Energies 16 03612 v2
Energies 16 03612 v2
Energies 16 03612 v2
Review
Investigating the Potential of Nuclear Energy in Achieving a
Carbon-Free Energy Future
Jānis Krūmin, š * and Māris Kl, avin, š
Department of Environmental Science, Faculty of Geography and Earth Sciences, University of Latvia, Rain, a Blvd. 19,
LV-1586 Riga, Latvia
* Correspondence: krumins.janis@lu.lv
Abstract: This scientific paper discusses the importance of reducing greenhouse gas emissions to
mitigate the effects of climate change. The proposed strategy is to reach net-zero emissions by
transitioning to electric systems powered by low-carbon sources such as wind, solar, hydroelectric
power, and nuclear energy. However, the paper also highlights the challenges of this transition,
including high costs and lack of infrastructure. The paper emphasizes the need for continued research
and investment in renewable energy technology and infrastructure to overcome these challenges
and achieve a sustainable energy system. Additionally, the use of nuclear energy raises concerns,
such as nuclear waste and proliferation, and should be considered with its benefits and drawbacks.
The study assesses the feasibility of nuclear energy development in Latvia, a country in Northern
Europe, and finds that Latvia is a suitable location for nuclear power facilities due to potential energy
independence, low-carbon energy production, reliability, and economic benefits. The study also
discusses methods of calculating electricity generation and consumption, such as measuring MWh
produced by power plants, and balancing supply and demand within the country. Furthermore, the
study assesses the safety of nuclear reactors, generated waste, and options for nuclear waste recycling.
The transition to a carbon-free energy system is ongoing and complex, requiring multiple strategies
to accelerate the transition. While the paper proposes that nuclear energy could be a practical means
of supporting and backing up electricity generated by renewables, it should be noted that there are
still challenges to be addressed. Some of the results presented in the paper are still based on studies,
and the post-treatment of waste needs to be further clarified.
Citation: Krūmin, š, J.; Kl, avin, š, M.
Investigating the Potential of Nuclear
Keywords: decarbonization; carbon-neutral energy; power generation; nuclear power; sustainable
Energy in Achieving a Carbon-Free
energy; small modular reactor
Energy Future. Energies 2023, 16, 3612.
https://doi.org/10.3390/en16093612
energy sources far outweigh the costs in terms of environmental, social, and economic
benefits [4–7]. Transitioning to electric systems can significantly reduce emissions and
improve energy efficiency, thereby slowing the pace of climate change. The electrification of
energy-consuming sectors is widely considered as a key solution in mitigating the effects of
climate change [8,9]. However, the transition to electric systems is not without challenges,
such as high costs, a lack of infrastructure and technology, and a lack of political will [3,10].
Additionally, the availability of low-carbon energy sources may not be consistent or reliable
in certain regions, making it challenging to rely solely on these sources for electrification.
Despite these challenges, it is crucial to continue working toward the electrification of
energy-consuming sectors, as it is an effective approach to addressing climate change.
Fossil fuels remain the primary source of electricity generation due to their abun-
dance, established infrastructure, and relatively low cost. However, the negative impact
of fossil fuels on the environment and human health is becoming increasingly apparent,
leading to a growing demand for phasing out their use and transitioning toward cleaner
and renewable sources of energy [11,12]. This shift is necessary to mitigate the effects
of climate change, which is caused by the accumulation of GHG emissions in the atmo-
sphere, primarily from the burning of fossil fuels. The implementation of renewable
energy sources can significantly decrease GHG emissions and promote sustainable en-
ergy generation. It is essential to continue research and investment in renewable energy
technology and infrastructure, to overcome the challenges and achieve a sustainable
energy system.
The traditional method of electricity generation through fossil fuel power plants,
which relies on the combustion of coal or oil to generate heat, is a significant contributor
to GHG emissions and air pollution. Despite the growing awareness of the detrimental
effects of fossil fuels on the environment and human health, they continue to be the primary
source of energy worldwide, accounting for over 80% of global energy consumption [13–18].
This is due to a complex interplay of factors, such as the existing infrastructure, economic
considerations, and political factors that have hindered the transition from fossil fuels to
better energy sources. However, with the rapid advancements in clean and renewable
energy technologies, the future of energy generation is shifting toward cleaner, sustainable
sources. It is essential to continue the research and investment in these technologies, and
develop the necessary infrastructure to facilitate the transition to a low-carbon energy
system in order to mitigate the effects of climate change and improve air quality.
As technology advances and the need to reduce GHG emissions becomes increasingly
apparent, the share of renewable energy in global energy consumption is increasing [19,20].
Among renewable energy sources, wind energy is currently the largest contributor, but solar
energy is rapidly gaining ground [21–24]. With the decreasing cost of solar and wind energy,
as well as the development of more efficient technology, their share in the energy mix is
expected to increase in the future. This shift toward cleaner and sustainable energy sources
is crucial for addressing the challenges of climate change and meeting the energy needs
of a growing population. In 2019, in the United States (US), renewable energy surpassed
nuclear energy in terms of its share of electricity generation for the first time in history,
highlighting the growing potential of renewable resources to replace fossil fuels as the
primary source of electricity generation [25]. However, it is important to note that while the
use of renewable energy sources has been increasing in the recent years, they alone may not
be sufficient to entirely replace fossil fuels with current technology solutions [26,27]. The
power output of renewable energy sources is dependent on weather conditions, making it
difficult to rely solely on these sources to meet the energy demands of the entire population.
Achieving a fully decarbonized energy sector will require a combination of different clean
energy sources and technologies, such as energy storage solutions, advanced grid systems,
and carbon capture and storage (CCS).
