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15 authors, including:
Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects:
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Editors:
James Falzon (Energy research Centre of the Netherlands), Nicolas di Sbroiavacca (Fundacion Bariloche)
Contributing Authors:
Santiago Arango, Jessica Arias, Juan Esteban Martínez (Department of Computing and Decision Sciences. Facultad de Minas. Universidad
Nacional de Colombia Medellin– Colombia); Roberto Schaeffer, André Lucena, Alexandre Szklo, Mauro Chávez and Rafael Soria (Energy
Planning Program (PPE), Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro. Engineering Posgraduate Program (COPPE). Rio de Janeiro – Brazil); Fidel
Carrasco, Jorge Islas Samperio (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México); Nicolás Di Sbroiavacca, Hilda Dubrovsky, Marina Recalde,
Osvaldo Girardin y Daniel Bouille (Fundación Bariloche – Argentina).
CLIMACAP project coordinators:
Bob van der Zwaan, Tom Kober, James Falzon (Energy research Centre of the Netherlands)
Supported by
Table of Contents
1. Introduction 3
2. Policy Review: Colombia 4
2.1 Identifying energy policy objectives and their link to Climate Change. 4
2.2 Review of national plans and measures 14
2.3 Review of the national strategy on climate change 20
2.4 Review of strategies and policies for access to modern energy sources 28
2.5 References 30
3. Policy Review: Argentina 33
3.1 Argentinean Energy Sector Stakeholders and Institutional
arrangements 33
3.2 Identifying energy policy objectives and their link to Climate Change 35
3.3 Review of national plans or actions and measures 41
3.4 Review of the national strategy on climate change 52
3.5 References 63
4. Policy Review: Brazil 65
4.1 Energy Policy Objectives and their link to Climate Change 65
4.2 Review of National Plans or Actions and Measures 75
4.3 Review of the National Strategy on Climate Change 77
4.4 Review of Strategies and Policies for Access to Modern Energy
Sources 84
4.5 References 88
5. Policy Review: Mexico 92
5.1 Identifying energy policy objectives and their link to Climate Change 92
5.2 Review of national plans or actions and measures 101
5.3 Review of the national strategy on climate change 103
5.4 References 109
2
1. Introduction
The Integrated Climate Modelling and Capacity Building Project in Latin America, known as the
CLIMACAP project, is financed by the European Commission, DG CLIMA. It is a 36 month project,
and started in December 2012. The project is led by the Energy research Centre of the
Netherlands (ECN), and is implemented in partnership with leading European and Latin-
American universities, think-tanks and institutes. The project is collaborating closely with the
parallel LAMP initiative, funded by the US EPA and USAID. This brings approximately another 7
modelling groups to the modelling exercise.
The project aims to strengthen modelling capacity to support climate change mitigation
strategies of key Latin American countries and regional groupings, as well as to generate cross-
model comparison analyses and scenarios up to 2050 that focus on issues such as the economic
impacts of policy measures, mitigation costs and potentials, and costs and pathways for
reaching specific emission reductions.
The main output from the project will be a special issue of the journal Energy Economics:
“Climate Policy in Latin America: implications and impacts for energy and land use”. It is
anticipated that 11 papers will be co-authored by EU, Latin American and North American
researchers, to be ready by November, 2014 in time for the Lima UNFCCC Conference of the
Parties (COP 20), covering the following topics:
Baseline scenarios.
Climate Policy.
Technology diffusion.
Agriculture and land use (including biomass).
Macroeconomic effects of climate policy.
Climate policy scenarios in Brazil.
Climate policy scenarios in Argentina.
Climate policy scenarios in Mexico.
Climate policy scenarios in Colombia.
Energy investment opportunities in Latin America: a multi-model comparison.
Climate policy in Brazil and Mexico: a multi-model comparison.
A policy review was undertaken as a basis for the modelling exercise in the CLIMACAP/LAMP
projects. It primarily informed the development of the different scenarios and calibration of the
models. The different country overviews were undertaken by respective national teams. It is
reproduced here as a reference to other Latin American and global modelling teams that may
undertake similar exercises in future.
3
2. Policy Review: Colombia
Santiago Arango, Jessica Arias, Juan Esteban Martínez (Department of Computing and Decision
Sciences. Facultad de Minas. Universidad Nacional de Colombia Medellin– Colombia)
2.1 Identifying energy policy objectives and their link to Climate Change.
The transport sector represents the highest energy consumption (38.3%), followed by industry
(26.3%) and residential sector (21.2%) as it is shown in Figure 1, Colombia has been traditionally
a country with a large share of hydro power, such that nowadays the installed capacity mix has a
share of 67.4% of hydro power, and 32.1% of thermal plants. Moreover, and given the hydro
power potential, there are more than 3 GW of hydro power plants under construction to come
on line in the next decade. Figure 1 shows the share of installed capacity by source; of particular
interest, renewable energy, different from hydro power, has a small participation, only run-of-
river or small hydro is the only one that has have a representative diffusion in Colombia.
Projects on wind, solar and geothermal energy are limited to prototypes, and these sources are
still in an exploratory stage of development.
A B
4
C D
The structure of the energy sector in Colombia is shown in in Figure 2. At the top of the
organigram, the system is headed by Congress and the Presidency of the Republic; both entities
are responsible for issuing the laws that govern the sector. The second is the Ministry of Mines
and Energy (MME). The MME main general functions are: (i) develop and manage policies
related to the hydrocarbon chain and biofuels; (ii) formulate policies related to the generation,
transmission, distribution and supply of electricity, rational use of energy and alternative
sources; (iii) adopt Mining and Energy Development Plans and the Power Expansion Plans; (iv)
Issuing technical regulations for electric power, oil, gas and biofuels; (v) Develop policies for
non-connected areas; and (vi) define prices for liquid fuels. In order to comply the functions
mentioned above, The Ministry has two main branches (Vice Ministry of Mines and Vice
Ministry of Energy), and six ascribed bodies, whose specific functions are described below.
National Agency of Hydrocarbons (ANH) and National Agency of Mining (ANM): These
institutions are responsible for identifying the hydrocarbon and mining potential of the country,
proposing and managing the exploration and exploitation activities, setting regulation for prices,
establishing contracts, among other related activities.
Regulatory Commission of Energy and Gas (CREG): The CREG is the regulator body of both
electricity and gas. The CREG introduce regulation into the market, with the aim to incentive the
competition between generators, transmitters and distributors, in order to control monopolies
and to protect the final user.
Institute of Planning and Promotion of Energy Solutions for Non-Connected Areas (IPSE): This
institution has as functions to execute the different plans and programs created by the MME in
regions that are not connected to the grid; to develop studies of demand and energy needs; and
to support the building of plans.
5
Colombian Geological Service (SGC): The SGC, also known as Ingeominas, is in charge of
developing basic research related with subsoil resources, nuclear power, geological threats, and
others.
Planning Unit of Mining and Energy (UPME): The main functions of UPME are: to establish the
mining and energy requirements it the country based on different projections, and the path for
satisfying those requirements; to develop the National Plan of Mining, National Plan of Energy,
and the National Plan for Expansion of the Electric Sector. These functions are extended in the
next section.
Given the functions previously described, the most recent documents and keys for the energy
planning, published by UPME are:
- Program of Rational and Efficient Use of Energy and non-conventional Sources – PROURE.
Action Plan 2010-2015
- Reference Expansion Plan: Generation and Transmission 2010-2024
- Plan of Supply and Transport of Natural Gas (2010)
- Petroleum Chain (2009)
- Natural Gas Chain 2003-2005
- Coal Chain (2012)
Nowadays, Colombia’s power system is working as a market, where pool prices are settled in a
bidding process, and not cost based. It is composed with both free-contract market and a spot
market. All generators submit a day-ahead offer to match system demand and provide the
7
system electricity dispatch; thereafter, there is a balance for the contract market and the
residual demand is sold at pool price. The principles for the market are: (i) Creation of a
competitive market with the aim of improving the efficiency of energy sector. (ii) Regulation of
monopolies for avoiding abuse in price and to protect the user. (iii) Opening to the private
sector to stimulate competition and incorporate new capital sources. The Electric Law created
the CREG (Regulator of Electricity and Gas), which is responsible for the regulation of the power
market.
The Colombian electricity industry is considered to be one of the most open markets in the
developing world (Arango et al., 2006; Larsen, Dyner, Bedoya V, & Franco, 2004). The power
market initiated with a Capacity Charged, taken from the British power market; it has the
intention to provide reliability to the system (Arango, 2007). Thereafter, given that the
Colombian power system is hydro based, there was a need to change from a power-based
capacity mechanism to an energy-based capacity mechanism (Restrepo E, Arango, & Vélez A,
2012).The reliability charge was put in place to overcome this need with the Resolution CREG
009 – 2010 (Diario Oficial, 2010). About 77% of electricity in Colombia is generated by
hydropower; this high dependence brings a need to guarantee energy supply in drought periods
from another resources. The Reliability Charge is a mechanism that came into force in 2006,
replaced the Capacity Charge, and pays to generators a fee for the energy provided in scarcity
conditions. This incentive does not promote any specific generation technology(Cramton &
Stoft, 2008).
The current structure of the power system is shown in . The final users (regulated and
unregulated) pay for the energy consumed to the marketers, and these in turn pay to
distributors for their service. Marketers also have to pay to the operating company for the use
of the grid and the energy trade in the basket. Marketers can also buy energy directly from
8
generators, according to the price agreed in a contract. By the other hand, the operator pays to
transmitters for use of the grid, and to generators that trade their energy in the basket. Finally,
other countries can buy power directly from generators, or from the market operator.
The PROURE program is divided into six subprograms: Institutional strengthening, education and
capacity building in R&D, financial strategy and market driving, protection to final user and
information rights, targets management and monitoring, and promotion of non-conventional
energy sources. The present review has special interest in the last subprogram, promotion of
9
non-conventional energy sources; Table 1 presents the available information on renewable
potential, and a preliminary estimation made by UPME.
Besides the efficiency and renewable use targets, UPME has established action lines for new
projects. The main action lines of this subprogram are directed towards a deeper estimation of
energy potential, maps upgrade, promotion of applied research, development of pilot plants,
and promotion of information systems.
The current regulations have presented a sustainable impact on biofuels targets. In particular,
the PROURE program promotes different subprograms which are on consolidation stage. Some
of this subprograms are the integration of non-connected areas, efficient equipment for final
use of energy, and efficiency in industry; whit the aim to fulfill the gap with sustainable
elements.
Furthermore, indirect incentives for sustainable energy, such as loans and subsidies, are offered
by different institutions and funds. Bancoldex (The Colombian bank of business development) is
an institution that offers financial instruments to promote competitiveness, growth and
development of companies. It has a partnership with Colciencias (The Administrative
Department of Science, Technology and Innovation); both institutions have created a credit
10
modality “A Progresar”, which offers loans to projects of productive transformation and
efficiency improvements. Financial alternatives with special focus in small and medium
enterprises (SMEs) are the FOMIPYME found, from Commerce, Industry and Tourism Ministry,
and FINDETER found, from Financial and Public Credit Ministry.
There are also international alternatives for finance, the IDB finances SMEs through the
Multilateral Investment Found (MIF) and the Inter-American Investment Corporation (IIC); the
Global Environmental Facility (GEF) offers monetary resources for projects related to renewable
energy, adaptation and mitigation to climate change, management of water resources, etc,
through UNEP and UNDP programs.
11
To improve the regulatory model, National Hydrocarbons Agency -ANH, was created in 2003.
The ANH auctions exploration licenses, which has driven the push to expand the territory with
concessions. Meanwhile, Ecopetrol, the national company for hydrocarbons has begun to
compete with privates and entered the Colombian stock exchange in November 2007. This was
made to limit Ecopetrol monopoly. On the other hand, Regulatory Comission on Energy and
Gas (CREG) was created in 1994. This entity has approved measures for commercialization and
transportation for natural gas, as well on tariff design, quality and competence, limiting
monopoly practices.
Law 693- 2001 (Diario Oficial, 2001) introduced the biofuels program after the Kyoto Protocol;
this law and 939 of 2004 had the intention to diversify the energy matrix, especially with
alternative fuels, by stimulating production and demand. However, the first bioethanol plant
was open in 2008, and the first Biodiesel plant in 2009. Currently, the government demands a
mix of 10% alcohol - 90% gasoline, and 10% biodiesel – 90% diesel. The initial goal was to move
from 5% to 10% for 2009; however, it has been reduced to 8% in some regions due to the lack of
sufficient ethanol supply. Main normative on biofuels sector is presented in Table 1 and 2. On
2012 the blends were at 10% and projections made by MME shows that this blends will increase
to 15% by 2015. Projections on biodiesel demand show an increase of 2.8% annually; In
contrast, bioethanol demand will increase in the same rate of gasoline (UPME, 2009b).
The Challenges of Colombian biofuels market are opening to external agents to improve
competition, researching on biomass crops yields, reduction on fossil fuels, changing on land use
especially on livestock land, and increasing the productivity in the whole biofuel chain. The
blend for flex-fuel vehicles can voluntarily vary from E25 to E85; while mandatory ethanol blend
was established on E10 for 2012, and B10 blend for biodiesel. For year 2013, the above levels
could be modified by the GOC after consultation with the Biofuels Commission. Tables 1 and 2
resume the main normative in biofuels.
12
Table 1 – Biodiesel Normative
Law Description Target
Law 939 -2004 Impulse Tribute incentives for biodiesel.
Adjust some items that increase prices (income for
Res. 180212-2007 Biodiesel prices
producers)
Res.18127-2007 Wholesale margin Control the wholesale margin
Res. 180769-2007 Retail margin Control the retail margin
Additionally, in 2012 MADS started the Colombian Strategy for Low-Carbon Development
program (ECDBC), which aims to prevent the growth of emissions, building CO2 emission
scenarios until 2040, and developing mitigation plans for each economic sector (MADS, 2013).
