Hypergeometric Distribution

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Hypergeometric distribution - applies only to experiments in which the trials are done without replacement

- It is discrete distribution.
- Each outcome consists of either a success or a failure.
- Sampling is done without replacement.
- The population, N, is finite and known.
- The number of successes in the population, A, is known.
Note: Binomial distribution - applies only to experiments in which the trials are done with replacement (independent
events).

Values Factorial

size of population N 52 N! 8.06581752E+67


sample size n 5 n! 120
number of success in population A 26 A! 4.03291461E+26
number of success in sample w/o replacement x 2 x! 2
N-A 26 (N-A)! 4.03291461E+26
n-x 3 (n-x)! 6
A-x 24 (A-x)! 6.20448402E+23
(N-A)-(n-x) 23 (N-A)(n-x)! 2.58520167E+22
N-n 47 (N-n)! 2.58623242E+59
(independent

HYPERGEOMETRIC FORMULA: EXCEL METHOD F

P(x) = AC x . N-A C n-x


NC n P(X)
0
AC x = A! = 325 1
x! . (A-x)! 2
3
N-A C n-x = (N-A)! = 2600 4
(n-x)! . (N-A)(n-x)! 5

NC n = N! = 2598960 should be =1
n! . (N-n)!

P(x) = 325 . 2600


2598960

P(x) = 0.32513
EXCEL METHOD FORMULA: = HYPGEOM.DIST(x, n, A, N, FALSE)

Probability Probability Distribution


2.53%
35.00%
14.96% 30.00%
25.00%
32.51% 20.00%
32.51% 15.00%
10.00%
14.96% 5.00%
0.00%
2.53% 0 1 2 3 4 5
Probabi l i ty

100.00%

Probability
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6

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