Asian Paints
Asian Paints
FINANCIAL
MODELLING
REPORT
Prepared by
Livia Jain
TABLE OF CONTENTS
COGS ₹ 9,298.8 ₹ 9,413.8 ₹ 9,732.7 ₹ 11,194.2 ₹ 12,905.8 ₹ 13,158.0 ₹ 14,035.1 ₹ 20,590.6 ₹ 23,766.7 ₹ 23,010.0
COGS % sales 68.30% 65.96% 64.62% 66.53% 67.08% 65.10% 64.64% 70.75% 68.91% 64.83%
Gross profit ₹ 4,316.5 ₹ 4,857.7 ₹ 5,329.3 ₹ 5,630.4 ₹ 6,334.3 ₹ 7,053.2 ₹ 7,677.7 ₹ 8,510.7 ₹ 10,721.9 ₹ 12,484.7
Gross profit margin 31.70% 34.04% 35.38% 33.47% 32.92% 34.90% 35.36% 29.25% 31.09% 35.17%
Selling & general expenses ₹ 2,073.60 ₹ 2,132.61 ₹ 2,335.57 ₹ 2,426.37 ₹ 2,569.38 ₹ 2,896.41 ₹ 2,822.12 ₹ 3,707.10 ₹ 4,462.05 ₹ 4,899.76
S&G expenses % sales 15.23% 14.94% 15.51% 14.42% 13.35% 14.33% 13.00% 12.74% 12.94% 13.80%
EBITDA ₹ 2,242.9 ₹ 2,725.0 ₹ 2,993.8 ₹ 3,204.0 ₹ 3,764.9 ₹ 4,156.8 ₹ 4,855.6 ₹ 4,803.6 ₹ 6,259.8 ₹ 7,585.0
EBITDA % sales 16.47% 19.09% 19.88% 19.04% 19.57% 20.57% 22.36% 16.51% 18.15% 21.37%
Interest ₹ 42.2 ₹ 49.0 ₹ 37.3 ₹ 41.5 ₹ 110.5 ₹ 102.3 ₹ 91.6 ₹ 95.4 ₹ 144.5 ₹ 205.2
Interest % sales 0.31% 0.34% 0.25% 0.25% 0.57% 0.51% 0.42% 0.33% 0.42% 0.58%
Depreciation ₹ 265.9 ₹ 275.6 ₹ 334.8 ₹ 360.5 ₹ 622.1 ₹ 780.5 ₹ 791.3 ₹ 816.4 ₹ 858.0 ₹ 853.0
Depreciation % sales 1.95% 1.93% 2.22% 2.14% 3.23% 3.86% 3.64% 2.81% 2.49% 2.40%
Earnings before tax ₹ 1,934.7 ₹ 2,400.5 ₹ 2,621.6 ₹ 2,802.1 ₹ 3,032.3 ₹ 3,274.0 ₹ 3,972.7 ₹ 3,891.8 ₹ 5,257.4 ₹ 6,526.8
EBT % sales 14.21% 16.82% 17.41% 16.65% 15.76% 16.20% 18.30% 13.37% 15.24% 18.39%
Tax ₹ 649.5 ₹ 844.5 ₹ 943.3 ₹ 1,041.0 ₹ 1,098.1 ₹ 854.9 ₹ 1,097.6 ₹ 1,102.9 ₹ 1,493.5 ₹ 1,790.1
Effecitive tax rate 33.57% 35.18% 35.98% 37.15% 36.21% 26.11% 27.63% 28.34% 28.41% 27.43%
Net profit ₹ 1,285.2 ₹ 1,556.0 ₹ 1,678.4 ₹ 1,761.1 ₹ 1,934.3 ₹ 2,419.1 ₹ 2,875.1 ₹ 2,788.9 ₹ 3,763.9 ₹ 4,736.7
Net margins 9.44% 10.90% 11.14% 10.47% 10.05% 11.97% 13.24% 9.58% 10.91% 13.34%
No. of equity shares (in crore) 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92
Earnings per share ₹ 13.4 ₹ 16.2 ₹ 17.5 ₹ 18.4 ₹ 20.2 ₹ 25.2 ₹ 30.0 ₹ 29.1 ₹ 39.2 ₹ 49.4
EPS growth - 21.07% 7.87% 4.93% 9.83% 25.07% 18.85% -3.00% 34.96% 25.85%
Dividend per share ₹ 6.1 ₹ 7.5 ₹ 10.3 ₹ 8.7 ₹ 10.5 ₹ 12.0 ₹ 17.8 ₹ 19.2 ₹ 25.7 ₹ 33.3
Dividend payout ratio 45.53% 46.23% 58.87% 47.38% 52.07% 47.58% 59.55% 65.86% 65.37% 67.43%
Retained earnings 54.47% 53.77% 41.13% 52.62% 47.93% 52.42% 40.45% 34.14% 34.63% 32.57%
# Balance sheet
Equity Share Capital ₹ 95.9 ₹ 95.9 ₹ 95.9 ₹ 95.9 ₹ 95.9 ₹ 95.9 ₹ 95.9 ₹ 95.9 ₹ 95.9 ₹ 95.9
Reserves ₹ 4,646.4 ₹ 6,428.9 ₹ 7,508.0 ₹ 8,314.3 ₹ 9,374.6 ₹ 10,034.2 ₹ 12,710.4 ₹ 13,715.6 ₹ 15,896.3 ₹ 18,632.4
Borrowings ₹ 418.2 ₹ 323.3 ₹ 560.3 ₹ 533.4 ₹ 1,319.6 ₹ 1,118.5 ₹ 1,093.1 ₹ 1,586.9 ₹ 1,932.6 ₹ 2,474.4
Other Liabilities ₹ 3,754.0 ₹ 3,710.9 ₹ 4,241.0 ₹ 4,819.8 ₹ 5,458.7 ₹ 4,889.3 ₹ 6,455.9 ₹ 7,560.0 ₹ 7,854.5 ₹ 8,698.1
Total Liabilities ₹ 8,914.5 ₹ 10,559.0 ₹ 12,405.2 ₹ 13,763.5 ₹ 16,248.8 ₹ 16,138.0 ₹ 20,355.3 ₹ 22,958.4 ₹ 25,779.3 ₹ 29,900.8
