Budget Speech 2023
Budget Speech 2023
Budget Speech 2023
Enoch Godongwana
Minister of Finance
22 February 2023
2023 Budget Speech
ISBN: 978-0-621-50835-2
RP: 05/2023
Communications Directorate
National Treasury
Private Bag X115
Pretoria
0001
South Africa
2
2023 Budget Speech
3
2023 Budget Speech
Cabinet Colleagues;
Honourable Members;
Deputy President of the Governing Party, Honourable Paul Mashatile and leaders of
all political parties;
INTRODUCTION
We are tabling the 2023 Budget in a difficult domestic and global economic
environment.
4
2023 Budget Speech
Households are under pressure from the rising cost of living, and unemployment
remains stubbornly high.
We are navigating this difficult environment with policies that support faster growth
and address fiscal risks.
And thirdly, we are strengthening the capacity of the state to deliver quality public
services, invest in infrastructure and fight crime and corruption.
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Global Outlook
Since the 2022 Budget, global growth estimates for 2023 have been revised lower.
The International Monetary Fund projects global growth to slow from an estimated 3.4
per cent in 2022 to 2.9 per cent in 2023.
Global economic risks remain high, including those related to the ongoing war in
Ukraine, and could impede growth if they materialise.
The reopening of the Chinese economy, however, may offer some reprieve by
supporting a stronger rebound in global trade and demand.
Domestic Outlook
This is an upward revision from 1.9 per cent projection in the 2022 MTBPS,
5
2023 Budget Speech
At R4.6 trillion, the size of the economy in 2022 was bigger than the pre-pandemic
levels in real terms, evidence of a robust economic recovery even in the face of
lingering COVID-19 scarring.
Real GDP growth is projected to average 1.4 per cent from 2023 to 2025, compared
with 1.6 per cent estimated in October.
Fiscal Outlook
The fiscal consolidation strategy we adopted several years ago has (1) restrained
growth mainly in consumption expenditure, and (2) allowed us to use part of higher-
than-expected revenues to reduce the deficit.
As a result, we are bringing the fiscal deficit down without resorting to tax increases or
further cuts in the social wage and infrastructure.
A primary fiscal surplus will be achieved in the current financial year, and this will be
maintained over the medium term. This is a critical policy stance.
In this regard, the consolidated fiscal deficit is projected at 4.2 per cent of GDP for
2022/23, and this will reach 3.2 per cent in 2025/26.
These figures include the impact of the partial take-over of Eskom debt, which I will
elaborate on later.
Mainly due to this Eskom debt relief, government debt will stabilise at a higher level of
73.6 per cent of GDP and in 2025/26. This is three years later than anticipated in the
2022 Medium Term Budget Policy Statement.
In general, government debt is high. The gross debt stock is projected to increase from
R4.73 trillion in 2022/23 to R5.84 trillion in 2025/26. And because debt is high, our
debt-service costs are also high.
6
2023 Budget Speech
Debt-service costs are projected to average R366.8 billion annually over the medium
term, reaching R397.1 billion in 2025/26. These are resources that could otherwise be
used to address pressing social needs or to invest in our future.
There are risks to the fiscal outlook. These include a worsening of the economic
outlook, a further weakening of the finances of state-owned companies, and an
unaffordable public-service wage agreement.
If these risks materialise, they will require us to make difficult budgeting trade-offs.
Accordingly, government non-interest spending will be kept below the level of revenue
into the future, and we will continue targeting the stabilisation of debt.
Madam Speaker,
Eradicating poverty, inequality and unemployment is as urgent today, if not more so,
as it was at the dawn of our democracy nearly 30 years ago.
Since its inception, Operation Vulindlela has made progress in fast-tracking reforms
in the priority areas of electricity, water, telecommunications, transport and
immigration.
In water, the backlog of water license applications has been cleared, and new licenses
are now being issued within 90 days.
Later this year we will table a law to establish an infrastructure agency to leverage the
assets in the water sector for increased investment in water resource infrastructure.
