SARA7304
SARA7304
DEPARTMENT OF ARCHITECTURE
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UNIT – I – INTRODUCTION TO INFRASTRUCTURE
I. Introduction
INFRA STRUCTURE
Figure 1. Infrastructure
The underlying foundation or basic framework (as of a system or organization). The system of
public works of state, country or region.
The term “Public Works” is applied to facilitates that usually require substantial capital investment;
provide services or solve problems perceived to the public's responsibility; and are planned,
designed, constructed, and proposed by or under the auspices of government agencies.
Private companies may also construct and /or operate public works, to serve their own
manufacturing or other need, or for profit.
“Process of integrating, design, construction, maintenance and rehabilitation to maximize the
benefits to the users and minimize the cost to the owners and users”
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Examples of infrastructure are waterways, roads, railway network etc.,
Transportation Infrastructure
Roads, Bridges, Airports, Ports, Waterways, Tunnels, Parking
Water and Sanitation Infrastructure
Water Supply Systems, Sewage treatment systems
Energy Infrastructure
Dams, power plants, power distribution facilities
Telecommunication Infrastructure
Dams, power plants, power distribution facilities
Housing and Recreational Infrastructure
Swimming pools, Sports facilities
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V. Categories of Infrastructure Projects
1. Development of new projects (new highways, new water distribution systems) or
provision of additional capacity or capability because of increased demand (add
additional lanes, expand a water treatment facilities).
2. Rehabilitation and/or reconstruction of existing facility without changing the capacity
or capability of the facility
3. Routine maintenance and operation of infrastructure systems (municipal systems for
transportation, water supply, sewage and storm water and solid wastes)
4. Improve the system efficiency by modify the operation and management (Improve
pumps efficiency by cleaning or/and lubrication)
Budgeting
It is procedures that actually produce the funding and authority to incur costs and allocate funds.
The budget is usually an annual legislative authorization for expenditures and may follow multiyear
authorization guidelines established by the same legislative bodies.
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Key elements for analysis the programming and budgeting:
Setting program goals and objective
Establishing program performance measures
Assessing needs and identifying project
Project evaluation
Priority setting and program development
Program trade-offs
Budgeting
Program implementation and monitoring
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Figure 3. Relationship between Infrastructure and development
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X. ADVANTAGES OF INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
People living standard improves
BEFORE AFTER
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Sustainable development can only be attained through a careful analysis of the factors that have
mitigated growth in the past, and thereafter, taking the appropriate corrective measures.
Over the last decade, the Indian government has made significant efforts to eliminate bottlenecks in
these areas. It has initiated policies and schemes and Model Concession Agreements to increase the
inflow of private sector investments and make the bidding process for projects more transparent.
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XIV. WHY DO WE HAVE SO MANYY PROBLEMS IN INFRASTRUCTURE?
This particular question and ways in which to solve it will be the focus of this entire study. It is
therefore impossible to answer this question right away. Before we conclude this session, we list
out a few of the causes for the failure to provide adequate infrastructure.
Lack of funds
Lack of implementation and managerial capabilities
Corruption, bureaucracy and unfair competition
Land acquisition issues involving dealing with displaced people and special interest
groups.
Other factors etc.
Urban Population will grow from 26% to 36% of population by 2022, 50% by 2025.
Growth in GDP is predicted to be 8-9% per annum
Road Traffic growth will be 15% per year
Air traffic is growing by 25% per year
101,000 MW of new power needed by 2022
Sanitation Coverage is only 35% currently
The figures in the earlier slide are a few statistics from publicly available documents such as the
India Infrastructure Report, 5-year plan documents etc.
They indicate two issues …
First, in many cases, the current infrastructure is inadequate even for today’s needs. E.g.
nearly two thirds of the nation do not have access to sanitation facilities. …
Second, current infrastructure is not likely to meet tomorrow’s needs. E.g. With the increase
in road traffic at 15% per annum, we will need more, high-quality roads in order to maintain
free-flowing traffic.
Both these issues indicate that India needs its infrastructure to be developed. … In addition, this
will enable economic growth as we saw in the previous class.
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The planning Commission has estimated that a total investment of $450 Billion in
infrastructure is required over the next 5 years to meet India’s infrastructure needs over 5
years
The Govt. has set up the IIFC to help fund infrastructure projects in India. IIFC will be owned
by the government.
IIFC will lend money at low rates to public and private infrastructure projects. This will help
encourage more projects as the cost of financing is very low.
Since the loans that the IIFC takes are guaranteed by the government of India, IIFC is able to
borrow and lend at lower rates.
The Government has initiated the Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission
(JNNURM) to improve Urban infrastructure.
The Bharat Nirman program has been instituted to improve infrastructure in rural areas.
These schemes will be dealt with in detail in later classes.
Decentralization: One of the bottlenecks to creating infrastructure in the past has been the
high amount of centralization in government agencies. As a result, most decisions by high-
level officials, who are heavily overloaded and are unable to take decisions on time. By
decentralizing and devolving responsibilities to lower levels, the government hopes to
improve the response time on infrastructure projects.
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Infrastructure development must be inclusive rather than exclusive as it affects the lives of
many people. The government is therefore committed to practices wherein stakeholders and
involved and consulted as part of the infrastructure delivery process.
Introducing and Encouraging Private Sector Participation in almost all sectors
This issue is discussed in detail in the following slides
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XVIII. VERDICT ON THE PRIVATE SECTOR
Private Public Partnerships (PPPs) bring with themselves several advantages such as
The ability to leverage private finance for infrastructure
Private sector efficiencies in construction and operations
These will be discussed in greater detail in a later class
As the graphs in the two previous slides show, there has been some PPP activity in Indian
infrastructure, but not a whole lot.
In addition, PPPs in Indian infrastructure have occurred for the most part in the
transportation sector, and are concentrated in relative few states in India
This data indicates that widespread involvement of the private sector in Indian infrastructure
has not happened yet.
Viability Gap funding for transportation projects is one such example
Urban Local Bodies are encouraged to undertake PPPs as part of JNNURM etc.
“Infrastructure inadequacies in both rural and urban areas are a major factor constraining
India's growth.
This is especially so in the increasingly open economy environment in which we must
operate, where the quality of domestic infrastructure impacts on our ability to compete with
imports, to penetrate export markets and also to attract FDI”
XX. CONCLUSION
India needs a lot more infrastructure to meet its needs. The government is focusing on this and has
created a set of programs and reforms aimed at addressing this issue. However, as the previous slide
indicates, current infrastructure is still inadequate and many targets have been missed. There is
therefore a lot of work that needs to be done. Business as usual, will not suffice.
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B. POWER SECTOR
I. OVERVIEW
As the previous slide indicates, the power sector is normally divided into three sub-systems
…Power Generation which is done at power plants or stations
Power Transmission which describes the process of transferring the generated power to a
distribution system
Power distribution which involves conveying the transmitted power to individual homes,
commercial areas etc.
However such a system need not always be followed
Generated power can directly be transmitted to Industries
Industries can themselves have power generation plants
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Nuclear Power.
Renewable sources of power such as Wind Energy, Solar Energy, Tidal Power etc.
Renewable sources of energy are the most environment-friendly, while thermal energy often causes
the greatest amount of pollution.
We will start this discussion from a few years prior to Indian independence.
Pre-Independence: In this era, 65% of power generation was done by the private sector
1975-1991: During this era, the trend of moving away from the private sector towards the
public sector continued in the power industry. This phase was characterized by greater
involvement from the Central government. Centralized organizations such as the National
Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC). The National Hydro Power Corporation (NHPC), the
National Power Trading Corporation (NPTC) etc. were set up at the central level „.
Post 1991: After the liberalization of the Indian Economy, there has once again been greater
involvement of the private sector in the power industry, and a rapid growth of this industry
as well.
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IV. PERFORMANCE OF POWER SECTOR
The current performance of the power sector leaves much to be desired. Average Return on
Investment for State Electricity Boards (SEBs) is -26%, indicating that several SEBs are loss
making agencies. Aggregate Transmission and Distribution (AT&D) losses are close to 40%
implying that almost half the generated power does not make its way to the intended consumers.
There is a peak power deficit of 12.6% and energy deficit of 7.5% at the All India Level in 2002.
As per current 5 year plan estimates, we do not have the generating capacity to meet our current
needs if we plan to grow at 8-9% p.a. This implies that there should be more investment in power
generation.
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Bottom Line – there were initial improvements in some SEBS like WB, AP. However, now
enthusiasm to implement reforms has decreased.
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Two trends are visible.
First, disbursements through the APDRP programs are reducing
Of the two components of this program – the Investment component has been
utilized to a greater extent as compared to the incentive component
Hydropower projects are being encouraged - particularly through the Private Public Partnership
mode. Indo-US Nuclear agreement is being explored in order to enhance our fuel security by
obtaining power from nuclear fuel
Power Transfer Corporation (PTC) has been set up to increase power trading across states, so as to
balance supply and demand mismatches. Rajeev Gandhi Grameen Vidyukranti Yojana has been
proposed to generate funds for rural electrification
SEBs and Power departments are being computerized. This will lead to greater transparency and
accountability and improved service to citizens. Large emphasis has been placed towards
privatization of Generation, Distribution of power.
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Figure 12. Ultra-mega power projects (UMPP)
I. CHARACTERISTICS
The W&S sector can be considered in three parts/phases listed below
Water harvesting/storage
Water supply (piping and distribution from the reservoir to the consumer)
Waste management and sanitation
This sector also has monopoly and economies of scale characteristics. As a result, it is not feasible
for several W&S firms to co-exist in the same area.
Social issues play a very important role in guiding the policies and the performance of this sector.
There is a perception that water is a basic human right. This puts pressure on public agencies to
ensure good quality of service in this sector.
Pricing of water is also a very contentious issue since it is considered a basic human right from
some quarters. This makes it very difficult to privatize water supply services.
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II. HOW IS INDIA DOING?
50% urban households do not have a piped connection. 44% of households have no sanitation at all.
Unaccounted For Water (UFW) - water that is lost or stolen during transmission is as height as 25-
50% of stored water. Water is not available all day in most places. 2, 80,000 rural people are
partially or fully not covered. Another 2, 17,000 face severe quality problems. Another 60,000 are
exposed to arsenic etc.
The price of water is artificially low due to the social issues mentioned in the previous slide. This
affects the profitability of local water boards and therefore the quality of service.
Very often, the urban and rural poor are not connected to the municipal water supply systems. As a
result, they often purchase water from water tankers at rates that are higher than what the average,
connected citizen pays. The poor therefore pay more for water.
The W&S scenario in India is in need of considerable improvement.
a. Water Harvesting
NWP (National Water Policy) in 1987 has laid down groundwater recharge
guidelines.
NWP 2002 has laid down guidelines on rainwater harvesting, watershed
management etc. These policies should help augment our water storage.
b. Water Supply
11th 5 year plan discusses improving distribution and efficiency of water. The plan
indicates that an initially outlay of INR 80,000 Cr is required and that all rivers are
to be “bathing class”
RGNWDM (Rajiv Gandhi National Water Development Mission) and the ARWSP
(Accelerated Rural Water Supply Program) are two centrally funded schemes set up
to improve the efficiency of water supply.
