Deadline Rabu 3 Maret 2021 Jam 14.00 Link Submission: Backup Submission: Simaster

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Deadline Rabu 3 Maret 2021 Jam 14.

00
Link submission:
https://forms.gle/K2vKpQssdZZpVSjj9
Backup submission: Simaster

Quiz 3

True / False Questions


 

1. The probability of rolling a 3 or 2 on a single die is an example of conditional probability. 


 
True    False
 
2. The probability of rolling a 3 or 2 on a single die is an example of mutually exclusive
events. 
 
True    False
 
3. An individual can assign a subjective probability to an event based on the individual's
knowledge about the event. 
 
True    False
 
4. To apply the special rule of addition, the events must be mutually exclusive. 
 
True    False
 
5. A joint probability measures the likelihood that two or more events will happen
concurrently. 
 
True    False

Multiple Choice Questions


 
6. The National Center for Health Statistics reported that of every 883 deaths in recent years, 24
resulted from an automobile accident, 182 from cancer, and 333 from heart disease. What is
the probability that a particular death is due to an automobile accident? 
 

A. 24/883 or 0.027

B. 539/883 or 0.610

C. 24/333 or 0.072

D. 182/883 or 0.206
 
7. If two events A and B are mutually exclusive, what does the special rule of addition state? 
 

A. P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

B. P(A and B) = P(A) +


P(B)

C. P(A and/or B) = P(A) + P(B)

D. P(A or B) = P(A) -
P(B)
 
8. What does the complement rule state? 
 

A. P(A) = P(A) -
P(B)

B. P(A) = 1 - P(not A)

C. P(A) = P(A) × P(B)

D. P(A) = P(A)X +
P(B)
 
9. Which approach to probability is exemplified by the following formula?

    
 

A. The classical approach

B. The empirical approach

C. The subjective approach

D. None of these.
 
10. A study of 200 computer service firms revealed these incomes after taxes:

   

What is the probability that a particular firm selected has $1 million or more in income after
taxes? 
 

A. 0.00

B. 0.25

C. 0.49

D. 0.51
 

Pertanyaan Essay: Teorema Bayes


Sebuah perusahaan memproduksi ban mobil. Dalam memproduksi ban, perusahaan tersebut
menggunakan dua pabrik A dan pabrik B. Total produksi dari kedua pabrik tersebut per bulannya
sebesar 10000 ban dengan perincian masing masing pabrik memproduksi 6000 (pabrik A) dan
4000 (pabrik B). Berdasarkan pengalaman sebelumnya, masing-masing pabrik memproduksi ban
cacat sebesar 2.5 % (pabrik A) dan 3 % (pabrik B). Jika dipilih secara random, berapa
probabilitas pabrik A memproduksi ban cacat? Dari pabrik manakah kemungkinan besar ban
cacat berasal?

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