Fixed assets - Net block ₹ 2,660.0 ₹ 3,416.4 ₹ 3,303.7 ₹ 3,732.2 ₹ 6,496.6 ₹ 6,272.3 ₹ 5,858.5 ₹ 5,519.1 ₹ 5,770.5 ₹ 7,146.6
Capital Work in Progress ₹ 196.0 ₹ 106.6 ₹ 257.5 ₹ 1,405.1 ₹ 209.7 ₹ 140.2 ₹ 183.0 ₹ 426.4 ₹ 1,019.6 ₹ 2,698.4
Investments ₹ 1,587.8 ₹ 2,712.1 ₹ 2,652.0 ₹ 2,140.7 ₹ 2,568.6 ₹ 2,018.9 ₹ 4,736.8 ₹ 3,247.5 ₹ 4,261.7 ₹ 4,587.9
Other Assets ₹ 825.7 ₹ 714.7 ₹ 1,317.2 ₹ 1,691.8 ₹ 1,472.0 ₹ 1,738.7 ₹ 2,565.5 ₹ 2,876.7 ₹ 3,036.2 ₹ 3,571.4
Total Non-current assets ₹ 5,269.5 ₹ 6,949.8 ₹ 7,530.4 ₹ 8,969.9 ₹ 10,746.8 ₹ 10,170.1 ₹ 13,343.8 ₹ 12,069.7 ₹ 14,087.9 ₹ 18,004.3
Receivables ₹ 1,182.1 ₹ 1,186.8 ₹ 1,446.6 ₹ 1,730.6 ₹ 1,907.3 ₹ 1,795.2 ₹ 2,602.2 ₹ 3,871.4 ₹ 4,636.9 ₹ 4,889.1
Inventory ₹ 2,258.5 ₹ 1,998.2 ₹ 2,626.9 ₹ 2,658.3 ₹ 3,149.9 ₹ 3,389.8 ₹ 3,798.6 ₹ 6,153.0 ₹ 6,210.6 ₹ 5,923.4
Cash & Bank ₹ 204.4 ₹ 424.2 ₹ 801.2 ₹ 404.7 ₹ 444.9 ₹ 782.8 ₹ 610.8 ₹ 864.3 ₹ 843.8 ₹ 1,084.0
Total Current assets ₹ 3,645.0 ₹ 3,609.3 ₹ 4,874.8 ₹ 4,793.6 ₹ 5,502.1 ₹ 5,967.9 ₹ 7,011.5 ₹ 10,888.8 ₹ 11,691.4 ₹ 11,896.5
Total assets ₹ 8,914.5 ₹ 10,559.0 ₹ 12,405.2 ₹ 13,763.5 ₹ 16,248.8 ₹ 16,138.0 ₹ 20,355.3 ₹ 22,958.4 ₹ 25,779.3 ₹ 29,900.8
ASIAN PAINTS LTD
NSE: ASIANPAINT | BSE 500820
INR ₹ 2,392
Histoical Financial Statement - ASIAN PAINTS LTD
Years Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
# Cashflow statement
Operating activities
Profit from operations ₹ 2,271.0 ₹ 2,848.0 ₹ 3,056.0 ₹ 3,274.0 ₹ 3,861.0 ₹ 4,380.0 ₹ 4,970.0 ₹ 4,957.0 ₹ 6,460.0 ₹ 7,929.0
Receivables ₹ (155.0) ₹ (146.0) ₹ (475.0) ₹ (483.0) ₹ (205.0) ₹ 160.0 ₹ (849.0) ₹ (1,326.0) ₹ (834.0) ₹ (362.0)
Inventory ₹ (144.0) ₹ 202.0 ₹ (629.0) ₹ (39.0) ₹ (492.0) ₹ (251.0) ₹ (409.0) ₹ (2,354.0) ₹ (56.0) ₹ 315.0
Payables ₹ (151.0) ₹ 142.0 ₹ 501.0 ₹ 442.0 ₹ 287.0 ₹ (241.0) ₹ 1,143.0 ₹ 644.0 ₹ (539.0) ₹ 269.0
Other WC items ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ (92.0) ₹ 242.0 ₹ 657.0 ₹ (212.0)
Working capital changes ₹ (450.0) ₹ 198.0 ₹ (603.0) ₹ (80.0) ₹ (410.0) ₹ (331.0) ₹ (206.0) ₹ (2,795.0) ₹ (772.0) ₹ 10.0
Direct taxes ₹ (633.0) ₹ (802.0) ₹ (925.0) ₹ (1,081.0) ₹ (982.0) ₹ (1,011.0) ₹ (1,080.0) ₹ (1,176.0) ₹ (1,494.0) ₹ (1,835.0)
Cash from operating activities ₹ 738.0 ₹ 2,442.0 ₹ 925.0 ₹ 2,033.0 ₹ 2,059.0 ₹ 2,706.0 ₹ 3,477.0 ₹ (1,808.0) ₹ 3,422.0 ₹ 6,114.0
Investing activities
Fixed assets purchased ₹ (454.0) ₹ (817.0) ₹ (684.0) ₹ (1,426.0) ₹ (1,151.0) ₹ (404.0) ₹ (282.0) ₹ (551.0) ₹ (1,446.0) ₹ (2,496.0)
Fixed assets sold ₹ 16.0 ₹ 15.0 ₹ 17.0 ₹ 17.0 ₹ 17.0 ₹ 37.0 ₹ 28.0 ₹ 40.0 ₹ 26.0 ₹ 5.0
Investments purchased ₹ (243.0) ₹ (282.0) ₹ (153.0) ₹ (320.0) ₹ (573.0) ₹ (25.0) ₹ (140.0) ₹ 0.0 ₹ (146.0) ₹ (212.0)
Investments sold ₹ 278.0 ₹ 205.0 ₹ 357.0 ₹ 362.0 ₹ 733.0 ₹ 134.0 ₹ 272.0 ₹ 207.0 ₹ 446.0 ₹ 240.0
Interest received ₹ 11.0 ₹ 15.0 ₹ 32.0 ₹ 39.0 ₹ 40.0 ₹ 65.0 ₹ 73.0 ₹ 77.0 ₹ 87.0 ₹ 135.0
Dividends received ₹ 71.0 ₹ 69.0 ₹ 74.0 ₹ 38.0 ₹ 40.0 ₹ 27.0 ₹ 8.0 ₹ 15.0 ₹ 56.0 ₹ 129.0