This program has not published yet an official document, but the progress has been presented
1
Previously known as Ministry of Environment, Housing and Territorial Development (MAVDT)
13
in workshops and on the official website of the Ministry of Environment and Sustainable
Development (MADS, 2013). In the preliminary stages of ECDBD program, Industrial and
Transport sectors have been identified as major GHG emitters. In the industrial sector cement
and steel industries present the higher emissions; consequently, the next stage will assess the
technological needs for climate change mitigation of these sectors. Costs and benefits
associated with high blends of biodiesel and the use of public bicycle systems are being
evaluated in the transport sector, as this is the second main GHG emitter in Colombia. The CO2
emission scenarios and mitigation strategies provided in those documents are presented in
Chapter 3.
A B
Scenario 1 considers the necessary conditions in order to satisfy the national demand, medium
fuel prices and international interconnections. (See Figure 7)
Scenario 2 considers the necessary conditions in order to satisfy the high demand scenario,
medium fuel prices and 500 MW of interconnection capacity with Ecuador and 600 MW with
Central America. (See Figure 8)
Scenario 3 sets a critical gas supply, including additional costs relating to a regasification plant
construction. The international interconnection shows similar results to scenario 2.
Scenario 4 takes the same considerations that Scenario 2, but includes the retirement of some
old generation units, equivalent to 211 MW. This situation does not affect the international
interconnections; the results are similar to Scenario 2.
15
Figure 6 – Energy price projections.
Red: High, Green: Medium, Blue: Low. Source: UPME
A B
C D
Figure 7– Scenario 1 for generation expansion. (a) Exports to Ecuador. (b) Imports from
Ecuador. (c) Exports to Central America. (d) Imports from Central America
Red: High Demand, Green: Medium demand, Blue: Low demand. Source: UPME
16
Figure 8 – Scenario 2 for generation expansion - Energy interchange.
Blue: Exports to Central America, Green: Imports from Central America, Red: Exports to Ecuador, Brown: Imports
from Ecuador. Source: UPME
Based on the Reliability Charge mechanism, new capacity requirements were not observed in a
mid-term (2010-2018). On the other hand, an increase of 1900 MW may be needed in the long
term; if some old plants are removed from the system, this value could increase to 2050
MW(UPME, 2010). However, it is planed that by 2018 the Ituango hydro plant enters to the grid,
with an installed capacity of 1200 MW.
At Least 600 MW of thermal generation should enter to the system by 2021, with the aim of
diversifying the energy mix of the country; coil could be used with those purposes, given that it
is one of the most abundant resources in Colombia.
The scenarios of energy exchange with Ecuador and Central America suggest that, despite
Colombia could be mainly an exporter, this dynamic depends mainly on the projects and
regulation of the other countries.
The expansion plan does not consider the inclusion of solar, wind and geothermal plants, given
that, at the moment, there is not any project in the Electric Project Bank of UPME, and those
energies are in an exploratory stage. However, small hydro has a representative participation in
the grid, with an installed capacity of 533 MW, and there are several projects in evaluation, with
a total capacity of 1300 MW (XM, 2011).
In the official document of the PROURE program, the UPME presents the projections of energy
savings for three scenarios (high, medium and low). The results, presented in Figure 9, show a
target of energy savings for 2015 of 14.8% on the high scenario, 10.1% on the medium scenario,
and 5.1% in the low scenario. The figure also shows the maximum energy saving potential of the
country.
18
Figure 9 – Projection of electricity savings 2008-2025. [GWh/year]
Blue: Electricity demand with saving potential, Red: Saving potential, Green: high scenario target, Violet: medium
scenario target, cyan: low scenario target. Source: (Prias, 2010)
The following development plans (2006 - 2010, 2010 - 1014) did not modify to the goals
established in the year 2002 or included new ones, but they did focus on promoting clean
development mechanisms to exploit the mentioned potential.
19
price. Figure 10 shows the historical data of electricity price since February 2009 until February
2013, for both regulated and unregulated users.
20
Figure 11 – Main laws and documents about Climate Change.
Source: Own elaboration, information from (DNP, 2011a; UNDP, 2009)
21
Figure 12 – Conformation of COMECC
Source: Own elaboration, information from (DNP, 2011a)
The Ministry of Environment and Sustainable Development (MADS) is responsible for the
Executive Secretariat of the COMECC, while other ministries participate in interdisciplinary
groups of each subcommittee (see Figure 13). On the other hand, COMECC has the support of
other organs ascribed to MADS, such as Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental
Studies (IDEAM), and Institute of Marine and Coastal Research (INVEMAR); the Administrative
Department of Science, Technology and Information (Colciencias); the advice of international
institutions such as WWF, GEF, GIZ and UNDP; and the support of different consultant
Universities, such as Andes University and National University of Colombia (UNAL).
COMECC is responsible for the formulation and implementation of three main plans, listed
below.
- National Plan for Adaptation to Climate Change (PNACC)
- Colombian Strategy for Low-Carbon Development (ECDBC)
- National Strategy for Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation in
Developing Countries (ENREDD+)
The formulation of those plans is currently in development; some preliminary results are
presented in the next section.
22
Figure 13 – COMECC structure
Source: Own elaboration, information from (DNP, 2011a)
The results show that Colombia emits the 0.37% of GHG in the world. In 2004, the total amount
of equivalent gigagrams of CO2 was 180010, with the biggest share from agricultural activities
(38.1%) and energy (36.6%), follow by LULUCF (14.5%), and solid waste (5.7%) (See Table 4).
From this, the SNCCC has defined the livestock, Transport and energy industry sectors, as
priorities in mitigation issues. MAVDT et al.(2010) highlighted the need of using more accurate
methodologies for the estimation of GHG sources, and assessing a detailed study about CO 2
sinks in the country, in future studies.
23
Table 4 – Inventory of GHG emissions by sector - 2004
Source: (MAVDT et al., 2010)
SECTOR % eq CO2
Transport 12.1
Energy industry 8.5
Energy
Manufacturing and construction industry 7.3
Others 9
Enteric fermentation 18.5
Agriculture Agricultural lands 18.1
Others 1.5
Land CO2 emissions 4.1
LULUCF
Forest and grassland conversion 9.2
Waste Solid waste disposal on land and wastewater 5.7
Other sectors 6
On the other hand, the mitigation chapter of SNCCC presents an evaluation of mitigation
potential in different sectors in a time horizon of 20 years (2010-2030); it considers energy
efficiency, introduction of new technologies, energy saving programs and fuels substitution, the
total estimated potential is about 197 Million tones CO2.
Finally, the vulnerability analysis shows the urgent need to finance different programs for
adaptation in different sectors such as coastal areas, agriculture, populations near to water
bodies, and hydro generation infrastructure. Those programs should include risk management
actions, land use programs, and reduction of environmental, economic and social impacts.
24
The objectives of the ECDBC are (i) Identify actions to prevent the rapid growth of GHG
emissions in key economic sectors, (ii) develop mitigation action plans for each sector, and (iii)
develop the tools for the implementation of the plans, including monitoring and reporting
systems (MADS, 2012a). To develop this, the ECDBC was divided into five components, shown in
Figure 14.
As preliminary results of component 1, MADS has presented some projections of GHG emissions
using the LEAP model, that show how emissions can increase rapidly in the coming years, under
a business-as-usual scenario (see Figure 15); the main objective of ECDBC is to develop
strategies that lead the country through a low scenario (A. García, personal communication,
August 20,2013).
25
Figure 15 – Baseline projections of GHG emissions.
Red: Historical data, Green: BAU scenario, Blue: high and low tendencies.
Source: (MADS, 2012a)
2.3.2.4 National Strategy for Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest
Degradation in Developing Countries (ENREDD+)
Colombia has about 60 million ha of forest, (53% of the territory), and a destruction rate of 500
000 ha/yr. The government initiated the actions to reduce emissions from deforestation and
forest degradation with the creation of ENREDD+ program (MADS, 2012b), with a time horizon
of 4 years. So far, the program has identified the social, economic and environmental issues
related to forests and climate change, which are presented in the document Proposal for
Preparation of REDD+ (R-PP). In the next stages of the program, the identified actions will be
performed, such as implementation of forest monitoring systems, and integration of indigenous
communities in the program (MADS, 2012c).
26
Figure 16 – GHG emissions inventory [1990-2004]
Source: Own elaboration, information from (MAVDT et al., 2010)
Given the above, the basic scenario should seek for stabilization of emissions from Waste and
Industry, and for reduction of emissions in other sectors. If we consider the target of National
Plan Development 2006-2010, 250.000 tons CO2eq in four years, the final target for 2030 would
be a reduction of 1.25 million tons. This value is only the 0.33% of the estimated mitigation
potential. For this reason, the present study does not consider such target; instead, the actions
presented in Table 5 are based on the potential estimated by MAVDT et al. (2010). Those
actions represent an emission reduction of 5.5% per year.
Table 5 – Mitigation potential for different actions for a time horizon of 20 years
Source: Own elaboration, information from (MAVDT et al., 2010)
REDUCTION
MITIGATION ACTION POTENTIAL
[Mill ton CO2]
substitution of 50% of coal used in industrial boilers for natural gas 67.78
increase in occupancy of private vehicles, reduction of vehicles in circulation
62.48
(from 5% in 2010 to 50% by 2030)
Replacement of 712 MW of non-renewable installed capacity for alternative
sources (35% wind, 25% geothermal, 30% small hydro, 5% solar PV, and 5% 45
cogeneration)
gas use and improvements in process efficiency of production,
2
transportation and refining of oil
10 projects of mass transit systems (2010-2017) 6.4
Conversion of 14500 vehicles per year to natural gas 0.4 per year
Usage of 94 mill m3/yr of methane from landfills 5 (for 12 yr)
27
2.4 Review of strategies and policies for access to modern energy
sources
In early 2013, the IPSE reported an advance of 23% of the target, with an additional coverage of
9 municipalities; and it has also approved enough projects to reach 100% of the target for
December 1014 (DNP, 2011b). The Colombian government has shown interest in subsidizing
sustainable projects in rural areas. Currently, the IPSE has a bank of 213 electrification projects;
of which 104 have been approved since 2004. These projects include power generation from
small hydro, photovoltaic panels, biomass, wind turbines, and construction and improvement of
interconnection lines (IPSE, 2011).
Additionally, the government has a program to subsidize the interest rate, which has the
objective to benefit 140,000 families from July 3, 2012, with a reduction of up to 30% credit
interest housing mortgage; and subsidies for vulnerable populations to access housing loans.
(MVCT, 2013a).
Because of this, MADS, et. al (2012) have presented the document "Proposes of financial
schemes Applicable to Energy Efficiency and FNCE" that summarizes the most appropriate
mechanisms for each technology, such as third-party financing, purchase with deferred
payment, direct exploitation by thirds, and shared funding. It also presents the different
international funds such as the World Bank, Inter-American Development Bank, GEF, GHG, etc.,
and some national funds previously described (See section 1.5). Finally, the document presents
the National Organization for the Promotion and Development of Energy Efficiency Programs
(ONPEE), which provides technical and financial assistance for the proper execution of projects.
29
2.5 References
Americas Society and Council of the Americas. (2010). Colombia’s Energy Renaissance.
Washignton. Dc.
ANSPE. (2013a). Agencia Nacional para la Superación de la Pobreza Extrema. Estrategia Unidos.
Retrieved August 18, 2013, from http://www.anspe.gov.co/es/programa/estrategia-unidos
Arango, S., Dyner, I., & Larsen, E. R. (2006). Lessons from deregulation: Understanding electricity
markets in South America. Utilities Policy, 14(3), 196–207. doi:10.1016/j.jup.2006.02.001
Congreso de la República de Colombia. Ley 142 de 1994 (1994). Bogotá D.C., Colombia:
Congreso de la República.
Congreso de la República de Colombia. Ley 143 de 1994 - Ley Eléctrica (1994). Bogotá D.C.,
Colombia: Congreso de la República.
Congreso de la República de Colombia. Ley 164 de 1994 (1994). Bogotá D.C., Colombia:
Congreso de la República.
Congreso de la República de Colombia. Ley 401 de 1997 (1997). Bogotá D.C., Colombia:
Congreso de la República de Colombia.
Congreso de la República de Colombia. Ley 1537 de 2012 (2012). Bogotá D.C., Colombia:
Congreso de la República de Colombia.
Cramton, P., & Stoft, S. (2008). Forward reliability markets: Less risk, less market power, more
efficiency. Utilities Policy, 16(3), 194–201. doi:10.1016/j.jup.2008.01.007
Diario Oficial. Decreto 3428 de 2003 (2003). Bogotá D.C., Colombia: Ministerio de Minas y
Energía.
Diario Oficial. Decreto número 257 de 2004 (2004). Bogotá D.C., Colombia: Congreso de la
República de Colombia.
Diario Oficial. Resolución 009 de 2010 (2010). Bogotá D.C., Colombia: Comisión de Regulación de
Energía y Gas.
DNP. (2003). CONPES 3244: Estrategias para la Dinamización y Consolidación del Sector de Gas
Natural en Colombia. Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
30
DNP. (2011a). CONPES 3700: Estrategia institucional para la articulación de políticas y acciones
en materia de cambio climático en Colombia. Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
DNP. (2011b). Plan Nacional de Desarrollo 2010-2014 Prosperidad para Todos. Bogotá D.C.,
Colombia.
DNP, MADS, IDEAM, & UNGRD. (2012). Plan Nacional de Adaptación al Cambio Climático -
Adaptación Bases Conceptuales. Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
IADB, & MME. (2010). SUSTAINABLE ENERGY AND BIOFUEL STRATEGIES FOR COLOMBIA. Bogotá
D.C., Colombia.
