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    Tropical Weather Outlook

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    Raju Peka
    The document provides a tropical weather outlook for the North Indian Ocean, including the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea, issued by the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre-Tropical Cyclones in New Delhi. In the Bay of Bengal, a cyclonic circulation was observed off southwest India with scattered clouds and moderate to intense convection. No cyclogenesis is predicted over the next 168 hours. In the Arabian Sea, an earlier cyclonic circulation has become unimportant with scattered clouds and convection off southwest India. Likewise, no cyclogenesis is predicted over the next 168 hours in the Arabian Sea.

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    Tropical Weather Outlook

    Uploaded by

    Raju Peka
    7 views2 pages
    The document provides a tropical weather outlook for the North Indian Ocean, including the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea, issued by the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre-Tropical Cyclones in New Delhi. In the Bay of Bengal, a cyclonic circulation was observed off southwest India with scattered clouds and moderate to intense convection. No cyclogenesis is predicted over the next 168 hours. In the Arabian Sea, an earlier cyclonic circulation has become unimportant with scattered clouds and convection off southwest India. Likewise, no cyclogenesis is predicted over the next 168 hours in the Arabian Sea.

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    Tropical weather outlook

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    The document provides a tropical weather outlook for the North Indian Ocean, including the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea, issued by the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre-Tropical Cyclones in New Delhi. In the Bay of Bengal, a cyclonic circulation was observed off southwest India with scattered clouds and moderate to intense convection. No cyclogenesis is predicted over the next 168 hours. In the Arabian Sea, an earlier cyclonic circulation has become unimportant with scattered clouds and convection off southwest India. Likewise, no cyclogenesis is predicted over the next 168 hours in the Arabian Sea.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    7 views2 pages

    Tropical Weather Outlook

    Uploaded by

    Raju Peka
    The document provides a tropical weather outlook for the North Indian Ocean, including the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea, issued by the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre-Tropical Cyclones in New Delhi. In the Bay of Bengal, a cyclonic circulation was observed off southwest India with scattered clouds and moderate to intense convection. No cyclogenesis is predicted over the next 168 hours. In the Arabian Sea, an earlier cyclonic circulation has become unimportant with scattered clouds and convection off southwest India. Likewise, no cyclogenesis is predicted over the next 168 hours in the Arabian Sea.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI

    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

    DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 15.12.2023

    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF


    BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
    15.12.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 15.12.2023.

    BAY OF BENGAL:

    A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING


    EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 15TH DECEMBER, 2023.

    SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE


    CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH
    ANDAMAN SEA AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER REST OF
    WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BANGAL AND NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.

    *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:


    24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168
    HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS
    NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
    *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY
    ARABIAN SEA:

    YESTERDAY’S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING


    EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN HAS BECOME UNIMPORTANT FOR OUR REGION AT 0300 UTC
    OF TODAY, THE 15TH DECEMBER, 2023.

    SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE


    CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ADJOINING CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA, COMORIN AREA &
    LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA.

    *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:


    24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168
    HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS
    NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
    *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

    Cloud distribution: (a) Isolated: <25%, Scattered:25-50%, Broken: 51-75%, Solid:>75%, Convection Intensity: (a) Weak: Cloud Top
    Temperature (CTT) >-25°C, (b) Moderate: CTT: - 25°C to -40°C, (c) Intense: CTT: - 41°C to -70°C and (d) Very Intense: : Less than -70°C
    PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW: 1-33%, , MODERATE: 34-66% AND HIGH: 67-100%
    This is a guidance Bulletin for WMO/ESCAP Panel Member countries. Visit respective National websites for Country specific Bulletins
    Cloud distribution: (a) Isolated: <25%, Scattered:25-50%, Broken: 51-75%, Solid:>75%, Convection Intensity: (a) Weak: Cloud Top
    Temperature (CTT) >-25°C, (b) Moderate: CTT: - 25°C to -40°C, (c) Intense: CTT: - 41°C to -70°C and (d) Very Intense: : Less than -70°C
    PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW: 1-33%, , MODERATE: 34-66% AND HIGH: 67-100%
    This is a guidance Bulletin for WMO/ESCAP Panel Member countries. Visit respective National websites for Country specific Bulletins

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