Energies 2023, 16, 3612 3 of 31
Electricity is a fundamental and essential aspect of modern life and ensuring a constant
and reliable supply of electricity is one of the most significant challenges facing the world
today. The increasing global energy demand, the need to reduce GHG emissions, and the
impacts of climate change make it increasingly important to develop clean and sustainable
energy sources that can provide a reliable source of electricity. The transition to cleaner
energy sources and technologies will be a complex and challenging process, requiring a
combination of technical, economic, and policy solutions to achieve the goal of a sustainable
energy future. To overcome the environmental and energy crisis caused by the extensive
use of fossil fuels, and to establish a sustainable and clean energy system, it is vital to
set in motion a new energy revolution focusing on electricity generated from renewable
resources [28,29]. Renewable energy sources are increasingly being adopted, but the lack of
advanced energy storage technology is a significant hurdle to overcome. Without sufficient
energy storage, the full potential of renewable energy sources cannot be realized. Therefore,
it is necessary to invest in advanced energy storage technologies, such as battery storage
systems, to enable the integration of renewable energy into the power grid and ensure a
reliable and consistent supply of electricity [30,31]. The development of advanced energy
storage technologies must be a priority in order to achieve a sustainable and carbon-free
energy system. Additionally, it is important to consider all viable options for providing
a reliable and consistent supply of electricity, including nuclear energy, but with caution,
considering the risks associated with it, such as safety concerns and the disposal of nuclear
waste. The transition to a sustainable and clean energy future requires a holistic approach,
considering all possible options and their associated risks to ensure a reliable, sustainable,
and clean energy future.
The threat of climate change has reached a critical level and continues to escalate
at an alarming rate. Mitigating the catastrophic effects of climate change requires im-
mediate action, particularly in the energy sector, which is a major contributor to GHG
emissions [32–34]. A holistic approach that considers the assorted options available and
their associated risks is necessary to achieve a sustainable, clean, and reliable energy fu-
ture. Phasing out the use of fossil fuels is a crucial step in combatting the climate crisis.
Nevertheless, reaching net-zero emissions alone is insufficient, as the effects of climate
change, such as increased flooding, coastal erosion, droughts, and wildfires, are already
manifesting and will continue to affect the climate for years to come [35,36]. It is essential
to take immediate action to reduce dependence on fossil fuels and transition to cleaner
and sustainable sources of energy, to minimize the impact of climate change and ensure a
safe and livable future for all. While further climate change is inevitable, phasing out fossil
fuels can buy humanity more time to adapt to the new conditions [37–39].
Nuclear energy has the potential to be a valuable addition to the energy mix, as it
can effectively be combined with renewable energy sources to provide stable and uninter-
rupted electricity without producing significant GHG emissions [40–42]. Nuclear energy
can play an important role in the transition from fossil fuels to emission-free and clean
energy. Furthermore, it is not necessary to build large nuclear power plants, as newer,
smaller, and safer nuclear technologies, such as small modular reactors (SMRs), are already
available and continue to improve [43,44]. SMRs can provide up to 300 MWh of carbon-free
energy practically anywhere in the world, without the need for long-distance transmission
of electricity. This approach allows for a quick and smooth transition to clean energy,
while ensuring reliable and sustainable energy supply. In addition to providing a reliable
source of carbon-free energy, SMRs have the potential to play a key role in addressing the
climate crisis by powering technologies for carbon capture directly from the atmosphere.
It is important to note that addressing the climate crisis requires not only the cessation
of excessive emissions, but also the reduction of existing emissions in the atmosphere.
Therefore, SMRs, combined with carbon capture technology, can be a powerful tool for
achieving a low-carbon energy future and mitigating the effects of climate change [45,46].
However, it is important to take into account that SMRs are a relatively new technology,
and more research is needed to determine the feasibility of the technology and its potential
Energies 2023, 16, 3612 4 of 31
challenges. For example, a recent study by Stanford and the University of British Columbia
suggests that SMRs would generate more radioactive waste than conventional nuclear
power plants [47]. However, these findings have been disputed by other researchers, who
argue that there are no additional major challenges to the management of SMR nuclear
waste compared to traditional reactors [48]. Therefore, more pilot projects are considered
necessary to determine the feasibility of the technology and its potential challenges. At
the same time, it is generally accepted that nuclear power, including SMRs and other
technologies, such as light water reactors (LWRs), boiling water reactors (BWRs), and
high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs), will continue to play an important role
in the future energy mix, alongside other low-carbon energy sources, such as renewables,
energy storage, and carbon capture technologies [49–51]. LWRs are a common type of
pressurized water reactor (PWR) that use ordinary water as both a coolant and a moderator.
LWRs are the most widely used type of nuclear power plant in the world, accounting for
approximately 60% of global nuclear power capacity. The fuel used in LWRs is typically
enriched uranium dioxide, which is fabricated into fuel rods that are loaded into the reactor
core. Water is used to cool the reactor core and transfer the heat to a steam generator, where
it is used to produce electricity. LWRs offer several advantages, including high thermal
efficiency, low emissions, and relatively low operating costs. However, they also present
certain challenges, such as the need for specialized fuel handling and storage facilities, and
the risk of nuclear accidents and radiation leaks. Overall, LWRs have played a significant
role in meeting the world’s energy needs and will likely continue to be an important part
of the energy mix in the future [49]. BWRs are a type of nuclear power plant that use
enriched uranium fuel to heat water, producing steam that drives a turbine to generate
electricity. Unlike PWRs, which use a separate water source to cool the reactor core, BWRs
use the same water that is heated to create steam. This can make BWRs simpler and more
efficient than PWRs. However, BWRs also present certain challenges, such as the need
for specialized fuel handling and storage facilities, and the risk of nuclear accidents and
radiation leaks. Despite these challenges, BWRs continue to play an important role in
meeting the world’s energy needs, particularly in countries such as Japan and the US,
which have a large number of BWRs in operation. Recent advances in BWR technology,
such as the use of passive safety systems, have also made them safer and more reliable [50].
HTGRs are a type of nuclear power plant that use helium gas as a coolant and graphite as a
moderator. HTGRs can operate at much higher temperatures than other types of reactors,
which makes them more efficient and potentially more versatile. They also have a relatively
low risk of nuclear accidents and radiation leaks due to their inherent safety features, such
as a ceramic-coated fuel that can withstand high temperatures. HTGRs can be designed for
either electricity generation or industrial heat applications, such as hydrogen production.
However, HTGRs also present certain challenges, such as the need for specialized fuel
handling and storage facilities, and the risk of graphite oxidation. Despite these challenges,
HTGRs have the potential to play an important role in meeting the world’s energy needs,
particularly in countries seeking to reduce their dependence on fossil fuels and decarbonize
their energy systems [49,51].
The use of nuclear energy as a tool for decarbonizing the electricity grid and ending de-
pendence on fossil fuels is a topic of ongoing debate within the scientific community [52–54].
