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NAC3721S

ebitda analysis

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
4 views

NAC3721S

ebitda analysis

Uploaded by

tilki1847
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 12

This supplemental CLV worksheet provides the basic framework for evaluating the profitability of various

retail business model scenarios for the business case: Wildfang


Business Model Private Label B&C Model

Annual
Customer Cohort and Purchase
Primary Acquisition Channel % of Portfolio AOV Frequency

Fashion Engaged Online 25% $ 1 1


Fashion Engaged Walkin 25% $ 1 1
Core Loyalists - Social Media 25% $ 1 1
WF Exclusive - Online and Retail Walk-in 25% $ 1 1
Blended Portfolio Assumptions $ 1.0 $ 1.0

NOTE: CLV Model assumptions included in


Wildfang case detail and Exhibit 6-7

INPUT FIELDS HIGHLIGHTED IN


YELLOW
Business Model Churn Rate Direct Revenue % Royalty Fee
Gross Margin (yr-yr as % of AOV * Revenue: (15% of
Benchmark CCA inactivity) Freq AOV * Frequency)

0.2 $10.00 10% 100% 0.0%


0.2 $10.00 10% 100% 0.0%
0.2 $10.00 10% 100% 0.0%
0.2 $10.00 10% 100% 0.0%
$ 0.20 $ 10.00 10% 100% 0%
Active
Private Label Shoppers
B&C Model
Fashion Engaged -
Online 10,000

Years as a Wildfang Customer Segment Size Retention Rate Retained Customers


1 2,500 1 2500
2 0.9 2250
3 0.9 2025
4 0.9 1823
5 0.9 1640

Fashion Engaged -
Walkin

Years as a Wildfang Customer Segment Size Retention Rate Retained Customers


1 2,500 1 2500
2 0.9 2250
3 0.9 2025
4 0.9 1823
5 0.9 1640.3

Core Loyalists
Years as a Wildfang Customer Segment Size Retention Rate Retained Customers
1 2,500 1 2500
2 0.9 2250
3 0.9 2025
4 0.9 1823
5 0.9 1640

WF EXCLUSIVE

Years as a Wildfang Customer Segment Size Retention Rate Retained Customers


1 2,500 1 2500
2 0.9 2250
3 0.9 2025
4 0.9 1823
5 0.9 1640

Private
Label B&C
Model

Blended
Portfolio

Years as a Wildfang Portfolio Size Retained Customers


1 10,000 10,000
2 9,000
3 8,100
4 7,290
5 6,561

ASSUMPTION: Retention based on annual repurchase


Retention = 1 churn
If Churn = 30%, Average Life =(1/.3) = 3.33 Years
Inactive BENCHMARK Segment
"Churn" Gross Margin CAC

10% 0.2 $ 10

AOV Freq Revenue COGS


$ 1 1.00 $ 2,500 $ 2,000
$ 2,250 $ 1,800
$ 2,025 $ 1,620
$ 1,823 $ 1,458
$ 1,640 $ 1,312

BENCHMARK Gross
Inactive 'churn' Margin Segment CAC

10% 0.2 $ 10

AOV Freq Revenue COGS


$ 1 1.00 $ 2,500 $ 2,000
$ 2,250 $ 1,800
$ 2,025 $ 1,620
$ 1,823 $ 1,458
$ 1,640 $ 1,312

BENCHMARK Gross
Inactive 'churn' Margin Segment CAC
10% 0.2 $ 10
AOV Freq Revenue COGS
$ 1 1.00 $ 2,500 $ 2,000
$ 2,250 $ 1,800
$ 2,025 $ 1,620
$ 1,823 $ 1,458
$ 1,640 $ 1,312

BENCHMARK Gross
Inactive 'churn' Margin Segment CAC
10% 0.2 $ 10

AOV Weighted Freq Revenue COGS


$ 1 1.00 $ 2,500 $ 2,000
$ 2,250 $ 1,800
$ 2,025 $ 1,620
$ 1,823 $ 1,458
$ 1,640 $ 1,312

BLENDED
Inactive BLENDED Gross BLENDED
'churn' Margin CAC

10% 20% $ 10.00

Blended
Blended AOV Purchase Freq Rev (000) COGS (000)
$ 1 1.00 10 $ 8
9 $ 7
8 $ 6
7 $ 6
7 $ 5
Cost of Funds:
Discount Rate

0.12

Adjusted
Contribution NPV of future cash Discounted Cash Cumulative Cash
Margin flows CAC Flows Flow CLV
$ 500 $ 500 $ 25,000 $ (24,500) $ (24,500) $ (10)
$ 450 $ 402 $ 402 $ (24,098) $ (10)
$ 405 $ 323 $ 323 $ (23,775) $ (10)
$ 365 $ 259 $ 259 $ (23,516) $ (9)
$ 328 $ 208 $ 208 $ (23,307) $ (9)

Cost of Funds:
Discount Rate

0.12

Adjusted
Contribution
Margin NPV of future cash Discounted Cash Cumulative Cash
[Rev- COGS] flows CAC Flows Flow CLV
$ 500 $ 500 $ 25,000 $ (24,500) $ (24,500) $ (10)
$ 450 $ 402 $ 402 $ (24,098) $ (10)
$ 405 $ 323 $ 323 $ (23,775) $ (10)
$ 365 $ 259 $ 259 $ (23,516) $ (9)
$ 328 $ 208 $ 208 $ (23,307) $ (9)

Cost of Funds:
Discount Rate
0.12
Adjusted
Contribution
Margin NPV of future cash Cost Acquiring Discounted Cash Cumulative Cash
[Rev- COGS] flows Customer (CAC) Flows Flow CLV
$ 500 $ 500 $ 25,000 $ (24,500) $ (24,500) $ (10)
$ 450 $ 402 $ 402 $ (24,098) $ (10)
$ 405 $ 323 $ 323 $ (23,775) $ (10)
$ 365 $ 259 $ 259 $ (23,516) $ (9)
$ 328 $ 208 $ 208 $ (23,307) $ (9)

Cost of Funds:
Discount Rate
0.12

Adjusted
Contribution
Margin NPV of future cash Cost Acquiring Discounted Cash Cumulative Cash
[Rev- COGS] flows Customer (CAC) Flows Flow CLV
$ 500 $ 500 $ 25,000 $ (24,500) $ (24,500) $ (10)
$ 450 $ 402 $ 402 $ (24,098) $ (10)
$ 405 $ 323 $ 323 $ (23,775) $ (10)
$ 365 $ 259 $ 259 $ (23,516) $ (9)
$ 328 $ 208 $ 208 $ (23,307) $ (9)

Cost of Funds:
Discount Rate

0.12

Adj Contribution
Margin NPV of future cash Cost Acquiring Discounted Cash Cumulative Cash
(000) flows (000) Customer (000) Flows (000) Flow (000) CLV (000)
$ 2 $ 2 $ 100 $ (98) $ (98) $ (10)
$ 2 $ 2 $ 2 $ (96) $ (10)
$ 2 $ 1 $ 1 $ (95) $ (10)
$ 1 $ 1 $ 1 $ (94) $ (9)
$ 1 $ 1 $ 1 $ (93) $ (9)

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