7
2023 Budget Speech
In digital telecommunications, we will soon switch-off the analogue signal and finalise
the migration to digital signal. This will unlock the benefits of the spectrum auction and
unleash renewed investment in the sector.
We are clearing the backlog in work visa applications and are implementing the
recommendations of the skilled immigration review.
Despite these gains, the challenges in electricity and logistics threaten to undermine
the reform agenda.
Madam Speaker,
Record levels of load shedding were experienced in 2022 - 207 days of load shedding
compared to 75 days in 2021.
In response, we are acting decisively to bring additional capacity onto the grid. We are
also working to transform the electricity sector to achieve energy security in the long-
term.
As part of this, during the MTBPS we announced that the government will take over a
portion of Eskom’s debt. We are doing this for two reasons:
Firstly, doing so will ease pressure on the company’s balance sheet, enabling it to
invest in transmission and distribution infrastructure. It will also allow Eskom to conduct
the maintenance required to improve the availability of electricity.
This consists of two components. One is R184 billion. This represents Eskom’s full
debt settlement requirement in three tranches over the medium term. Second is a
direct take-over of up to R70 billion of Eskom’s loan portfolio in 2025/26.
8
2023 Budget Speech
Because of the structure of the debt relief, Eskom will not need further borrowing
during the relief period.
Government will finance the arrangement through the R66 billion baseline provision
announced in the 2019 Budget, and R118 billion in additional borrowings over the next
three years.
Conditions
Details of the debt relief, and the reasoning behind the conditions are set out in full in
the online annexure.
MUNICIPAL DEBT
At the end of December 2022 Municipalities owed Eskom R56.3 billion and the debt
is rising. Undertaking a debt-relief of this magnitude without addressing this risk would
be counterproductive.
We are working with Eskom to provide a solution to this problem, wherein Eskom will
provide incentivised relief to municipalities whose debt is unaffordable.
And to avoid a repeat of debt build-up over time, the relief will attach measures,
including the installation of prepaid meters, to correct the underlying behaviour of non-
payment and operational practices in these municipalities.
9
2023 Budget Speech
Eskom’s long-term financial viability depends on its customers paying their dues.
National Treasury will publish details for accessing the debt relief in a circular in March
2023. Implementation will start from 1 April.
More generally, the culture of non-payment, not only by municipalities but by all organs
of state and individual household customers is concerning.
Such behaviour undermines and cripples our institutions and makes it impossible for
them to deliver services.
To change this, the National Treasury is exploring ways to encourage all to improve
their behaviour and do the right thing.
Madam Speaker, the energy and electricity sector, here at home and globally, is
undergoing a rapid process of systemic change.
From 1 March 2023, businesses will be able to reduce their taxable income by 125
per cent of the cost of an investment in renewables.
There will be no thresholds on the size of the projects that qualify, and the incentive
will be available for two years to stimulate investment in the short term.
As announced by the President, we will also introduce a new tax incentive for
individuals to install rooftop solar panels to reduce pressure on the grid and help ease
loadshedding.
Individuals who install rooftop solar panels from 1 March 2023 will be able to claim a
rebate of 25 per cent of the cost of the panels, up to a maximum of R15 000. This can
be used to reduce their tax liability in the 2023/24 tax year. This incentive will be
available for one year.
10
2023 Budget Speech
Changes to the Bounce Back Loan Guarantee Scheme are also proposed to
incentivize renewable energy, rooftop solar, and address energy-related constraints
experienced by small and medium enterprises.
Government will guarantee solar-related loans for small and medium enterprises on a
20 per cent first-loss basis.
National Treasury will launch the Energy Bounce Back Scheme in April 2023.
Climate Change
More broadly, part of addressing the persistent electricity supply shortage must involve
implementing a just transition to a low carbon economy. Climate change poses
considerable risks and constraints to sustainable economic growth in South Africa.