While opinions on the role of nuclear energy in the future energy mix may vary, it is reason-
able to suggest that it should play a significant role in achieving a clean and sustainable
energy system. Simultaneously, it is crucial to address the issue of final disposal of nuclear
waste if nuclear energy is to be included in any future energy mix. Critics of nuclear energy
often fail to acknowledge the potential benefits of nuclear energy in terms of emission
reduction and environmental sustainability. Furthermore, it is important to recognize that
the risks associated with nuclear energy can be mitigated through the use of advanced
technologies such as carbon capture and desalination equipment. Nuclear energy can
not only provide emission-free energy, but also capture fossil emissions that have already
entered the atmosphere, making it a valuable measure in the fight against climate change.
Energies 2023, 16, 3612 5 of 31
The objective of this paper is to assess the future perspectives of nuclear energy in the
clean energy system, with a focus on safer, cheaper, and more compact options, particularly
for small countries with limited funds to decarbonize their electricity grid or provide a
local source of electricity. One such option is the use of SMRs, which are smaller, cheaper,
and safer than traditional nuclear reactors. However, further studies and pilot projects are
needed to assess the potential of nuclear energy as a tool for decarbonizing the electricity
grid and ending dependence on fossil fuels, and determine the best options for different
countries and regions.
This study provides a thorough examination of the advantages and limitations of both
renewable and nuclear energy sources, with a focus on SMRs as a potential solution to the
challenges faced by renewable energy. The analysis includes a detailed evaluation of the
issues related to nuclear waste management and a comparison of the capabilities of SMRs
in terms of providing reliable and sustainable energy. Furthermore, the study presents
recommendations for the integration of nuclear energy, with technologies such as carbon
capture and desalination, to mitigate the effects of climate change. The main goal of this
paper is to offer a scientifically based, objective analysis of the potential role of nuclear
energy in the transition toward a clean and sustainable energy system.
Increase in Demand = Current period’s electricity consumption − Previous period’s electricity consumption (3)
Another approach to calculate the increase in demand is by utilizing forecasting
models [74–76]. These models can predict future demand based on historical data, weather
patterns, and other relevant factors. The forecasting models use statistical and mathematical
techniques to provide an estimate of future demand. It is important to note that the demand
increase calculation is dependent on the data availability, accuracy and the data collection
method used. The results of the calculation should be interpreted in the context of the
underlying data and the method used for data collection.
Emissions (in CO2 e) = Total electricity generation (MWh) × Emissions factor (kg CO2 e/MWh) (4)
Another approach is to use data from the power plants regarding their fuel con-
sumption and emissions, and then use that data to estimate the emissions from electricity
generation. This can be done by using a tool such as the International Energy Agency’s
CO2 Emissions from Fuel Combustion database, which provides detailed data on emissions
from fuel combustion by country, fuel type, and sector. It is also important to note that
emissions from electricity generation can also be calculated for other greenhouse gases
besides CO2 , such as methane, nitrous oxide and others, depending on the specific fuel
source and power plant [79].
2.6. Selecting the Optimal Evaluation Method for Power Plant Energy/Fuel Source
There are several methods available to determine the optimal energy/fuel source
for a power plant, with the most widely used in practice being cost, efficiency, emissions,
land usage, lifetime, waste generation, and reliability [80,81]. Selecting the appropriate
evaluation method to assess the value of invested funds is crucial. The primary goal is to
establish assessment methods that consider both positive and negative attributes in order
to determine the most suitable type of power plant. In other words, the benefits should
outweigh the drawbacks. For example, when evaluating the efficiency of power plants,
calculating the amount of electricity generated relative to the fuel consumed would be an
appropriate method. On the other hand, when evaluating waste production, evaluating the
characteristics of the fuel used and its recycling potential may be a more suitable assessment
option [82]. It is important to consider the specific context, goals and criteria of the energy
planning or evaluation process to select the most appropriate methods.
and must be considered during the analysis. The nuclear energy needed can be calculated
Nuclear energy needed using
= (Total electricity
Equation (5):generation from fossil fuels/Capacity factor of nuclear power
(5)
plants) ×Total electricity generation for the country
Nuclear energy needed = (Total electricity generation from fossil fuels/Capacity factor of nuclear power
(5)
It plants)
is important
× Totaltoelectricity
note thatgeneration
this calculation
for theassumes
country that the capacity factor of the
nuclear power plants will be the same as that of the fossil fuel power plants they are re-
It is important to note that this calculation assumes that the capacity factor of the
placing and that the total electricity generation for the country will remain constant. In
nuclear power plants will be the same as that of the fossil fuel power plants they are
reality, the total electricity generation and the capacity factor may vary over time due to
replacing and that the total electricity generation for the country will remain constant. In
factors such as weather, economic conditions, and government policies. Furthermore, it is
reality, the total electricity generation and the capacity factor may vary over time due to
essential to consider safety, waste management, and public acceptance of nuclear power
factors such as weather, economic conditions, and government policies. Furthermore, it is
in the country before deciding to replace fossil energy with nuclear energy.
essential to consider safety, waste management, and public acceptance of nuclear power in
the country before deciding to replace fossil energy with nuclear energy.
3. Results
3.1.3.Current
ResultsTrends and Future Scenarios of Electricity Generation and Consumption
3.1.The
Current Trends
current andprimary
global Future Scenarios
energy mixof Electricity
is heavilyGeneration
reliant onand Consumption
fossil fuels, with 84% of
the world’s primaryglobal
The current energy being sourced
primary energy mixfromisfossil fuels
heavily suchon
reliant as fossil
oil (33%),
fuels,coal
with (27%),
84% of
andthe world’s
natural gasprimary energyIn
(24%) [86–89]. being sourced
contrast, onlyfrom
16%fossil
of thefuels such
world’s as oil is
energy (33%),
sourced coalfrom
(27%),
and natural sources,
low-emission gas (24%)including
[86–89]. Inhydroelectric
contrast, onlypower
16% of(7%),
the world’s
renewable energy is sourced
energy from
sources
low-emission sources, including hydroelectric power (7%), renewable
(5%), and nuclear energy (4%) [89]. The increasing demand for electricity (Figure 1) driven energy sources (5%),
byand nuclear energy
technological (4%) [89].and
advancements Thepopulation
increasing growth
demandcannot
for electricity
currently(Figure
be met1)solely
drivenbyby
technological
renewable energyadvancements
sources, resulting and inpopulation
the continuedgrowth cannot
reliance on currently
fossil fuelsbeformet solely by
electricity
renewable
generation energy
and sources, resulting
a corresponding increasein the continued
in GHG reliance
emissions. on fossil fuels
Abandoning for electricity
nuclear energy
generation and a corresponding increase in GHG emissions. Abandoning
as a source of power would exacerbate this issue, as the missing energy would have to nuclear energy
be
as a source of power would exacerbate this issue, as the missing
generated using fossil resources. This would not only undermine efforts to decarbonizeenergy would have to be
thegenerated usingbut
energy sector, fossil
alsoresources. This would
have a detrimental not only
impact undermine
on global climateefforts
change to mitigation
decarbonize
efforts. Therefore, it is crucial to consider the continued use of nuclear energy as mitigation
the energy sector, but also have a detrimental impact on global climate change a viable
efforts.
