Amazon Profitability Analysis - Part II
Amazon Profitability Analysis - Part II
Amazon Profitability Analysis - Part II
Assets
Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents 15,890 19,334 20,522 31,750
Marketable Securities 3,918 6,647 10,464 9,500
Accounts receivables, net and other 5,654 8,339 13,164 16,677
Inventories 10,243 11,461 16,047 17,174
Total Current Assets 35,705 45,781 60,197 75,101
Property and Equipment, net 21,838 29,114 48,866 61,797
Goodwill 3,759 3,784 13,350 14,548
Other assets 3,445 4,723 8,897 11,202
Total Assets 64,747 83,402 131,310 162,648
Liabilities
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 20,397 25,309 34,616 38,192
Accrued Expenses and Other 1
10,372 13,739 18,170 23,663
Unearned Revenue 3,118 4,768 5,097 6,536
Total Current Liabilities 33,887 43,816 57,883 68,391
Long Term Debt 8,227 7,694 24,743 23,495
Other Long Term Liabilities2 9,249 12,607 20,975 27,213
Total Liabilities 51,363 64,117 103,601 119,099
Stockholders' Equity
Common Stock 5 5 5 5
Retained Earnings 2,545 4,916 8,636 19,625
Treasury Stock, at cost (1,837) (1,837) (1,837) (1,837)
Additional paid in capital 13,394 17,186 21,389 26,791
Accumulated other comprehensive loss (723) (985) (484) (1,035)
Total Stockholders' Equity 13,384 19,285 27,709 43,549
FO - Financial Obligations
FA - Financial Assets
NFO - Net Financial Obligations
CSE - Common Stockholders Equity
IC - Invested Capital
Includes unredeemed gift cards, payroll, return allowances, and other operating liabilities ("Operating"), and current debt, curre
1
Breakdown of calculations for Accrued Expenses and Other for period ending 12/31/2018, can be found in AMZN 2018 10K:
Breakdown of calculations for Accrued Expenses and Other for period ending 12/31/2018, can be found in AMZN 2018 10K:
Breakdown of calculations for Accrued Expenses and Other for period ending 12/31/2017, can be found in AMZN 2017 10K:
Breakdown of calculations for Accrued Expenses and Other for period ending 12/31/2017, can be found in AMZN 2017 10K:
Breakdown of calculations for Accrued Expenses and Other for period ending 12/31/2016, can be found in AMZN 2016 10K:
Breakdown of calculations for Accrued Expenses and Other for period ending 12/31/2016, can be found in AMZN 2016 10K:
Breakdown of calculations for Accrued Expenses and Other for period ending 12/31/2015, can be found in AMZN 2015 10K:
Breakdown of calculations for Accrued Expenses and Other for period ending 12/31/2015, can be found in AMZN 2015 10K:
Includes capital, finance, and construction lease liabilities ("Financing"), and tax contingency, long-term deferred tax liabilities a
2
Breakdown of calculations for Other Long Term Liabilities for period ending 12/31/2018, can be found in AMZN 2018 10K: Ot
Breakdown of calculations for Other Long Term Liabilities for period ending 12/31/2018, can be found in AMZN 2018 10K: Ot
Breakdown of calculations for Other Long Term Liabilities for period ending 12/31/2017, can be found in AMZN 2017 10K: Ot
Breakdown of calculations for Other Long Term Liabilities for period ending 12/31/2017, can be found in AMZN 2017 10K: Ot
Breakdown of calculations for Other Long Term Liabilities for period ending 12/31/2016, can be found in AMZN 2016 10K: Ot
Breakdown of calculations for Other Long Term Liabilities for period ending 12/31/2016, can be found in AMZN 2016 10K: Ot
Breakdown of calculations for Other Long Term Liabilities for period ending 12/31/2015, can be found in AMZN 2016 10K: Ot
Breakdown of calculations for Other Long Term Liabilities for period ending 12/31/2015, can be found in AMZN 2015 10K: Ot
Allocate line item amounts from the Balance Sheet on the left into the cells on the right. Only manipulate cel
have been conditionally formatted to highlight red if the row does not balance.