As per the ARWSP, the State provides matching grant funds for rural infrastructure upgradation. In
addition, capacity building and community participation is also given importance. Reduction in
subsidies, shifting of government role from direct service delivery to planning, policy formulation,
partial financing etc, ensuring community participation and management, and school sanitation are
other thrust areas of this program.
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participation and so on. In return, funding and financial incentives are given to urban
bodies.
AUWSP (Accelerated Urban Water Supply Program)
This program is promoted by the Ministry of Urban Development (MoUD) and
provides funds for providing water connections to smaller urban cities. Launched in
93-94, INR 2000 crore was spent by 2001.
Central support for sanitation has also been increased since many people die due to water-borne
diseases.
Flagship projects
Golden Quadrilateral (GQ) - National Highways Development Program (NHDP) Phase 1
North South East West Corridor (NSEW) - NHDP Phase 2
Both these projects are behind schedule due to Finance and Implementation Issues
Both projects are nearing completion
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Key Programs
NHDP (National Highways Development Program - conducted in seven stages)
Central Road Fund
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NHAI given more independence to select and implement projects in order to aid speedy
development of infrastructure
100% Foreign Direct Investment permitted
100% income tax exemption for a period of 10 years
Automatic tolling proposed to reduce operational costs on toll-roads
Planning for Expressways undertaken in 11th plan
b. Negative Grants
This is the opposite of VGF
If a project is expected to be very profitable, the firm/consortium that is planning to bid for
the project might offer a portion of the profits to the government, thereby providing revenue
to the government. This is the negative grant.
There is no limit to the negative grant. Firms/consortia will be awarded the contract based
on the highest negative grant that is proposed
E.G. 504 Cr -ve grant for the Bharuch-Surat Highway project costing 492Cr.
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Annuity payments where the government pays a fixed annual or semi-annual amount
to the project developer so that costs can be recouped. Toll is not charged to users
directly.
X. RURAL ROADS
A large part of Rural India (40%) are not yet connected by roads
Several Plans afoot to do so.
1000 habitations to be connected to all weather roads in 11th 5 year plan
1.72 lakh unconnected habitations will be connected in the 11th plan
Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadhak Yojana (PMGSY) has been set as a centre-funded scheme to
provide funds for rural roads
Rural Infrastructure Development Fund (RIDF) has also been set up to provide funds for
rural road development
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E. AIRPORT SECTOR
I. AIRPORT SECTOR
New Airport
2 Greenfield airports in Bangalore and Hyderabad (1300 Cr each) are being built and are in
operation
35 new non metro airports are to be developed.
Privatization in airports
Greenfield airports are to be developed in the PPP mode. Hyderabad is being developed by a
consortium headed by GMR and Bangalore by a consortium headed by L&T. Modernization of
Delhi (lead by GMR) and Mumbai (lead by GVK) airports are already completed.
Modernization of Chennai and Kolkatta airports are also completed, however PPP might not be the
answer. 10 non-metro airports including Trichy, Trivandrum and Shimoga will be modernized by
with (Rs 1500 Cr) through PPP.
F. PORT SECTOR
A Large Increase in Port Handling Capacity is planned
More ports have been and are to be added
Increase in Container terminals to the tune of INR 10,000 Crore is planned
JNPT (Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust) alone is planning to spend 3000 Cr in expanding
capacity.
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Since the plan is to attract a larger volume of maritime traffic, the objectives in the port sector are to
increase capacity of existing ports and to add new ports in order to decrease turnaround time of
ships berthed and to increase productivity
Focus is on increasing Private Sector Participation
Model Concession Agreement is being prepared
Fees will be collected on a licensing and revenue-sharing model
TAMP (Tariff Authority for Major Ports) is the regulator in this sector and does a good job
specifying fair tariffs. Plans are afoot to improve Road and Rail connectivity to ports thereby
reducing transportation costs on goods and making the port sector more attractive. Plans are being
made to Corporatize Ports to increase operational efficiency
Will lead to independence from a Central Authority like Port Trust of India.
Finds favor with port operators.
G. RAILWAYS
Until very recently this sector made huge losses, suffered from gross inefficiencies and was not the
preferred mode of choice for freight or passengers. After Laloo Prasad Yadav took over as Railway
Minister, this sector recorded an INR 2000 Crore surplus in revenues in 06- 07.
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H. TELECOMMUNICATION SECTOR
I. TIME LINE
Prior to 1980s
State owned players and infrastructure dominated this sector. In many cases the equipment
used was outdated and the reach of telecommunications services was poor. Tele-density –
the number of telephone connections per 1000 people was very low as was connectivity in
rural areas.
1980s
Private sector was allowed to enter this sector. However, in the initial stages they were only
allowed to manufacture equipment.
1990s
After the liberalization of the Indian economy, the Private sector was also allowed to
provide services. This led to a sharp decrease in prices, improvement in service quality and
increased access to telephony services
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An Auction system was used to select players and to allocate spectrum. However,
the fixed license fees bid by the bidders were too high and uneconomic, leading to
requests for renegotiations
Competition was also inadequate
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They provide landline, cellular and internet services, they
The graph below, adapted from the Indian Infrastructure Report 2006, clearly shows the effects of
reforms in the Indian telecommunications sector, particularly on the usage of mobile telephones.
Prices for consumers have decreased dramatically and have been accompanied by an equally
dramatic rise in the number of subscribers or users of mobile telephones.
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VII. CURRENT STATUS OF THE TELECOM SECTOR IN INDIA
Policy Decisions on 3G
Currently the government plans to auction spectrum for 3G technologies on a first-
come-first-served basis
Policy decisions must also be taken on allocating extra spectrum. Currently a
controversy exists on the rationale for allocating this extra spectrum, with protests
by CDMA and GSM operators
Decisions need to be taken on the mode of licensing spectrum and fees
Should it be based on the number of existing customers or on fresh bids?
Should a revenue sharing approach be followed or a license fee approach
New Policies need to be crafted for convergence of technologies that can lead to a unified medium
that delivers voice, data and images. Policies needed on decreasing in interconnect charges to bring
down call costs. Decisions to be made on merging of Access Deficit Charges (paid to BSNL to
subsidize some of their non-profitable operations such as rural access) and USO, since they both
fulfill similar obligations
New Policies are needed regarding rural Telecom
Particularly on using Wi-Fi for last mile connectivity, and releasing spectrum
appropriately
Incentivizing private players to provide rural connectivity.
IX. CONCLUSIONS
The telecommunications sector features a large amount of competition between firms, particularly
in the cellular telephony space. This is partly due to the reforms enacted by the government. This
competition has led to an enormous increase in phone usage (there are more mobile phones than
landlines currently)
Telecommunications drives information flow and thereby the knowledge and service sectors. This
in turn drives economic growth. Favorable policies in this space, and successful implementation
have made the “Telecommunications Story” one of the big successes in Indian Infrastructure so far.
This in turn has the potential to fuel inclusive economic growth in India in the years to come.
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UNIT – 2 – PROJECT FINANCE AND APPRAISAL
I. DEFINITION
II. PROBLEMS
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Huge Costs
Lack of funds to maintain and improve the infrastructure
High cost + lack of comprehensive approach to managing infrastructure
Condition of infrastructure and level of service has deteriorated through aging and usage
Some infrastructure components have failed due to normal disaster
Design process has not given adequate consideration to loads, material variability, climate,
environment etc. – Past designs produced physical systems that would last a given life with
no consideration of maintenance
Maintenance management strategies
Adhoc- Based on rules of thumb
Not adequate to sustain a healthy infrastructure
Effect of maintenance action not considered
Life cycle cost not considered in the design process
Inadequate models to predict traffic, performance, service requirements
Scarcity of Financial Resources
Innovations needed to identify financial resources
Cost-Effective solutions
Better management of funds
Better analytical tools for priority programming
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• Fix toll rate initially and then award contract on the lowest bid for subsidy.
• Economic toll that provide adequate returns to private investment in highways
would be too high; leveraging private investment would involve provision of some
level of subsidy from the Govt.
• Payment of annuity to developer to cover the full cost over the project period - lower
risks – no traffic risk to investor; risk – miscalculation of annuity.
Rural market of India is very large as 70% of the population lives there
Need to create a competitive market for rural telecom
Need to explore the incentives to mobile operators
TAMP needs:
o Promote competitive tariff
o Users of cargo services should not end paying for port or labour inefficiencies
o Tariff policy to prescribe standards of service – contribute to productivity and
efficiency
o Competition between ports to be encouraged through flexibility in pricing
o Tariff policy can be used for rationing port capacity – high tariff for ports that are
congested {consider land transportation also}
o Indian port tariff higher than other ports
o Comparison of port tariff : http://unescap.org/publications
o Need to convert existing port trusts as limited companies – need to design
appropriate governance structure, raise funds from capital market.
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Poor financial condition of State Electricity Boards – inefficiency, low agricultural and domestic
tariff. Provide payment security to private investors – govt. guarantee, escrow arrangements –
provide priority in payment
Escrow: A written agreement between two or more parties providing that certain instruments or
property be placed with a third party to be delivered to a designated person upon the fulfillment or
performance of some act or condition
Temporary measures – many assumptions on Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs). Reluctance of
the govt., to tackle the basic issue of power theft and inadequate tariff – bankruptcy of SEBs;
commercial loss during 2001-02 was Rs.240 billion (estimated) – default in payment to power
generation / transmission PSUs
Root of the problem – Gap between user charges and cost of supply. Gap between cost of supply
and av. Tariff/unit of electricity produced – Rs.0.23 (1992-93) to Rs.1.10 in 2001-02. Gap between
cost of supply and av. Tariff accentuated owing to losses in Transmission and Distribution (T&D) –
electricity produced but NOT paid for!!!
T&D Losses – 24.8% (1996-97) to 26.5% (1998-99) to 30.9% (1999-00). T&D Losses – Electricity
sold at low voltage, sparingly distributed loads across large rural networks, inadequate investments
in distribution, improper billing and outright theft.
Tariff Rebalancing : To correct the imbalance between passenger and freight tariff; further
increase in freight tariff – loss of freight share; Within passenger tariff, ratio of lower class
fare to highest I class AC fare ratio 1:14 to about 1:9, in a period of five years.
Major Investment Programme: Expansion of revenue – significant increase in traffic (both
freight and passenger) to about 7-7.5% per year; involves, modernization, introduction of
high speed modern passenger services, commodity specific freight strategies, introduction
of new technology – signaling and communications
Organizational Restructuring and Corporatization: Traffic growth and strategic investment
programme cannot be done in a ‘business – as – usual’ basis; IR has to be restructured to a
corporate framework from the current departmental form of organization.
Separation of Functions: Separate policy setting – Govt., regulatory ( Indian Railways
Regulatory Authority) and operational functions (Indian Railway Corporation- Commercial
operations)
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Environmental issues
Regulatory Mechanism
Legal Framework
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XIV. TYPES OF REFORM IN INFRASTRUCTURE
Objectives of regulation
To attract higher private sector investment
To assure reasonable rate of return to the producers
Improvements in customer satisfaction
XVI. CONCLUSIONS
Inadequate state funds
Maintenance of existing infrastructure neglected
Need to allow private sector in rural infrastructure projects
Public-private participation in which the public sector controls the direction of the private
sector investment through appropriate incentives/policies is superior
Concept of universal access to infrastructure needs change from time to time – e.g.,
universal access to communication involves community access first, followed by
institutional access and later household
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B. PLAYERS IN INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
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III. GOVERNMENT AGENCIES
Government Agencies are often key players in infrastructure projects. They can be involved
directly in procuring the infrastructure, or they can act as concession granting authorities that
authorize private sector players to procure and maintain infrastructure
Government agencies involved in infrastructure could be at the national level – e.g. the NHAI
(National Highways Authority of India), at the state level (e.g State Government and Line
Agencies) or at the Urban level (e.g. Water and Sewerage Boards, municipalities).