Investment in group cos ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ (180.0) ₹ 0.0
Redemp n Canc of Shares ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 141.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0
Acquisition of companies ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ (525.0) ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0
Other investing items ₹ (144.0) ₹ (70.0) ₹ (324.0) ₹ 118.0 ₹ (24.0) ₹ (353.0) ₹ (500.0) ₹ (105.0) ₹ (126.0) ₹ (350.0)
Cash from investing activities ₹ (465.0) ₹ (865.0) ₹ (681.0) ₹ (1,556.0) ₹ (918.0) ₹ (519.0) ₹ (541.0) ₹ (317.0) ₹ (1,283.0) ₹ (2,549.0)
Financing activities
Proceeds from shares ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 1.0
Proceeds from borrowings ₹ 239.0 ₹ 8.0 ₹ 271.0 ₹ 10.0 ₹ 243.0 ₹ 18.0 ₹ 155.0 ₹ 418.0 ₹ 254.0 ₹ 101.0
Repayment of borrowings ₹ (86.0) ₹ (119.0) ₹ (58.0) ₹ (54.0) ₹ (26.0) ₹ (279.0) ₹ (14.0) ₹ (8.0) ₹ (25.0) ₹ (98.0)
Interest paid fin ₹ (35.0) ₹ (40.0) ₹ (36.0) ₹ (35.0) ₹ (106.0) ₹ (101.0) ₹ (89.0) ₹ (94.0) ₹ (142.0) ₹ (191.0)
Dividends paid ₹ (695.0) ₹ (764.0) ₹ (947.0) ₹ (1,218.0) ₹ (1,049.0) ₹ (2,121.0) ₹ (499.0) ₹ (1,763.0) ₹ (1,936.0) ₹ (2,551.0)
Financial liabilities ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ 0.0 ₹ (180.0) ₹ (179.0) ₹ (203.0) ₹ (221.0) ₹ (256.0) ₹ (286.0)
Other financing items ₹ 0.0 ₹ 66.0 ₹ 13.0 ₹ (82.0) ₹ 0.0 ₹ (209.0) ₹ 0.0 ₹ (140.0) ₹ (36.0) ₹ 41.0
Cash from financing activities ₹ (577.0) ₹ (849.0) ₹ (757.0) ₹ (1,379.0) ₹ (1,118.0) ₹ (2,871.0) ₹ (650.0) ₹ (1,808.0) ₹ (2,141.0) ₹ (2,983.0)
Net cashflow ₹ (304.0) ₹ 728.0 ₹ (513.0) ₹ (902.0) ₹ 23.0 ₹ (684.0) ₹ 2,286.0 ₹ (3,933.0) ₹ (2.0) ₹ 582.0
ASIAN PAINTS LTD
NSE: ASIANPAINT | BSE 500820
INR ₹ 2,392
Ratio Analysis - ASIAN PAINTS LTD
Years Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Trends Mean Median
Sales growth - 4.82% 5.54% 11.70% 14.36% 5.05% 7.43% 34.03% 18.51% 2.92% 11.59% 7.43%
EBITDA Growth - 21.50% 9.86% 7.02% 17.51% 10.41% 16.81% -1.07% 30.32% 21.17% 14.84% 16.81%
EBT Growth - 24.07% 9.21% 6.88% 8.22% 7.97% 21.34% -2.04% 35.09% 24.15% 14.99% 9.21%
Net profit growth - 21.07% 7.87% 4.93% 9.83% 25.07% 18.85% -3.00% 34.96% 25.85% 16.16% 18.85%
Dividend growth - 22.95% 37.33% -15.53% 20.69% 14.29% 48.75% 7.28% 33.94% 29.82% 22.17% 22.95%
Gross margin 31.70% 34.04% 35.38% 33.47% 32.92% 34.90% 35.36% 29.25% 31.09% 35.17% 33.33% 33.75%
EBITDA margin 16.47% 19.09% 19.88% 19.04% 19.57% 20.57% 22.36% 16.51% 18.15% 21.37% 19.30% 19.33%
EBIT margin 14.52% 17.16% 17.65% 16.90% 16.33% 16.71% 18.72% 13.70% 15.66% 18.97% 16.63% 16.80%
EBT margin 14.21% 16.82% 17.41% 16.65% 15.76% 16.20% 18.30% 13.37% 15.24% 18.39% 16.24% 16.43%
Net profit margin 9.44% 10.90% 11.14% 10.47% 10.05% 11.97% 13.24% 9.58% 10.91% 13.34% 11.11% 10.91%
Sales expenses % sales 15.23% 14.94% 15.51% 14.42% 13.35% 14.33% 13.00% 12.74% 12.94% 13.80% 14.03% 14.07%