IPSE. (2011). BANCO DE PROYECTOS FAZNI A 30 DE NOVIEMBRE 2011. Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
Larsen, E. R., Dyner, I., Bedoya V, L., & Franco, C. J. (2004). Lessons from deregulation in
Colombia: successes, failures and the way ahead. Energy Policy, 32(15), 1767–1780.
doi:10.1016/S0301-4215(03)00167-8
MADS. (2012a). Estrategia Colombiana de Desarrollo Bajo en Carbono. Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
Retrieved from
http://www.minambiente.gov.co//contenido/contenido.aspx?catID=1366&conID=8884
MADS. (2012c). Construcción Colectiva de la Estrategia Nacional REDD+. Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
MAVDT, IDEAM, IHMEA, PNUD, & GEF. (2010). Segunda Comunicación Nacional ante la
Convención Marco de las Naciones Unidas sobre Cambio Climático. Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
MVCT. (2013a). Informe de Gestión al Congreso de la República: Junio 2011-Mayo 2012. Bogotá
D.C., Colombia.
MVCT. (2013b). Programa 100.000 viviendas gratis. Noticias. Retrieved August 15, 2013, from
http://www.100milviviendasgratis.gov.co/ministerio/
31
Restrepo E, M. I., Arango, S., & Vélez A, L. G. (2012). La confiabilidad en los Sistemas Eléctricos
Competitivos y el Moelo Colombiano de Cargo por Confiabilidad. Cuadernos de Economía,
31(56), 199–222.
UNDP. (2009). Mapeo Institucional de actores relacionados con el abordaje del cambio climático
en Colombia. Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
UPME. (2004). Una Visión del Mercado Eléctrico Colombiano. Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
UPME. (2006). La Cadena del Gas Natural en Colombia. Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
UPME. (2009). Unidad de Planeación Minero Energética - Institucional. Retrieved July 18, 2013,
from http://www1.upme.gov.co/index.php/la-upme/quienes-somos.html#7
32
3. Policy Review: Argentina
Nicolás Di Sbroiavacca, Hilda Dubrovsky, Marina Recalde, Osvaldo Girardin y Daniel Bouille
(Fundación Bariloche – Argentina).
a) To elaborate, propose and execute the energy national policy, in coordination with the
provinces. To propose a legal framework and control the development of the institutions.
b) To analyze the development of the energy markets, developing strategic planning in the
fields of electricity, hydrocarbons and other fuels; promoting the competence and energy
efficiency in resources allocation.
c) To collaborate in the elaboration, control and coordination of international or/and
interjurisdictional cooperation and integration agreements.
d) To control the national energy policy on hydrocarbons and fuels, during the exploration,
exploitation, transport and distribution.
e) To control the organisms or institutions on charge of the public services (as a result of both
privatization and bestowal) in order to control the fulfillment of the regulatory framework.
The Undersecretary of Electricity Energy has two organisms: the National Direction for
Promotion (DNPROM) and the National Direction for Prospective. The National Direction for
Promotion is in charge of the Coordination of Energy Efficiency (EE) and the Coordination of
Renewable Energy (RE). The former aims at defining the policies and programs related to the
efficient use of energy, supporting the creation of markets for technologies related to energy
efficiency, implementing pilot projects and updating databases. The latter’s core objective is the
formulation of policies to promote renewable energies, in the framework of the national policies
announced by the president during the conference of the UNCCC of 13th of December 2004. The
main activities of the Coordination of Renewable Energy are: identification of renewable
33
energies projects, updating information about renewable technologies, coordination of
international cooperation activities, and barrier identification for renewable energies.2
The Table of Environmental Issues and Climate Change works in coordination with other
organisms in the framework of the Governmental Committee on Climate Change (see section
4.2), and with other groups in the area, for instance the group that is working on the Third
National Communication of The Argentina to the United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change (UNFCCC).
In 2004 the Central Government created a National Energy Company “ENARSA” (ENERGIA
ARGENTINA SOCIEDAD ANONIMA), depending from the Ministry of Federal Planning, Public
Investment and Services 3. This national company works in the energy business: exploration and
exploitation of solid, liquid and gas hydrocarbons; transport, distribution, commercialization and
industrialization of hydrocarbons and their derivatives; as well as transport and distribution of
2
It is important to mention that additionally to the coordination of RE, there is a project for rural electrification with renewable
energies (PERMER), financed by the national Government that will be address on section 5.2.3.
3
Law Nº 25.943 (Decree Nº 1529/2004)
34
natural gas; generation, transport, distribution and commercialization of power energy. It also
aims at promoting the development of national industry and renewable energies.
It is noteworthy that there exist several isolated private and governmental initiatives directly
related to renewable energies and energy efficiency4, which clearly shows a lack of coordination
in policies and planning. The country also displays an important (and qualified) capacity in R&D
oriented to the development of pilot projects on renewable energies and energy efficiency5.
Unlike to the case of other renewable energies, biofuels policies are in the orbit of the
Undersecretary of Fuels. Additionally, another organisms are involved the planning and
regulatory process. For instance, the agricultural Direction of the Secretary of Agriculture,
Livestock, Fisheries and Food develops the programs for biofuels (Biodiesel and Bioethanol), and
there is a special organism to assist the Ministry of Federal Planning, Public Investment and
Services in the biofuels topic: The Interagency National Advisory Committee (Created by Article
3 of Act No. 26.093).
The General Direction for Planning and Coordination of Policies is responsible for advising the
Secretary of Energy in the design and management of energy planning of hydrocarbons and
energy resources in coordination with the rest of the areas of the secretariat. Within the most
relevant activities of this Direction there is the elaboration of demand and supply scenarios as
well as the technical coordination in conjunction with the national direction of prospective and
the national direction of promotion of an integral national energy planning.
In this regard, it is important to notice that the institution is currently developing a Long Range
Strategic Energy Planning which is not of public availability yet. Indeed, most of the policies and
plans developed up to the moment (many of which will be mentioned in the next sections) were
motivated by the energy supply problem, and the majority of them lack of a long term vision
and a deep evaluation of their impacts over other sectors and the socioeconomic context.
3.2 Identifying energy policy objectives and their link to Climate Change
In Argentina the energy sector is an important (and growing) driving force for GHG6. In 2010
energy sector explained 50.52% GHG emissions, while in 2005 it represented 49%. Moreover,
between 1990 and 2005 Energy net emissions grew 44%, displaying two different trends. In a
4
See for instance some of the private initiatives developed by the National Business Council for Sustainable Development:
http://www.ceads.org.ar/home.htm
5
Some of these groups are: INENCO (UN Salta) solar thermal applications and solar thermal power generation, Laboratory of
Catalytic Processes (FI UBA) hydrogen from ethanol, Laboratory of Human Environment and Housing and Energy (INCIHUSA),
Research Centre Habitat and Energy (FADU UBA), Bioclimatic and solar architecture, and Policy Research Institute Built
Environment (IIPAC) - Before IDEHAB Faculty of Architecture of the UNLP, Laboratory of Architecture and Sustainable Habitat -
(LAyHS) - Before IDEHAB Faculty of Architecture of the UNLP, Research Group of Solar Radiation (GERSolar ), Physics Division,
Department of Basic Sciences, National University of Luján (UNLuján).
6
This is directly related to the increase of fossil fuels consumption as a result of recent policies that will be mention in section 2.4.
35
first one, in the 1990-1999 period the rate of growth of GHG was lower than the rate of growth
of energy consumption, mainly due to the penetration of natural gas in power generation
through combined cycles, reduction in natural gas vented, the incorporation of hydro power
plants and a general modernization of the thermal generation park. Conversely, in the second
period (2003-2005) energy emissions grew at a higher rate than energy consumption mostly due
to increases in the use of fuel oil in electricity plants resulting from reductions in the availability
in natural gas. (Fundación Bariloche and CEMSA, 2008)
One of the two main characteristics of the Argentinean energy sector are its high dependence
on hydrocarbons which represent 85% out of TPES7 (Natural Gas 50%, Oil: 35%, Hydro: 5%;
Nuclear: 3%; Charcoal: 1%; rest of renewables 5%); and the recent declination on natural gas
and oil availability during the last decade. Also a 59% of the electricity generation capacity in
2011 was thermal. The impact of these characteristics on both energy security and Climate
Change is straightforward: the lower the supply of natural gas (the most important Argentinean
primary energy resource), the higher the demand for oil derivatives, and then the higher energy
GHG emissions and energy imports.
In this framework, some of the most important Argentinean energy policies should be related to
achieving Energy self-sufficiency energy and changing the energy matrix structure (particularly
in the electricity mix), and they should be framed in a long term vision of the energy sector and
its role in socio economic development and it relevance for Climate Change, previously
mentioned. This would be particularly important considering the transversal characteristic of
Climate Change.
7
TPES: Total Primary Energy Supply
36
Indeed, according to information gathered on interviews with key actors from the Secretary of
Energy the energy policies and plans are framed in a group of principles, directly related to
Climate Change and Sustainable development. In particular:
- Universalization of modern energy with equity and social inclusion.
- Promotion of Socioeconomic Sustainable Development
- Preservation of the environment
- Promotion of the efficient use of energy
Nevertheless, and despite the existence of different energy policies, still remains the
formulation of a strategic national energy plan8, including the economic prospective of the
country, its energy requirements and an evaluation of the best supply alternatives. This plan
should also come from the coordination of all the policies and institutions (mentioned above)
which should work under a consolidated vision of the country.
As follows, this document points out the most important policies and programs implemented
(or to be implemented) by the national energy authority in the last years directly related to the
leading identified objectives of the sector: Energy Self-sufficiency, changes in the energy matrix
structure, energy efficiency, and stimulation of economic development. Their link with climate
change will be mentioned whenever it is relevant.
Therefore, with the aim of increasing the reserves and production of hydrocarbons, the local
government sanctioned in 2012 the Law 26.7419on the sovereignty of the hydrocarbons
resources. The relevance of this regulation for the Argentinean energy sector is twofold. On the
one hand, the regulation states clearly “of public and national interest the hydrocarbons self-
sufficiency, as well as its exploration, exploitation and transport”. On the other hand, the 7th
article of the law states the re-nationalization of the previously privatized national oil company
Yacimientos Petroliferos Fiscales (YPF S.A.), which in 2011 had 34% of the national oil production
8
As it was mentioned, even though the Secretary of Energy is currently working on the formulation of an energy plan it is not
public available yet.
9
Published in the Official Bulletin 07/05/2012.
37
and 30% of natural gas production10. It also establishes the National Government as a driver of
the process.
Among the main objectives targeted in the law, are: the promotion of employment; the
incorporation of reserves (in order to maintain the ratio Reserves / Production); the promotion
of public-private partnerships for exploration and production; the promotion of industrialization
and marketing of high value-added Hydrocarbons; and particularly the protection of consumer
interests.
The promotion of new renewable sources in power generation may be one of the most clear
energy policy objectives related to Climate Change as can be inferred from regulations and
programs. The first specific regulation was the Law for Wind and Solar Energy Nº 25,019 in 1998,
which was modified in 2007 by the Law Nº 26,190 National Regimen for the Promotion of
Renewable Sources for the Production of Electricity that sets a mandatory target of 8% of total
electricity generated coming from renewable energies in ten years and establishes some
economic instruments and price incentive to reach this objective.
Nevertheless, economic incentives provided by this regulation did not work well enough and in
2010 the Secretary of Energy launched a new program which aimed at fostering electricity
generation from renewable sources the “Renewable Energy Generation Program (GENREN)”.
This has been the most important policy for promoting renewable energies. The program is
based on a specific auction implemented by ENARSA for 1,000 MW from wind, biomass
geothermal and small hydro plants (Recalde and Guzowski, 2012).
10
Dirección de Información y Análisis Regional – Dirección de Información y Análisis Sectorial. 2011. Complejo Petróleo y Gas.
Serie “Producción Regional por Complejos Productivos”
11
A complete revision on current availability and barriers for Renewable Energies in Argentina was performed in 2009 by Reeep,
the Secretary of Energy and Fundación Bariloche, and its available at:
http://www.energia.gov.ar/contenidos/verpagina.php?idpagina=3477
38
Additionally, there are different regulations to encourage electricity investments enacted in a
context of shortness of energy supply in the electricity sector12 that have also shaped a special
framework for renewable investments.
The Resolution 220/2007, allows to sign up supply contracts between the Electricity Wholesale
Electricity Market (MEM) and both auto and co generators. The Resolution 280/2008 allows
municipalities and provincial suppliers to make available to the Dispatch organism hydro energy
and wind energy up to 2000 kW. The Resolution 712/2009 allows supply contracts from
renewable energies. Finally, the Resolution 108/2011 enables to sign up supply contracts from
renewable energies for 15 year between the Wholesale Market and the supplier, with the
characteristic that this resolution allows this kind of contract for both the projects that can
support the power and those that, attending to the renewable characteristics, cannot do so.
Finally, in the framework of an agreement with the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency
Partnership (REEEP), the national Direction for Promotion of the Sub-Secretary of Electricity
Energy in conjunction with Fundación Bariloche, developed a Study on the Prospective and
technological, economical, financial and regulatory barriers of the Energy Resources13. Within
the most interesting results of this study is that one of the most relevant barriers for renewable
energies is the lack of integral vision of the sector (Fundación Bariloche, 2009).
Argentina initially began to promote biodiesel in 2001, with the Decree 1396/2001, which states
a plan for improving the competitiveness of these fuels. Nevertheless, the promotion of biofuels
increased since 2004, when the Secretary of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries launched the
National Biofuels Program (Decision No. 1156/2004). One of its main objectives was to backstop
rural sectors and provide them advisory assistance in setting up biodiesel and bioethanol plants
as an alternative to local soybean and soybean oil production (Flexor et al., 2012).
Since 2006 the new regulation framework for biofuels is the Law 26,093, “Regulation and
Promotion of the Sustainable Production and Use of Biofuels”, which established a mandatory
target of 5% of biodiesel in gas oil and bioethanol in gasoline by 2010 (this percentage has been
12
From 2004 on the Argentinean energy sector has come throughout a supply problem, particularly related to the availability of
natural gas.