option Therefore,
in the transitionit istocrucial to consider
a low-carbon energythesystem.
continued use of nuclear energy as a viable
option in the transition to a low-carbon energy system.
Figure 1. The net electricity consumption worldwide over the last decade (2011–2021), based on
Figure 1. The
Statistica net[90].
2023 electricity consumption worldwide over the last decade (2011–2021), based on
Statistica 2023 [90].
The histogram presented in Figure 1 illustrates the net electricity consumption of the
world
The over the past
histogram decade (2011–2021).
presented in Figure 1 illustrates theY-axis
The vertical represents
net electricity the net consumption
consumption of the
in terawatt hours (TWh), while the horizontal X-axis depicts the
world over the past decade (2011–2021). The vertical Y-axis represents thetime period
net from 2011 to
consump-
2021.
tion The datahours
in terawatt clearly demonstrate
(TWh), an exponential
while the growth
horizontal X-axis in net the
depicts electricity consumption,
time period from
increasing
2011 to 2021.from
The19,444
data TWh in demonstrate
clearly 2011 to 25,343an
TWh in 2021. Notably,
exponential growththe in data
net also indicate
electricity
Energies 2023, 16, 3612 9 of 31
a period of relative stability in net consumption in the years 2019 and 2020, which may
be attributed to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global industrial activity [91].
Overall, the worldwide net electricity consumption is showing a gradual upward trend,
and if this trend continues, it may result in an increase in fossil fuel emissions, as renewable
energy sources are not yet able to keep up with this consumption. One example of this
phenomenon can be observed in Lithuania, where the decommissioning of the Ignalina
Power Plant resulted in a reduction of carbon-free nuclear energy production and an
increased reliance on fossil fuels [92,93]. Despite the necessity of decommissioning the
outdated and dangerous Soviet-era nuclear reactor, the situation highlights the potential
benefits of investing in modern, state-of-the-art nuclear technology with advanced safety
systems [94]. Given the existing legislation and the availability of qualified personnel, the
primary challenge in this endeavor would be raising funds, given the negative perception
of nuclear power.
The latest data from AST (Figure 2) indicate that Latvia’s electricity consumption has
exhibited a steady upward trend in the recent years [95]. However, this trend experienced
a deviation in 2020 due to the implementation of COVID-19 restrictions, which resulted in
a decrease in electricity demand. Similarly, in 2022, the increase in electricity prices also
led to a drop in electricity demand. These data suggest that the overall trend of increasing
electricity consumption in Latvia is subject to fluctuations caused by external factors such as
pandemics and changes in electricity prices. The country has also been increasing its use of
renewable energy sources, such as wind and biomass, to generate electricity [96]. However,
Latvia still heavily relies on fossil fuels, particularly natural gas, to meet its energy needs.
As of 2021, the majority of Latvia’s electricity is generated by hydroelectric power plants,
followed by natural gas and coal-fired power plants [97]. Latvia heavily relies on the
imports of natural gas, oil, and coal to generate electricity. Latvia has committed to reduce
its GHG emissions and increase the share of renewable energy in its energy mix, as part
of its commitment to the Paris Agreement and the EU’s climate change targets [98]. This
would imply a decrease in the use of thermoelectric power plants in the future. Under the
Paris Agreement, countries are required to submit Nationally Determined Contributions
(NDCs) that outline their specific climate action plans and emission reduction targets. The
NDCs are reviewed and updated every five years to reflect the country’s progress towards
achieving its goals. The Paris Agreement also established a mechanism for supporting
developing countries in their efforts to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change,
including financial assistance, capacity building, and technology transfer to achieve its
NDCs. Latvia has implemented several policies and measures, including a carbon tax,
subsidies for renewable energy, energy-efficient building codes, and support for the use
of electric vehicles. The EU has been a key supporter of the Paris Agreement and has set
ambitious targets to reduce GHG emissions and increase the share of renewable energy in
its energy mix. The EU has committed to achieving net-zero GHG emissions by 2050 and
reducing emissions by at least 55% by 2030, compared to the levels in 1990. Additionally,
the EU aims to increase the share of renewable energy to at least 32% by 2030 and increase
energy efficiency by at least 32.5% by the same year [98].
The trend of electricity production and consumption in Latvia between 2015 and 2022
is illustrated in Figure 2. The data, presented in MWh, do not exhibit a clear trend of
increasing or decreasing consumption. This lack of trend is likely due to the relatively
short time frame, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and electricity price increases
on consumption patterns. Despite this, the overall consumption appears to be increasing.
Additionally, Latvia’s reliance on hydropower and fossil resources, which are subject
to significant fluctuations in availability and cost, results in significant fluctuations in
electricity production.
Energies 2023, 16, x FOR PEER REVIEW 10 of 31
Energies 2023, 16, 3612 10 of 31
Figure 2. Electricity production versus consumption in Latvia (2015–2022), based on AST 2023 [95].
Figure 2. Electricity production versus consumption in Latvia (2015–2022), based on AST 2023 [95].