Government agencies sign various agreements with other organizations for the procurement of
infrastructure such as
Engineer-Procure-Construct Contracts with construction firms …
Concession Agreements, Power Purchase Agreements, Annuity Agreements with private
sponsors
Loan and Equity agreements with financiers
EPC firms are typically engineering and construction firms that help design and/or construct the
infrastructure facility. They may be contracted by the government agency, or by private parties in
charge of providing the infrastructure „
Typically they take on completion, construction delay and construction cost-overrun risks. Leading
construction firms such as Larsen & Toubro, HCC etc perform EPC contracts in India
V. FINANCIERS
Infrastructure projects are often financed through a mixture of grants, debt (loans), equity
(investments) and user charges. Debt lines of credit are often raised through the regular banking
system. Debt is often also provided by multilateral agencies such as the World Bank, the Asian
Development Bank, the Japanese Bank for International Cooperation etc. Equity is often provided
through a variety of sources including large organizations in the infrastructure space, Foreign
Institutional Investors, Private Equity houses etc. Grants for infrastructure projects are often
provided through programs such as the Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban renewal mission.
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Sustainable Infrastructure Development must be equitable and must yield benefits to the
community. As a result the impact of infrastructure on these communities must be carefully
assessed. Very often NGOs are the “voice” of these communities to ensure that their needs are met.
Stakeholder consultations and socio-economic analysis of infrastructure must therefore be
conducted to ensure that infrastructure development is equitable.
IX. REGULATORS
Regulators are present when private firms are allowed to function in an infrastructure sector – e.g.
in the case of Telecom in India, TRAI acts as a regulator. Regulators are intended to be independent
bodies that can potentially impartially assess the performance of private firms. „
Regulators regulate tariffs set by private firms, the quality of service that they provide to ensure that
they are performing as prescribed in the terms of their respective contracts, to the collective benefit
of society.
X. INDIAN PLAYERS
Government – Planning Commission, Ruling parties, NHAI etc.
Consultants – Feedback Ventures, PwC, KPMG „
Financiers – IDFC, IL&FS, ICICI, IIFC „
Sponsors – TNRDC „
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EPC Firms – L&T ECC, HCC „
Regulators - TRAI
Preliminary Feasibility
Construction
Operation
The preliminary feasibility stage of the project establishes the need for the project. Existing
information as well as field visits are conducted to substantiate the need for a project. This phase
also determines the kinds of detailed studies that need to be undertaken
The Detailed Studies and Project Structuring stage is often the most time-consuming
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Technical Studies (e.g. geotechnical studies, land surveys) need to be undertaken to help design the
infrastructure. …
Economic and Market studies (e.g. Willingness to Pay studies) must also be undertaken.
An Operations and Maintenance Contract can be given to a separate party. Maintenance Parameters
can be fixed well in advance
Technical Maintenance and quality issues, Revenue generation issues and
Administrative risks must be considered in this phase…
In the case of Private Provision of Infrastructure, a winning bidder is selected based on their ability
to build and operate the infrastructure. Each of these stages varies in duration as described in the
figure on the next slide.
The greater the time spent on project preparation and structuring, the more likely it is that the
project can be implemented smoothly and in a cost-effective manner. Hasty project preparation
often leads to rework of documents, leads to false or missing information, and leads to project
delays.
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Figure 17. Risk Reduction and Commitments
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Figure 18. Stages in planning process
Upon identifying a need and performing economic analysis, the sponsoring agency might feel the
need to build a coalition and seek external expertise to successfully complete a project. A process
of coalition building might then be put into place.
Government and Political buy-in must be secured at all levels, and the project can be modified in
order to ensure this. “Emerging Fears” from residents of the local communities, including
environmental and social groups can then be confronted and alleviated both by transparent
consultations and further modifications to the project
Project Financing can be obtained and the project can proceed to completion.
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Why? …
Governments did not have much money, especially pre Industrial Revolution.
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Private sector was again involved in infrastructure – especially in the developing world
…
Fall of Communism ushers rapid rise in private participation
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Figure 21. The evolutionary model
The evolutionary model is an alternate view of the evolution of PPPs in infrastructure. „ In this
view, a large amount of initial private activity in infrastructure was in the form of wholly owned
private entrepreneurial enterprise (e.g. railroads in the US). This was then succeeded by a large
scale nationalization of infrastructure around the world, based on rational, scale models. Starting
from the 1970s there has been yet another gradual change to Private-Public Partnerships with mixed
responsibilities and adequate contractual governance, for the provision of infrastructure
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Figure 22 Spectrum of PPP options
As indicated in the previous slide there is a spectrum of PPP options. The government can start by
corporatizing a public sector entity so that it acts as an autonomous corporation „
The next stage is for the government to give out Operations and Maintenance Contracts to the
private sector on a performance based contracting model. Further down the spectrum is the popular
BOT or Build-operate-transfer approach where the private sector entity (known as the
concessionaire) builds and operates infrastructure for a specified period of time (known as a
concession period) , and then transfers the infrastructure back to the government. During this period
the private sector can recoup its investment either through user charges or through payments made
by the government. Finally, the government could turn over the ownership of the asset to the
private sector and allow the private sector to build, operate and maintain the infrastructure
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IX. ROLE OF PRIVATE PLAYERS IN BOT
1. Procure financing
2. Plan, design, construct the facility
3. Operate and Maintain the facility
4. Manage the infrastructure throughout the concession period
5. Ensure service to people
1. Equity Investors: For the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) to come into existence, it has to
receive some capital. This capital is provided by the equity investors. Generally, equity
investors include private parties and the government. In the case of public-private
partnerships, it could be both. This is the primary party that will gain or lose depending
upon the performance of the contract. Since they own the equity of the SPV, they control its
actions and who it gets into a contract with.
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The fact that the investors have to put in money in the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) does
not make the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) structure redundant. The benefit of using the
structure is that the equity investors have limited exposure to the downside. The maximum
loss that they could face is limited to the amount they apportioned as an equity investment
to the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV).
3. External Agencies: Since Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV) use a lot of borrowed money,
they frequently require the help of third-party companies. The Special Purpose Vehicles
(SPV) have to engage rating agencies to rate their debt instruments. This is important since
many mutual funds and pension funds cannot invest their money in assets that are not above
a certain investment grade. Also, the Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV) have to engage
financial institutions like banks or insurance companies that provide bank guarantees to
investors.
4. Construction Contractor: Finally, in most cases, the Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV)
appoints its parent company as the chief construction contractor. Using this mechanism, the
equity investors are able to plow back most of the funds that they had invested in as equity
capital. However, they are only able to do so once they execute the projects. Debt covenants
usually do not allow the SPV to give out money to the contractor until certain milestones
have been met. However, using the SPV structure, the company is able to execute the
projects without taking any undue risks.
5. Maintenance Contractor: Lastly, once the project is constructed, it is usually given out to
a maintenance contractor. This contractor is generally another SPV which has the same set
of stakeholders and follows more or less the same process. Even if the same parent company
plans to maintain the project, they generally create a different SPV. In this case, the SPV is
done to safeguard the revenues. The idea is to protect these risk-free revenues by
segregating them from other risky investments which the company may be undertaking.
The bottom line is that the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) structure is at the heart of infrastructure
financing. It allows the equity investors to segregate revenues and protect them from risks that may
be arising in other projects.
The main constraint in India’s infrastructure sector is the lack of source for finance. More than the
overall difficulty of securing funds, some projects may not be financially viable though they are
economically justified and necessary. This is the nature of several infrastructural projects which are
long term and development oriented.
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For the successful completion of such projects, the government has designed Viability Gap Funding
(VGF). Viability Gap Finance means a grant to support projects that are economically justified but
not financially viable.
The scheme is designed as a Plan Scheme to be administered by the Ministry of Finance and
amount in the budget are made on a year-to- year basis.
Such a grant under VGF is provided as a capital subsidy to attract the private sector players to
participate in PPP projects that are otherwise financially unviable. Projects may not be
commercially viable because of long gestation period and small revenue flows in future.
The VGF scheme was launched in 2004 to support projects that comes under Public Private
Partnerships.
VGF grants will be available only for infrastructure projects where private sector sponsors are
selected through a process of competitive bidding. The VGF grant will be disbursed at the
construction stage itself but only after the private sector developer makes the equity contribution
required for the project.
The usual grant amount is upto 20% of the total capital cost of the project. Funds for VGF will be
provided from the government’s budgetary allocation. Sometimes it is also provided by the
statutory authority who owns the project asset. If the sponsoring Ministry/State Government/
statutory entity aims to provide assistance over and above the stipulated amount under VGF, it will
be restricted to a further 20% of the total project cost.
The project agreements must also follow the best practices that would secure value for public
money. Regular monitoring and evaluation should be done by the lead financial institutions for the
disbursal of the grants.
The lead financial institution for the project is responsible for regular monitoring and periodic
evaluation of project compliance with agreed milestones and performance levels, particularly for
the purpose of grant disbursement.
Capital budgeting is the process of allocating capital after determining project feasibility.
Determining project feasibility is a 3 step process:-
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In capital budgeting, there are a number of different approaches that can be used to evaluate any
given project, and each approach has its own distinct advantages and disadvantages.
The NPV method aims to capture the amount available after meeting the cost of all capital
contributors (all claim holders).This method ‘discounts’ operating cash flows at a rate that captures
the cost of capital (i.e. the capital used/contributed to generate cash flows). In fact, the NPV
method is what leads to the concept of value creation through Economic Profit.
Internal Rate of Return measures the return generated by an asset assuming that the reinvestment
rate of cash flows thus generated, is the same as the IRR itself.
Limitation of IRR method - Major shortfall associated with the IRR method is the fact that it
cannot be conclusively used in circumstances where the cash flow is inconsistent. While working
out figures in such fluctuating circumstances may prove tricky for the IRR method, it would pose
no challenge for the NPV method since all that it would take is the collection of all the inflows-
outflows and finding an average over the entire period in focus.
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The relationship between NPV and IRR is that “IRR is the rate at which NPV = Zero”
When Cost of Capital is more than IRR the NPV will be Negative
If we graph NPV versus discount rate, we can see the IRR as the x-axis intercept.
1. NPV is calculated in cash, the IRR is a percentage value expected in return from a capital project.
2. There may be conflicting results under NPV and IRR
NPV and IRR methods may give conflicting results in case of mutually exclusive projects, i.e.,
projects where acceptance of one would result in non-acceptance of the other. Such conflict of
result may be due to any one or more of the following reasons:
In such a situation, the result given by the NPV method should be relied upon. This is because the
objective of a company is to maximize its shareholders' wealth. IRR method is concerned with the
rate of return on investment rather than total yield on investment hence it is not compatible with the
goal of wealth maximization. NPV method considers the total yield on investment. Hence, in case
of mutually exclusive projects, each having a positive NPV, the one, with the largest NPV will have
the most beneficial effect on shareholders'
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III. WHY NPV IS BETTER
Both the Net Present Value Method and Internal Rate of Return Method proceed on this
presumption that cash inflows can be reinvested at the discounting rate in the new
projects. However, reinvestment of funds at the cut-off rate i.e cost of capita is more possible than
at the internal rate of return. Hence, Net Present Value Method is more reliable than the Internal
Rate of Return Method for ranking two or more capital investment projects.