Depreciation % sales 1.95% 1.93% 2.22% 2.14% 3.23% 3.86% 3.64% 2.81% 2.49% 2.40% 2.67% 2.45%
Operating income % sales 14.52% 17.16% 17.65% 16.90% 16.33% 16.71% 18.72% 13.70% 15.66% 18.97% 16.63% 16.80%
Return on capital employed 38.31% 35.77% 32.57% 31.79% 29.13% 30.02% 29.24% 25.89% 30.14% 31.75% 31.46% 30.94%
Retained earnings % 54.47% 53.77% 41.13% 52.62% 47.93% 52.42% 40.45% 34.14% 34.63% 32.57% 44.41% 44.53%
Return on equity % 27.10% 23.85% 22.07% 20.94% 20.42% 23.88% 22.45% 20.19% 23.54% 25.29% 22.97% 22.99%
Self sustained growth rate 14.76% 12.82% 9.08% 11.02% 9.79% 12.52% 9.08% 6.89% 8.15% 8.24% 10.23% 9.44%
Interest coverage ratio 46.80 x 49.99 x 71.23 x 68.57 x 28.45 x 32.99 x 44.36 x 41.79 x 37.40 x 32.81 x 4543.87% 4307.33%
Debt Turnover ratio 11.52 x 12.02 x 10.41 x 9.72 x 10.09 x 11.26 x 8.34 x 7.52 x 7.44 x 7.26 x 9.56 x 0.09 x
Creditor Turnover ratio 2.48 x 2.54 x 2.29 x 2.32 x 2.36 x 2.69 x 2.17 x 2.72 x 3.03 x 2.65 x 2.53 x 43.07 x
Inventory Turnover ratio 4.12 x 4.71 x 3.70 x 4.21 x 4.10 x 3.88 x 3.69 x 3.35 x 3.83 x 3.88 x 3.95 x 0.00 x
Fixed Asset Turnover ratio 5.12 x 4.18 x 4.56 x 4.51 x 2.96 x 3.22 x 3.71 x 5.27 x 5.98 x 4.97 x 4.45 x 9.90 x
Capital Turnover ratio 2.87 x 2.19 x 1.98 x 2.00 x 2.03 x 2.00 x 1.70 x 2.11 x 2.16 x 1.90 x 2.09 x 2.51 x
Debtor days 32 30 35 38 36 32 44 49 49 50 39 5
Payable days 147 144 159 157 154 136 168 134 121 138 146 2
Inventory days 89 77 99 87 89 94 99 109 95 94 93 0
Cash conversion cycle -27 -36 -25 -33 -29 -9 -25 24 24 6 -13 37
CFO/Sales 5.42% 17.11% 6.14% 12.08% 10.70% 13.39% 16.01% -6.21% 9.92% 17.23% 10.18% 9399.68%
CFO/Total Assets 8.28% 23.13% 7.46% 14.77% 12.67% 16.77% 17.08% -7.88% 13.27% 20.45% 12.60% -2541.90%
CFO/Total debt 176.48% 755.36% 165.08% 381.12% 156.03% 241.93% 318.08% -113.93% 177.07% 247.09% 250.43% 0.00%
ASIAN PAINTS LTD
NSE: ASIANPAINT | BSE 500820
INR ₹ 2,392
Common Size Income Statement - ASIAN PAINTS LTD
Particulars Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Raw Material Cost 50.49% 46.03% 49.48% 48.31% 51.84% 49.39% 48.02% 58.84% 55.05% 49.05%
Change in Inventory 1.09% -1.40% 3.51% -0.84% 1.52% 1.18% 0.43% 4.55% 0.90% -1.02%
Power and Fuel 0.96% 0.80% 0.70% 0.66% 0.62% 0.48% 0.40% 0.40% 0.40% 0.38%
Other Mfr. Exp 11.05% 10.76% 11.04% 10.05% 9.68% 9.63% 9.53% 9.90% 8.46% 7.80%
Employee Cost 6.88% 6.97% 6.90% 6.67% 6.46% 6.78% 7.13% 6.17% 5.90% 6.58%
Selling and admin 24.62% 27.41% 28.97% 13.40% 12.30% 11.44% 10.34% 10.11% 10.15% 10.74%
Other Expenses -9.39% -12.47% -13.47% 1.02% 1.05% 2.89% 2.65% 2.63% 2.79% 3.06%
Other Income 1.04% 1.50% 2.24% 2.00% 1.42% 1.76% 1.53% 1.02% 1.25% 2.31%
Depreciation 1.95% 1.93% 2.22% 2.14% 3.23% 3.86% 3.64% 2.81% 2.49% 2.40%
Interest 0.31% 0.34% 0.25% 0.25% 0.57% 0.51% 0.42% 0.33% 0.42% 0.58%
Profit before tax 15.25% 18.32% 19.65% 18.65% 17.18% 17.96% 19.82% 14.39% 16.49% 20.70%
Tax 4.77% 5.92% 6.26% 6.19% 5.71% 4.23% 5.06% 3.79% 4.33% 5.04%