- 15,890### - 19,334
- 3,918### - 6,647
5,654 -### 8,339 -
10,243 -### 11,461 -
15,897 19,808 19,800 25,981
21,838 - 29,114 -
3,759 - 3,784 -
3,445 - 4,723 -
44,939 19,808 57,421 25,981
20,397 - 25,309 -
7,008 3,364 8,542 5,197
3,118 - 4,768 -
30,523 3,364 38,619 5,197
- 8,227 - 7,694
2,923 6,326 4,374 8,233
33,446 17,917 42,993 21,124
- 5 - 5
- 2,545 - 4,916
- (1,837) - (1,837)
- 13,394 - 17,186
- (723) - (985)
- 13,384 - 19,285
OA 44,939 OA 57,421 OA
OL (33,446) OL (42,993) OL
NOA 11,493 NOA 14,428 NOA
FO 17,917 FO 21,124 FO
FA (19,808) FA (25,981) FA
NFO (1,891) NFO (4,857) NFO
CSE 13,384 CSE 19,285 CSE
IC 11,493 IC 14,428 IC
g"), and current debt, current capital and finance leases and other non-operating obligations ("Financing"). See footnotes 5, 6, and 7 of the 2
ound in AMZN 2018 10K: Accrued Expenses and Other under Financing: 9,502 = (Current Portion of Long-term Debt, Note 5, Debt)
ound in AMZN 2018 10K: Accrued Expenses and Other under Operating: 14,161 = 23,663 - 9,502
ound in AMZN 2017 10K: Accrued Expenses and Other under Financing: 6,221 = (Current Portion of Long-term Debt, Note 5, Debt)
ound in AMZN 2017 10K: Accrued Expenses and Other under Operating: 11,949= 18,170 - 6,221
ound in AMZN 2016 10K: Accrued Expenses and Other under Financing: 5,197= (Current Portion of Long-term Debt, Note 5, Debt)
ound in AMZN 2016 10K: Accrued Expenses and Other under Operating: 8,542= 13,739 - 5,197
ound in AMZN 2015 10K: Accrued Expenses and Other under Financing: 3,364 = (Current Portion of Long-term Debt, Note 5, Debt)
ound in AMZN 2015 10K: Accrued Expenses and Other under Operating: 7,008 = 10,372 - 3,364
rm deferred tax liabilities and other liabilities ("Operating"). See footnote 6 of the 2018 10-K for a discussion of these amounts.
nd in AMZN 2018 10K: Other Long Term Liabilities under Operating: 8,405 = (Tax Contingencies, Note 6, other long-term liabilities)
nd in AMZN 2018 10K: Other Long Term Liabilities under Financing: 18,808 = 27,213 - 8,405
nd in AMZN 2017 10K: Other Long Term Liabilities under Operating: 6,442 = (Tax Contingencies, Note 6, other long-term liabilities)
nd in AMZN 2017 10K: Other Long Term Liabilities under Financing: 14,533 = 20,975 - 6,442
nd in AMZN 2016 10K: Other Long Term Liabilities under Operating: 4,374 = (Tax Contingencies, Note 6, other long-term liabilities)
nd in AMZN 2016 10K: Other Long Term Liabilities under Financing: 8,233 = 12,607- 4,374
nd in AMZN 2016 10K: Other Long Term Liabilities under Operating: 2,923 = (Tax Contingencies, Note 6, other long-term liabilities)
nd in AMZN 2015 10K: Other Long Term Liabilities under Financing: 6,326 = 9,249 - 2,923
s on the right. Only manipulate cells highlighted in yellow. Columns N, S, X, and AA
ance.
- 20,522 - 31,750
- 10,464### - 9,500
###
13,164 -### 16,677 -###
16,047 -### 17,174 -###
29,211 30,986 33,851 41,250
48,866 - 61,797 -
13,350 - 14,548 -
8,897 - 11,202 -
100,324 30,986 121,398 41,250
34,616 - 38,192 -
11,949 6,221 14,161 9,502
5,097 - 6,536 -
51,662 6,221 58,889 9,502
- 24,743 - 23,495
6,442 14,533 8,405 18,808
58,104 45,497 67,294 51,805
- 5 - 5
- 8,636 - 19,625
- (1,837) - (1,837)
- 21,389 - 26,791
- (484) - (1,035)
- 27,709 - 43,549
100,324 OA 121,398
(58,104) OL (67,294)
42,220 NOA 54,104
45,497 FO 51,805
(30,986) FA (41,250)
14,511 NFO 10,555
27,709 CSE 43,549
42,220 IC 54,104
g"). See footnotes 5, 6, and 7 of the 2018 10-K for a discussion of these amounts.