13
Available at: http://www.energia.gov.ar/contenidos/verpagina.php?idpagina=3374
39
later increased to 7% and 10%). This regulation combines the use of quota (target) and price
incentives.
Even though energy intensity reduced 26% during the 2004-2010 period (energy intensity in the
industrial sector reduced 16%), the lack of specific indicators, difficult the evaluation of the
results of these measures. In some extent this may be due to the fact that most of these
programs have the characteristic of a stop and go process and the lack of continuity reduces the
effectiveness of the programs.
It is important to highlight that price policies of the last decade, when energy tariff have not
reflected the real supply cost, have had a negative effect and have counterbalanced efficiency
measures. Regarding the relevance of this topic, it will be addressed on the next section.
The disequilibrium between costs and revenues in the electricity sector does not guarantee the
long term sustainability, even though the tariffs and prices of the contracts for the consumers of
electricity and the national government (subsidies14) cover the operational costs. On the one
side, as a result of the underbalance between tariffs and costs the majority of utilities and
power generators regarded highly indebted, which induced them to underinvest in the system.
On the other side, the existence of a decreasing steps tariff scheme stimulated electricity
consumption. Electricity and natural gas demand increased in some periods (2003-2007) more
than 6% annual (in households sector the rate of growth was 8.1%). The growths in supply
requirements were mainly addressed by increasing power thermal generation capacity.
14
The subsidies from the National State include: imports from Brazil, payments to CAMMESA by supply contracts, governmental
contributions for indebtedness with generators, payments for the expansion of power capacity, nuclear purchases and its
expansion, payments to small thermal generators connected to the Transport and distribution networks in the framework of the
Program of Distributed Energy, and Fuel Imports.
40
Therefore, the relevance of fossil fuels in the primary energy mix and the electricity mix
augmented, from 52% in 2003 to 66% in 2012.
The same situation applies to the oil sector, deepening the declination of oil hydrocarbons
reserves, the reduction in oil production and productivity per well, at the time that the
percentage of heavy oils in national production increased and also increased the proportion of
low pressure wells of natural gas (Montamat, 2013).
As a result of this situation energy imports increased, particularly natural gas, liquefied natural
gas (LNG), and oil derivatives (Fuel oil and Gas oil), which in 2013 could represent 10% of energy
consumption (and nearly U$S 12,000 millions) with the consequent negative impact on the
balance of payments. The higher the prices of imports of energy, the higher the subsidy
requirements and the bigger negative impact over the national budget balance. Even though a
recomposition in energy prices is extremely necessary (social tariff included), it seems to be very
complicated, particularly in a context of wage inflation.
In order to reduce the negative impacts of this situation, the Secretary of Energy and the
Ministry of Federal Planning, Public Investment and Services, developed different measures:
energy shutdowns for industries, with a counterbalancing impact of the objective of economic
development; natural gas and oil (and electricity) incremental prices for industries; electricity
and natural gas rational use programmes (PUREE and PURE); re-nationalization of the 51% of
the company YPF and intervention of the company´s administration; and the signing of a
partnership agreement with Chevron in order to invest and produce shale oil and shale gas in
the Vaca Muerta field15.
The Law Nº 26,190 National Regimen for the Promotion of Renewable Sources for Power
Generation establishes a set of policy instruments in order to incentive private investors to
15
For more information see: Di Sbroiavacca (2013)
41
reach quota of 8%. The regimen sets a fixed over-price production payment of U$S 0.003 by
kWh for every RETs, except for solar PV whose fee is U$S 0.18 by kWh. Then the renewable
producers receive the wholesale market price (according to the short-term marginal cost), plus a
fixed fee for the renewable energy generated. Additionally some provinces enacted provincial
laws with additional tariff payments, tax exemptions and subsidies to complement the national
regulation16.
However, the use of the over price scheme in conjunction with the low frozen energy prices has
not been enough to incentive private investment, as usually investors claim for a more certain
context for their investments, which is clear from the evaluations of the renewable energy
investments after the establishment of the law.
The total capacity contracted for the GENREN was around 895 MW17 for wind power, PV, small
hydro and biofuels (Table 3.1). In order to complement the areas that were not awarded, a
second tender was implemented in 2010 for the cases of geothermal (25MW), thermal solar
(25MW), biogas (20MW) and solid waste (120MW), but only 15 MW of biogas were assigned. By
the end of 2010 the authorities launched the GENREN II for 1200 MW (PV; solid waste;
geothermal; biogas) and which received offers from 26 different projects with a total of 1208
MW which were supposed to be awarded by middle 2012. Nevertheless, According to Mattio
(2011) the GENREN II contracts cannot be conferred until the original schedule of the GENREN is
successfully fulfilled.
16
For instance: Cordoba (Law 8810/1999); Buenos Aires (Law 12603 in 2001), Chubut (Law 4389/89 and Decree 235/98), La Pampa
(Law 2380/2007), Mendoza (Law 7822/2007), Misiones (Law 4439/2008), Rio Negro (Law 3930/2004), Santa Cruz (Law
2796/2005), Santa Fe (Law 12503/2005) (reeep/SE/FB, 2009)
17
According to recent information from the Secretary of Energy in August 2013 this value is 910 MW.
42
The final prices of these GENREN projects have been reduced by 20% with respect to the original
values presented by the bidders. Therefore, the final prices by MWh of energy delivered at the
connection point (which will remain fixed during the 15 years contract except for thermal
biofuels plants) are: Wind Power: 121-134 U$S/MWh, Biofuels: 258-297 U$S/MWh, Small
Hydro: 150-180 U$S/MWh; and PV: 547-598 U$S/MWh. These final prices seem to be
significantly higher than in other countries of the region, particularly for the case of wind energy
that in Brazil and Uruguay resulted in 80USD/MWh and 60USD/MWh, respectively.
Capacity Contracted
Source Nº Projects (% MW)
(MW)
PV 6 20 2.23%
By mid-2013 only six of the 32 total projects approved are in operation: two for wind power
(Rawson I and Rawson II), two for PV (Cañada Honda I and II) and two for biomass plants (San
Martin Norte). The main barriers confronted for these projects, particularly in the case of wind
farms, are related to financing due to institutional problems (Perez Wirszke and Zazzini, 2013).
Then even though the projected installed capacity for renewable energies is promising, the
current installed capacity of energy does not represent more than 1.5% of total installed
capacity, which means that in order to achieve the target of Law 26,190, the investments should
increase more than four times along the next three years.
Additionally, in order to increase total electricity capacity the Compañía Administradora del
Mercado Mayorista Eléctrico (CAMMESA) signed several contracts with private generators. For
instance, the National and International Tender 01/2010 for biogas in 2010 enables the
installation of two power plants, the Central San Martín Norte lll-A (5 MW) and the Central San
Miguel Norte lll-C (10MW) which stated on May and October 2012 respectively; the National
and International Tender ENARSA N° EE 02/2010 for the “Provision on Electricity from Solid
Waste” ; the National and International Tender ENARSA N° EE 04/2010 for the “Provision on
Electricity from Thermal Solar”; the Private Concourse on Prices ENARSA Nº 01/2010 for the
”Provision of Electricity from Wind energy”; ”; the Private Concourse on Prices ENARSA Nº
03/2011 for the ”Provision of Electricity from Biomass” (Biomass II); the National Public Tender
ENARSA Nº EE 04/2011 “Environmental center for energy reconstruction (CARE)- First Stage”;
43
National Public Tender ENARSA Nº EE 06/2011 “Amplification and Increase of the transport
capacity of the Transfor Station Puerto Madryn”; National and International Public Tender
ENARSA Nº EE 11/2011 “Electricity Generation from Solid Waste from the Matanza-Riachuelo
basin” (50MW); National and International Public Tender ENARSA Nº EE 01/2012 “Electricity
Generation from Solid Waste from the Matanza-Riachuelo basin” (100MW).18
Within the most important economic and financial incentives of this regulation there is the
advance refunds of value added tax (VAT) and the accelerated depreciation of assets and
infrastructure for income tax purposes (see table 3.2). One important aspect to be mentioned of
this regulation is the fact that none of the incentives provided to biofuel production can be
applied to biofuels exports, as the law is oriented to domestic market. Furthermore, as
mentioned by Flexor et al (2012) the article 13 of the regulation delineates the eligibility
requirements for the promotional benefits, which can be met by industrial ventures located in
the country that produce biofuels for the domestic market as their sole business activity —i.e.,
firms in which the State has a majority interest or agricultural producers (which have to prove
that at least 50% of their assets are located in Argentina). Additionally to the law, there are
quality standards for biofuels, and then companies must have the necessary equipment in their
plants to compliance with those quality standards.
18
Information available at the web page of ENARSA: http://www.enarsa.com.ar/index.php/es/resultados
44
Figure 3.2: Biofuels promotional pricing tools
Source: Flexor et al (2012)
n response to the national and provincial policies and the international demand (such as from
the EU) the Argentine production of biodiesel increased since 2006. Biodiesel exports in 2010
reached 1.4 million tonnes, positioning Argentina as the fourth largest producer in the world,
yielding incomes totaling more than 1,000 million US dollars. The Government levies taxes of
32% on soybean exports but only 20% on biofuel sales, with the consequent positive effect on
the production of biofuels (Nadal et al, 2013). As shown in Figure 3.3, in year 2011 values for
installed capacity, production and export are 2.9 million tonnes, 2.4 million tonnes, and 1.7
million tonnes respectively.
90% 4
80% 4
70%
3
% of installed capacity ___
60%
3
Million Tons / year
50%
2
40%
2
30%
1
20%
10% 1
0% -
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
% use installed capacity Installed capacity (t/year) Production (t/year) Exports (t/year)
45
With regards to bioethanol, in 2011 Argentina produced 1.5% of the mix for the transport
sector, approximately 170 thousands m3, with a supposed 5% for 2020 and a production about
544 thousands m3. In this case, the main input is sugarcane, Corn, Sorghum, and Sugar beet
under study.
The possible impact of the increasing biofuels production over the requirements of raw
materials is of special interest. Most of the Argentinean biodiesel comes from soybean.
Nevertheless, in order to reduce the potential impact over the expansion of the agricultural
frontier, the exploration of alternative raw material becomes crucial. Some of these alternatives
are under study (such as rapeseed, safflower, spurge, and algae). However, this evaluation
requires performing different scenarios about the raw materials to be used and their
productivity on the production of biofuels per unit of area. The analysis must include (besides
the domestic demand of biodiesel for transport, industry and power generation) the
perspectives for biodiesel exports.
Concerning the future of biofuels three crucial aspects must be taken into account: the
commercial development of second generation biofuels; the sustainability of prices of grains, oil
and sugar; and the requirements (and restrictions) imposed by importing countries. For
instance, in May 29 2013 by regalement 490/2013, the UE established an additional
“preventive” tax of 100 euros per ton of biodiesel (nearly 10% of the total value). As stated by
the EU authorities, this tax was implemented with researching purposes, in the framework of a
supposed dumping from Argentina and the existence of a direct or indirect State subsidy19. Due
to the fact that UE is the most important destiny for the biofuel exports (90%), the persistence
of this duty may imply a reduction of 50% of exports (nearly 800 million of U$S) with the
consequent impact over the balance of payments.
Finally, the challenges for the Argentinean biofuels markets seem to be: infrastructure of supply,
production, technologies, and costs (highly dependent on the agricultural sector). Freights have
been very significant on costs, and therefore, most of the capacity installed has been installed
next to ports.
19
The average cost of production of the Argentinean biodiesel is 0.50-0.7 US dollars per litter, while the cost of production I
Germany or France is 0.71-0.88 US dollars per litter and the Spanish cost is 1.28-2.50 US dollars per litter (Perez de Lema, 2013)
46
3.3.1.4 PROBIOMASA
In 2012 the Secretary of Energy launched the PROBIOMASA framework programme20 with the
objective to increase the production of energy from biomass in order to replace fossil fuels in
electricity generation, and therefore reducing nearly 9.5 million of tons of CO2 equivalent in
both the agro and the energy sector. It will also contribute to supply modern energy to at least
30 communities. This programme works on three main directions:
- Line up national and provincial bioenergetics strategies.
- Establish different bioenergetics sustainable projects
- To inform and aware population on the benefits of the use of biomass
In the framework of the PROBIOMASA programme, a group of experts from the Ministry of
Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries and Ministry of Federal Planning, Public Investment and
Services through the Secretary of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries and the Secretary of
Energy, with the technical support of the United Nations Organization for Food and Agriculture
(FAO), are currently developing a project to be presented as a Nationally Appropriate Mitigation
Action (NAMA). The aim of this NAMA is boost production, management and sustainable use of
biomass for energy purposes with the aim to generate a total of 200 electric MW and 200
thermal MW by 2016. Additionally, this NAMA is expected to generate other benefits such as:
annual savings by replacing imported fossil fuels; creation of a significant number of new jobs;
generation of new capabilities focused on renewable energy management; Energy security
improvement in isolated areas (30 communities in total); and reduction of local pollution of soil
and water as well as fire reduction. One important aspect to be remarked is that within the
prospective of the working group on the global PROBIOMASA framework there are projection to
increase the installed capacity to 2650 MW (50% thermal and 50% electric) by 2030 as a result
of the multiplicative effect of the initial investments and projects.
In august 2006 the government launched the “Plan for the reactivation of Nuclear activity in
Argentina”, including: the finalization of Atucha II (745 MW), extension of the life of the nuclear
power plant Central Nuclear Embalse (CNE), and the feasibility studies for a fourth and fifth
power plants in 2010 and 2025.
20
For more information please visit: http://www.probiomasa.gob.ar/
47
In 2009, the Resolution 762 of the Secretariat launched the National Plan on Hydroelectric
Projects, with the purpose of encouraging hydro plants. In the framework of this plan there have
been studies and projects for more than 10.000 MW.