Net profit 10.25% 12.23% 12.88% 12.12% 11.21% 13.38% 14.46% 10.41% 11.91% 15.38%
Dividend Amount 4.30% 5.04% 6.56% 4.96% 5.23% 5.70% 7.89% 6.31% 7.13% 9.00%
EBITDA 16.47% 19.09% 19.88% 19.04% 19.57% 20.57% 22.36% 16.51% 18.15% 21.37%
Total Liabilities 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Equity Share Capital 1.08% 0.91% 0.77% 0.70% 0.59% 0.59% 0.47% 0.42% 0.37% 0.32%
Reserves 52.12% 60.89% 60.52% 60.41% 57.69% 62.18% 62.44% 59.74% 61.66% 62.31%
Borrowings 4.69% 3.06% 4.52% 3.88% 8.12% 6.93% 5.37% 6.91% 7.50% 8.28%
Other Liabilities 42.11% 35.14% 34.19% 35.02% 33.59% 30.30% 31.72% 32.93% 30.47% 29.09%
Total Assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Net Block 29.84% 32.35% 26.63% 27.12% 39.98% 38.87% 28.78% 24.04% 22.38% 23.90%
Capital Work in Progress 2.20% 1.01% 2.08% 10.21% 1.29% 0.87% 0.90% 1.86% 3.96% 9.02%
Investments 17.81% 25.69% 21.38% 15.55% 15.81% 12.51% 23.27% 14.15% 16.53% 15.34%
Other Assets 9.26% 6.77% 10.62% 12.29% 9.06% 10.77% 12.60% 12.53% 11.78% 11.94%
Receivables 13.26% 11.24% 11.66% 12.57% 11.74% 11.12% 12.78% 16.86% 17.99% 16.35%
Inventory 25.34% 18.92% 21.18% 19.31% 19.39% 21.01% 18.66% 26.80% 24.09% 19.81%
Cash & Bank 2.29% 4.02% 6.46% 2.94% 2.74% 4.85% 3.00% 3.76% 3.27% 3.63%
ASIAN PAINTS LTD
NSE: ASIANPAINT | BSE 500820
INR ₹ 2,392
Forecasting - ASIAN PAINTS LTD
Sales Forecasting - ASIAN PAINTS LTD EBITDA forecasting - ASIAN PAINTS LTD Earnings Per Share - ASIAN PAINTS LTD
Year Weight Year Sales Sales Growth Year Weight Year EBITDA EBITDA Growth Year Weight Year EPS EPS Growth
1 2015A 13,615.3 1 2015A 2,242.9 1 2015A 13.4
2 2016A 14,271.5 4.82% 2 2016A 2,725.0 21.50% 2 2016A 16.2 21.07%
3 2017A 15,062.0 5.54% 3 2017A 2,993.8 9.86% 3 2017A 17.5 7.87%
4 2018A 16,824.6 11.70% 4 2018A 3,204.0 7.02% 4 2018A 18.4 4.93%
5 2019A 19,240.1 14.36% 5 2019A 3,764.9 17.51% 5 2019A 20.2 9.83%
6 2020A 20,211.3 5.05% 6 2020A 4,156.8 10.41% 6 2020A 25.2 25.07%
7 2021A 21,712.8 7.43% 7 2021A 4,855.6 16.81% 7 2021A 30.0 18.85%
8 2022A 29,101.3 34.03% 8 2022A 4,803.6 -1.07% 8 2022A 29.1 -3.00%
9 2023A 34,488.6 18.51% 9 2023A 6,259.8 30.32% 9 2023A 39.2 34.96%
10 2024A 35,494.7 2.92% 10 2024A 7,585.0 21.17% 10 2024A 49.4 25.85%
11 2025E 36,144.4 1.83% 11 2025A 7,166.4 -5.52% 11 2025A 45.3 -8.31%
12 2026E 39,564.8 9.46% 12 2026A 7,791.7 8.72% 12 2026A 49.7 9.83%
13 2027E 43,026.4 8.75% 13 2027A 8,467.3 8.67% 13 2027A 54.6 9.76%
14 2028E 46,397.2 7.83% 14 2028A 9,147.2 8.03% 14 2028A 59.5 8.99%
15 2029E 49,722.0 7.17% 15 2029A 9,790.1 7.03% 15 2029A 64.1 7.77%
64.1
49,722.0 9,790.1 59.5
46,397.2 9,147.2 54.6
43,026.4 8,467.3 49.7
39,564.8 7,791.7 45.3
36,144.4 7,166.4
2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E 2025A 2026A 2027A 2028A 2029A
2025A 2026A 2027A 2028A 2029A
ASIAN PAINTS LTD
NSE: ASIANPAINT | BSE 500820
INR ₹ 2,392
Beta Regression
Date Closing Price Returns Date Closing Price Returns Levered Raw Beta 1.09
01-05-2020 1,683.10 01-05-2020 9,580.30 Beta Weight 75%