Long-term Debt, Note 5, Debt) 1,371+(Current Capital Lease Obligations, Note 6, other long-term liabilities) 7,720 + (Current Finance Lease
Long-term Debt, Note 5, Debt) 100+(Current Capital Lease Obligations, Note 6, other long-term liabilities) 5,839+ (Current Finance Lease O
ong-term Debt, Note 5, Debt) 1,056+(Current Capital Lease Obligations, Note 6, other long-term liabilities) 3,997+ (Current Finance Lease
Long-term Debt, Note 5, Debt) 238+(Current Capital Lease Obligations, Note 6, other long-term liabilities) 3,027+ (Current Finance Lease O
e 6, other long-term liabilities) 1,004+(Long-term Deferred Tax Liabilities, Note 6, other long-term liabilities) 990+ (Other, Note 6, other long-
e 6, other long-term liabilities) 1,395 +(Long-term Deferred Tax Liabilities, Note 6, other long-term liabilities) 392 + (Other, Note 6, other long
e 6, other long-term liabilities) 932 + (Long-term Deferred Tax Liabilities, Note 6, other long-term liabilities) 407 + (Other, Note 6, other long-
) 7,720 + (Current Finance Lease Obligations, Note 6, other long-term liabilities) 411
5,839+ (Current Finance Lease Obligations, Note 6, other long-term liabilities) 282
3,997+ (Current Finance Lease Obligations, Note 6, other long-term liabilities) 144
Operating Expenses
Fulfillment 13,410 17,619 25,249
Marketing 5,254 7,233 10,069
Technology and Content 12,540 16,085 22,620
General and Administrative 1,747 2,432 3,674
Other Operating Expense, net 171 167 214
Total Operating Expenses 33,122 43,536 61,826
ement Ref
12/31/2018 12/31/2015 12/31/2016
Operating Financing Operating
232,887 107,006 - 135,987
139,156 71,651 - 88,265
93,731 35,355 - 47,722
(183) (256) - 90
12,238 1,977 - 4,276
(1,417) - (459) -
440 50
11,261 1,977 (409) 4,276
1,197 1,198 (248) 1,566
10,064 779 (161) 2,710
9 (22) - (96)
10,073 NOPAT 757 FI (161) NOPAT 2,614
11%
the left into the cells on the right. Only manipulate cells highlighted in yellow. Columns N, S, X, and AA have been conditionally fo
- 25,249 - 34,027
- 10,069 - 13,814
- 22,620 - 28,837
- 3,674 - 4,336
- 214 - 296
- 61,826 - 81,310
- 4,106 - 12,421
- 346 - (183)
- 4,452 - 12,238
(484) - (848) -
100 202
(384) 4,452 (646) 12,238
(141) 900 (131) 1,301
(243) 3,552 (515) 10,937
- (4) - 9
FI (243) NOPAT 3,548 FI (515) NOPAT 10,946
ve been conditionally formatted to
12/31/2018
Financing
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
(1,417)
440
(977)
(104)
(873)
-
FI (873)
WALMART, INC.
Assets
Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 8,705 6,867
Receivables, net 5,624 5,835
Inventories 44,469 43,046
Prepaid Expenses And Other 1,441 1,941
Total Current Assets 60,239 57,689
Property and Equipment, net 110,171 107,710
###
Goodwill 16,695 17,037
Property under capital lease and financing obligations, net 6,345 6,468
Other Long-term Assets 6,131 9,921
Total Assets 199,581 198,825
Liabilities
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 38,487 41,433
Accrued Liabilities 19,607 20,654
Short-term Borrowings 2,708 1,099
Long-term Debt Due within One Year 2,745 2,256
Accrued Income Taxes 521 921
Capital Lease and Financing Obligations due within One Year 551 565
Total Current Liabilities 64,619 66,928
Long Term Debt 38,214 36,015
Long Term capital lease and financing obligations 5,816 6,003
Deferred income taxes and other 7,321 9,344
Total Liabilities 115,970 118,290
Stockholders' Equity
Common Stock 317 305
Retained Earnings 90,021 89,354
Capital in Excess of Par Value 1,805 2,371
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss (11,597) (14,232)
Total Stockholders' Equity 80,546 77,798
FO - Financial Obligations
FA - Financial Assets
NFO - Net Financial Obligations
CSE - Common Stockholders Equity
IC - Invested Capital
aditional Balance Sheet Reformulate
1/31/2018 1/31/2019 1/31/2016 ### 1/31/2017
Operating Financing Operating
r reformulated abbreviations:
perating Assets1 OA 190,876 OA 191,958
perating Liabilities OL (65,936) OL (72,352)
Net Operating Assets NOA 124,940 NOA 119,606
- 46,092 - 47,060 -
- 22,122 - 22,159 -
1,099 - 5,257 - 5,225
2,256 - 3,738 - 1,876
- 645 - 428 -
565 - 667 - 729
3,920 68,859 9,662 69,647 7,830
36,015 - 30,045 - 43,520
6,003 - 6,780 - 6,683
- 8,354 - 11,981 -
45,938 77,213 46,487 81,628 58,033
OA 197,766 OA 211,573
OL (77,213) OL (81,628)
NOA 120,553 NOA 129,945
FO 49,440 FO 65,171
FA (6,756) FA (7,722)
NFO 42,684 NFO 57,449
CSE 77,869 CSE 72,496
IC 120,553 IC 129,945
WALMART, INC.