Similarities in results under NPV and IRR
Both NPV and IRR will give up the same result (i.e., acceptance or rejection) regarding an
investment proposal in following cases:
The reason for similarity in results in the above cases is simple. In case of NPV method, a
proposal is acceptable if its NPV is positive. NPV will be positive only when the actual return on
investment is more than the cut-off rate. In case of IRR method a proposal is acceptable only
when the IRR is higher than the cut-off rate. Thus, both methods will give consistent results
since the acceptance or rejection of this proposal under both of them is based on the actual return
being higher than the cut-off rate.
In case of projects requiring different cash outlays, the problem can also be resolved by adopting
incremental approach, a modified form of IRR method. According to this approach in case of two
mutually exclusive projects requiring different cash outlays, the IRR of incremental outlay of the
project requiring a higher investment is calculated. In case this IRR is higher than the required rate
of return, the project having greater non-discounted cash flows should be accepted otherwise it
should be rejected.
Disadvantages:
o Ignores the time value of money
o Ignores cash flows after the payback period
o Biased against long-term projects
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ꞏ Advantages:
o Easy to understand
o Biased toward liquidity
Profitability Index
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UNIT – 3 – FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND POLICIES
I. TELECOMMUNICATIONS
Since India's independence, its telecommunications sector has continued to be governed by the
Indian Telegraph Act of 1885, which placed all telecommunications within the government domain.
Telecommunications services were the exclusive monopoly of the Department of Posts and
Telegraphs, which had the mandate to regulate and provide these services. Public ownership over
the next several decades hampered growth of the sector, leaving India's tele density (defined as
main lines per 100 inhabitants) among the lowest in the world: 0.4 in 1980 and 0.7 in 1990. The
extremely high level of unfulfilled demand was evident from the long waiting lists and the
willingness of Indian subscribers to pay large up-front payments for telephone connections.
The government initiated partial reforms in 1985, when the Department of Posts and Telegraphs
was divided into separate entities, the Department of Posts and the Department of
Telecommunications. In 1986 the government spun off basic telephone services in the two
metropolitan cities of Delhi and Mumbai into a new public sector entity, the Mahanagar Telephone
Nigam Limited. Overseas communication services were transferred to Videsh Sanchar Nigam
Limited. Subsequently, the government ushered in the National Telecom Policy of 1994, which
allowed private participation in both basic and cellular services. In 1997 the government enacted
legislation to establish the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India.
The process of liberalization received further fillip in 1999 with the adoption of the New Telecom
Policy of 1999, which permitted the entry of multiple players into all segments, including fixed
line, cellular, and long distance telecommunications. Furthermore, the policy-making and service-
providing functions of the Department of Telecommunications were separated; the latter were
transferred to a new company, Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited. In addition, the Telecom Regulatory
Authority of India Act was amended in 2000, to bring clarity to the authority's functions and
powers, and a separate Telecom Disputes Settlement and Appellate Tribunal was established to
adjudicate disputes.
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In November 2003 the government issued guidelines for converging the hitherto disparate basic and
cellular licenses into Unified Access Services Licenses. This process of license unification is likely
to be extended to other service segments. Today, most major telecommunications operators are
aggressively seeking to expand their operations. These expansion plans will, however, require
substantial additional investment, and will prove to be a considerable challenge for private players
due to the steep decline in tariffs.
The spectacular progress of India's telecommunications sector has been largely due to the entry of
private players. Private participation has resulted in greater competition, better service, increased
penetration, and lower prices. By 2002 the average cellular tariffs were reduced by 53 percent, and
national long distance and international subscriber dialing tariffs declined, respectively, by 56
percent and 47 percent. Cellular tariffs in India are now among the lowest in the world, and tariffs
for cellular-to-cellular calls fell by almost 70 percent. This steep decline, coupled with a significant
growth in wireless telephony, resulted in an unprecedented increase in tele density, from 1.9 in
March 1998 to 7 in March 2004. The cellular subscriber base nearly doubled in 2002–2003 to reach
12.7 million, and again in 2003–2004, to 26 million.
Though tele density has grown at so rapid a pace, much of this growth occurred in urban areas and
telephone connectivity in rural areas still remains a cause of concern. In rural areas, where two-
thirds of India's population lives, about 14 percent of the villages are still without any telephone
service. While the costs of rolling out village public telephones are undoubtedly high, it is also
widely acknowledged that the absence of credible penalties for nonfulfillment of rural rollout
obligations by the licensees has not helped in this regard. The government is, however, committed
to expanding the rural telephone network through a universal service fund.
II. POWER
Private sector participation in the power sector is not new to India. In fact, at the time of
independence in 1947, private sector utilities and licenses accounted for over 80 percent of all
electricity supplied in India. Immediately after independence, the Electricity Supply Act of 1948
vested responsibility for the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity to State
Electricity Boards (SEBs), marking the first shift toward public ownership in the power sector.
Within the next decade, the state electricity boards took over almost all private sector power
licenses.
By the mid-1970s it had become apparent that SEBs alone would not be able to meet the rapidly
increasing demand for power, and the central government established the National Thermal Power
Corporation Limited and the National Hydroelectric Power Corporation Limited to enhance
generation capacity. To mitigate regional imbalances, the government established the Power Grid
Corporation of India Limited to manage the transmission of power between states and regions. By
the mid-1980s it was clear that the power sector would not be able to meet India's growing demand
without considerable restructuring. In 1991 the government amended the Electricity Supply Act of
1948 to encourage private investment by providing a legal basis for facilitating investment in
generation and distribution. This policy was to provide additional generation capacity to
complement the rapidly declining public sector resources.
The responsibility for the power sector is currently shared between the central government and the
states. At the central level, policy and planning is under the purview of the Ministry of Power and
its arm, the Central Electricity Authority. The Central Electricity Regulatory Commission was
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established in 1998 and deals with inter alia regulation pertaining to the tariffs of generating
companies owned or controlled by the central government and those who sell electricity in more
than one state, interstate transmission of energy including tariff of transmission utilities, and
oversight of the India's Electricity Grid Code. At the state level, there are State Electricity
Regulatory Commissions, whose functions include determining the tariff for generation, supply,
transmission and wheeling of electricity within the state, issuing transmission, distribution and
trading licenses, and facilitating intrastate transmission of electricity. The energy departments of
each state address policy and planning issues.
Although the sector was liberalized in 1992, private participation has remained far below
expectations. Out of nearly 120 expressions of interest registered to add 69,000 megawatts of
capacity amounting to about U.S.$55.5 billion of investment, only a handful of private projects
have been implemented.
One of the main factors impeding private participation in generation is the precarious financial
condition of the SEBs, which, in turn, is attributable to nonremunerative tariff structures, poor
operational and collection practices (which facilitates theft), and dilapidated networks. Despite
some improvement over the previous year, the operating losses of state power utilities in 2002–
2003 continued to remain high, at an estimated U.S.$4 billion. Aggregate technical and commercial
losses are reported to be as high as 40 percent, and, of these, about two-thirds are said to be
commercial losses, a euphemism for theft. As a result, private investors and lenders are wary of
supporting power projects that have to sell exclusively to financially weak SEBs.
India's per capita electricity consumption is still among the lowest globally (for example, half that
of China). It is estimated that over 100,000 megawatts of capacity need to be installed by 2012,
which will require additional investments of U.S.$178 billion in the next decade. To meet these
requirements, the power sector will have to rely on sizable private sector participation and
investment, which in turn is intrinsically linked to reform of the sector.
In order to spur reforms, the central government has undertaken a few key initiatives. Parliament
passed the Electricity Act of 2003, which consolidates the existing electricity laws and attempts to
usher in a market-based competitive regime and institutionalize appropriate regulatory safeguards.
Following the recommendations of an Expert Committee, the Ministry of Power is now providing
incentives to the states that manage to reduce the gap between the cost of supply and revenue
realization, through the Accelerated Power Development and Reform Programme. The Expert
Committee also delineated a reform framework and financial restructuring principles that could
potentially form the basis for devising state-specific reform programs. Central Electricity
Regulatory Commission has notified and implemented an Availability Based Tariff regime, with a
view to make the incentives of the utilities compatible with the merit order requirements of the
entire network and thereby improve grid discipline.
At state level too, reforms are progressing, albeit at a varying pace. While Orissa and Delhi have
moved furthest by privitizing power distribution in their respective states, quite a few other states
have unbundled generation, transmission and distribution functions into separate entities. Twenty
one states have constituted State Electricity Regulatory Commissions.
III. PORTS
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India has over 3,728 miles (6,000 km) of natural coastline and is strategically well-positioned on
global trade routes. India has 13 major ports and over 181 minor ports (of which 139 are
operational), which together handle the bulk of India's foreign trade. Most of the major ports in
India were established after independence, except for Kolkata (Calcutta) and Mumbai (Bombay),
which were built in the nineteenth century by the British. Responsibility for all major ports has
mainly been, and still is, in the domain of the central government. The thirteen major ports handled
over 280 million metric tons of cargo in 2001–2002, mostly petroleum, iron ore, and coal; they
operate under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Shipping. The Tariff Authority for Major Ports
regulates prices at the major ports, while the remaining ports fall under the jurisdiction of their
respective state governments.
While overall cargo traffic grew at approximately 7 percent per annum during the 1990s, most
Indian ports are already operating at full capacity and there is a critical need for augmentation of
capacity. Globally, increased trade, coupled with enhanced efficiency levels and improved
processes, have made it difficult for traditional ports with outdated facilities and systems to
compete effectively. Indian ports are plagued by widespread inefficiencies in cargo handling, poor
connectivity, a mismatch of facilities and type of cargo traffic, and outdated labor practices. In the
last few years, although there has been some improvement in operational performance, with the
average turnaround time falling from 8.1 days in 1990–1991 to 3.7 days in 2001–2002, there is still
a long way to go to attain international efficiency levels. Indian ports also face growing competition
from nearby transshipment ports, such as Colombo, Singapore, Dubai, and Salalah, which offer
world-class facilities and quick turnaround times. The mismatch of cargo facilities is further likely
to impede future viability of the sector, as global trade is moving increasingly toward containerized
cargo, which has been growing at over 10 percent per annum; only 13 percent of India's port
capacity is dedicated to container traffic.
In due recognition of the aforementioned deficiencies, the government has sought to usher in
market oriented reforms in the sector. As part of this, port trusts have been given the authority to
spend up to 1 billion rupees (U.S. $22.2 million) without prior permission of the central
government. Ports trusts are also now required to follow a new commercial "profit and loss"
accounting system. More significantly, the central governments as well as states have initiated
measures to attract private participation in the sector. Major port trusts have awarded concessions
for container terminals to global port majors such as P&O ( Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust [ JNPT]
and Chennai) and PSA (Tuticorin) and new international players are entering, viz., Dubai Port
Authority in Cochin and Maersk in JNPT and Pipavav. Amidst poor efficiency gains in the port
sector as a whole, the performance of some private port terminals has been impressive. The Nhava
Sheva International Container Terminal developed by P&O Australia at JNPT initially expected to
handle 500,000 TEUs (twenty feet equivalent units) by 2005, had already exceeded 900,000 TEUs
by 2002.
