Fall 2009 Test 1
Fall 2009 Test 1
Fall 2009 Test 1
Question A B.1 B.2 (a) B.2 (b i) B.2 (b ii) B.2 (c) B.3 (a) B.3 (b) B.3 (c) B.3 (d i) B.3 (d ii) Your Grade Score Out of 2 10 10 12 12 10 10 12 12 5 5 100
This quiz has 2 problems, worth a total of 100 points. You may tear apart pages 3 and 4, as per your convenience. Write your solutions in this quiz booklet, only solutions in this quiz booklet will be graded. Be neat! You will not get credit if we cant read it. You are allowed one two-sided, handwritten, 8.5 by 11 formula sheet. Calculators are not allowed. Parts B.2 and B.3 can be done independently. You may give an answer in the form of an arithmetic expression (sums, products, ratios, or factorials) of numbers that could be evaluated using a calculator. Expressions like 8 3 5 k k=0 (1/2) are also ne. You have 50 minutes to complete the quiz. Graded quizzes will be returned in recitation on Thursday 10/15.
a linear function, Y = aX + b, the means and the variances of X and Y are related by
E[Y ] = aE[X ] + b,
var(Y ) = a2 var(X ).
Summary of Results for Special Random Variables Discrete Uniform over [a, b]: pX (k ) = a+b , 2 1 , if k = a, a + 1, . . . , b, ba+1 0, otherwise, var(X ) = (b a)(b a + 2) . 12
E[X ] =
Bernoulli with Parameter p: (Describes the success or failure in a single trial.) p, if k = 1, pX (k ) = 1 p, if k = 0, E[X ] = p, var(X ) = p(1 p). Binomial with Parameters p and n: (Describes the number of successes in n independent Bernoulli trials.) pX (k ) = n k p (1 p)nk , k k = 0, 1, . . . , n,
E[X ] = np,
Geometric with Parameter p: (Describes the number of trials until the rst success, in a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials.) pX (k ) = (1 p)k1 p, E[X ] = 1 , p k = 1, 2, . . . , 1p . p2
var(X ) =
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Each question is repeated in the following pages. Please write your answer on the appropriate page.
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Note: Parts 2 and 3 can be done independently. 2. Suppose that Bob picks n apples at random (independently and uniformly). (a) (10 points) Find the probability that exactly k of those are gala apples.
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(b) (12 points) For i = 1, 2, let Yi be the total number of ripe apples Bob picked from the rst i trees. Find the expectation and the variance of Y2 . (Note that Y1 = X1 1 and Y2 = (X1 1) + (X2 1).)
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