Operating Expenses
Selling General and Administrative 97,041 101,853
Total Operating Expenses 97,041 101,853
- (8,368) - -
(3,136) - - -
17,301 13,589 24,105 -
(2,330) (2,346) - (2,548)
152 217 - 81
15,123 11,460 24,105 (2,467)
4,600 4,281 7,306 (748)
10,523 7,179 16,799 (1,719)
30% 37%
Reformulated Income Statement
1/31/2017 1/31/2018
Operating Financing Operating Financing
485,873 - 500,343 -
361,256 - 373,396 -
124,617 - 126,947 -
101,853 - 106,510 -
101,853 - 106,510 -
22,764 - 20,437 -
- - - -
- - - (3,136)
22,764 - 20,437 (3,136)
- (2,367) - (2,330)
- 100 - 152
22,764 (2,267) 20,437 (5,314)
6,890 (686) 6,216 (1,616)
15,874 (1,581) 14,221 (3,698)
- (650) - (661)
15,874 FI (2,231) NOPAT 14,221 FI (4,359) NOPAT
1/31/2019
Operating Financing
514,405 -
385,301 -
129,104 -
107,147 -
107,147 -
21,957 -
(8,368) -
- -
13,589 -
- (2,346)
- 217
13,589 (2,129)
5,076 (795)
8,513 (1,334)
- (509)
8,513 FI (1,843)
COMMON SIZE BALANCE SHEETS
Accounts payable 31.5% 30.3% 26.4% 23.5% 19.3% 20.8% 22.5% 21.5%
Accrued Expenses and other 16.0% 16.5% 13.8% 14.5% 9.8% 10.4% 10.8% 10.1%
Unearned Revenue 4.8% 5.7% 3.9% 4.0% NA NA NA NA
Short-term Borrowings NA NA NA NA 1.4% 0.6% 2.6% 2.4%
Long-term Debt Due within One Year NA NA NA NA 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 0.9%
Accrued Income Taxes NA NA NA NA 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Capital lease and financing oblig. due within one year NA NA NA NA 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Total current liabilities 52.3% 52.5% 44.1% 42.0% 32.4% 33.7% 38.4% 35.3%
Long term debt 12.7% 9.2% 18.8% 14.4% 19.1% 18.1% 14.7% 19.8%
Long Term capital lease and financing obligations NA NA NA NA 2.9% 3.0% 3.3% 3.0%
Deferred income taxes and other NA NA NA NA 3.7% 4.7% 4.1% 5.5%
Other Long Term Liabilities 14.3% 15.1% 16.0% 16.7% NA NA NA NA
Total liabilities 79.3% 76.9% 78.9% 73.2% 58.1% 59.5% 60.5% 63.7%
Common Stock, $0.01 per share 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Retained Earnings 3.9% 5.9% 6.6% 12.1% 45.1% 44.9% 41.6% 36.8%
Treasury Stock, at cost -2.8% -2.2% -1.4% -1.1% NA NA NA NA
Additional paid in capital 20.7% 20.6% 16.3% 16.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4%
Accumulated other comprehensive loss -1.1% -1.2% -0.4% -0.6% -5.8% -7.2% -5.0% -5.3%
Stockholders' equity 20.7% 23.1% 21.1% 26.8% 40.4% 39.1% 38.1% 33.1%
Noncontrolling Interest NA NA NA NA 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 3.3%
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
COMMON SIZE INCOME STATEMENTS
Net Income available for Common Stock The metric shareholders wish to maximize (conditional on
Return on Common Equity (ROCE) =
Average Common Shareholders' Equity risk). Affected by financial leverage.