It is imperative that Indian ports improve efficiency levels to match international standards. This
cannot be achieved in an environment in which state-owned monopoly operators provide port
services, since there is little incentive for them to improve efficiency. The experience of the private
container terminal at JNPT clearly indicates the benefits that can be achieved through private sector
involvement and competition. Accordingly, the government should curtail its involvement in this
sector and instead devolve more power to port authorities, and embrace privatisation of various port
services. In addition, the government should ensure good connectivity to ports with the rest of
India's transportation network, so as to facilitate and enhance interport competition. As intraport
and interport competition increases, the government should phase out economic regulation.
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IV. AIRPORTS
Airports play a critical role in promoting trade, tourism, and the economic development of a
country. The Airports Authority of India was constituted in 1995 to bring about integrated
development and the expansion and modernization of operational, terminal, and cargo facilities at
India's airports. Out of a total of 400 airports/airfields/airstrips in the country, the authority manages
94 civil airports (of which 11 are international airports) and 28 civil enclaves at defense airfields.
These airports handled over 44 million passengers in 2002–2003 (15 million international and 29
million domestic). The authority is responsible for providing air traffic services over the Indian
airspace and adjoining oceanic areas.
Although it may appear that India has considerable airport capacity, it has for the most part lost out
in aviation; it missed the global travel boom of the 1990s, ceding its natural geographic and
economic advantages as a cargo and courier hub to other countries. Air travel still remains confined
to a tiny section of the domestic population. The share of India in total world aviation traffic
remains minuscule. India accounted for a mere 2.4 million tourist arrivals in 2002, compared to 715
million worldwide and 130 million in the Asia Pacific region. Worldwide, tourism accounts for
about 10 percent of gross domestic product; in India it is less than 5 percent.
There is considerable underutilization of existing capacity, as only 62 of India's airports are in use,
with the rest remaining inactive. Moreover, there are a large number of airports where full
infrastructure is available, but which operate only a few flights a day. Over 40 percent of the
passenger traffic is concentrated in the two main international airports in Delhi and Mumbai, and
the limited terminal capacity at these airports has led to increased congestion, bunching of flights,
and delays in passenger clearance. This situation is exacerbated by outdated infrastructure,
inadequate ground-handling systems and night-landing facilities, and poor passenger amenities.
Grossly inadequate cargo-handling procedures at airports result in delays of days in transit from one
terminal to another. Only ten airports in the country are profitable, despite airport charges in India
being considerably higher than the international average.
India's airports urgently need to improve efficiency and undertake investments for capacity
addition. There is an increasing recognition that private participation is the key for achieving both
these two objectives. The government has recently taken a long-awaited decision on the
privatization of the New Delhi and Mumbai airports, approving the proposal to set up joint ventures
with 74 percent private ownership and a cap of 49 percent on foreign direct investment. The
government has also approved plans for two new airports near Hyderabad and Bangalore, with
majority private sector participation.
V. RAILWAYS
The Indian Railways (IR) is over 150 years old. Since independence, the IR has remained a
government enterprise and it currently operates the world's second-largest rail network under single
management, with a route length of over 39,500 miles (63,000 km). The railways carry over one
million metric tons of freight and transport over 10 million passengers a day (of which over 5
million are in Mumbai's suburban network). The annual revenue of the IR is approximately
U.S.$5.5 billion, of which freight transport accounts for 70 percent and the balance is passenger
traffic.
IR is now facing strong competition from road transport, pipelines, and air transport. Arbitrary
pricing policies by the government, especially after 1985, prevented IR from raising passenger fares
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in line with rising costs, and led to heavy cross-subsidization by overcharging freight customers.
Greater customer orientation, more flexibility, and the lower costs of road transport, contrasted with
the slow movement and poor service quality of the railways, induced many freight customers to
move to relatively cheaper road transport. IR is also plagued by very high operational expenses. In
2000–2001, operating ratio—that is, ratio of total working expenses to gross traffic receipts—
reached 98.5 percent. Even as IR is unable to generate enough internal resources to contribute to
investment plans, the government too reduced its level of financial support to the railways in the
last decade.
A combination of the aforementioned factors has placed the IR on the verge of a financial crisis and
led to substantial whittling down of fresh investments. The Railway Safety Committee's
recommendation to invest U.S.$2.2 billion over the next five years to improve the safety of the
aging network through better track maintenance and general improvements has been inordinately
delayed. The need to increase investment in rail infrastructure led to a policy decision in 2000 to
allow private capital in the railways sector, covering rolling as well as fixed infrastructure. In
December 2002, the government announced a scheme—the National Rail Vikas Yojana—aimed at
increasing the capacity of the rail golden quadrilateral connecting the four largest cities, providing
better connectivity to major ports and building a few critically needed bridges over the Ganges and
Brahmaputra rivers. Funds required for this scheme, estimated at U.S. $3 billion, are planned to be
raised through an innovative mix of budgetary and nonbudgetary resources, including market
borrowings and multilateral funding agencies.
The early 2000s have seen some initiatives involving private sector participation in the railways,
one in Gujarat, completed in May 2003, entailing an investment of U.S.$119 million. The project,
which aims at providing rail connectivity to Pipavav port, has been developed by Pipavav Rail
Corporation, a joint venture between Gujarat Pipavav port and the IR. A similar structure is now
planned to connect Krishnapatnam port in Andhra Pradesh. In the southern region, the IR is
encouraging private entrepreneurs to set up private goods terminals, which will comprise multi-
modal facilities for rail-cum-road links, warehousing facilities, storage facilities, and information
technology backup for logistics services.
Donald Trump i.e., the President of the United States, has openly announced that his government is
planning to spend $1 trillion in order to develop infrastructure within the country.
Developing countries like India have also echoed this sentiment as they have also announced plans
to spend billions of dollars in order to build and upgrade their infrastructure. Hence, it can be said
that infrastructure and its financing is an important issue all across the world regardless of whether
the nation is developing or developed.
Since infrastructure is such a high priority issue in the world, the financing of infrastructure projects
is also considered to be very important. As a result, an entire subject called infrastructure financing
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has been developed. We will study infrastructure financing in greater detail in this module.
However, before that, we need to understand what infrastructure definition really is.
The formal definitions of infrastructure financing are not very clear. Generally, in most countries
around the world, the government issues a list of industries that are to be given infrastructure status.
The financing of projects or companies involved in these sectors is called infrastructure financing.
However, this definition is more for the government’s internal operations. This definition is used in
order to provide tax breaks or subsidies that have been promised to the infrastructure sector.
However, there are certain shared characteristics amongst industries that are classified as
infrastructure all over the world. Some of these characteristics have been mentioned below:
1. Firstly, industries which are given infrastructure status are considered to be central to the
economy. This means that these industries provide the impetus for the rapid growth and
development of other industries as well. For instance, industries such as roadways and
railways enable faster movements of goods and services throughout the country. This helps
the manufacturers in the country become more competitive as compared to other countries.
The final result is an increase in exports. Other important sectors such as
telecommunications and electricity are also considered to be central to the economy and
hence have been provided infrastructure finance all over the world.
2. Secondly, since these industries are considered to be of strategic importance, too many
private sector players are not allowed to operate in them. This creates a monopolistic market
with very few players. As a result, investors are generally very keen on investing in
infrastructure opportunities. However, it also needs to be understood that since these
markets can be considered to be monopolistic, they are also highly regulated. Since there is
only a handful of suppliers, the government fixes the prices that can be charged
3. Lastly, infrastructure assets are characterized by low risk and stable cash flows. These
projects are generally built in areas where there is high demand. As a result, either the
consumers or the government are willing to pay a relatively stable cash outflow for a long
period of time.
The bottom line is that the defining feature of infrastructure financing is the sectors to which money
is being lent. The different types of loans such as overdraft, term loan, working capital loan, etc. are
generally included in the definition of infrastructure financing
Infrastructure financing has various sub-divisions. These divisions are generally based on the type
of industry that the funds will actually be utilized in. The different types of infrastructure financing
have been listed below;
Economic: infrastructure financing can be for purely economic reasons. For instance, when
a new port is built in a country, it enables more foreign trade. These projects are generally
funded using a public-private partnership. This is because these projects have net positive
value. Hence, the value created can be shared between the government and the private
parties. Economic infrastructure projects provide benefits to the larger economy of a region
instead of providing benefits only to specific industries or people.
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Social: Infrastructure funding is also given to many institutions for a social cause. For
instance, several projects are undertaken to provide clean water to the people. Similarly,
projects are undertaken to provide healthcare and education services to the people of a
region. These projects are different because they have to be undertaken regardless of the fact
that they might have a negative net present value. Hence, under other modes of financing,
these projects would be left out. However, when it comes to infrastructure financing, the
government does spend funds on these projects even though there may not be any
immediate returns. Since these projects may have a negative net present value, they are
undertaken mostly by the government.
Commercial: Commercial projects are just like economic projects. Except, these projects
provide benefits to a set of people that can be directly identified. For example, toll roads and
metro rail projects are considered to be commercial infrastructure projects. They are funded
by charging the people who utilize the services.
The bottom line is that infrastructure financing is a vast field that encompasses many industries.
Also, the funding models used here are slightly different since projects with negative NPV are also
undertaken many times.
All financial instruments related to infrastructure financing have come common characteristics
regardless of whether they are debt-based, equity-based, or even options. An investor needs to
understand some of these characteristics before deciding whether to put their hard-earned money in
infrastructure financing.
The defining characteristics of infrastructure as an asset class have been listed down in this
article.
2. Inelastic Demand:
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Infrastructure projects are usually in industries where demand is very stable and does not
change drastically in relation to small changes in price. For instance, people who pay for toll
roads derive a lot of utility from their usage. They are unlikely to stop using the facility
because of a minor increase in price. Also, in many cases, toll roads are the only option.
Hence, demand is totally inelastic. Other infrastructure projects such as dams, power plants,
ports, etc. also have an inelastic demand. This characteristic makes infrastructure financing
an attractive investment class.
3. Economies of Scale:
Infrastructure projects are generally undertaken on a large scale. As a result, the company
undertaking the project stands to benefit from economies of scale. For instance, when a
company lays down a telecom network, it pays a fixed cost. The marginal cost of adding
another subscriber to the network is almost negligible. This factor, along with economies of
scale, means that investors stand to make hefty profits from infrastructure projects. In most
cases, infrastructure projects only face limitations from the supply side. There is a
significant amount of demand for such projects. This makes infrastructure financing a
preferred asset class.
4. Tax Benefits:
Infrastructure projects are supposed to have a very long life. Roads, bridges, dams, and
railway lines last for several decades. In fact, in many cases, infrastructure projects may
take a decade or so to build. During the build phase, the project does not generate any
revenue. However, the project still survives because of the long life of the debt which has
been floated. Infrastructure finance bonds generally have a very long duration. A lot of
times, perpetuities are used to finance such projects. Infrastructure projects have a long life,
stable cash flows, and limited ability to generate returns. It is for this reason that many
infrastructure companies use a lot of leverage in order to accentuate the return on their
investment.