According to the Secretary of Energy the power capacity is projected to increase in 8,400MW to
2020: 2700 MW of nuclear capacity and 4700 MW of hydropower. This includes the reactivation
of two hydro projects in the province of Santa Cruz for 1740 MW: the hydropower Nestor
Kirchner (ex- Condor Cliff) and the hydropower Jorge Cepernic (ex- la Barrascosa).
The Annex I of the decree, clearly states the different policies to be implemented in each one of
the sectors: industries, households, public buildings, cogeneration, energy labeling, regulation of
energy efficiency through energy tariffs, transport, etc. It also mentions the relevance of the use
of the Clean Development Mechanisms to finance the energy efficiency projects, and
encourages public institutions to capacitate and advertise about its use.
48
Replacement of incandescent lamps
Within the project of replacing lamps at household’s level, the Secretary of Energy established a
schedule with the replacement and saving targets. Additionally, in order to reinforce this policy,
in 2009 the Law 26.473 (Decree 2060/2010) prohibited imports and commerce of incandescent
lamps for households users form January 2011. The potential results on energy savings are
shown in Figure 3.5.
Program on the Rational and Efficient Use of Energy in Public Buildings (PROUREE)
This program was initially known as Program for saving and Energy Efficiency in Public Buildings
(PAyEEEP), and was created by the National Promotion Direction of the Secretary of Energy
(DNPRM) aims at develop: methodologies for the study of energy efficiency, specific regulations
and specific technologies for each region of the country considering their particular climatic
characteristics, for the public buildings.
The Annex II of the Decree 140/2007 states a group of short, medium and long term measures
to be implemented by public building such as the regulating the temperature of refrigeration
appliances no lower than 24ºC, replacing incandescent lamps with CFLs, turning of lighting at 00
AM, ending all administrative activities at 18 PM, among others.
49
Energy Labeling – Program on energy appliances quality (PROCAE)
This program was initiated in 2004 with the aim of reducing the electricity consumption
throughout the use of more efficient appliances. The program, propelled by the DNPROM of the
Secretary of Energy, consists on a mandatory Energy Efficiency Labeling for electrical appliances
complying quality conditions established by the Energy Efficiency Sub-Committee of the
Argentinean Normalization Institute (IRAM).
The legal framework settled to support this program is given by three different norms:
Disposition 761/2010 (Labeling for washing machines); resolutions 1542/2010 and 198/2011
from the Secretary of Energy established the minimum of energy efficiency in Air Conditioners
and households freezers.
According to the last information from the Secretary of Energy, in 2012 thirteen labeling rules
were emitted, but only five of them are mandatory (Domestic refrigeration appliances,
Incandescent lamps for general lighting, fluorescent lamps for general lighting, Air Conditioners,
and Washing machines), while two labeling rules for natural gas appliances are currently under
study (Gas appliances instantaneous production of hot water for home use, and Energy
efficiency labeling in appliances to gas)21.
Figure 3.6: Total energy estimated savings from Energy Labeling and Replacement and
prohibition of incandescent lamps
Source: Secretary of Energy
21
The other emitted labeling rules for electricity appliances are: Energy label for buildings heating, Fluorescent lamps, and
Measuring energy consumption in standby mode (stand by), Energy efficiency labeling for centrifugal pumps, Energy efficiency
labeling for electrical water heaters, and Energy efficiency labeling in television receivers on mode.
50
biological laboratories; from four provinces (Buenos Aires, Catamarca, Entre Rios and Santa Fe)
and the Autonomous City of Buenos Aires. In the second stage it is projected to extend it to 300
industries (incorporating 60 in 2013; 75 in 2014; 90 in 2015 and 90 in 2016).
The strategy includes the investment in new and more efficient technologies, replacing, for
instance, thermal heating plants by solar thermal. The initiative is implemented by funds from
the World Bank.
According to information from the Secretary of Energy, the results have been successful, as the
planned 4% of increase in energy efficiency for 2016 has reached in 2012, and it is projected to
increase to 10% in 2030 (in relation to energy consumption in 2007).
22
For more details of the AGN report see: http://www.agn.gov.ar/informes/fichas/f_94_11_02_08.pdf
51
3.4 Review of the national strategy on climate change
The Argentinean CDM office develops in the context of Climate Change Direction. This office
evaluates the contribution to Sustainable Development of the CDM projects to be implemented
(see 5.1.4). It is formed by an Executive Committee, a permanent Secretary and an Adviser
Committee. The Executive Committee is chaired by the Secretary of Environment and
Sustainable Development and integrated by other governmental institutions related to CDM
projects.
The Argentinean Carbon Fund, was created by the Decree N 1070/2005 in the SAyDS with the
aim of promote, facilitate and incentivize CDM projects, and to promote investment in new
technologies, with the purpose of maximizing Argentinean projects in international carbon
markets and to promote financial instruments to finance CDM projects.
52
Figure 4.1: Institutional organization of the Argentinean Climate Change Institutions
Source: Secretary of Environment and Development
53
The "National Strategy on Climate Change: Structure, Background, Overall Goals and Means"
was adopted by the members of the Committee in October 2010 and ratified by the hierarchical
authority, on 28th November 2010.
Additionally, the strategy mentions some of the barriers that should be overcome in order to
achieve the overall objectives:
- Institutional strengthening
- Financial Resource generation
- Dissemination and Capacity building
- Regulatory framework
54
3.4.3 Existing Studies at government level to identify mitigation and adaptation
options
Argentina performed two National Communications on Climate Change, (1997 and 2007) and is
currently at the initial stage of the selection of the consultants to develop the third one. There is
an additional document from the Secretary of Environment and Sustainable Development,
Climate Change in Argentina, which resumes the recent evolution of GHG, the vulnerable areas
and the proposed mitigation and adaptation policies.
According to the 2nd National Communication on Climate Change and the document Climate
Change in Argentina, the most vulnerable areas of the country are:
- Coastal zones
- The Pampeana region (vulnerability of agricultural production)
- Hydro resources in the region Litoral-Mesopotamia
- The regions of Patagonia and Cuyo
The most probable impacts of Climate Change to 2040 in these regions, are: reductions of flows
of the rivers of the Plata Basin; increase water stress throughout northern and western region of
the country; reductions in precipitation in the Andes and probably water stress in Mendoza, San
Juan and reduced hydroelectric generation in the Comahue; higher frequency of heavy
precipitations and flooding; retreat of glaciers; loss of shore in coastline, particularly from the
Rio de la Plata.
Regarding the core mitigation policies, some of them are related to the promotion of biofuels
(Law Nº 26,093); the protection of native forests (Law N° 26,331); and the promotion of the
forestations to reduce GHG emissions and CO2 capture (Law N° 25,080), among others.
23
http://www.ambiente.gov.ar/?idarticulo=1766
24
http://cdm.unfccc.int/Projects/MapApp/index.html
55
Figure 4.2: Expected evolution of the reduction on emissions in CDM projects approved by
February 2009
Source: Climate Change Division (2010)
3.4.4.3 Mitigation options mentioned in the “Climate Change Actions Towards 2020 in
the Context of Sustainable Development” presented at COP in Cancún 201026
During a Side Event of the XVI Conference of the Parties developed in Cancún in 2010, the
Governmental Committee on Climate Change presented a group of mitigation actions to be
implemented in the framework of Climate Change.
25
See: www.inti.gob.ar/campus_virtual/educacion_ambiental.htm
26
For more information on the announced measures at the COP, please see:
http://www.ambiente.gov.ar/default.asp?IdArticulo=9753
27
The list of projects presented by the committee includes:
56
Argentina´s National Strategy for the Integral Management for the Municipal Solid Waste
(ENGIRSU)
This is a joint program of the Secretary of Environment and Sustainable Development and
provincial and municipal governments, mentioned in the COP 2010. Some of the highlighted
aspects of this project are:
- Provide financial and technical support to provincial and municipal governments to
elaborate and implement urban solid waste management (SWM) plans.
- SWM plans prioritize the eradication of open dumps and the design and construction of
sanitary landfills in a regionalized fashion involving two or more cities or towns.
- Capture and use of landfill gas in a second phase of implementation.
- Waste recycling plants are also integrated in the SWM plans as well as domiciliary recycling
programs.
The projected impacts of the programme include the reductions of 2.81 Million of Tons
CO2eq/year by 2020, improvements in public health in the communities currently affected by
open dumps, local environmental benefits in relation to the odor control, underground water
quality and positive economic impacts for the use of landfill gas for energy purposes.
Some of the actions to be implemented include the innovation and improvement in the
efficiency of the system of cargo transportation; improvement in the interconnection and
efficiency of public transport; upgrading of existing and development of new rail system;
promotion of non-motorized transport.
Transport: Argentina’s national strategy for sustainable transport; Railway - Belgrano cargas project. Improvement of railway
infrastructure in cargo sector; Railway - bioceanic corridor “Aconcagua”. Improvement of railway infrastructure in cargo sector;
Railway- Belgrano North railway. Infrastructure recovery and electrification; Railway - Belgrano South railway. Infrastructure
recovery and electrification; Hybrid bus project in Buenos Aires city
Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency: “Punta negra” hydroelectric plant and dm. San juan province; electricity generation from
renewable resources (GENREN); wind power at Buenos Aires province; photovoltaic solar energy generation pilot plant. San juan
province; project for the promotion of biomass energy production (PROBIOMASA); project propellets plan replacing pilots of water
heating equipment and gas heaters for new electronic devices; efficient boilers project best practices in the operation of steam
generators and hot water; combined heat and power (CHP) generation in the industry sector at Buenos Aires province; project solar
thermal energy in social housing; national program to reduce GHG emissions from building in residential, commercial, and public
sectors; energy efficiency in publics’ buildings at Buenos Aires Province
Waste: Argentina’s national strategy for the integral management of municipal solid waste; integral management of municipal solid
waste program
Other programs: Strengthening of the meteorological observation system in Argentina; Reforestation of degraded lands in the area
of Pulmarí Neuquén Province; aforestation in Buenos Aires Province; dairy sector in Buenos Aires Province Argentina; swine sector in
Buenos Aires Province; poultry sector in Buenos Aires Province Argentina.
57
The projects included in this programme are:
- GEF Project for Urban Transportation in the cities of Mendoza, Posadas, Rosario, Tucumán.
- Improvement in the rail system: Upgrading of the railroad Belgrano Cargas.
- Restoration of passenger rail services.
- Construction of the bi-oceanic corridor.
- General Sarmiento Underground Railroad.
- Improvement of port terminals.
- Public transport integration in the metropolitan area of Buenos Aires
3.4.7 Review of strategies and policies for access to modern energy sources
(main aspects, defining priorities, measures and actions, progress and planned).
3.4.7.1 General Issues
Argentina is one of the nations in the world with the highest participation of natural gas in its
energy matrix. A high proportion of the population have access to natural gas, of a total of
12,171,675 homes 6,834,327 have access to natural gas (52%) (Census 2010).The rate of
electrification is over 98%, with 100% in urban areas and more than 70%in rural ones. The
nearly 30% without access to electricity is in very isolated areas.
A cross-subsidy policy has been implemented in an attempt to make the energy system feasible
while avoiding negative macroeconomic effects. However the complexity of the Argentine
energy context in the wake of privatizations, deregulation and subsequent regulation changes,
has had the result of privileging household users connected to the grid above all other user
categories.
Fragmentary policies like prepayment meters or “social” gas cylinders have been partially
successful since they provide solutions to energy access to an important share of urban poor.
58
However a more integrated perspective is needed to have a more broader and extended
impacts and results.
The implementation of social programs, like subsidies for un-employment or other social
activities, combined with increases in income from growth in informal activities (in turn a result
of a favourable macroeconomic environment) has improved satisfaction in energy services.
Nevertheless, the improvement of income enabling the acquisition of new electricity appliances
needs to be accompanied by an increase in the electricity supply infrastructure, to avoid
shortages of power and a decrease in the quality of the service.
Common meters were installed in slums, identifying the number of users consuming from each
measuring point and establishing a limit in the supplied power for each point according to the
number of connected households. The utilities must ensure supply continuity up to the point of
collective supply. Downstream of such point, the electricity companies do not take any
responsibility regarding grids, installation security nor service quality, thus leaving any desired
extension in the hands of the local authorities and slum inhabitants.
The tariffs to be applied to the users within this regime do not have any explicit subsidy nor is
there any social tariff for electricity in the area. Despite the context of a generalized price
increase, tariffs in the GBA area have experienced very few adjustments since the year 2002,
which implied a generalized subsidy on electricity tariffs for all household users regardless of
their income levels.
A special fund was created as a joint action of the National Government, the Buenos Aires
Province and the local town councils, to cover the deficit of user payments.
28
The First Framework Agreement, at national level, was developed during the nineties, after the privatization of the power
system, with the same objectives.
59
Price of LPG
In Argentina natural gas is widely used in all sectors and, in particular, in the household sector.
The price paid for natural gas/kilocalorie is 80% lower than the price paid for the LPG kilocalorie,
which is the main alternative fuel for households. LPG is used in cities that are away from gas
pipelines, in rural homes and in most low-income households, which, though located in urban
and periurban areas with access to natural gas, have no distribution grids inside the
neighbourhoods or slums.
In 2003, the National Government signed an agreement, with companies in charge of LPG
fractioning and distribution providing price stability for 10kg gas cylinders in order to maintain a
differential, more economic price. In 2004, Buenos Aires City Government creates the Social Gas
Cylinder Plan with the aim of subsidizing the price of 10kg LPG gas cylinders for low-income
households with no access to natural gas grids. Beneficiaries were those households with social
plans and incomes below the poverty line.
By the end of 2008 the National Program on Household Consumption of Bottled Liquefied
Petroleum Gas [“Programa Nacional de Consumo Residencial de Gas Licuado de Petróleo
Envasado”] is created, with the main purpose of amending gas price asymmetries between
households with access to the natural gas grid and those without it. It establishes a maximum
price for 10, 12 and 15 kg cylinders of $16 (USD4.00), $20 (USD5.00) and $25 (USD6.25)
respectively, applicable in the entire country. But even with these subsidized prices LPG is still 3
times more expensive than the natural gas equivalent.