We are among the most water-scarce countries in the world, and recent events have
shown that extreme weather events such as floods, heatwaves and drought, are
occurring more often.
Our Just Energy Transition plan addresses these urgent climate challenges. It aims to
significantly lower emissions of greenhouse gases and harnesses investments in new
energy technologies, electric vehicles, and energy-efficient appliances.
Through the Just Energy Transition Investment Plan, launched by the President in
2022 at the COP27, the country will make significant invests in our economy over the
next five years, supported by a coherent industrial policy to enable innovation and
economic diversification. The International Partners Group of developed economies
in 2021 pledged US$8.5 billion to support South Africa’s transition. This
will go a long way.
South Africa, through its role in the G20, the IMF and the World Bank, has stressed
that developed nations could do more to support the energy transitions of developing
nations, especially by ensuring that the financial support includes a much larger grant-
funding component.
Infrastructure investment
Infrastructure investments lay the foundation for inclusive and sustainable growth; they
address supply-side constraints; and expand access to basic services.
11
2023 Budget Speech
Overall, the public sector is projected to spend R903 billion on infrastructure over the
medium-term. The largest portion of this, around R448 billion, will be spent by state-
owned companies, public entities and through public-private partnerships.
These spending plans are mostly for strategic projects in the following sectors:
• Transport and logistics will spend an estimated R351.1 billion, including for
SANRAL to improve the road infrastructure network.
• Water and sanitation is planned to spend R132.5 billion over the next three
years, mainly by the water boards.
• The 488-bed Limpopo Central Hospital will finally begin construction in March
this year.
• Phase 2 of the Welisizwe Rural Bridges programme breaks ground in April this
year. It plans to install 96 bridges annually to enable rural communities in the
Eastern Cape, KwaZulu Natal, Mpumalanga, Limpopo, Free State, and North
West to safely access schools and workplaces. R3.8 billion is allocated for the
programme over the medium term.
The Sol Plaatje Municipality will repair aspects of the Riverton Water Supply Scheme,
which is the only water source and supply system to Kimberly.
Site establishment for the Clanwilliam Dam projeect is completed. All surface works
and 15% of all concrete works will be completed by the end of this year.
12
2023 Budget Speech
Our focus is not only on building new infrastructure, but also on maintaining existing
infrastructure. We do this to ensure that it lasts long and performs to the required
standard.
At the same time, we are looking at initiatives to leverage private sector resources in
public infrastructure delivery. This is to strengthen state capacity to expand
infrastructure delivery and to catalyse private finance.
The interventions in supporting growth are critical to the health and sustainability of
the economy.
This will require difficult but necessary trade-offs to ensure that the appropriate support
is properly targeted at the correct products and value chains.
Tax revenue collections for 2022/23 are expected to total R1.69 trillion. This exceeds
the 2022 Budget estimate by R93.7 billion, and the 2022 MTBPS estimate by R10.3
billion.
Over the medium-term, revenue projections are R6 billion higher than the estimates
of the 2022 MTBPS.
13
2023 Budget Speech
Madam Speaker, our country is reaping the benefits of a more efficient and effective
tax administration, that is building trust to increase voluntary compliance and boost
revenue collections.
Nilesh Solanki from Gauteng was one of nearly 2,000 South Africans that submitted a
tip for the 2023 Budget Tips competition. He asked that we consider not increasing tax
rates.
Nilesh, you will be happy to know that for 2023/24, government will provide tax relief
of R13 billion.
To ease the impact of the electricity crisis on food prices, the refund on the Road
Accident Fund levy for diesel used in the manufacturing process, such as for
generators, will be extended to manufacturers of foodstuffs. This takes effect from 1
April 2023 for two years.
The personal income tax brackets will be fully adjusted for inflation, which will increase
the tax-free threshold from R91 250 to R95 750.
Medical tax credits will also be increased by inflation, to R364 per month for the first
two members, and to R246 per month for additional members.
