Test 2 2024 Revision Semester 2

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STAT130: INTRODUCTION
TO STATISTICS
TEST 2 REVISION 2024
SEMESTER 2
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The following information is to be used for Questions 1, 2, and 3


You have found that 12% of your email is spam. When an email is spam, the spam filter
on your mail server correctly identifies the email as spam 90% of the time. When an
email is not spam, your spam filter incorrectly identifies it as spam 8% of the time.
Questions 1
What is the probability that when an email is spam and identified as spam?
a) 0.0080
b) 0.1080
c) 0.7862
d) 0.0120
e) None of the above

Questions 2
What is the probability that an email is identified as spam?
a) 0.1784
b) 0.0704
c) 0.1754
d) 0.9000
e) None of the above

Questions 3
Suppose you have just opened an email that the filter has identified as spam. What is
the probability that the email is indeed spam?
a) 0.1080
b) 0.0120
c) 0.6054
d) 0.0800
e) None of the above

Question 4
Continue on the following page.
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You have bag that contains two R20 notes, two R100 notes and one R200 note. You
select two notes from the bag without replacement. Let X be the random variable that
gives the total amount of money drawn. The probability distribution/mass function for X
is?

a) x 40 120 200 220 300


P(X=x) 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5

b) x 20 100 200 350


P(X=x) 2/4 2/4 1/4 1/4

c) x 20 100 200
P(X=x) 2/3 2/3 1/3

d) x 0 40 120 200 220


P(X=x) 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5

e) None of the above

The following information is to be used for Questions 5, 6, and 7


Random variable X can take on the values 1, 2, 3 or 4. The pdf of X is given below.
f(x) = kx
Questions 5

What is the value of k?


a) 0.1
b) 1
c) 2
d) 0.2
e) 10

Question 6

Find the probability that X is less than 4


a) 0.100
b) 1
c) 0.300
d) 0.600
e) None of the above
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Question 7

Calculate the mean of X


a) 4
b) 1
c) 3
d) 10
e) None of the above

Question 8

The cumulative distribution function of a discrete random variable X is as given below


x 2 5 7 11 12 14
F(x) 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.91 1.0

The probability distribution of the random variable X is

(a) x 2 5 7 11 12 14
P(x) 0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.11 0.01

(b) x 2 5 7 11 12 14
P(x) 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.91 1.0

(c) x 2 5 7 11 12 14
P(x) 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.21 0.09

(d) x 2 5 7 11 12 14
P(x) 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.01 0.19

(e) x 2 5 7 11 12 14
P(x) 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.21 0.19

Question 9
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Which of the following is true about the Cumulative distribution function (CDF) of any
random variable X ?
a) The CDF is always decreasing.
b) The CDF ranges between 0 and 1.
c) The CDF is always greater than 1 for large values of X.
d) The CDF is constant for all values of X.
e) None of the above

Questions 10 and 11 are based on the following information:


Suppose it is known that 30% of all vehicles parked on the UKZN Westville campus
during the week do not have the required parking disk. A random sample of 10 cars is
observed one Monday morning.
Question 10
Which of the following formulae in EXCEL will return the probability that at most nine of
the cars in the sample do have the required disc?
a) = BINOM.DIST(9; 10; 0,7; TRUE)
b) = 1-BINOM.DIST(8; 10; 0,3; TRUE)
c) = BINOMIAL.DIST(9;1 0; 0,7; FALSE)
d) = 1-BINOMIAL.DIST(9; 10; 30; TRUE)
e) = BINOM.DIST(9; 10; 0,7; FALSE)

Questions 11

The probability that, at least six of the cars in the sample do not have the required disc
is:
a) 0.0106

b) 0.9894

c) 0.9527

d) 0.0473

e) 0.0090

Question 12
Which of the following statements about the requirements, with respect to modelling an
experiment using a Binomial distribution, is false?
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a) The probability of success is constant from trial to trial.


b) The outcomes of each experiment/trial are independent of each other.
c) The outcomes of the experiments/trials may be classified as either "success" or
"failure."
d) The random variable of interest is continuous.
e) The number of experiments/trials is fixed.