01-06-2020 1,687.45 0.26% 01-06-2020 10,302.10 7.53%
01-07-2020 1,715.50 1.66% 01-07-2020 11,073.45 7.49% Market Beta 1
01-08-2020 1,899.10 10.70% 01-08-2020 11,387.50 2.84% Market Beta Weight 25%
01-09-2020 1,986.40 4.60% 01-09-2020 11,247.55 -1.23%
01-10-2020 2,211.50 11.33% 01-10-2020 11,642.40 3.51% Adjusted Beta 1.06
01-11-2020 2,215.30 0.17% 01-11-2020 12,968.95 11.39%
01-12-2020 2,764.50 24.79% 01-12-2020 13,981.75 7.81%
01-01-2021 2,407.35 -12.92% 01-01-2021 13,634.60 -2.48%
01-02-2021 2,277.20 -5.41% 01-02-2021 14,529.15 6.56%
01-03-2021 2,537.40 11.43% 01-03-2021 14,690.70 1.11%
01-04-2021 2,536.40 -0.04% 01-04-2021 14,631.10 -0.41%
01-05-2021 2,977.50 17.39% 01-05-2021 15,582.80 6.50%
01-06-2021 2,992.70 0.51% 01-06-2021 15,721.50 0.89%
01-07-2021 2,958.45 -1.14% 01-07-2021 15,763.05 0.26%
01-08-2021 3,201.35 8.21% 01-08-2021 17,132.20 8.69%
01-09-2021 3,244.65 1.35% 01-09-2021 17,618.15 2.84%
01-10-2021 3,100.10 -4.46% 01-10-2021 17,671.65 0.30%
01-11-2021 3,143.65 1.40% 01-11-2021 16,983.20 -3.90%
01-12-2021 3,382.95 7.61% 01-12-2021 17,354.05 2.18%
01-01-2022 3,152.25 -6.82% 01-01-2022 17,339.85 -0.08%
01-02-2022 3,174.65 0.71% 01-02-2022 16,793.90 -3.15%
01-03-2022 3,079.95 -2.98% 01-03-2022 17,464.75 3.99%
01-04-2022 3,237.20 5.11% 01-04-2022 17,102.55 -2.07%
01-05-2022 2,859.65 -11.66% 01-05-2022 16,584.55 -3.03%
01-06-2022 2,695.20 -5.75% 01-06-2022 15,780.25 -4.85%
01-07-2022 3,333.75 23.69% 01-07-2022 17,158.25 8.73%
01-08-2022 3,391.60 1.74% 01-08-2022 17,759.30 3.50%
01-09-2022 3,342.45 -1.45% 01-09-2022 17,094.35 -3.74%
01-10-2022 3,107.70 -7.02% 01-10-2022 18,012.20 5.37%
01-11-2022 3,175.15 2.17% 01-11-2022 18,758.35 4.14%
01-12-2022 3,087.90 -2.75% 01-12-2022 18,105.30 -3.48%
01-01-2023 2,725.85 -11.72% 01-01-2023 17,662.15 -2.45%
01-02-2023 2,828.80 3.78% 01-02-2023 17,303.95 -2.03%
01-03-2023 2,761.65 -2.37% 01-03-2023 17,359.75 0.32%
01-04-2023 2,902.35 5.09% 01-04-2023 18,065.00 4.06%
01-05-2023 3,192.95 10.01% 01-05-2023 18,534.40 2.60%
01-06-2023 3,362.05 5.30% 01-06-2023 19,189.05 3.53%
01-07-2023 3,377.35 0.46% 01-07-2023 19,753.80 2.94%
01-08-2023 3,256.10 -3.59% 01-08-2023 19,253.80 -2.53%
01-09-2023 3,161.05 -2.92% 01-09-2023 19,638.30 2.00%
01-10-2023 2,995.70 -5.23% 01-10-2023 19,079.60 -2.84%
01-11-2023 3,119.90 4.15% 01-11-2023 20,133.15 5.52%
01-12-2023 3,402.40 9.05% 01-12-2023 21,731.40 7.94%
01-01-2024 2,957.85 -13.07% 01-01-2024 21,725.70 -0.03%
01-02-2024 2,821.90 -4.60% 01-02-2024 21,982.80 1.18%
01-03-2024 2,846.75 0.88% 01-03-2024 22,326.90 1.57%
01-04-2024 2,875.90 1.02% 01-04-2024 22,604.85 1.24%
01-05-2024 2,881.20 0.18% 01-05-2024 22,530.70 -0.33%
01-06-2024 2,917.05 1.24% 01-06-2024 24,010.60 6.57%
01-07-2024 3,084.45 5.74% 01-07-2024 24,951.15 3.92%
01-08-2024 3,126.80 1.37% 01-08-2024 25,235.90 1.14%
01-09-2024 3,329.10 6.47% 01-09-2024 25,810.85 2.28%
01-10-2024 2,935.65 -11.82% 01-10-2024 24,205.35 -6.22%