The retirement tax tables for lump sums withdrawn before retirement, and for lump
sums withdrawn at retirement, will be adjusted upwards by 10 per cent. This means
that the tax-free amount that can be withdrawn at retirement increases to R550 000.
The brackets of the transfer duty table will also be increased by 10 per cent, allowing
properties below R1.1 million to avoid any transfer duty payments.
The research and development tax incentive will be extended for 10 years, and will be
refined to make it simpler and more effective.
The urban development zone tax incentive will also be extended, by two years, to
allow for the review of the incentive to be completed.
14
2023 Budget Speech
Any withdrawals from the accessible “savings pot” would be taxed as income in the
year of withdrawal.
After a review and consultation last year, and taking into account the impact of the
Upstream Petroleum Resources Development Bill, the minimum royalty rate for oil and
gas companies will be increased to 2 per cent. The maximum rate of 5 per cent
remains unchanged.
Due to the difficult operating environment for the sugar industry from the impact of
flooding and social unrest, the health promotion levy will remain unchanged for the
following two fiscal years, to enable the industry to diversify or restructure.
Government proposes an increase in the excise duties on alcohol and tobacco of 4.9
per cent, in line with expected inflation. This means that the duty on:
On illicit trade, over the past three years, SARS has taken several steps to enhance
its effectiveness in combating illicit trade, particularly in tobacco.
To this end, SARS has completed 2 316 seizures of cigarettes & tobacco products to
the value of R598.8 million.
An additional R18 billion worth of schedules and assessments have been raised,
targeting syndicated tobacco-related crimes.
Furthermore, SARS has collected more than R1.2 billion in revenue and handed over
92 cases for criminal proceedings with the NPA of which 2 resulted in successful
convictions relating to tobacco smuggling syndicates.
EXPENDITURE PROPOSALS
Madam Speaker, the 2023 Budget proposals reflect this government’s priorities by
making targeted allocations for specific programmes.
15
2023 Budget Speech
Over the medium-term, more than 60 per cent of non-interest expenditure goes to the
social wage, while spending on buildings and other fixed structures – such as roads
and dams – will increase from R62 billion in current year to R104.2 billion in 2025/26.
This is not an austerity budget. It is a budget that makes tough trade-offs in the
interests of the country’s short and long term prosperity.
The 2023 Budget allocates additional funding totalling R227 billion over the medium
term. There are several priorities that will be funded through this additional money.
R66 billion is allocated to Social Development over the medium term, with R36 billion
to fund the extension of the COVID-19 social relief of distress grant until 31 March
2024.
R30 billion will be used for inflation-linked increases for other social grants. As a result:
• The old age and disability grants increase by R90 on 1 April 2023 and a further
R10 on 1 October 2023. The result is a total increase to R2090.
• The child support grant rises from R480 to R510 on 1 October 2023, while the
foster care grant increases from R1070 to R1130 over the same period.
• R23 billion and R22 billion will be allocated to health and basic education
respectively, to cover the shortfall in compensation budgets and to improve
services.
• R8 billion is allocated for basic services through the local government equitable
share.
We have allocated R14 billion over the medium term to fight crime and corruption, with
the following specific allocations:
• The South African Police Service is allocated R7.8 billion to appoint 5,000
police trainees per year.
• The National Prosecuting Authority receives R1.3 billion to support the
implementation of the recommendations of the State Capture Commission and
the Financial Action Task Force.
16
2023 Budget Speech
Finally, an injection into the budget of the SARS is proposed. In addition to a direct
allocation for capital and ICT projects, provisional allocations are set aside to improve
revenue raising capabilities of SARS.
I am also tabling the second adjustments appropriation bill for the 2022/23 fiscal year.
The Bill proposes an allocation of R45.6 billion to provide for the carry-through costs
of the 2022/23 public-service wage increase.
R1 billion is allocated to South African Airways to assist the carrier with the business
rescue process. The South African Post Office is allocated R2.4 billion.