A fiduciary fund has been created with money from the National Government and natural gas
production companies in order to meet subsidies of the LPG price29. This Program, in principle, is
addressed to slum dwellers.
PERMER aims at supplying 1.4 million inhabitants (300,000 domestic users) and approximately
6,000 public services units, including health services, schools, police stations and drinking water
services. The low population density and distance to the electric grid mean that traditional grid
extension would be prohibitively expensive to the area where the program is located.
29
Article 45 of the Law 26020 (2005) and amendment, law 26314 (2007)
60
The program is socially motivated and aims at improving quality of life for isolated rural
communities and creates enabling conditions for the development of productive activities that
could increase family income.
The program aims are:
- Providing basic electricity services to cover the social lighting and communication needs of
the distributed rural population.
- Attaining significant coverage of the potential market in the short term
- Creating job opportunities in the private sector
- Attaining an electricity supply system that includes sustainable renewable resources.
- Ensuring that the private company covers all the services, attaining good economic
performance at a minimum subsidy cost and a good quality service for the population
serviced
The options identified for the provision of residential electricity services and for the possibility of
developing small productive undertakings in small communities. The installation of PV systems
in rural schools that currently lack electricity contributes to the improvement of education
through the provision of a basic lighting and communication service, approximately 1,800
schools were in this situation in different provinces. The Project was implemented in eleven
provinces.
The program distinguishes clearly between the concentrated electricity market and the
distributed electricity market.
61
Pilot experiences
The objective of these experiences is, if successful, to become programs of wider scope as part
of an energy policy for the poor.
With regards to electricity supply, the distribution company EDENOR implemented the
Prepayment Meter Project in the areas of Escobar and Merlo during years 2002 and 2003
respectively. Each user purchases a certain amount of kWh that he wishes to consume and can
pay for. He can fraction the purchase in small amounts too, so that the payment scheme is
affordable to him. Once this quantity has been consumed, he recharges.
The tariff applied in this system is not subsidized. The fixed charge is prorated in the first 150
kWh consumed per month and the variable charge per kWh that is bought is the same as the
one for the common Household tariff.
Around 5,000 prepayment meters were installed (this is 1% of slum households in GBA), with
wide acceptance among the system users (96%). Electricity consumption was reduced by 35% in
relation to users under the same socioeconomic conditions, partly due to a more rational use of
energy and partly due to unsatisfied needs.
In relation to natural gas supply, a pilot experience was carried out in the neighbourhood
Cuartel V in Moreno, initiating in September 2003. The project was the result of joint actions by
Natural Gas distribution company BAN (now “Gas Natural Fenosa”), community organizations
and neighbours. Around 4,300 families were connected to the natural gas grid.
In order to finance the works, funds were supplied by the distribution company itself, as well as
by the Buenos Aires Province administration, the World Bank, IDB-FOMIN and Supervielle Bank
to connect 7.000 families to the natural gas grid. A fiduciary fund was created with money from
the neighbourhood dwellers that would be the project beneficiaries. Among the factors leading
to the project’s success, the participation of the neighbours and of two community
organizations (locally well-known) should be highlighted.
This project entailed other additional benefits, such as the workshops on health, nutrition and
natural gas usage. In order to execute the household installations, the neighbours themselves
were trained and certified as registered installers, which not only reduced costs but also
equipped them with an important work field.
62
3.5 References
Di Sbroiavacca, N. 2013. Shale Oil y Shale Gas en Argentina. Estado de situación y prospectiva.
Serie Documentos de Trabajo Agosto 2013. Departamento de Economía Energética,
Fundación Bariloche. Available at:
http://www.fundacionbariloche.org.ar/novedades/data/files/Shale%20oil%20y%20shale%
20gas.pdf
FB/ CEMSA. 2008. Argentina: Diagnóstico, Prospectivas y lineamientos para definir Estrategias
posibles ante el Cambio Climático.
Flexor, G., Martins Kato, K., Recalde, M. 2012. “The biodiesel market and public policy: a
comparative analysis of Argentina and Brazil”. CEPAL Review 108 pp. 69-86.
FVSA. 2006. Escenarios energéticos para la Argentina (2006-2020) con políticas de eficiencia.
Reducir emisiones ahorrando energía 1º ed. Buenos Aires.
Mattio, H. F. (2011) Argentina Eólica: Presente, futuro y estrategias a seguir. WindAr 2011
Montamat, D. G. 2013. Principales Desafíos del Futuro Energético Argentino. CARI. Buenos Aires
19-03-13.
Moreno, D. 2013. Eficiencia energética y políticas públicas. Escenarios de uso racional y eficiente
de la energía. ELUREE-Encuentro Latinoamericano de Uso Racional y Eficiente de la
Energía. Buenos Aires, 25-27 de Septiembre de 2013.
63
Perez de Lema, M. 2013. Argentina comienza a desarrollar el sector de las renovables.
Energética XXI 133, 65-66.
Perez Wirszke, M.; Zazzini, M. 2013. El presente de la eólica en Argentina. Energética XXI 133,
68-69.
64
4. Policy Review: Brazil
Roberto Schaeffer, André Lucena, Alexandre Szklo, Mauro Chávez and Rafael Soria (Energy
Planning Program (PPE), Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro. Engineering Posgraduate
Program (COPPE). Rio de Janeiro – Brazil)
The National Council for Energy Policy (CNPE) is an entity for advising to the President of the
Republic. It aims at formulating energy policies and guidelines for energy sector including:
1) Promoting the rational use of energy resources by:
2) Ensuring the supply of modern energy carriers for all the inhabitants, including regions
characterized by difficult access. To achieve this purpose the CNPE suggests the implementation
of subsidies, programs and policies among other sort of actions.
3) Analysing the energy matrix of each State in order to innovate energy conversion
technologies;
4) Establishing guidelines for imports and exports, in order to cover the specific requirements
of oil products and natural gas, as well as taking care of an appropriate operation of the
National System of Fuels Storage and the fulfilment of the Yearly Plan of Strategic Storage of
Fuels (1991).
The Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) performs energy policy formulation and represents
the interest of the Country related to the energy sector. The fields of action of MME are: a)
Geology, mineral and energy resources; b) Use of hydraulic energy; c) Mining and metallurgy;
and, d) Oil, fuels and electricity, including nuclear energy. Other important tasks of MME are
65
related to energizing rural areas and developing agro-energy (MME, 2013a). In order to achieve
its mission, the MME is supported by specific studies and advice from the Energy Research
Company (Empresa de Pesquisa Energética - EPE).
Minister´s Cavinet
Executive
Secretariat
Economic Advisory
Secretariat of Oil, Natural Gas Secretariat of Electric Energy Secretariat of Planning and Secretariat of Geology, Mining
and Renewable Fuels Energetic Development and Mineral Processing
Symbology:
High Level forEnergy Policy Making
Linked entities
66
This new institutional framework of the electric power sector should ensure:
a) Security on the electricity supply, in order to enable economic development of the country.
b) Low tariffs, with the objective of fostering the competitiveness of the economy and the social
inclusion of the whole population by improving the access to this public service.
c) Stability of the regulatory framework, aiming at attracting investments for the electric sector
expansion.
The Figure 19 shows the institutional framework of the Brazilian electric power sector.
Institutions at the top of the figure (Casa Civil, Congress and CNPE) are associated with the
energy policy making. The regulatory functions are exerted mainly by the National Agency for
Electric Energy (ANEEL). Important entities coordinating and regulating the different market
players are the National Operator of the Electric System (ONS) and the Trading Camera of
Electricity Energy (CCEE). Other important players are the Brazilian Electricity Utilities
(ELETROBRAS), the National Development Bank (BNDES), the Monitoring Committee for the
Electric Power Sector (CMSE) and the Steering Committee for Electricity Efficiency Indicator
(CGIEE) (MME, 2013a).
State Office/
Congress National Councyl for Energy
President
Policy (CNPE)
Monitoring Committee for Company for Energy National Bank for Brazilian Electricity Utilities Steering Committee for Electris
Electric Sector (CMSE) Research (EPE) Development (BNDES) (ELETROBRAS) Efficiency Indicators (CGIEE)
Regarding the planning of other energy sectors (oil, natural gas, coal, biofuels, etc.) specific
studies used to be developed by interested companies. For example, in the oil sector, planning
usually followed Petrobras’ point of view. Yet, this has changed and, since 2005, EPE participates
actively on the oil and natural gas planning (EPE-MME, 2013).
67
The energy planning, through EPE, aims at: a) performing studies and projections of the
Brazilian Energy Matrix; b) deploying and maintaining the National System of Energy
Information; c) preparing and publishing the National Energy Balance (BEN); d) identifying and
quantifying the potential of energy resources; e) studying the real possibility for using hydraulic
resources; f) promoting actions to get environmental licences related to hydro power units or
electricity transmission projects; g) developing the Expansion Plan30 for generation and
transmission of electricity, oil, natural gas and other fuels in the short, medium and long term;
h) fostering market studies aiming at defining scenarios of supply and demand of oil and its
products; i) elaborating the Master Plan for the development of oil and gas industry in Brazil; j)
developing specific studies for increasing the use of renewable fuels; and k) generating
academic production in order to subsidise plans and programs for sustainable development
(EPE, 2013).
The Ten-Year Energy Expansion Plan (“Plano Decenal de Energia” - PDE) is a key reference for
energy planning by agents in Brazil’s energy sector, which incorporates an integrated vision of
demand and supply expansion including different energy sources. It is published yearly since
2011 and the last one (PDE 2021) encompasses the 2012-2021 period, was launched in 2012
and was approved by the Minister of Energy in March 25, 2013 (MME, 2013b). It synthesizes the
results of investments already in implementation and sets a framework for new investments
thereafter. In particular, it provides a context for defining the auctions for the grid’s new
capacity of supply (POOLE, 2011). PDE is a bridge between nearer-term operational planning
and longer term plans, such as the National Energy Plan 2030 (“Plano Nacional de Energia
2030” – PNE 2030), published in 2007 (EPE - MME, 2007; EPE-MME, 2013).
30
Since 2007 the Expansion Plan considers not only generation and transmission of electricity but also a wider vision
about the increase on the demand and supply for other fuels; The PDE 2021 considers electricity, oil, natural gas,
oil products, biofuels, nuclear (operation start of Angra III) and energy efficiency measures.
68
demonstrated its competitiveness in renewable-exclusive rounds (2010 and 2011). Nowadays,
wind competes in ordinary rounds —opened to any source.
In 1998 the Brazilian Government implemented the Law 9,648 that allowed the use of the Fuel
Consumption Account31 (CCC) for alternative energy sources in isolated systems (DUTRA,
2007). This was a financial incentive program which consisted in creating a cross-subsidy for
renewable energy power projects at isolated systems. In 2001 the Emergency Program of Wind
Power- PROEÓLICA was implemented aiming at providing special conditions for contracting
wind power projects (DUTRA, 2007).
Nevertheless, according to SCHAEFFER et al., (2012) the incentive for alternative sources
provided by the above mentioned programs had not got the success of both PROINFA and
renewable energy auctions.
The Program for Alternative Energy Sources - PROINFA, coordinated by the Ministry of Mines
and Energy, was launched in 2002. It had the objective of increasing the share of electric energy
produced from wind energy, solar energy, small hydroelectric plants (PCHs)32 and biomass in the
Interconnected National System (SIN). PROINFA was supposed to be executed according to two
stages. The first stage had to add 3,300 MW of installed capacity to the SIN equally distributed
between wind power, biomass and PCHs, through long term contracts (20 years) (SCHAEFFER et
al., 2012). The objective of the second stage of PROINFA was to achieve until 2026 a 10% share
of the total national electricity production with renewable energy sources. However, PROINFA’s
second stage was never regulated (SCHAEFFER et al., 2012). The Table 6 shows a detail of
installed capacity under PROINFA´s first stage.
31
The Fuel Consumption Account (CCC) was created in 1973. It is a charge of the Brazilian electric sector, levied in
the “distribution tariffs” and the “usage fees” of electrical distribution and transmission systems (called TUSD and
TUST respectively). This is paid by all utility companies for distribution and transmission of electricity to cover
thermoelectric electricity generation yearly costs, mainly in the Northern region, in areas not interconnected to
the National Interconnected System (SIN) called isolated systems (DUTRA, 2007).
From 1973, the CCC was initially implemented in Southern, South-eastern and Midwestern regions, later; the CCC
was also extended to the interconnected system of the Northern and North-eastern regions, aiming to ensure the
fuels supply for power generation plants that delivered electricity to distribution systems. In 1991 the CCC was
applied, at national level, among all distribution companies that, in turn, passed that charge to all consumers by
CCC Isolated Systems.
32
PCHs is an abbreviation for small hydro power plants. In Brazil a hydro power plant of nominal capacity between 1
2
MW and until 30 MW and upstream flooded area until 3 km is considered a PCH (ANEEL, 2003).
69
Table 6. Installed capacity contracted by PROINFA (1st stage).
Actually, in the case of Brazil, since 2003 the main policy for promoting renewable electricity
generation options, especially wind, biomass and small scale hydro, is based on specific
auctions (ANEEL, 2011b; MALAGUETA et al., 2013; NOGUEIRA, 2011). In this case, the electricity
distribution companies of the National Interconnected System must contract new power
capacity in order to supply their market through auctions (CCEE, 2011; MME, 2007). Under
Regulated Contracting Environment (ACR) the auctions could be “A minus 5”,” A minus 3” and
“A minus 1” when electricity supply is contracted with 5, 3 and 1 year in advance respectively to
the start of operation of the power plant facility . Under ACR there is also the adjustment
auction, which aims at complementing the amount of energy that a Distributor Company would
need to match its consumers’ demand, until 1% of the total market of each Distributor (MME,
2013c). There are also three especial auctions: a) Structuring project auction, used for strategic
electric power projects of public interest; b) alternative energy sources auctions (LFA), aimed at
diversifying electric power matrix; c) reserve energy auctions (LER), aimed at increasing energy
security related to electricity supply to SIN with power units specially contracted for achieving
this purpose (MME, 2013c). Error! Reference source not found. shows the energy sources share
volution in terms of average power contracted in auctions under ACR.