01-11-2024 2,479.60 -15.53% 01-11-2024 24,131.10 -0.31%
01-12-2024 2,281.35 -8.00% 01-12-2024 23,644.80 -2.02%
01-01-2025 2,300.80 0.85% 01-01-2025 23,508.40 -0.58%
01-02-2025 2,179.75 -5.26% 01-02-2025 22,124.70 -5.89%
01-03-2025 2,340.65 7.38% 01-03-2025 23,519.35 6.30%
01-04-2025 2,393.00 2.24% 01-04-2025 22,875.30 -2.74%
ASIAN PAINTS LTD
NSE: ASIANPAINT | BSE 500820
INR ₹ 2,392
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Peer comps
Debt/ Debt/ Levered Unlevered
1 2 3
Name of the comp Country Total debt Total equity Tax rate Equity Capital Beta Beta
Asian Pants Ltd India 2516.02 229731.74 30% 1.10% 1.08% 1.09 1.08
Berger Paints India 796.52 61,873.73 30% 1.29% 1.27% 0.85 0.84
Kansai Nerolac India 291.88 20,172.22 30% 1.45% 1.43% 0.91 0.90
Akzo Nobel India 64.50 15,993.41 30% 0.40% 0.40% 0.46 0.46
Indigo Paints India 20.03 4,698.94 30% 0.43% 0.42% 0.73 0.73
Current Assets
Inventories 3,390.00 3,799.00 6,153.00 6,211.00 5,923.00
Trade receivables 1,795.00 2,602.00 3,871.00 4,637.00 4,889.00
Loans n Advances 12.00 11.00 8.00 12.00 17.00
Other asset items 1,727.00 2,555.00 2,869.00 3,024.00 3,555.00
Total Current Assets 6,924.00 8,967.00 12,901.00 13,884.00 14,384.00
Current liabilities
Trade Payables 2,137.00 3,379.00 4,164.00 3,635.00 3,831.00
Advance from Customers 29.00 41.00 76.00 108.00 154.00
Other liability items 2,320.00 2,613.00 2,932.00 3,657.00 4,017.00
Total Current Liabilties 4,486.00 6,033.00 7,172.00 7,400.00 8,002.00
PV of FCFF 19,303.5
PV of terminal value 51,840.7
Value of Operating Assets 71,144.2
Amount in crores
Comparable Company Valuation
Market Data Financials Valuation
Share Share Equity Enterprise
Company Ticker Price Outstanding value Net Debt Value Revenue EBITDA Net Income EV/Revenue EV/ EBITDA P/E
Asian Paints 2,417.1 95.9 2,31,843.4 1,432.0 2,33,275.4 34,277.5 7,064.7 4,284.2 6.8X 33.0X 54.1X
Berger Paints 526.6 116.6 61,390.5 345.9 61,736.3 11,361.0 1,930.3 1,142.5 5.4X 32.0X 53.7X
Kansai Nerolac 255.8 80.8 20,679.7 31.9 20,711.6 7,775.7 1,097.8 1,121.2 2.7X 18.9X 18.4X
Akzo Nobel 3,482.2 4.6 15,844.0 (458.7) 15,385.3 4,042.5 679.4 429.9 3.8X 22.6X 36.9X
Indigo Paints 1,001.7 4.8 4,768.1 (12.6) 4,755.5 1,276.1 243.6 140.6 3.7X 19.5X 33.9X
Shalimar Paints 112.1 8.4 938.1 106.3 1,044.4 565.5 (66.1) (97.1) 1.8X -15.8X -9.7X
MCON Rasayan 139.1 0.7 101.5 20.2 121.7 46.5 6.9 2.4 2.6X 17.7X 42.0X
Retina Paints 61.9 1.5 94.7 8.1 102.8 11.7 2.0 0.7 8.8X 50.9X 128.0X
4,000.0
₹3394.9
3,500.0
3,000.0
2,500.0
2,000.0 ₹1760.1
₹2124.8
1,500.0 ₹1184.6
₹1330.9 ₹842.4
1,000.0
₹570.5
500.0 ₹741.4
₹616.5
₹480.2
0.0
Comps DCF Bear DCF Base DCF Bull 52 W H/L
META
Number of shares 95.98
Face Value 1
Current Price 2391.5
Market Capitalization 229530.19
Quarters
Report Date Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23
Sales 8457.57 8636.74 8787.34 9182.31
Expenses 7229.87 7025.31 6922.58 7061.02