Net Income + (1 − Tax Rate) × (Interest Expense) A measure of return on total assets of the firm, and thus
Return on Assets (ROA) =
Average Total Assets available to all capital providers. Unaffected by leverage.
Net Income + (1 − Tax Rate) × (Interest Expense) Measures ability of the firm to convert sales to profits.
Profit Margin =
Sales Typically affected by competitiveness and strategy.
Sales
Accounts Receivable Turnover2 = Both measures how quickly the firm collects its receivables
Average Accounts Receivable
from its customers. Faster collection means higher turnover and
fewer days. Longer times could indicate difficulty collecting or
365 strategy to extend more credit to drive sales.
Days to Collect A/R =
Accounts Receivable Turnover
Net Income available for Common Stock Not a commonly referenced measure -- essentially included to
Common Earnings Leverage =
Net Income + (1 − Tax Rate)(Interest Expense) facilitate the math for the Dupont model.
Average Total Assets Measures the extent to which the assets are funded by
Capital Structure Leverage =
Average Common Shareholders' Equity shareholders, and conversely, by debt (or other sources).
Operating Cycle = Days to Collect A/R + Days in Inventory Measure of working capital management.
Net Trade Cycle = Operating Cycle − Days to Pay Measure of working capital mgt. considering A/P.
NOTES:
1) Multiplying the three components of Total Asset Turnover displayed in the flow chart (A/R Turnover, Inventory Turnover, and Fixed
Asset Turnover) do not equal Total Asset Turnover because turnovers of other assets, such as cash, prepaid expenses, etc., would need to
be included.
2) The definition for Accounts Receivable Turnover as given above uses total sales, however, the ideal measure is Total Credit Sales
(i.e., those sales made on credit rather than cash sales). If a company makes a significant amount of cash sales and this is not adjusted,
the Accounts Receivable ratio may overstate the company's speed of collecting credit sales. This is particularly problematic for retailers.
Adapted from J. Wahlen, S. Baginski, and M. Bradshaw, Financial Reporting, Financial Statement Analysis, and Valuation. 9th Ed.
TRADITIONAL PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK
AMAZON.COM, INC.
FY 2017
ROCE
12.9%
Financial
ROA Leverage
3.5% 373.6%
FY 2018
ROCE
28.3%
Financial
ROA Leverage
7.7% 366.5%
FY 2017
ROCE
12.7%
Financial
ROA Leverage
6.0% 210.4%
FY 2018
ROCE
8.9%
Financial
ROA Leverage
4.1% 217.4%
NOPAT
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) =
Average Net Operating Assets (NOA)
Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT) = Net Income + (1 - Tax Rate) × (Financing Expense − Financing Income)
= Operating Revenues − Operating Expenses − Taxes on Operating Income
NOPAT
Profit Margin =
Sales
Sales
Net Operating Asset Turnover =
Average Net Operating Assets (NOA)
Financial Obligations (FO) = Debt (including Capital Leases) + Preferred Stock + Noncontrolling Interest (on balance sheet)
(1 − Tax Rate) × (Financial Expense − Financial Income) + Preferred Dividends + Earnings attributable to Noncontrolling Interest
Net Borrowing Cost (NBC) =
Average Net Financial Obligations (NFO)
Operating Liability Spread (OLSPREAD) = ROOA − (1 − Tax Rate) × (Short-term Borrowing Rate)
NOPAT(t) – NOPAT(t-1)
Return on New Invested Capital (RONIC(t)) =
NOA(t-1) – NOA(t-2)
NOA(t) – NOA(t-1)
Investment Rate(t) =
NOPAT(t)
NOPAT(t) – NOPAT(t-1)
Growth (g(t)) in NOPAT =
NOPAT(t-1)
= Investment Rate(t-1) × RONIC(t)
NOTES:
Tax rate: "Tax Rate" used in the formulas above typically require the marginal tax rate on financing activities. This typically means the federal corporate statutory rate for U.S. based firms.
Short-term borrowing rate: This means the rate at which the firm can borrow for very short periods of time, so the commercial paper rate typically serves as a reasonable proxy.
ADVANCED PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK
AMAZON.COM, INC.
FY 2017
ROCE
12.9%
Financial
ROIC Leverage × Spread
12.5% 0.4%
FY 2018
ROCE
28.3%
Financial
ROIC Leverage × Spread
22.7% 5.5%
FY 2017
ROCE
12.7%
Financial
ROIC Leverage × Spread
11.8% 0.8%
FY 2018
ROCE
8.9%
Financial
ROIC Leverage × Spread
6.8% 2.1%