Question 13

A tank contains 10 tagged fish and 50 untagged fish. On each day, fish are selected at
random from the tank and placed together in a separate tank for observation.
Let 𝑋 be the number of untagged fish selected. If 7 fish are selected at random, the
Excel function to find the probability of selecting at least six untagged fish on a given
day will be:

a) = HYPGEOM.DIST(6; 7; 50; 60; TRUE)


b) = 1-HYPGEOM.DIST(5; 7; 50; 60; FALSE)
c) = HYPGEOM.DIST(6; 7; 10; 60; TRUE)
d) = HYPGEOM.DIST(6; 7; 50; 60; FALSE)
e) = 1- HYPGEOM.DIST(5; 7; 50; 60; TRUE)

Questions 14, 15, 16 and 17 are based on the following:

In a public library books are lost at a rate of 1.5 a month.

Question 14
What is the probability that fewer than 6 but at least 3 books are lost over the next 2
months?
a) 0.2689
b) 0.5433
c) 0.4929
d) 0.2157
e) 0.1867

Question 15
Which Excel function would you use to find the probability in Question 15 above?

a) =POISSON.DIST(6; 1,5 ; TRUE) - POISSON.DIST(3; 1,5; TRUE)


b) =POISSON.DIST(5; 1,5; TRUE) - POISSON.DIST(2; 1,5; TRUE)
c) =POISSON.DIST(5; 1,5; TRUE) - POISSON.DIST(3; 1,5; TRUE)
d) =POISSON.DIST(5; 1,5; FALSE) - POISSON.DIST(2; 1,5; TRUE)
e) None of the above
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Question 16
What is the probability that more than 2 books are lost next month?

a) 0.8088
b) 0.9344
c) 0.1912
d) 0.0656
e) 0.2510

Question 17

If each lost book costs R320 to replace, how much would you expect the library to pay
for the replacement of books next year?
a) R 18
b) R 960
c) R 480
d) R 3840
e) R 5760

Question 18
Which of the following is false?

a) If Y~Bin(12 ;0.2), then the probability distribution of Y is positively skewed.


b) The number of people logging into a large computer network during a 5 second
period can be modelled by a Poisson random variable.
c) If X~Bin(13 ;0.5) then P(X<15) = 1.
d) The mean and standard deviation of any Poisson random variable are equal.
e) Binomial and Poisson random variables are discrete random variables.

Questions 19
Consider the following curves for a normal distribution below:

Which one of the following statements is true?


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a) Curve A has a larger mean than curve C


b) Curve B has a smaller mean than curve A
c) Curve B has a smaller variance than curve C
d) Curve A and curve C have the same variance
e) Curve A has a larger variance than curve B

Question 20
Find the value c such that the area under the standard normal curve to the right of c is
0.45.
a) 0.55
b) 0.3264
c) 0.13
d) 0.45
e) 0.6736

Questions 21 and 22 are based on the following information:


Acetaminophen is an ingredient used in many pain relievers. The amount of
acetaminophen per tablet for a particular brand of pain reliever is normally distributed
with a mean of 600 mg and a standard deviation of 4.7 mg.

Question 21
What is the probability that a randomly chosen tablet of this particular brand of pain
reliever contains less than 596.3 mg of acetaminophen?

a) 0.7852
b) 0.7872
c) 0.0148
d) 0.0436
e) 0.2148

Question 22

Which Excel function would you use to find the probability in Question 21 above?

a) =NORM.DIST(596,3; 600; 4,7; FALSE)

b) =1 - NORM.DIST(596;600;4,7;TRUE)
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c) =NORM.DIST(600;596,3;4,7;TRUE)

d) =NORM.DIST(596,3;600;4,7;TRUE)

e) None of the above

Question 23

Only 10% of tablets of this particular brand of pain reliever contain more than x mg of
acetaminophen. Find x.

a) 606.03
b) 593.97
c) 600.47
d) 604.23
e) 595.77

Question 24

To determine the value of x in question 23, we would have used the following function in
Microsoft Excel:
a) =NORM.S.INV(0,9;600;4,7)
b) =1- NORM.INV(0,9;600;4,7)
c) =NORM.INV(0,1;600;4,7)
d) = NORM.INV(0,9;600;4,7)
e) None of the above

Question 25
Which of the following statements are true about the normal distribution?
a) All variables that have a normal distribution have a mean of 0 and variance of 1.
b) The mean, μ, affects the shape of the normal curve.
c) For a standard normal distribution, 95% of the data lies within 2 standard
deviations of the mean.
d) The variance, σ2, affects the position of the normal curve.
e) The normal distribution is symmetric about the median.
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