70
Figure 20. Energy sources share evolution contracted in auctions under Regulated Contracting
Environment (ACR) in the period 2005 – 2011.
Source: REGO, (2012), traduced from Portuguese.
The power contracting model based on auctions led to the success of wind power deployment
at a large scale in Brazil (CHADE RICOSTI; SAUER, 2013; MORENO et al., 2010; NOGUEIRA, 2011;
REGO; PARENTE, 2013). Figure 21 shows the power, from different energy sources, registered33
to compete between them in the auctions34 until 2011, besides the public call of PROINFA. This
figure shows how small hydropower plants (PCHs) have lost competitiveness against wind
power in the last years. Table 7 shows the contracted capacity and prices of wind power
auctions. “The prices at these auctions show that wind energy is claiming its place without
subsidies, particularly in North-eastern and Southern Brazil” (CHADE RICOSTI; SAUER, 2013).
33
“Registered power” includes all the inscribed licensed projects to compete in auctions. It is not still contracted
power.
34
Reserve energy auction in 2008 was only for biomass and reserve energy auction in 2009 was only for wind
power.
71
Figure 21. Share of wind power, small hydropower plants (PCH) and biomass in the specific
auctions contracted under Regulated Contracting Environment (ACR).
Source: REGO, (2012), traduced from Portuguese.
Therefore, Brazil does not adopt the feed-in tariff as a major policy to foster renewable energy,
as oppose to happen in the United States and Spain. Instead, Brazil adopts an auction-based
incentive policy (MALAGUETA et al., 2013).
The Brazilian government has been promoting the use of renewable energy by means of a series
of laws and official programs. The PROALCOOL Program created in 1975 aimed at producing
ethanol from sugarcane, manioc or any other input to be used as automotive fuel. In this sense,
the Law Nº10,464 of 2002 established a minimum share between 20% and 25% of anhydrous
ethanol in gasoline. After thirty years the Program is now experiencing a new expansion so that
it can supply this fuel at large scale.
After the second world oil price shock, the government of Brazil launched a petroleum fuel
conservation programme known as CONSERVE. The programme promoted more efficient fuel
use and fuel substitution in industries through a range of mechanisms including sectoral
protocols, industrial audits, low-interest loans, technological demonstration and promotion, and
education and training (SZKLO and GELLER, 2006). According to SZKLO and GELLER (2006), “This
programme was relatively successful, in part owing to the high fuel prices that were prevalent
during the early 1980s. By 1985, the industrial sector as a whole cut its use of fuel oil to 59% of
the level in 1979. The reduction in fuel oil use was especially large in the cement, steel, and pulp
and paper industries, the three sectors that entered into protocols with the government”. “The
national development bank (BNDES) financed 80 projects for CONSERVE, but most of the
projects were aimed at fuel substitution rather than fuel conservation or efficiency
improvement” OLIVEIRA, (1998) apud SZKLO and GELLER (2006). The same authors mentioned
that “The CONSERVE programme was not a complete success, however. Most of the funds
dedicated to the programme were not utilized, and the impact on small and medium-sized
industries was relatively limited. In addition, the programme did not develop very systematic
monitoring and evaluation procedures” SZKLO and GELLER (2006).
In 1991, the National Program for the Rational Use of Petroleum and Natural Gas – CONPET
was initiated to promote more efficient and rational use of petroleum products and natural
gas. CONPET is housed in Petrobras and has actively promoted energy conservation within the
diverse operations of the national petroleum company. “Cumulative energy savings within
Petrobras from 1992 to 2000 include 230 GWh of electricity, 610 million m 3 of natural gas and
over 700 million m3 of oil products” ELETROBRAS, (2002) apud SZKLO and GELLER (2006).
According to SZKLO and GELLER (2006) “CONPET programme has had limited success in
73
stimulating efficiency improvements and conservation outside of Petrobras” SZKLO and GELLER
(2006).
One initiative, known as Siga Bem, is aimed at improving the fuel efficiency of heavy trucks
through simple diagnostic tests and education of truck drivers at over 100 service stations along
major highways. “It is estimated that fuel savings were on the order of 12–15% per vehicle
attended, with 120 000 trucks serviced by the programme per year as of 2001” ELETROBRAS,
(2002) apud SZKLO and GELLER (2006). Another initiative, known as Economizar, features similar
services through a mobile testing facility that visits truck and bus depots. “There were 41
mobile facilities operating throughout Brazil as of 2001, resulting in approximately 114 million
litres of fuel savings that year” ELETROBRAS, (2002) apud SZKLO and GELLER (2006).
Regarding the residential and commercial sectors, CONPET helped initiate an efficiency testing
and labelling programme for residential stoves that consume liquefied propane gas (LPG). “This
initiative prompted appliance manufacturers to improve the efficiency of their products, with
estimated fuel savings of 13% on average between the 1999 and 2001 stove models”
ELETROBRAS, (2002) apud SZKLO and GELLER (2006). If a new national energy efficiency agency
is established (see Section 9.4.1), it could take over and expand on the efforts of the CONPET
programme.
In 1995 the Brazilian government established the National Program for the Production and Use
of Biodiesel (PNPB), which was initially launched with a compulsory addition of 2% in volume to
diesel oil (B2). Since 2008, the PNPB has made it mandatory to add a fixed percentage of
biodiesel to mineral diesel, which is currently 5% in volume.
In 2008, Brazil launched the Vehicle Labeling Program aiming at improving the energy
efficiency of light vehicles, and introducing new technologies. This Program had the objective
of changing the Brazilian baseline scenario related to the use of large and inefficient light duty
vehicles. “In the last years, the profile of vehicles sold in Brazil has converged towards larger and
less-efficient vehicles” (BASTIN et al., 2010). According to BASTIN et al (2010) “despite its
virtuous intentions the Vehicle Labeling Program will not control the tendency of rising fuel
consumption of passenger cars sold in Brazil. Therefore, other policies are needed to boost
innovations in Brazil’s automotive industry”.
The Brazilian oil and gas reserves currently experience a new investment profile aiming at
attending internal demand and the perspective of Brazil becoming a medium size oil exporter
in the next decades.
Energy sector is one of the most important sectors considered on the National Plan for Climate
Change. Some of the proposed actions are: improvements in Energy efficiency, increase the use
of bio-fuels, increase the energy supply by hydroelectric power plants, increase the use of
alternative energy sources and, finally, increase in the use of charcoal from planted forests in
the iron & steel industry (CIM/MMA, 2008). The National Plan for Climate Change was
developed taking into account the National Policy on Climate Change. This policy fosters
explicitly a rational and more efficiently use of energy, as well as to reduce GHG emissions in
electricity supply (CASA CIVIL, 2009).
One of the outcomes of this action plan, compliant with Law N° 10,295 was the drafting of the
Energy Efficiency Rating Technical Quality Regulations for Commercial, Service and Public
Buildings (RTQ-C) and supplementary documents. These technical regulations were approved
through Edict No 53 promulgated on February 27, 2009 by the National Institute of Metrology,
Standardization and Industrial Quality (INMETRO). It ushered in a new set of dynamics for
guiding the quest for architectural solutions and supplementary lighting and air-conditioning
projects in order to upgrade the thermal and energy performances of buildings designed
(BATISTA et al, 2011).
75
concession contract, the distribution company presents to ANEEL a set of actions within the
Annual Program against Electrical Energy Waste (DʼSA, 2011).
The National Integrated Resource Planning for the Energy Sector is carried out by the Energy
Research Company –EPE (Empresa de Pesquisa Energética), from which several studies are
performed aiming at providing input for energy sector planning as a whole.
On 9 December 2010, during COP16 in Cancun, the Brazilian government published the Federal
Decree N° 7,390 regulating the articles of Law N° 12187. For the energy sector, the decree
considered the 10-year energy plan (PDE) made by EPE as a mitigation scenario, as it includes
measures to increase the role of renewable energy, nuclear energy and energy efficiency in the
energy policy (LA ROVERE, 2011).
Fuel prices in Brazil have not been directly determined by administrative decisions of the
government since 2002, since when oil products prices are supposed to float according to the
international oil market prices. However, as the state-controlled Petrobras oil company keeps its
dominant position in the domestic market, this oil company is a price-setter and usually follows
the government’s instructions for setting ex-refinery prices. Hence, for setting the ex-refinery
prices, Petrobras considers not only the relevant international parity, but also their impacts on
76
the socioeconomic side due to the oil products prices variation within the Brazilian market (its
major and target market) (CAVALCANTI et al, 2012). Petrobras clearly indicates this fact by
stating that “Although Petrobras’s oil products prices are based on the international prices,
during periods of high international prices or sharp devaluation of the Real, Petrobras may not
be able to adjust sufficiently its prices in Reais to maintain parity with international prices”
(PETROBRAS, 2002).
While oil products prices are supposed to be deregulated in Brazil since 2001, meaning that
there is no subsidies in ex-refinery prices, since 2004 the Brazilian government controlled ex-
refinery prices evolution, through its major share in Petrobras (a State-controlled oil company),
in order to curb inflation. In addition, in order to keep petroleum prices constant for final
consumers the government has been lowering taxes on gasoline and diesel (since 2004) and
removed taxes on LPG and fuel oil. As a consequence of the lower levy rate and narrower
coverage, the total amount of petroleum taxes has not increased despite growing consumption
(IMF, 2013). Hence, as refinery margins are constrained by ex-refinery prices and liquid fuels
demand increases given low tax levels, Petrobras goes on operational losses at its downstream
business.
The national coordination for implementing the UNFCCC in Brazil is a responsibility of the
Ministry of Science and Technology and Innovation (MCTI), according to the Presidential
Decree N° 1,160 of June 21, 1994.
b) to provide inputs on the Government’s positions in the negotiations under the UNFCCC and
subsidiary instruments in which Brazil takes part;
77
c) to define eligibility criteria additional to those considered by the bodies of the Convention in
charge of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), as provided for in Article 12 of the Kyoto
Protocol to the United UNFCCC, pursuant to national sustainable development strategies;
d) to analyse statements on projects that result in emission reduction and that are considered
eligible to the CDM, and approve them, when appropriate;
e) to establish agreements with representative entities of the civil society in order to promote
actions by governmental and private bodies with a view of meeting the commitments accepted
by Brazil under the UNFCCC and subsidiary instruments of which Brazil is part;
Representatives of the
Ministry of Science
and Technology
Representatives of
the Ministry Representatives of the
Agriculture, Ministry of Mines and
Livestock and Supply Energy
Representatives of the
Representatives of
Ministry of External
the Ministry of
Relations
Planning, Budgeting
and Management
Representatives of the
Ministry of Finance
Representatives of the
Ministry of Development,
Industry and External
Representatives of the Representatives of Commerce
Ministry of the Cities the Ministry of
Transports
Figure 22. Members of the Brazilian Inter-ministerial Commission on Global Climate Change
Source: Own elaboration, based on MCTI, (2013).
The Brazilian Forum on Climate Change (FBMC) was created by Decree no. 3,515, of June 20,
2000, with the purpose of raising the awareness of society and mobilizing it for discussion and
decision-making on problems resulting from climate change, thus promoting stakeholder
dialogue. It promotes the institutional interface between Government and Civil Society. The
Forum shall be permanently integrated with the Inter-ministerial Commission on Global Climate
Change, aiming at the adoption of necessary measures for the implementation of the decisions
reached at the Forum.
78
In November 2007, Presidential Decree no. 6.263/2007 was issued creating the Inter-Ministerial
Committee on Climate Change (Comitê Interministerial sobre Mudança do Clima – CIM). The
Committee shall direct the elaboration, implementation, monitoring, evaluation and proposal of
periodic review of the National Plan on Climate Change. It is coordinated by the Executive
Office of the President and composed of seventeen federal bodies, having the Brazilian Forum
on Climate Change (FBMC) as an invitee. Its Executive Group, a subsidiary body, has the mission
to elaborate, implement, monitor and evaluate the National Plan, being composed of eight
Ministries and the FBMC and coordinated by the Ministry of Environment. The Figure 23 shows
how it is formed.
Representatives of
Representatives of the the Ministry of
Ministry Agriculture, Environment Representatives of the
Livestock and Supply Ministry of Mines and
Representatives of the Civil Energy
House of the Presidency of Representatives of the
the Republic Ministry of Science and
Technology
Representatives of the
Ministry of External
Relations Representatives of the
Ministry of Development,
Industry and External
Commerce
Representatives of the
Agro Development
Ministry
Figure 23. Members of the Inter-Ministerial Committee on Climate Change (CIM) and its
Executive Group.
Source: Own elaboration, based on MCTI, (2013) and CASA CIVIL, (2007).
MCTI bodies develop key actions regarding climate change, especially through the General
Coordination for Global Climate Change (CGMC), which is under the Secretariat for Research
and Development Policies and Programs (SEPED). The CGMC is the technical focal point of the
UNFCCC in Brazil; its work covers the coordination and publication of studies and scientific
research on global climate change, especially with regard to the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC). Other programs under the CGMC mandate include the National Climate
Change Program and the Brazilian Research Network on Global Climate Change (Rede Clima).
The Brazilian Research Network on Global Climate Change (Rede Clima, see below) generates
and disseminates knowledge about the causes and effects of global climate change in three sub-
networks: Oceans, Environmental Services of Ecosystems and Natural Disasters. The Secretariat
79
also promotes liaison with research and development agencies and other public and private
entities involved in implementing the National Policy on Global Climate Change. These activities
ensure that the CGMC is an essential pillar in support of the Research and Development
activities conceived under the National Plan on Climate Change. Finally, the CGMC is
responsible for preparing National Communications to the UNFCCC and for providing the
Executive Secretariat of the Inter-ministerial Commission on Global Climate Change.