Latvia’s electricity consumption is consistently increasing year-over-year and is pro-
The
jected to trend of electricity
continue to rise inproduction
the future and[99].consumption
This fact must inbe Latvia between
considered 2015considering
when and 2022
is future
illustrated
energyin Figure
scenarios. 2. The data, presented
Currently, Latvia does in MWh, do not enough
not produce exhibit aelectricity
clear trend of in-its
to meet
creasing
consumption needs and this gap is expected to widen in the future. The amount short
or decreasing consumption. This lack of trend is likely due to the relatively of elec-
time frame,
tricity and theinimpact
generated Latviaof the COVID-19
varies from year to pandemic and electricity
year, depending pricesuch
on factors increases on
as weather
consumption patterns. Despite this, the overall consumption appears
conditions and economic activity. According to data from the Latvian transmission system to be increasing. Ad-
ditionally,
operator Latvia’s
AST, thereliance on hydropower
total electricity generation and in fossil
Latviaresources,
in 2020 was which are subject 8.2
approximately to sig-
TWh.
nificant fluctuations
Electricity in Latvia in is
availability
primarilyand cost, results
provided in significant
by Latvenergo, fluctuations
which in electricity
is the largest electricity
production.
supplier in the country [95,97]. Latvenergo is a state-owned company and is responsible
forLatvia’s electricity
the generation, consumptionand
transmission, is consistently
distributionincreasing
of electricityyear-over-year and is pro-
in Latvia. Additionally,
jected to continue to rise in the future [99]. This fact must be considered
there are also several smaller private electricity suppliers operating in Latvia that provide when considering
future energy
electricity toscenarios.
customers. Currently, Latvia does
Some examples include not[100]:
produce enough electricity to meet its
consumption
• Elektrum: needs and this gap
a subsidiary is expected
of the internationalto widen
utility incompany,
the future. The which
EON, amountoperates
of elec- in
tricity generated in Latvia
several European countries; varies from year to year, depending on factors such as weather
conditions
• anda economic
Enefit: subsidiaryactivity. According
of the Estonian to data from
state-owned the Latvian
energy company,transmission system
Eesti Energia;
operator
• AST, the total electricity generation in Latvia in 2020 was
Vattenfall: a Swedish power company that operates in several European countries, approximately 8.2 TWh.
Electricity in Latvia
including is primarily provided by Latvenergo, which is the largest electricity
Latvia;
supplier
• in thegāze:
Baltijas country [95,97].natural
a Latvian Latvenergo
gas and is aelectricity
state-owned company and is responsible
supplier;
for• theNordea
generation, transmission, and distribution of
Elektrum: a subsidiary of the Nordea bank that provides electricity in Latvia. Additionally,
electricity in Latvia.
there are also several smaller private electricity suppliers operating in Latvia that provide
Hydroelectricity is the main source of electricity generation in Latvia. The Latvian
electricity to customers. Some examples include [100]:
transmission system operator AST reported that the total electricity generation from hydro-
• electric
Elektrum:
powera plants
subsidiary of the
in 2020 wasinternational
approximately utility company,
4.7 TWh EON, has
[95]. Latvia which operateslarge
a relatively in
several European countries;
number of rivers and lakes, which makes it well suited for hydroelectric power generation.
• TheEnefit:
biggesta subsidiary
hydroelectric of the Estonian
power state-owned
plants are located energy
on thecompany,
DaugavaEesti Energia;
River, and include
• theVattenfall: a SwedishPower
Riga Hydroelectric power company
Station, that operates
Plavinas Hydroelectric in several
Power European countries,
Station, and Kegums
including Latvia;
Hydroelectric Power Station (Table 1).
• Baltijas gāze: a Latvian natural gas and electricity supplier;
• Table
Nordea Elektrum:
1. Latvia’s largestahydroelectric
subsidiary of the Nordea
power plants onbank that provides
the Daugava electricity in Latvia.
River [97].
Hydroelectricity is the main source of electricity generation in Latvia. The Latvian
Name of the Power Station Total Capacity (in MW) Number of Generators Commissioned Date
transmission system operator AST reported that the total electricity generation from hy-
Riga Hydroelectric Power droelectric
Station 690 MW
power plants 4 4.7 TWh [95]. Latvia1977–1981
in 2020 was approximately has a relatively
large
Plavinas Hydroelectric Power number of rivers
Station 440and
MWlakes, which makes it well
3 suited for hydroelectric power gen-
1980–1982
eration.
Kegums Hydroelectric Power Station The biggest hydroelectric
400 MW power plants are
4 located on the Daugava River, and
1986–1987
include the Riga Hydroelectric Power Station, Plavinas Hydroelectric Power Station, and
Kegums Hydroelectric Power Station (Table 1).
Energies 2023, 16, 3612 11 of 31
Energy Source Installed Capacity (MW) Target for 2030 (Share in Energy Mix)
Wind Power 480 MW 6%
Solar Power 20 MW 1%
Table 2 provides a summary of the installed capacity of wind and solar power in
Latvia. This table aims to give an overview of the current and future potential of wind and
solar power in Latvia. It shows the installed capacity of both wind and solar power in the
country, as well as the government’s target for the share of these renewable energy sources
in the national energy mix by 2030. It is important to note that these data are subject to
change and are based on current policies and plans; therefore, future developments could
change the actual figures.
The amount of solar energy generated in Latvia is relatively small compared to other
sources of electricity. According to data from Eurostat, the share of solar energy in the
total electricity generation in Latvia was around 0.5% in 2020 [101]. Latvia has a relatively
low solar potential compared to other European countries due to its northern location
and relatively short summer days. However, in the recent years, the Latvian government
has been promoting the development of solar energy. Several private companies and
organizations have begun to invest in solar energy projects in Latvia, and the number of
solar panels installed in the country has been increasing. However, the overall capacity of
solar energy is still relatively small, and the majority of electricity generated in Latvia is
still coming from conventional sources, such as hydroelectricity, and combined heat and
power plants.
The amount of wind energy generated in Latvia is also relatively small compared to
other sources of electricity. According to data from Eurostat, the share of wind energy
in the total electricity generation in Latvia was around 2.6% in 2020 [101]. Latvia has a
relatively low wind potential compared to other European countries due to its location in
the northeastern part of Europe, which is not as windy as the coastal areas and large parts
of the continent. However, the Latvian government has been promoting the development
of wind energy and has set a target to increase the share of renewable energy in the total
energy mix to 40% by 2030, which includes the use of wind energy [102]. Several private
companies have begun to invest in wind energy projects in Latvia, and the number of wind
turbines installed in the country has been increasing over the years.
sources have little to no fuel costs. Nuclear power plants have low fuel costs, but higher
labor and maintenance costs [104]. The cost to generate each unit of electricity, known as
the marginal cost, is influenced by these operating costs [103]. Table 3 provides a summary
of the estimated capital, fixed, variable, and operating costs for electricity generation for
different types of power plants. The data presented in this table are sourced from the
International Energy Agency (IEA) and are based on estimates for the year 2020 [105].