Lastly, one of the most important characteristics of infrastructure financing is that it has a
very low sensitivity to economic swings. In simple words, this means that even if there is a
recession, the number of people using infrastructure projects, as well as the revenue
generated from such projects, remains more or less unchanged. This characteristic is very
important for many investors since it allows them to use infrastructure to diversify their
portfolio. Infrastructure financing can be accommodated in a portfolio where equity and
debt are already present. When equity rise, debt falls, and vice versa. However,
infrastructure-related instruments tend to remain stable regardless of the rise and fall in
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other investments. As a result, it can be used as a defensive financial instrument in a
portfolio.
The bottom line is that infrastructure financing has some very attractive characteristics, which has
helped it emerge as an important alternative investment asset class. Most funds across the world
have some amount of money invested in infrastructure assets.
The bottom line is that infrastructure projects all over the world need a lot of funding. It is
estimated that more than $96 trillion is required to fund infrastructure projects by the year 2030. At
present, the annual budget available for infrastructure funding worldwide is close to $2.5
trillion to $3 trillion. However, the actual amount of funds needed is more than double the
available amount. Also, the problem is that most of this shortfall of funds exists in low and middle-
income countries.
Funding of this magnitude cannot be provided by anyone’s source alone. This is the reason that
infrastructure needs to be funded by several sources having deep pockets. Some of the most
common sources of infrastructure finance have been listed below:
a. Public Finance
Government funding is one of the biggest sources of funding for infrastructure finance. Tax dollars
collected all over the world are spent in huge numbers on creating infrastructure. In general,
countries spend anywhere between 5% to 14% of their GDP on developing as well as maintaining
infrastructure. A lot of this money is spent on financially unviable projects which have social value
for the community.
In many cases, the government does engage the private sector to execute the project on its behalf.
However, this may be done to increase the efficiency of the project. The private sector only brings
in the necessary expertise to deliver the project on time. In return, the government provides all the
funding when developmental milestones are completed. In essence, governments worldwide use the
services of the private sector as subcontractors.
However, it needs to be understood that infrastructure finance projects funded by the government
are notorious for corruption. Since the taxpayer is paying the bill, a lot of the time, the development
charges are highly inflated, and all the money spent on these projects ends up in the hands of mafia
controlled by corrupt politicians.
Supranational bodies such as World Bank, International Monetary Fund, Asian Development Bank,
etc. are also important sources of finance for infrastructure projects. However, such organizations
tend to only fund projects which are financially viable. As a result, urban projects like metro rails,
bridges, flyovers, etc. tend to get funded by these institutions. The internal rate of return (IRR)
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required by these financial institutions is generally lower as compared to other private sector
institutions.
Institutions like the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank also provide other services to
enable the better execution of infrastructure projects. This means that even if they do not directly
fund a project, they try to add value by providing advisory services such as loan guarantees,
advisory services for the creation of suitable policies, etc. In many cases, these institutions also
provide treasury services to infrastructure projects. This is done to enable optimal utilization of
funds.
c. Private Finance
Governments all over the world are desperately seeking the intervention of private money to help
fill the funding gap being faced for infrastructure projects. As a result, many private mutual funds
have been set up for this purpose. Governments try to make these investments more attractive by
providing tax breaks to individuals who invest their money in such projects. A wide variety of
financial instruments (both debt as well as equity) are being used to help channelize the savings of
the general public towards infrastructure projects. Attempts are also being made to woo institutional
investors such as insurance companies and pension funds to increase the amount of funding
available.
d. Public-Private Partnership
The public-private partnership model is also widely used in infrastructure funding. This model
works differently than public funding. Here, instead of the government using its money for the
initial outlay, the private sector does so. The idea is to create a partnership, where the government
brings in land and other resources, wherein the private party brings in technical expertise. The
private party then has certain rights over the asset it has helped developed. For some years, the
government allows the private party to collect money in order to generate revenue and payback its
investment plus a reasonable amount of profit. Then the asset is finally given back to the
government, which can decide whether or not they want to continue collecting revenue for the
upkeep of the project. The only problem with this model is that it can only be used to raise funds
when the underlying project is extremely viable i.e., provides an IRR that is sought after by private
investors. Otherwise, private investors will simply give it a pass.
The simple fact is that extremely large sums of money are required for infrastructure projects. One
source of funding cannot really help fulfill the gap. In fact, all the sources of funding, together, may
also not be adequate. There are many governments in the world who are trying to set aside as
much money as they can for infrastructure projects.
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UNIT – 4 – PROJECT STRUCTURING AND RISK
Infrastructure projects are vital for every country around the world. It’s what allows us to
commute on a daily basis or to have power in the buildings we are living and working. Schools,
motorways, new metro stations are only a few examples of why infrastructure construction projects
are so important for a nation.
Entering the digital era, the development of infrastructure projects is increasing at a high pace. That
is the result of a number of factors such as the boost of the global population and the serious lack of
affordable housing.
On top of that, the need for smart and data-driven infrastructure is more imminent than ever before.
Without exaggeration, it can pave the way for the emergence of cities that are better connected with
each other and have effective and intelligent structures.
It is already clear that infrastructure construction projects can improve both the economic
production of society and the quality of life of its members. In that sense, the value of up-to-speed
infrastructure project management is immense.
Infrastructure project management could simply be defined as the management of infrastructure
construction projects. From a general point of view, it follows the same processes and principles as
other categories of project management in construction.
The slightest delay in one aspect of an infrastructure project may lead to serious delays in the entire
project resulting in budget overruns and costly disputes between the different stakeholders.
Of course, not all infrastructure construction projects are the same. Despite the similar pains they
have to battle against, there are a number of different types of such projects. In a nutshell, here are
the main categories of infrastructure construction projects:
Roads and highways: One of the most common types of infrastructure construction projects.
When it comes to roads, these projects mainly focus on repair and maintenance as the
reconstruction of an entire road can be pricey. In the case of a highway, things might differ
a bit with the reconstruction or expansion to be considered as one of the main options.
Airports: Airports are in need of continuous improvements and expansions. In an effort to
provide services of high quality and resolve the air traffic congestion, airports invest both in
constructing new runways and creating more utility areas for the passengers.
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Energy network: Electricity is the largest subsector of infrastructure projects in Indian
construction and it is expected to grow exponentially. Such projects may focus on power
generation or transmission. In addition, maintaining and/or repairing a power plant can also
be a part of this process.
Rail: The development and maintenance of rail depots and infrastructure is another area of
great activity in infrastructure projects. Their main goal is to reduce congestion for
passengers, support the regeneration of different neighborhoods and connect cities and areas
in a quick and efficient manner.
Telecommunications infrastructure: Telecommunications cover a wide spectrum of
technologies and services that connect the entire world. Depending on the geographic
location the quality of telecommunications might vary.
Water infrastructure: Water infrastructure projects ensure that all citizens can have access to
the most precious good on Earth. Projects that fight water scarcity and projects that facilitate
its distribution are two of the most characteristic examples of water infrastructure projects.
It goes without saying that the nature of such projects may differ from country to country
depending on the local climate.
Bridges: Another common yet very important infrastructure project has to do with the
construction or repair of bridges. They can provide great service with regard to alleviating
traffic but they come with huge admin burden. One of the biggest challenges is the
maintenance/repair of bridges as they continuously accommodate a large number of people.
Waste management: Regardless of the type of waste, waste management projects hold a
significant role in the effort to keep both the people and the environment safe. This could
translate to projects that focus on the removal and transportation of waste and dangerous
materials out of the cities.
Social infrastructure: Schools and hospitals are two of the most classic examples of social
infrastructure. Simply put, it’s the infrastructure that is targeting to provide a service of
societal value to the public.
III. WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE IN INFRASTRUCTURE MANAGEMENT AND
CONSTRUCTION MANAGEMENT?
Infrastructure management and construction management might cross paths at some project stages
but they have one major difference. Infrastructure management covers a wider spectrum of project
phases from design to construction, legal, finances, and operations.
In other words, infrastructure management focuses on managing the infrastructure over its entire
lifecycle. What is more, infrastructure management projects are usually addressed to a bigger part
of the society and involve the State as the Client or at least one of their main stakeholders.
Managing an infrastructure project isn’t easy. There are a plethora of parameters that should be
taken into account for a project to start and complete on time and on budget. Stakeholders and tasks
are inextricably connected to each other so every alteration to the agreed plan matters.
That being said, it is of paramount importance that the programme is followed with precision and
that all stakeholders have access to a centralized hub where all information is stored. In that way,
nobody is working on an outdated version of the programme and costly misunderstandings are
avoided.
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All in all, here are some of the biggest challenges that emerge on a typical infrastructure project in
construction:
It becomes easily evident that a unified digital platform could help industry stakeholders increase
efficiency and improve communication while ensuring adherence to contractual obligations.
Increasing the efficiency of the planning system, while also driving an effective long-term strategy
for the sector should be seen as a priority. However, becoming better in delivering projects on time
and on budget is no child’s play.
There are certain steps that should be followed in order to ensure a successful result. In short, here
are five ways infrastructure project management software can help you boost the efficiency of your
projects:
That’s the first step to the standardisation of the sector. Introduce the tools and processes that will
allow you to establish accurate benchmarks so that you can identify the design, budget and
operational needs of a project before it begins.
In that way, you can mitigate risk and pave the way for an open and highly collaborative data
ecosystem where all stakeholders can receive and submit updates in real time. It goes without
saying that precise data collection and analysis is an integral part of this process.
Lastly, defining the desired results and outcomes from this infrastructure investment is also vital
and will add more clarity in your effort to introduce best practices and benchmarks of performance.
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Figure 24 Alignment and Integration
Working with a range of software tools for different disciplines and functions is a given on most
infrastructure projects. Integrating these tools and processes on one platform ensures optimal and
efficient use of data.
Through software integrations you can enhance the utilisation of your existing systems and
combine factors such as time, cost, quality, safety, and resources.
In LetsBuild, for instance, you can bring the data from your existing systems into the platform and
work with a live plan. This will allow you to have LetsBuild as your digital backbone to manage
your projects across all tools.
Creating a better communication flow across the supply chain is substantial for the success of every
infrastructure project. Adding also the client to the equation can guarantee that a project will
proceed with fewer delays and misunderstandings.
By using a reliable digital tool all project sides can have the transparency and overview they need
to take control of their projects. This will allow for more proactive and effective meetings and help
the different stakeholders to learn through data from past projects.
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4. Smart reporting
Reports take a lot of time and effort in the course of any infrastructure project. With a digital tool,
like LetsBuild, you can combine with 1 click all your data into valuable and detailed construction
reports.
Like that, you can easily distribute field reports periodically and communicate overall process. In
addition, you can record all the necessary information for your site diary and daily logs without
having to deal with the enormous admin and mental burden that come with it.
Finally, by keeping a detailed record of every action around the project you will never have to
wonder what actually happened and you can easily retrieve any information that you might need at
any time.
From this corner, we have many times referred to the importance of digital adoption on site. The
sector tends to focus a lot on the value that a 3D model or a digital twin can bring to the building
process failing to consider the key component of it. That is data and, by extension, digital adoption.
A BIM model is only as precise and useful as the bits of information fed to it. In that aspect, on-site
adoption should be perceived as one of the most decisive factors for your success when it comes to
infrastructure project management. This is why the simplicity of the tools that your organisation
uses matters so much.