Madam Speaker,
This Budget provides for the carry-through costs of the 2022/23 wage increase. In
addition, the Budget includes pay progression, a housing allowance, and other
benefits for civil servants.
The Budget also provides additional funding for safety and security, education and
health. In health, the funds are to hire new staff, address shortfalls in compensation
budgets, and retain additional health workers appointed during the pandemic, as well
as to clear the backlog in health services.
As for the wage negotiations that just commenced, the budget does not pre-empt the
outcomes.
Nevertheless, this and future wage negotiations must strike a balance between fair
pay, fiscal sustainability, and the need for additional staff in frontline services.
17
2023 Budget Speech
Mainly, this will mean restricting the ability of departments and entities to fill non-critical
posts. It will also mean achieving cost-savings from major rationalisation of state
entities and programmes.
As indicated by the President in the SONA, the National Treasury has already
identified where large savings can be achieved.
In this regard, during the upcoming financial year, the National Treasury will work with
the Presidency on concrete proposals to achieve savings by rationalising or closing
public entities. Recommendations will be made to the President and Cabinet and
should form part of the next budget.
DISASTER RESPONSE
In relation to the recent floods and the national disaster declared in various provinces,
R695 million is available in this financial year for immediate relief. A further R1 billion
will be available next year.
The contingency reserve will also be used to fund emergency responses, including as
undertaken by the Defence Force.
As it pertains to Recovery and Repair, which relates to longer term rehabilitation and
rebuilding of damaged infrastructure, assessments of the extent of the damage and
costs need to be determined.
Funding for this component will be through the normal budget process.
South Africa has been a voluntary member of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF)
since 2003, which sets global standards to combat money laundering and the
financing of terrorism across national borders.
In 2021, FATF published its mutual evaluation report highlighting vulnerabilities in the
country’s anti-money laundering system. We have since made substantial progress to
address these weaknesses.
18
2023 Budget Speech
Two laws have been enacted to address the technical deficiencies in the legislative
framework, namely the General Laws Amendment Act of 2022, and the Protection of
Constitutional Democracy Against Terrorist and Related Activities Amendment Act.
Addressing the FATF issues is part of the broader fight against corruption, crime, state
capture and the deliberate weakening of the institutions of law and order in our
country.
The FATF Plenary will make its decision later this week on whether or not to put South
Africa under increased monitoring, otherwise known as grey listing. We should be
prepared for that possibility.
DIVISION OF REVENUE
The 2023 Budget increases allocations for all three spheres of government, to assist
with urgent spending pressures. Relative to the 2022 Budget, direct provincial
allocations increase by R92.7 billion, to R2.17 trillion over the medium term.
This increase consists of R76.9 billion added to the provincial equitable share and
R15.8 billion added to direct conditional grants.
Local government allocations will increase by a total of R14.3 billion, made up of R8.1
billion in the local government equitable share and R6.2 billion in direct conditional
grants. This takes the total direct allocation to R522 billion over the same period.
CONCLUSION
Madam Speaker, our economy is facing significant risks. Uncertainty is on the rise. It
requires us to do bold things. To put the fear of failure aside and execute the difficult
trade-offs needed to get from where we are now, to where we want to be in the
future.
The measures in this budget reflect these realities and the need to act boldly.
19
2023 Budget Speech
Madam Speaker, I am grateful to the President and Deputy President for their support
and leadership.
Thank you to the Deputy Minister of Finance, and the National Treasury team, led by
the Acting Director-General.
My sincere thanks to the Commissioner of the South African Revenue Service, and
the Governor of the South African Reserve Bank.
Let me also thank my colleagues in the Ministers’ Committee on the Budget and in the
Budget Council who have shared the load of the tough decisions that have to be
made.
He retires in May this year after 41 years of going the extra mile to support the tabling
and passing of the Budget and other legislation in Parliament.
Mr Bell, a Bells to you, and the thousands of public servants who work behind the
scenes to keep our country going.
Thank You
20
2023 Budget Speech
21
2023 Budget Speech
22