Other Income 117.56 122.21 104.17 227.74
Depreciation 215.7 214.05 220.17 198.32
Interest 35.4 41.39 38.91 45.75
Profit before tax 1094.16 1478.2 1709.85 2104.96
Tax 290.33 381.14 451.44 530.12
Net profit 782.71 1072.67 1234.14 1550.37
Operating Profit 1227.7 1611.43 1864.76 2121.29
BALANCE SHEET
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Equity Share Capital 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92
Reserves 4646.44 6428.9 7507.97 8314.31
Borrowings 418.17 323.29 560.34 533.43
Other Liabilities 3753.97 3710.92 4240.96 4819.82
Total 8914.5 10559.03 12405.19 13763.48
Net Block 2660.04 3416.35 3303.74 3732.24
Capital Work in Progress 196 106.59 257.54 1405.11
Investments 1587.79 2712.13 2651.99 2140.7
Other Assets 4470.67 4323.96 6191.92 6485.43
Total 8914.5 10559.03 12405.19 13763.48
Receivables 1182.07 1186.84 1446.6 1730.63
Inventory 2258.52 1998.24 2626.94 2658.31
Cash & Bank 204.39 424.2 801.21 404.65
No. of Equity Shares 959197790 959197790 959197790 959197790
New Bonus Shares
Face value 1 1 1 1
CASH FLOW:
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Cash from Operating Activity 1187.69 2242.95 1527.33 2113.44
Cash from Investing Activity -464.99 -866.21 -681.11 -1556.14
Cash from Financing Activity -576.09 -848.98 -756.43 -1379.14
Net Cash Flow 146.61 527.76 89.79 -821.84
DERIVED:
Adjusted Equity Shares in Cr 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92
PLEASE DO NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THIS SHEET
1 1 1 1 1 1
Market Beta 1
Market Beta Weight 25%
Year Annual
2000 -14.65%
2001 -16.18% Average Return 15.33%
2002 3.25% Dividend Yield 1.32%
2003 71.90% Total return 16.65%
2004 10.68%
2005 36.34%
2006 39.83%
2007 54.77%
2008 -51.79%
2009 75.76%
2010 17.95%
2011 -24.62%
2012 27.70%
2013 6.76%
2014 31.39%
2015 -4.06%
2016 3.01%
2017 28.65%
2018 3.15%
2019 12.02%
2020 14.90%
2021 24.12%
2022 4.32%
2023 19.42%
2024 8.75%
Particulars Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
Fixed Assets -
Land 238.00 247.00 251.00 429.00 408.00
Building 874.00 931.00 962.00 923.00 931.00
Plant Machinery 1,956.00 2,054.00 2,132.00 1,793.00 1,980.00
Equipments 137.00 155.00 171.00 97.00 119.00
Furniture n fittings 57.00 71.00 83.00 49.00 59.00
Vehicles 11.00 14.00 18.00 11.00 14.00
Intangible Assets 57.00 203.00 351.00 339.00 276.00
Other fixed assets 99.00 128.00 145.00 103.00 128.00
Gross Block 3,429.00 3,804.00 4,112.00 3,744.00 3,914.00
Accumulated Depreciation 979.00 1,223.00 1,438.00 275.00 610.00
Net Block 2,450.00 2,581.00 2,674.00 3,469.00 3,304.00
- - - - - - ₹ 1.00
₹ 10.00 ₹ 243.00 ₹ 18.00 ₹ 155.00 ₹ 418.00 ₹ 254.00 ₹ 101.00
(54.00) (26.00) (279.00) (14.00) (8.00) (25.00) (98.00)
(35.00) (106.00) (101.00) (89.00) (94.00) (142.00) (191.00)
(1,218.00) (1,049.00) (2,121.00) (499.00) (1,763.00) (1,936.00) (2,551.00)
- (180.00) (179.00) (203.00) (221.00) (256.00) (286.00)
(82.00) - (209.00) - (140.00) (36.00) ₹ 41.00