People on site should be able to report progress and submit their latest updates from the field just by
using their mobile or tablet device. The easier the data capturing progress is the simpler it will be
for the on-site personnel to use the new technologies and join the digital revolution that you want to
initiate.
This doesn’t mean that you should ignore the value that a 3D model can offer. However, there are
different levels of transparency depending on someone’s role in a project.
The World Bank estimates that a 10 percent rise in infrastructure assets directly increases GDP by
up to 1 percentage point.1 Insufficient or underdeveloped infrastructure presents one of the biggest
obstacles for economic growth and social development worldwide. In Brazil, for example,
development is constrained by narrow roads, a lack of railways in the new agricultural frontiers,
and bottlenecked ports, all of which are unable to meet the transport needs of a newly wealthy
consumer mass.
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Infrastructure projects are high on governments’ agendas, and the infrastructure-development and
investment pipeline is huge. The current global project pipeline is estimated at $9 trillion, one-third
of it in Asia. India is expected to spend some $550 billion on large-scale projects over the next five
years, half of which will be in the energy and utility sectors (Exhibit 1). Developed economies also
have significant infrastructure plans. The United Kingdom, for example, has identified an
infrastructure pipeline of over 500 projects that is worth more than £250 billion.
However, major infrastructure projects have a history of problems. Cost overruns, delays, failed
procurement, or unavailability of private financing are common (Exhibit 2). The final cost of the
much-anticipated Eurotunnel between the United Kingdom and France, for example, was
significantly higher than originally planned, while the Betuwe cargo railway linking the
Netherlands and Germany came in at twice the original €2.3 billion budget and more than four
times the original estimate. Nor are these problems confined to the past. Today, the construction of
Kuala Lumpur’s new airport terminal, for example, is facing huge cost overruns and significant
delays following frequent design changes.
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Figure 26 Challenges of large projects
In our view, most overruns are foreseeable and avoidable. Many of the problems we observe are
due to a lack of professional, forward-looking risk management. Direct value losses due to
undermanagement of risks for today’s pipeline of large-scale projects may exceed $1.5 trillion in
the next five years, not to mention the loss in GDP growth, as well as reputational and societal
effects.
Large infrastructure projects suffer from significant undermanagement of risk in practically all
stages of the value chain and throughout the life cycle of a project. In particular, poor risk
assessment and risk allocation, for example, through contracts with the builders and financiers,
early on in the concept and design phase lead to higher materialized risks and private-financing
shortages later on.
Risk is also undermanaged in the later stages of infrastructure projects, destroying a significant
share of their value. Crucially, project owners often fail to see that risks generated in one stage of
the project can have a significant knock-on impact throughout its later stages.
The structuring and delivery of modern infrastructure projects is extremely complex. The long-term
character of such projects requires a strategy that appropriately reflects the uncertainty and huge
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variety of risks they are exposed to over their life cycles. Infrastructure projects also involve a large
number of different stakeholders entering the project life cycle at different stages with different
roles, responsibilities, risk-management capabilities and risk-bearing capacities, and often
conflicting interests. While the complexity of these projects requires division of roles and
responsibilities among highly specialized players (such as contractors and operators), this leads to
significant interface risks among the various stakeholders that materialize throughout the life cycle
of the project, and these must be anticipated and managed from the outset.
And because infrastructure projects have become and will continue to become significantly larger
and more complex, losses due to the cost of undermanaged risks will continue to increase. This will
be exacerbated by an ongoing shortage of talent and experience—not only are projects more
complex, but there are also more of them, which will create demand for more effective and more
systematic approaches and solutions.
Surprisingly, the risks of large infrastructure projects often do not get properly allocated to the
parties that are the best “risk owners”—those that have a superior capability to absorb these risks.
This can result from a misunderstanding or disregard on the part of governments of the risk
appetite, for instance, of private investors who are sensitive to the kinds of risks they accept and
under what terms. Providers of finance will often be the immediate losers from poorly allocated or
undermanaged risks. Even in public-private-partnership (PPP) structures, private-risk takers and
their management techniques are introduced too late to the process to influence risk management
and allocation, and therefore they cannot undo the mistakes already embedded in the projects. One
crucial consequence is an increase in the cost of financing PPP projects and a greater need for
sovereign guarantees or multilateral-agency support. In the end, however, society at large bears the
costs of failures or overruns, not least in the form of missed or slowed growth.
Private sources of investment are becoming increasingly scarce. Banks have weak balance sheets
and are under severe regulatory pressure to avoid or limit long-term structured finance. Many are
either reducing or exiting their infrastructure-financing businesses. Other potential “natural
owners,” such as pension funds and insurance companies, either have regulatory constraints or are
still in the early stages of considering direct investments and building up the necessary expertise.
This helps to explain why the dominant financing solution to deliver infrastructure projects is
through budget-financed public-procurement processes. It is striking to see that—in the absence of
private-sector management techniques and private-sector risk takers—public-infrastructure
sponsors seldom apply stateof-the-art risk- and project-management tools and techniques, despite
the knock-on consequences of being seen to “lose” public money during a time of increasingly
constrained public budgets.
In effect, a larger volume of riskier infrastructure projects, managed by public servants who lack of
risk- and project-management skills and resources, seeks funding from a market with lower
financial supply and a significantly lower risk appetite among providers of both public and private
financing.
This is not to argue that the public sector lacks any risk-management capabilities. In fact, many
public-sector processes are very sophisticated, but they are geared toward ensuring transparency
itself and avoiding the reality or appearance of misconduct and do so at the expense of
effectiveness, efficiency of the process itself, and operational and execution risk-management
objectives. As a result, the seeds of many project failures are sown in the early stages of
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development, when a poorly designed project-delivery approach or ill-considered procurement
decision can lead to delays, higher costs, and ultimately diminished returns.
A more comprehensive approach to risk management would address the key issues facing all
parties and stakeholders involved in a project throughout its life cycle, including project originators
and sponsors, that is, governments and public entities, tackling both perceived risk, and financing
gaps. In the remainder of this paper, we set out how good practices in project structuring and risk
management can radically improve outcomes in big infrastructure projects. We explain what a
comprehensive “through the life cycle” risk-management approach requires.2 We also outline the
benefits of, and processes involved in, effectively implementing a risk-management capability.
a comprehensive conceptual framework that introduces risk management across the value
chain and highlights the most critical issues and design choices to be made
a strong set of practical approaches and tools that help governments and companies make
these design choices and manage risks more proactively and thus more effectively
an implementation framework that effectively introduces and ensures the application and
execution of discipline in day-to-day business, starting in the beginning of the design phase
all the way through the life cycle of a project
Proper front-end project planning is all about shaping the project’s risk profile so it can be managed
during execution, and execution is all about aggressively mitigating the risks that emerge. The key
is to know what risks are inherent to a project and what degree of freedom you have to shape the
risk profile before you commit the bulk of your funds; you must also have skills in place to prevent
the remaining risks from getting out of control. Then you can discuss what skills and processes are
needed during front-end planning versus execution. In practice, they are quite different.
There is an inherent conflict between the aspiration to limit the number and volatility of potential
future (interface) risks and the need to maintain flexibility to respond to unforeseen changes over
the life cycle of a project. The fact that risks can materialize in later stages, but have actually been
caused in earlier stages under different responsibilities, requires an end-to-end risk-management
view, as opposed to a siloed, individualized process-step responsibility. There is a clear need for
strong risk-management processes from the outset and for these to be applied and continuously
developed throughout the life of the project.
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The involvement of risk-taking private-financing perspectives early on, for example, as applied in a
PPP, can ensure a more professional and disciplined approach to strategy, risk and project
management, and deal structuring.
To improve the successful provision of infrastructure projects, whether through PPPs or public
procurement, all stakeholders across the value chain of an infrastructure project need to be
subjected to rigorous private-sector risk-management, risk-allocation, and financing due diligence.
They should also be required to contribute to the effective implementation of risk-management and
mitigation capabilities across the life cycle of the project.
Assessing risks across a project’s life cycle can be a powerful way of making it more resilient and
ultimately more profitable for all of the participants across the value chain. This approach shares
many elements with enterprise-risk-management (ERM) processes that are common in other
sectors. Exhibit 3 provides an example of a generalized ERM framework.
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Several concepts derived from ERM are applicable for infrastructure:
Importantly, ERM is not a purely administrative “checking the box” exercise that aims only to
create regulatory or board compliance. ERM is meant to connect the boardroom, where important
risk-relevant decisions are made, to the engine room of risk managers, where a lot of relevant
information and insight needs to get produced.
Typically, as noted earlier, many projects fail because of choices made in the early stages of
development. A poorly designed project-delivery approach or the wrong decisions about
procurement can also lead to delays, higher costs, and diminished returns. Project risk management
has to be a core element of project selection, planning, and design, and it has to be continuous
across the entire life cycle of the project. For each stage of a project, there are some common
questions:
Forward-looking risk assessment: which risks is the project facing? What is the potential cost of
each of these risks? What are the potential consequences for the project’s later stages as a result of
design choices made now?
Risk ownership: which stakeholders are involved and which risks should the different stakeholders
own? What risk-management issues do each of the stakeholders face, and what contribution to risk
mitigation can each of them make?
Risk-adjusted processes: what are the root causes of potential consequences, and through which risk
adjustments or new risk processes might they be mitigated by applying life-cycle risk-management
principles?
Risk governance: how can individual accountability and responsibility for risk assessment and
management be established and strengthened across all lines of defense?
Risk culture: what are the specific desired mind-sets and behaviors of all stakeholders across the
life cycle and how can these be ensured?
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PHASE 1: SELECTING, PLANNING, AND DESIGNING PROJECTS
Governments initiate the vast majority of infrastructure projects. This creates natural tension
because delivery times for projects typically run beyond the election cycle, meaning that any future
payoff might accrue to political opponents. In addition, governments are often reluctant to spend
money at the outset, preferring to appear thrifty even if there will be far higher costs later on. Often
efforts are hampered by the lack of an overarching infrastructure strategy, but many other factors
can lead to individual projects being plagued with problems. These include incorrect forecasts and
assumptions (for example, on demographics, demand, prices, revenues, capital expenditure, or
operating expenditure), a limited understanding of market dynamics, and lack of willingness to plan
for volatility and adverse scenarios. Overestimating revenue and growth potential while
underestimating risk results in badly designed projects that deliver lower-than-expected returns or,
in the worst case, a project that must be canceled or abandoned after significant up-front
investment. The Oedo subway line in Tokyo, for example, earned revenues much more slowly than
anticipated due to massive delays in delivery and overly optimistic forecasts.
Other challenges include poor planning and management of future interface risks, caused by early-
stage decisions regarding project structures and design. For example, the highly praised HSL-Zuid
high-speed rail-line PPP in Netherlands (which was named PPP Deal of the Year in 2001) later
incurred a 43 percent cost overrun as the original “particularly appetizing risk profile” of the deal
included the breakup of the project into three separate subprojects, causing significant interface
risks that were only identified, and were then poorly managed, after the deal was
closed.3 Crucially, the risk appetite of developers, contractors, and private investors, who are
essential in later stages of the project life cycle, is often not taken into account.
Each individual project should use a stage-gate approach to ensure that projects do not progress
without key deliverables being completed. Using predefined risk-register templates enables this to
progress smoothly. Private financial discipline should be used in planning, designing, and
structuring projects even before private investors are involved, helping to adjust incentives and
penalties so that they are matched appropriately—and applied—to each relevant party.