Power Plant Capital Costs Fixed Costs Variable Costs Operating Costs
Type (USD/MWh) (USD/MWh) (USD/MWh) (USD/MWh)
Coal 100–150 30–70 20–80 10–20
Natural Gas 50–80 20–50 15–30 5–10
Nuclear 150–200 50–100 30–50 10–20
Hydroelectric 50–80 20–50 10–30 5–10
Onshore Wind 40–80 10–30 10–20 5–10
Offshore Wind 80–120 20–40 10–20 5–10
Solar PV 50–100 10–20 10–20 5–10
Table 3 includes information on seven different types of power plants: coal, natural
gas, nuclear, hydroelectric, onshore wind, offshore wind, and solar PV. Each type of power
plant is represented by a row in the table, with columns displaying the estimated costs
for capital, fixed, variable, and operating costs in USD/MWh. This table aims to give an
overview of the approximate costs associated with different types of power plants and
allows for comparison between them. For example, it can be seen that the capital costs
for a coal-fired power plant are higher than those of a natural-gas-fired power plant, but
the variable costs for a coal-fired power plant are lower. Similarly, it can be observed
that the operating costs for hydroelectric power plants are lower than those for nuclear
power plants. On the other hand, renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar power,
are characterized by lower capital and operating costs than fossil fuel power plants. It
is important to note that these costs are based on estimates and can vary depending on
location and other factors. Additionally, these numbers are for reference and should be
used as a rough guide, as the actual costs can vary depending on the specific conditions of
each power plant and location.
SMRs can offer several benefits in terms of costs [43–45,57]. Since they are smaller
and less complex than traditional nuclear power plants, the costs associated with building
and installing SMRs can be lower. Additionally, the use of standardized designs and mass
production can also reduce costs. Furthermore, SMRs can be used in a wide range of
applications, including remote and off-grid locations, which can help diversify the energy
mix in these areas [43–46,57]. While SMRs could potentially reduce the costs associated with
nuclear power, this is not a guarantee, and more research and developments are needed to
determine the actual costs and benefits of these new technologies. Furthermore, the cost of
financing, insurance, and fuel supply, as well as the availability of skilled labor and the legal
framework, are also factors that could affect the overall costs of a nuclear power project. It
is important to note that SMRs are still in the research and development phase, and as a
result, it is difficult to provide a precise estimate of their levelized cost of energy (LCOE).
However, some studies and estimates have suggested that SMRs may have a lower LCOE
than traditional nuclear reactors due to their smaller size, modular design, and potential
for increased efficiency. For instance, a 2018 report by the IAEA indicated that the LCOE
for SMRs could range from USD 60 to 90 per MWh, depending on the specific design and
fuel cycle of the reactor. In contrast, larger traditional nuclear reactors typically have an
estimated LCOE ranging from USD 90 to 150 per MWh [106]. It is important to emphasize
that these estimates are based on a number of assumptions and are subject to change as SMR
technology continues to develop. Additionally, the LCOE for SMRs may vary depending
on several factors, such as the energy mix of the grid where the reactor is deployed, the
Energies 2023, 16, 3612 13 of 31
Table 4 aims to give an overview of the different technologies used for solar energy
storage and allows for comparison between them. For example, lithium-ion batteries have a
high energy density and a long life cycle, but they are relatively expensive; while lead-acid
batteries are low-cost, but have a low energy density and a short life cycle. It is important
to note that each technology has its own advantages and disadvantages, and the most
appropriate one will depend on the specific application and location.
It is worth noting that the efficiencies provided are general averages and can vary
significantly depending on the specific power plant and the technology used. Additionally,
it is important to note that the efficiency and capacity factor are not directly related. Effi-
ciency refers to the ratio of the amount of useful energy produced by a power plant to the
amount of energy consumed, whereas capacity factor refers to the ratio of the actual output
of a power plant to its maximum possible output.
Table 6. Small modular reactors in a conceptual and design development phase with potential for
near-term deployment [150].
The cost of SMRs can vary depending on the design and size of the reactor, as well
as the location and specific project. However, in general, SMRs are expected to be less
expensive to build and operate than traditional large-scale nuclear power plants. The cost
of an SMR can range from several hundred million to a couple of billion euros. The cost of
the project depends on the technology and design of the reactor, the location of the project,
and the regulatory environment. Additionally, the economies of the scale can affect the cost
as well. It is worth noting that the cost of SMRs is still in the early stages of development,
and it is hard to give an accurate estimate as the technology is still in the research and
Energies 2023, 16, 3612 19 of 31
development phase, and it will take time for the cost to come down as the technology
matures and economies of the scale increase [43–47,57,150].
Table 6 presents a list of 11 SMR designs that are in a well-developed phase and
have the potential for near-term deployment. As the table illustrates, the majority of the
proposed prototypes are land-based technologies, with the exception of the two Russian
projects that are marine-based. Additionally, the majority of the technologies that are
closest to being ready for release are PWRs, which is the simplest design among SMRs.
In a PWR, nuclear fission heats the water in the nuclear core, which is then pumped into
tubes inside a heat exchanger. The heat from these tubes is used to heat a separate water
source, creating steam that powers an electric generator to produce electricity. Apart from
PWRs, sodium fast reactor designs have also been relatively well-developed, with three
prototypes offered by the US, Canada, and Russia. Furthermore, Canada is the only country
that offers an innovative design for a molten salt reactor, which has the advantage of
effectively eliminating the risk of steam explosions, hydrogen explosions, or a meltdown
due to the nature of molten salt reactors. In general, SMRs offer a promising solution for the
generation of safe, clean, and reliable nuclear energy, as well as provide the benefits of the
large-scale reactors with the flexibility and scalability of smaller-scale reactors. Furthermore,
they can be used in a variety of applications, including electricity generation, process heat,
desalination, and hydrogen production [43–45,47,57,150].
