    Uploaded by

    Jeanelyn Rodegerio
    This document provides information and examples about binomial distributions. Binomial distributions describe experiments with a fixed number of trials, two possible outcomes per trial (success/failure), and where the probability of success is the same for each trial. The document defines the requirements of binomial distributions and provides sample problems and solutions calculating probabilities of outcomes, expected values, means, and standard deviations. It also discusses the shape of binomial distribution graphs under varying probabilities of success and number of trials.

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    µ ENGINEERING DATA ANALYSIS

    4 MATH 4
    +
    =
    Prepared by: Engr. Flordeliza T. Manalo
    Ω COE Part –Time Instructor

    3
    5
    Binomial Distributions
    General Requirements
    1. The outcome is determined completely by
    chance.
    2. There are only two possible outcomes.
    3. All the trials have the same probability for a
    particular outcome in a single trial. That is, the
    probability in a subsequent trial is independent
    of the outcome of a previous trial.
    4. The number of trials, n, must be fixed,
    regardless of the outcome of each trial.
    SAMPLE:
    All items from production line are tested as they are produced. Each item is
    classified as either D for DEFECTIVE or G as GOOD. There are no other
    possible outcomes. Pr(D)=0.100 while Pr(G)= 1- Pr(D) = 0.900. Consider
    all possible results for a sample consisting of three items, calculate the
    probability distribution.
    OUTCOME PROBABILITY OF OUTCOME EQUALS=?
    GGG (0.900)^3 0.729
    DGG (0.100)(0.900)^2 0.081
    GDG (0.900)(0.100)(0.900) 0.081
    GGD (0.900)^2 (0.100) 0.081
    DDG (0.100)^2 (0.900) 0.009
    GDD (0.900)(0.100)^2 0.009
    DGD (0.100)(0.900)(0.100) 0.009
    DDD (0.100)^3 0.001
    TOTAL 1.000
    SAMPLE:
    A company is considering drilling four oil wells. The
    probability of success for each well is 0.40, independent of
    the results for any other well. The cost of each well is Php
    200, 000. Each well that is successful will be worth Php 600,
    000.
    1. What is probability that one or more wells will be
    successful?
    2. What is the expected number of successes? Equal to
    MEAN
    3. What is the expected gain?
    4. What will be the gain if only one well is successful?
    5. Considering all possible results, what is the probability of
    a loss rather than a gain?
    Pr(S)= 0.4 Pr(N)= 1- Pr(S) = 1-0.4 = 0.6
    No. of Success PROBABILITY EQUALS=?

    0 (LOSS) (0.4)^0 (0.6)^4 (4C4) 0.1296


    1 (Loss) (0.4)^1 (0.6)^3 (4C3) 0.3456
    2 (GAIN) (0.4)^2 (0.6)^2 (4C2) 0.3456
    3 (0.4)^3 (0.6)^1 (4C1) 0.1536
    4 (0.4)^4 (0.6)^0 (4C0) 0.0256
    TOTAL 1.0000
    Pr(1 or more S)=0.8704
    E(S)=1(0.3456) + 2(0.3456) +3(0.1536)+4(0.0256)=1.6
    E(1.6) = (1.6)(Php 600, 000) – 4(Php 200, 000) = Php 160,000
    E(1)= 1(Php 600, 000) – 4(Php200, 000) = - Php 200, 000 (LOSS)
    Pr(Loss) = 0.1296+0.3456=0.4752
    Activity 1
    1. Graph of Sample 1
    2. Graph of Sample 2
    3. Give another sample of Binomial Distribution and provide the
    graph
    4. Analysis of the Shapes of the Binomial Distribution Graphs

    Submission is Tomorrow at 11:59 PM via Moodle.


    Shape of the Binomial Distribution

    Effect of Varying Probability of Success in a Single Trial


    When Number of Trials is 5
    Shape of the Binomial Distribution

    Effect of Varying Number of Trials when the Probability


    of Success is 0.35
    Mean of Binomial Distribution

    𝜇=np = expected number of successes


    = 4(0.4) = 1.6
    Standard Deviation of Binomial Distribution

    Standard dev = sq. root (npq)


    Standard dev = sq. rt (4)(0.4)(0.6) variance = npq=0.96
    Standard dev = 0.9798
    SAMPLE
    Twelve candies sampled from a manufacturing process are
    weighted each day. The probability that a sample will have no
    candies weighing less than the design weight is 6.872%.
    1. What is the probability that a sample of twelve candies
    contains exactly three candies weighing less than the design
    weight?
    2. What is the probability that the sample contains more than
    three candies weighing less than the design weight?
    3. In a sample of twelve candies, what is the expected number
    of candies weighing less than the design weight?
    4. What is the mean of the candies weighing more than the
    standard?
    5. What is the standard deviation of the candies weighing less
    than the standard?
    FINALS Activity 2
    Prob 1. The true proportion of defective items in a
    continuous stream is 0.01. A random sample of size 400 is
    taken.
    1. Calculate the probabilities that the sample will give
    sample estimates of the proportion defective of of 0/400,
    1/400, 2/400, 3/400, 4/400, and 5/100, respectively.
    2. Calculate the standard deviation of the proportion
    defective.
    3. Graph and Analysi

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