The primary objective is to create a transparent and flawless decision-making process to select the
investment that best achieves assigned targets under the global mandate of the sponsor. This is a
major challenge. Too often projects are “gold plated” or overdesigned for the commercial
opportunity, resulting in too much complexity and a lack of economic viability. Sponsors need to
adopt a realistic commercial approach from the outset, making sure the project can meet its defined
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needs and is designed so that it also meets its target costs. Potential future interface risks would be
identified early on in the process, and the required resources and skill set to manage those risks
would be factored into any decision taken with respect to alternative project structures. It should be
clear from the outset how any new project fits in to a wider strategy. For example, a project for a
new airport should form part of an overall national strategy for transport.
State-of-the-art forecasting techniques should be applied, helping to avoid common problems such
as overdesign, mismatched capacity and demand, or misjudgment of interdependencies with other
projects.
The project can be evaluated using adverse scenarios, stress tested, and set up with the appropriate
monitoring and reporting processes. An economic model that integrates time risk, cost risk, and
uncertainties can be deployed to produce a clear business case and range of expected financial
returns. In this regard, it is crucial to consider potential private-sector requirements early on (both
technical and financial).
During front-end planning, there are several key risk levers to pull:
conceptual design (what you’ll ask the contractors to design and build)
the procurement model (how you select contractors)
contracting model (under what terms the contractors work)
the project-management model (how you will manage the contractors to deliver the project)
All of the business-case evaluation falls under conceptual design, but success in the end is all about
the interface between the owner and the contractor. Projects can go wrong for lots of other reasons
(for example, a road is being built over contested ground or a natural disaster occurs), but most are
addressed through force majeure. Escalation in the cost of labor or materials is something that good
planning should account for and falls under the procurement and contracting models.
Public procurers, such as governments and their respective ministries, as well as public-private
collaborations such as PPP units, developers, and contractors are the main stakeholders for this
stage of an infrastructure project. They often fail to select the optimal risk-return ownership
structure ahead of the procurement stage, making it difficult to adjust or reassign risk or
responsibility once the project has commenced. The risk appetite of private players is frequently
neglected or poorly understood and there is limited transparency of risk cost,risk ownership, and
risk-return trade-offs.
Procurers frequently select the wrong strategy, disregarding or misjudging the ability of private-
sector players to control certain risks. It is extremely complex and costly to reverse a tender process
once launched, as the United Kingdom found to its cost over the tender of a contract to run one of
its main train routes in 2013.
A failure to allocate risk to the right parties and to anticipate potential problems—such as sourcing
bottlenecks—causes cost overrun and significant time delays. For example, the London Jubilee line
extension incurred a 42 percent cost overrun in part through a failure to anticipate future risks.
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Again, a life-cycle risk-management approach can help to mitigate these significant risks. There
should be an early focus on optimal risk-ownership allocation, including a clear knowledge of
alternatives, and early application of risk management before any procurement decision is taken.
Funding and financing sources should be aligned early on so that future means of funding support,
such as tolls, taxes, or fares, are matched with the proposed financing, such as bank loans, bond
proceeds, or equity investments. The risk profile of the funding source needs to be appropriate for
the proposed finance.
Stakeholders are advised to identify risks and value drivers, such as delays or increases in material
prices, from the outset and decide who will be responsible for each of these. This provides a
mechanism to drive contractor behavior and ensure ongoing accountability.
It is vital to ensure that required expertise in planning, structuring, and so on is brought in early on,
and that due diligence is conducted on contractors before selection. The project owner’s ability to
manage the contract must be assessed and strengthened if necessary.
The life-cycle risk-management approach and early focus on optimal risk-ownership allocation are
as important for budget-financed public-procurement projects as they are for PPPs involving private
investors. Because governments take financial risks in public-procurement structures, they should
structure their investment and manage their risks as private investors do. This could clarify their
knowledge and application of available alternative risk-allocation models (for example, outsourcing
of operations and maintenance activities), but could also result in a changed approach to how public
funds are “allocated” within the government. For example, the ministry of finance or another
relevant ministry could consider acting as a lender and charging a risk premium for public funds to
discipline those using the funds, such as other ministries or public authorities.
Asset owners and financiers are the stakeholders in the construction delivery phase insofar as this
relates to engineering and construction (E&C) contractor monitoring. E&C contractors are
responsible for on-time, on-budget, and on-quality delivery and financing.
Problems often arise because E&C contractors either fail to meet their contracts, resulting in cost
overruns, delays, and defects, or are only able to perform their contractual obligations at the cost of
significantly reduced profitability of their business. Poor original planning and performance
management of resources and cost is one of the key drivers of this failure, and this is compounded
in many cases by a failure to identify potential issues early in the process. Moreover, there is often a
focus on the management of individual contracts, which means that the portfolio effects of multiple
contracts at the enterprise level are overlooked.
Further, there is often a disconnect between contractual obligations and transparency about a
contractor’s ability to deliver. Management of the relationships between clients, suppliers, and
subcontractors can be haphazard, and often this comes back to poor contractor selection and
management in the early phases. A consequence can be cost and budget overruns, and these can
have a significant impact on a broader economy. Delays to the opening of Hong Kong airport, for
example, resulted in a loss of more than $600 million to the economy.
A life-cycle approach can alleviate many of these issues. Owners need to design appropriate
metrics and processes to measure contractor performance. This should be translated into a proper
documentation and log system for tracking progress that allows the owner to get the information
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they need to manage the contractor effectively. This could include a detailed monthly schedule,
with measureable key performance indicators (KPIs) linked to the contract. Financial risk should be
managed and an incentive system established through milestone payments and daily contractor-
compliance monitoring. Professional standards of information storage and flow should be ensured
through clear rules on how information should be handled and the interaction required and expected
between owner and supplier. Any slippage from contractual obligations can be planned for within
an overall portfolio of obligations and contracts. Often it is helpful to designate a dedicated project
risk manager and team with overarching risk responsibility. For each package or area of a project,
clear risk owners need to be identified, and daily site meetings should be held to assess progress
against targets, slippage, and potential problems.
In summary, during project execution, the key risks for the sponsor or developer are related to
contractual default, claims, keeping public political stakeholders aligned, and monitoring for any
mismanagement by the contractor. The interface with the contractor is therefore the critical
element. However, this phase is all about mitigating risks, and the ability to influence the
magnitude of these risks is smaller than during planning.
Finally, operation is the least complicated phase because you have a steady-state system where
good operational practices can address many of the issues. In this phase of a project, asset owners
and financiers are the stakeholders insofar as this relates to operation and maintenance (O&M)
contractor monitoring, while O&M contractors are responsible for ensuring on-time, on-budget, and
on-quality service delivery and financing. In reality, they often fail to meet contractually agreed-
upon KPIs for service quality or availability, resulting in delays and increased costs. This can be
because incorrect design specifications do not meet contractors’ requirements or because of poor
forecasting around service load, maintenance cycles, or operating expenses. An inability to adjust to
a changed commercial environment through changes in contract terms can also be a factor.
As a first step, project owners can reduce and better manage these risks by outsourcing O&M
monitoring to avoid in-house restructuring and to allow for the replacement of poorly performing
contractors. A design or construction interface with the O&M contractor should be planned and
managed early on and the long-term implications of today’s design choices evaluated. State-of-the-
art forecasting techniques should be applied and KPIs planned under adverse scenarios, including
stress testing. Ongoing monitoring and reporting should be established, and the project should
allow for operational flexibility by focusing on KPIs rather than operational structure.
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Figure 28: A number of uncertainties in project
At the outset, there was a lack of a single risk definition or risk taxonomy across projects, project
stages, and departments. In addition, there was no systematic formulation of how risk management
added value to the company, for example, in deriving risk-management objectives from a corporate
value framework, or demonstrating how risk management could lead to better decisions. The
organization’s focus was on the mitigation of project-schedule and cost overruns, but not on risk
optimization.
This meant there were disconnects throughout the project stages; design requirements were often
not understood in the construction phase, for instance, leading to expensive changes in
specifications and orders. There was no streamlined risk-governance model headed by an
overarching risk committee or divisional risk committees, and some ambiguity surrounded risk
ownership with regard to who was responsible for risk at the project or portfolio level and in
migrating risk ownership across project stages.
Further, the organization’s existing risk-management tools were not implemented effectively. There
were strongly siloed views of risks and risk-management activities across departments and a lack of
riskmanagement standards across projects, meaning project managers could shape project risk
management to their own preferences. This was compounded by a lack of effective compliance or
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management of consequences when things went wrong. Reactions to changed circumstances tended
to be slow, as if risk was only really considered at the beginning of a specific project. There was
little discussion of root causes and risk events and no clarity on how continuous risk management
could add value and enhance motivation.
Improvements to the existing approach were viewed as something that would require extra effort
and time and bring the risk of failure.
Senior management decided to embrace a systematic step change to enhance institutional risk-
management capabilities, from daily employee practices and behaviors to mind-sets and corporate
culture. An integrated life-cycle approach was put in place to address many of the problems
outlined above.
Management needed to formulate a clear business case for the value of risk-management activities
and to devise a risk strategy that was tightly linked to the business. The appropriate transparency on
risk cost and the key drivers and sources of risk then had to be established, along with a much
clearer understanding of what risk-management levers and instruments were available. Having
established this at the top of the organization, it was then vital that effective risk-management
governance, organization, and processes were put in place and that a strong risk culture and
awareness was driven throughout the organization.
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Figure 29: Day to risk management can be improved in several areas.
Reliable and transparent communication is vital to the success of any project, so it was crucial that
an improved system of communication was put in place between top departmental teams involved
in any infrastructure project. This enabled cross-divisional cooperation and ensured alignment of
goals and processes. Proper interaction with, and performance tracking of, contractors was
established to help monitor and evaluate risk on a timely basis, and there were clear directions from
the top of the organization to operating levels that cascaded risk-management awareness
downward. This approach also required on-site “shop floor” risk transparency to be further
advanced, as well as a move from ad hoc reactive risk mitigation to proactive risk anticipation.
Figure shows how far reaching this effort was across the organization; it involved people processes,
management practices, governance, approval processes, and day-to-day behavioral norms at every
level.
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Figure 30: specific initiatives to improve the risk culture
The infrastructure sector significantly undermanages risks and lacks professional risk management.
While under management of risk happens across the whole value chain, poor risk management
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during early conceptual planning and design phases, mostly under the responsibility of public
project sponsors, has a particularly negative impact on governments’ and private developers’ ability
to achieve the hoped-for improvement of infrastructure services.
Even if the involvement of private-sector risk takers, for example, investors and lenders in PPP
projects, means that certain risk-management capabilities are applied later on in the process, they
are not able to undo earlystage mistakes. Poorly designed and planned projects lead to significantly
higher financing costs and too often even to the inability to mobilize private-sector financing and
risk allocation completely. In the absence of private financing and risk sharing, budget-financed
public-procurement structures continue to undermanage risk throughout the entire life cycle of the
project, leading to even higher rates of project failure and poor results.
Professional risk management can not only significantly improve results in public procurement
processes; it can also attract and mobilize additional private financing. Given the scale and scope of
emerging infrastructure projects, there is a strong case for embracing risk management throughout
the life cycle of individual projects and also at the portfolio level.
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