SMRs make use of passive cooling systems that do not depend on the availability
of electric power. No electrical supplies or pumps are needed to cool down the reactor
in the event of an incident, as this is done by natural convection and the gravity coolant
feed. This feature ensures that the reactor will remain safe under severe accident condi-
tions. Furthermore, passive safety systems decrease the capital and maintenance costs
compared to large power reactors, and fundamentally change the economic equation in
favor of SMRs. However, innovative designs should still include reliable active backup
cooling systems. Existing small modular reactor designs have smaller, less robust con-
tainment systems than conventional nuclear reactors, which may increase the probability
of damage from hydrogen explosions. Therefore, modern designs should include mea-
sures to prevent hydrogen from reaching explosive concentrations. SMRs are expected
to be installed underground, which reduces the risk of various negative environmental
impacts [43–48,57,150].
In regard to SMRs, some researchers have raised concerns about a higher neutron
leakage compared to conventional nuclear power plants due to their smaller size. As
a result, this increased neutron leakage could increase the amount of produced nuclear
waste. Additionally, the spent nuclear fuel from SMRs would also be discharged in greater
volumes per unit than from conventional power plants. However, as previously mentioned,
there are well-defined techniques for nuclear waste disposal. Conversely, some studies
have shown that small modular reactors have reduced fuel requirements, hence power
plants based on SMRs require less frequent refueling compared to conventional plants.
Some designs of SMRs are intended to operate for up to 30 years without refueling. It is
uncertain how many of the concerns are truly justified and how many are based on political
considerations and ‘greenwashing’. Nevertheless, it is clear that if managed appropriately,
SMRs offer a lower initial capital investment, greater scalability, and siting flexibility for
locations unable to accommodate more traditional larger reactors [43–48,57,150].
depleted uranium mass than the reference pressurized water reactor, due to a higher fuel
uranium enrichment, lower burnup, and lower thermal efficiency [155,156]. However,
pilot designs such as Natrium and Xe-100 perform comparatively better in front-end waste
generation due to a higher burnup and thermal efficiency.
With regard to back-end waste, VOYGR generates 1.1 times the spent nuclear fuel
mass and 1.1 times the volume of the reference pressurized water reactor due to lower
burnup and thermal efficiency [155]. Natrium and Xe-100 designs generally perform better
than VOYGR and the reference PWR, generating 72% and 75% less spent nuclear fuel mass,
respectively, due to higher burnup and thermal efficiency [157]. Decommissioning class A,
B, and C low-level waste includes building materials activated by neutrons or contaminated
by radioactive isotopes. Greater-than-class-C low-level waste includes reactor components
located near the active core and activated above class C levels [158]. For PWRs, less than 1%
of decommissioning low-level waste is greater-than-class-C. The decommissioning volume
of class A, B, and C low-level waste for VOYGR is 10% smaller than the reference PWR [155].
However, the normalized greater-than-class-C volume for VOYGR is six times larger than
that of the reference PWR. Natrium and Xe-100 designs include radial neutron reflectors
and graphite blocks, respectively, that protect other core structures from activation, which
may result in an increase in greater-than-class-C waste [155,157]. Further research and
experimentation are necessary to determine the exact amount of nuclear waste generated
by SMRs.
Currently, in countries that do not see a threat of proliferation (e.g., France, Japan,
Germany, Belgium), the recyclable spent nuclear fuel is fed into a chemical processing
system that separates actinide elements (e.g., uranium, thorium, plutonium) that can be
recycled as mixed-oxide fuel to produce more electrical power. Recycling is mainly focused
on the extraction of plutonium and uranium, as they can later be mixed with fresh uranium
and made into new nuclear fuel rods [168].
important for the country to be prepared for the management of radioactive waste should
it decide to develop nuclear energy in the future.
3.13. Exploring the Use of Nuclear Energy in Carbon Capture and Water Desalination
Nuclear energy can be used in carbon capture and water desalination [172]. Carbon
capture refers to the process of capturing CO2 emissions from power plants or other
industrial sources before they are released into the atmosphere. Nuclear power plants
produce electricity without emitting CO2 , so they can be used to generate electricity for
carbon capture systems. There are several ways in which nuclear energy can be used to
capture carbon:
• Integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) with carbon capture: this technology
uses nuclear energy to power an IGCC plant, which converts coal or other fossil fuels
into a gas. The gas is then cleared of impurities, and the CO2 is separated and captured
before it is released into the atmosphere [173];
• Hybrid nuclear-renewable power plants: nuclear energy can be combined with renew-
able energy sources, such as solar or wind power, to generate electricity. The excess
heat generated by the nuclear reactor can be used to power a carbon capture system,
which separates and captures CO2 emissions [174];
• Direct air capture (DAC): nuclear energy can be used to power DAC systems, which
remove CO2 directly from the air. These systems use a combination of chemical
and thermal processes to capture CO2 , which can then be stored or used for various
industrial applications [175];
• Advanced nuclear-based process heating: nuclear energy can also be used to provide
process heat for industrial processes, such as hydrogen production, that require high
temperatures. This can also produce CO2 as a by-product and capture it [176].
It is worth noting that CCS is a complex process and is still under development, and
it may not be the most cost-effective or efficient way to reduce CO2 emissions. It is also
important to consider the full life cycle of these systems, including the energy required to
build and maintain them, as well as the potential environmental impacts of storing the
captured CO2 .
Water desalination is the process of removing salt and other minerals from seawater
to make it potable [177]. Nuclear energy can be used to power the desalination process,
which typically involves heating seawater to create steam, which is then used to drive a
turbine and generate electricity. The electricity generated can then be used to power the
reverse osmosis process, which removes salt and other minerals from the seawater.
4. Discussion
The transition to a carbon-free energy system is an ongoing and complex process,
requiring the implementation of multiple strategies to accelerate the transition. One ap-
proach is to reduce dependency on fossil fuels by utilizing alternative sources of energy,
such as nuclear energy, in situations where renewable resources are not readily available.
Additionally, decreasing carbon emissions from the electricity grid beyond the capabilities
of conventional clean energy sources can be achieved by accelerating the deployment
of innovative technologies and phasing out fossil fuels. To achieve this, promoting the
electrification of buildings, transportation, and other sectors and ensuring they are pow-
ered by carbon-free energy is crucial [2–9]. Improving grid resilience by incorporating a
diverse range of carbon-free energy technologies to provide round-the-clock electricity, and
directing support efforts to regions where access to carbon-free energy is limited due to
policy or market constraints are also important considerations. Moreover, enhancing the
health and living conditions of communities affected by fossil fuel production is also a
crucial step.
Currently, the world’s electricity generation is primarily reliant on fossil fuels (62%),
with 28% coming from renewables and only 10% coming from nuclear energy [185–187].
This reliance on fossil fuels is driving an increase in GHG emissions. Despite the gradual
shift toward low-carbon technologies and an increasing mastery of renewable resources,
the pace of the transition is not sufficient to address the urgent need for decarbonization.
Energy efficiency is a critical component in the process of decarbonization, as it involves
using less energy to perform the same task. This not only reduces energy waste, but also
brings a variety of benefits such as reducing GHG emissions, reducing the demand for
energy imports, and lowering costs at both household and economy-wide levels, all which
are essential in mitigating climate change.
Energies 2023, 16, 3612 24 of 31
The utilization of fossil fuels is posing an immediate threat to the climate and living
conditions on Earth, is unsustainable in the long term due to finite resource availability.
As a result, significant focus has been placed on the development and implementation
of renewable energy sources. These alternative energy sources are viewed as a potential
solution to the depletion of fossil fuels and have thus attracted significant investment,
leading to advancements and innovations in the field. However, there is also a trend
toward phasing out nuclear energy due to perceived risks [166,188]. It is important to note,
however, that abandoning nuclear energy at this time, particularly in light of the current
energy crisis and the need for sustainable energy development in the future, may not be a
prudent decision.
While renewable energy sources are often touted as the future of energy production,
current technological limitations, particularly in regard to energy storage, necessitate the
use of supplementary, emission-free sources of power [116–119]. Nuclear energy, as a
proven and efficient energy source, may serve as a viable option to support and backup
electricity generated by renewables. Additionally, the excessive allocation of resources
toward the development and implementation of renewable energy sources, such as solar
and wind, may not be the most efficient use of resources due to the low efficiency and
reliability of these energy sources. Therefore, increased investment in nuclear power may
be necessary to bridge this knowledge gap, promote progress in the field, and ensure a
reliable and efficient source of emission-free energy.
It is difficult to say whether Latvia can afford an SMR without more information on
the specific costs and financing options for the project, as well as Latvia’s current budget
and economic situation. However, it is worth noting that SMRs are generally considered to
be less expensive to build and operate than traditional large-scale nuclear power plants.
This is partly because they are smaller and therefore require less initial investment and less
complex infrastructure, and partly because they are designed to be factory-built, which can
reduce construction costs [43–46]. Additionally, they can be built in smaller numbers than
large reactors, which can also reduce costs. That being said, Latvia’s economy is relatively
small, and it may not have the financial resources to invest in a small modular reactor on
its own. The country would likely have to secure funding from external sources, such as
international organizations or other countries. Additionally, it is important to consider the
regulations, laws and the public acceptance of such technology in Latvia as well.
5. Conclusions
The main objective of this review was to present a compelling argument for the
utilization of nuclear energy in meeting the rapidly increasing demand for electricity, and
to evaluate its potential role in the future of green energy. The findings of this review
provide initial evidence of the beneficial properties of nuclear energy and support the
development and implementation of SMR technology, which can both generate electricity
and reduce carbon emissions. However, it is important to acknowledge that certain political
considerations and strong opposition may hinder the practical application of these findings.
Therefore, the authors argue that there is a fundamental need for public education about
the benefits and safety of nuclear energy.
Nuclear energy is essential in addressing climate change and reducing GHG emissions,
while providing a significant and growing amount of electricity. Society needs to be aware
of the potential of this form of energy and how it can quickly transition away from fossil
fuels. Additionally, SMRs can be combined with renewable energy sources to create a
hybrid energy system, thus increasing the efficiency of renewable resources. Nuclear
energy is a safe, sustainable, and carbon-free form of energy with enormous potential, but
fear relating to nuclear energy is often irrational and based on political propaganda and
“greenwashing”. Together with renewables, nuclear energy is the only low-carbon source
of energy that can replace fossil fuels with the current technology and discoveries.
Energies 2023, 16, 3612 25 of 31
Further research is needed to examine the potential of nuclear energy in the green
energy mix at a local scale, as well as develop proposals for energy-efficient nuclear reactors
and explore the nature of nuclear waste disposal and recycling in more detail. Additionally,
assessing the potential of nuclear energy for small economies would be an important
step in evaluating its significance in ensuring energy stability and independence for small
countries. To further advance the utilization of nuclear energy as a low-carbon source
of energy, potential recommendations for future work include conducting more research
to explore its potential in the green energy mix at a local scale, developing proposals for
energy-efficient nuclear reactors, assessing its significance for small economies, exploring
nuclear waste disposal and recycling in more detail, and developing public education
campaigns that emphasize the benefits and safety of nuclear energy to counteract political
propaganda and “greenwashing.” It is important to continue addressing limitations and
expanding on the promising conclusions presented in the review paper to help meet
the goals of the Paris Agreement, and provide a steady and reliable source of electricity
necessary for running and growing advanced economies, as well as enabling developing
countries to boost economic output and raise living standards.
In conclusion, the current review provides evidence of the high importance of nuclear
energy in addressing the ongoing climate and resource crisis. In order to meet the goals of
the Paris Agreement, the use of renewables will continue to grow; however, it is important
to emphasize that nuclear energy already provides a steady and reliable source of electricity
necessary for running and growing advanced economies, and for enabling developing
countries to boost economic output and raise living standards. Future research should
focus on addressing limitations and expanding on the promising conclusions presented in
this review.
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, J.K.; methodology, J.K.; validation, J.K. and M.K.; formal
analysis, J.K.; investigation, J.K.; resources, J.K. and M.K.; data curation, J.K.; writing—original
draft preparation, J.K. and M.K.; writing—review and editing, J.K. and M.K.; visualization, J.K.;
supervision, M.K.; project administration, M.K.; funding acquisition, M.K. All authors have read and
agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding: This research was funded by the European Regional Development Fund project “Innovation
of the waste-to-energy concept for the low carbon economy: development of novel carbon capture
technology for thermochemical processing of municipal solid waste (carbon capture and storage from
waste–CCSW)”, grant number 1.1.1.1/19/A/013.
Data Availability Statement: No new data were created or analyzed in this study. Data sharing is
not applicable to this article.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest. The funders had no role in the design
of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript; or
in the decision to publish the results.
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