The Secretariat of Strategic Affairs (SAE) has as its main objective to propose, together with
other organisms and entities of the federal public administration, the elaboration of long term
strategic actions and projects. The Executive Office of the President is responsible for the
Action Plans for Preservation and Control of Deforestation of the Amazon and the Cerrado with
the participation of Inter-ministerial groups. EMBRAPA (Brazilian Agricultural Research
Corporation) is a public institution linked to MAPA in charge of research, development and
innovation for the sustainability of agriculture and animal husbandry. The abovementioned
Energy Research Company – EPE has the objective to perform services in research and studies
aiming at subsidize the energy planning sector in the areas of electric energy, oil, natural gas,
mineral carbon, renewable sources and energy efficiency, among others.
Regarding academic and research institutions, the main network is the Brazilian Research
Network on Global Climate Change (Rede Clima), which is linked to the Ministry of Science and
Technology and based in INPE. Being financed by the Ministry, it was established in 2007 with
the mission to generate and disseminate knowledge about the causes and effects of global
climate change; it produces information for the formulation and follow up of public policies on
climate change and to support the Brazilian negotiations under the UNFCCC. The Network
involves 13 thematic sub-networks: Agriculture, Biodiversity and Ecosystems, Cities, Natural
Disasters, Regional Development, Economy, Renewable Energy, Modeling, Oceans, Water
resources, Health, Environmental Services and Coastal Zones.
80
Figure 24. Brazilian voluntary commitments for GHG emission reductions.
The National Plan on Climate Change was based on the general directives of the National Policy
on Climate Change, The National Plan on Climate Change was approved in December 2008. It
has four general themes: (I) mitigation; (II) vulnerability, impact and adaptation, (III) research
and development; and (IV) enhancement of skills and dissemination. Its main objectives are: (i)
to stimulate efficiency increase in a constant search for better practices in the economic sectors;
(ii) to keep the high share of renewable energy in the electric matrix, preserving the important
position Brazil has always held in the international scenario; (iii) to encourage the sustainable
increase in the share of biofuels in the national transport matrix and work towards the
structuring of an international market of sustainable biofuels; (iv) to seek for sustained
reduction deforestation rates, in all Brazilian biomass, in order to reach zero illegal
deforestation; (v) to eliminate the net loss of forest coverage in Brazil by 2015; (vi) to strengthen
inter-sector actions concerned with the reduction of the vulnerabilities of populations; (vii) to
identify environmental impacts resulting from climate change and stimulate scientific research
that can trace out a strategy to minimize the socio-economic costs of adaptation in the country.
The National Policy on Climate Change also provides financial mechanisms aimed at supporting
the implementation of the planned initiatives. The Amazon Fund (Fundo Amazônia), launched in
August 2008, is a private financial instrument aimed at raising private grants in Brazil and abroad
to reduce GHG emissions from deforestation in Amazonia.
The Climate Change National Fund (Law 12,114 - December 2009; regulated by the Decree
7,343 - October 2010) was established to secure resources to support projects and studies and
to finance projects aimed at climate change mitigation and adaptation. Around 60% of the
Fund's income derives from crude oil production and sales. This is the first fund of its kind in the
world, with a projected initial budget of R$ 226 million (US$ 131,395,348). Of this total, R$ 200
million, earmarked by BNDES for the production sector, will be released as loans and other
81
forms of credit. The remaining R$26 million will be managed and invested by the Ministry of
Environment, and could be transferred to States and Municipalities on the basis of cooperation
agreements and conditions. Another financial instrument is the ABC Fund - low carbon emission
in agriculture - with a budget of R$2 billion (US$ 1,162,790,697) in 2011.
Interministerial
Commission on Global Secretariat for Research and Development
Climate Change of Policies and Programs (SEPED)
(CIMGC)
Inter-Ministerial Brazilian Forum on Climate
Committee on Climate Change
National Plan
for Climate
Change
Symbology:
Institutions, members
Figure 25. Relation between main institutions related to Climate Change in Brazil and its
products.
Source: Own elaboration based on (CASA CIVIL, 2007, 2009; CIM/MMA, 2008; MCTI, 2013)
The Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation also fosters studies on climate change
mitigation through public selections and specific orders to research institutions. Many studies
on energy efficiency and renewable energies are currently being financed. Grants are provided
by the National Fund for Scientific and Technological Development (FNDCT)35, which goal is to
give financial support to priority projects and programs for scientific and technological
development. Revenues come from specific taxes charged by the federal government. The
National Fund is subdivided into the so-called Fundos Setoriais (Sector Funds), in which a
portion of incoming resources from a given sector is used for generating and aggregating
knowledge in the same sector.
35
FNDCT: In Portuguese means: Fundo Nacional para o Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico.
82
4.3.3 Baseline Scenario
In order to achieve the voluntary national greenhouse gas relative reduction target of between
36,1% and 38,9% set by the Brazilian National Plan on Climate Change the following actions are
considered:
The energy baseline emission should also consider, besides the PNMC, two of the major efforts
of the Brazilian government to evaluate the country’s overall energy system evolution in the
medium term: the abovementioned 25 and 10-year Energy Plan (PNE 2030 and PDE 2020)
published by the Energy Research Company (EPE).
36
Plan for Low Carbon Agriculture (ABC).
37
No-till farming system is an agro technique to plant the seed of sugar cane in the land when it is still covered by
the straw from last harvest. It increases the organic matter and nutrients in the soil. This goal for emission
reduction is considered in ABC Plan.
83
For the industrial sector, the only specific plan available to be used in order to determine the
industry baseline emission is the Plan for Reduction of Emissions of the Steel Industry, which
considers the replacement of non-renewable charcoal (from deforestation) by renewable
forests planted for charcoal production for the iron and steel industry.
Another important plan that should be considered to analyse the energy baseline emission is
the National Plan for Logistics and Transport (PNLT - Plano Nacional de Logística e Transporte),
considering policies and measures for the transport sector, which was launched by the Brazilian
Ministry of Transport in 2007.
Finally, regarding LULUCF, the baseline includes some measures considered by three plans:
Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Deforestation of the Legal Amazon (PPCDAm),
Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Deforestation and Fires of the Cerrado
(PPCerrado) and Plan for Low Carbon Agriculture (Plano ABC).
In 2003 the Brazilian government proposed the “Luz para Todos” Program (LPT) (Light for All)
aiming at universalizing electricity supply by 2008 (NIEZ, 2010). Targets and objectives of LPT
were reformulated in order to be achieved until 2014. The original target of LPT was to supply
electricity to 2 million households, equivalents to 10 million inhabitants, spread out mainly
through the poor rural northeast region and the Brazilian Amazon Region. This goal was
achieved in 2009. In September 2011, 2.8 million households (14.2 million inhabitants) were
attended (BRASIL, 2013). According to ANEEL Normative Resolution Nº 488 of 2012, between
2012 and 2014 an additional 347 thousands households are expected to be interconnected.
Government defined the program as a ‘‘proposal for the reduction of poverty and hunger, using
electricity as a vector for development’’ (MME, 2003). New served consumers would receive
these services at affordable prices without paying additional tariffs. This underlines that rural
electrification continues to be prioritized as a key element in Brazil’s overall poverty alleviation
strategy (GOLDEMBERG et al., 2004; ESMAP, 2005).
In fact, the Brazilian government has shown a strong interest on promoting development in
poor regions in the last decade, especially the rural northeast. These approaches include social
programs (old age pensions or, conditional cash transfer programs for extremely poor families
through the Family Fund program, short PBF), agricultural policies (including the National
84
Program on Biodiesel Production and Use that focuses on the social inclusion of family farmers
in the northeast), food and nutrition security or microfinance (HELFAND et al., 2009; ARAUJO
and LIMA, 2009; CONSEA, 2009; OBERMAIER, 2011).
Distribution of natural gas until 1988 was made by two concessionaries located in the states of
Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. For other states Petrobras supplied the industrial demand as a
vertically integrated company.
Currently, there are 27 concessionaries for natural gas distribution. In most of them, Petrobras
holds capital shares. Until the Law No 11.909 of 2009, the Law of Natural Gas, the transport
related activities only could be done by Petrobras, the National Oil Company of Brazil. However
the new law opens transport, exportation and importation of natural gas to other companies by
regimes of concessions (previously auctioned) or by explicit authorization. Ministry of Energy
and Mines proposed the expansion and construction of current gas pipelines.
The Ten Year Plan for Energy Expansion (PDE 2021) (EPE, 2013) expects that the natural gas
consumption in Brazil, that in 2012 was estimated in 72 millions of m3/day, will rise in 67 million
m3/day until 2021. 30% of this consumption woud be used as non-energy consumption in
refineries and fertilizing plants. It is expected for 2021 that natural gas production could be close
to 139 million of m3/day, from which 18 million of m3/day will be required for the operation of
projected thermal plants
During 1997, was created the Project Burn Zero (Projeto Queima Zero) in the Campos Basin
(main Brazilian oil production region), aiming at improving the use of natural gas in this region.
The objective of the project was to increase the availability of natural gas, to improve the energy
use and to reduce greenhouse gases emission
In 2000, considering the possibility of an energy sector crisis in Brazil, Petrobras and ANP
intensified the control of gas burning in the Campos Basin, which led to the creation of
Optimization Use Plan for Campos Basin’s Natural Gas (POAG).
85
The POAG included the installation and re-design of compressors and also the construction of
new offshore gas pipelines. This combination of actions allowed exporting natural gas to the
continent.
The first 30kWh/month of consumption receives 65% of discount. Then, the consumption band
between 31 kWh/month to 100 kWh/month receives 40% of discount. Following the same
principle, between 101 kWh/month and 220 kWh/month the discount will be 10%. Finally, over
220 kWh/month there will not have any discount.
The Social Energy Tariff is applied to the consumer units classified within the Low Income
residential sub-category, for families registered in the Unique Registry for Social Programs of the
Federal Government, with a monthly familiar income per capita lower or equal to the half of the
national minimum salary or for families which have between its members a person receiving the
benefits38 associated to the continue provision of social assistance.
Additionally, Indigenous and quilombolas families registered in the Single Registry have a
discount of 100% up to 50 kWh/month (MME, 2012).
On the other hand, for natural gas, as regulation for distribution relies on States, there are no
national policies for social tariffs related to this resource. However, in the State of Rio de
Janeiro, according to the Decree N° 42.884 of 2011, there is a social tariff for distributed natural
gas for low income families supplied by CEG and CEG-Rio concessionaries registered in the
“Minha Casa Minha Vida” Social Program. In the State of São Paulo, the Regulatory Agency
“ARSESP”, dispose a social tariff for retired people, who consumes until 7 m3/month of natural
gas. This social tariff considers a 10% discount on the base value.
For LPG, there are neither subsidies nor social tariffs since 2002. In 1990 it was determined that
each LPG distribution company could have their own price. Since 2001, the Government
eliminated the subsidies for the product, authorizing Petrobras to practice prices according to
the international parity. In December 2001, the “specific price parcel” (also known as “conta
petróleo”) that used to smooth the prices affected by international market was eliminated.
38 3
Social tariff consists on a 10% discount for pensioners who consume until 7m /month of natural gas.
86
4.4.4 Specific Programs for Slums and Settlements
Currently, The Second Phase of the Growth Acceleration Program (PAC), is the most important
governmental program that includes an upgrade of living conditions in slums and settlements.
Among the components of this program, projected from 2011-2014, there is the initiative
Citizen Community, that seeks to increase the availability of State services in poorer districts
with an estimated investment of R$ 23 billion (US$12.6 billion)
Among the financing lines of BNDES, the PROESCO Program provides credits or loans to energy
service companies, energy end-users and utilities. These loans and credits cover installation and
related services, new equipment, information, monitoring and control, and energy audits
(BNDES, 2013).
Also, Brazil adopted an utility Energy Efficiency Program in 2000 that demands utilities to spend
a minimum of 0.5% of their revenues on energy efficiency programs (ACEEE, 2012).
Recently, Inter-American Development Bank (IADB) approved its Energy Efficiency Finance
Facility Program (IADB, 2013), to support Latin American and Caribbean companies to make
investments in energy efficiency and small-scale self-supply renewable energy projects that
would reduce energy costs and greenhouse gas emissions.
87
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ARAÚJO, L. A.; Lima, J.P.R.; Transferências de renda e empregos públicos na economia sem
producão do semiárido nordestino. Planejamento e Políticas Públicas 33, 45-77. 2009.
BATISTA, N. N.; LA ROVERE, E. L.; AGUIAR, J.C.R. Energy efficiency labeling of buildings: An
assessment of the Brazilian case. Energy and Buildings 43 ,1179–1188, 2011.
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CCEE. Entenda os Leilões. . [S.l.]: CCEE. Disponível em:
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Fase do Proinfa. Rio de Janeiro: Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, 2007.
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IMF, International Monetary Fund. CASE STUDIES ON ENERGY SUBSIDY REFORM: LESSONS AND
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NOGUEIRA, L. Estado Atual e Perspectivas Futuras para a Indústria Eólica no Brasil. Rio de
Janeiro: Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, 2011.
OBERMAIER M.; SZKLO A.; LA ROVERE E.L.; ROSA L.P.; An assessment of electricity and income
distributional trends following rural electrification in poor northeast Brazil. Energy Policy
49, 531-540, 2012.
PETROBRAS. Risk factors, Prospectus supplement (to prospectus dated August 14, 2002),
Morgan Stanley, Bear Stearns, 19–32.
POOLE, A. D. The Expansion of Electricity Supply in Brazil: Towards a broader renewable energy
supply strategy for the coming decade and beyond. Rio de Janeiro, 2011. Disponível em:
<http://pt.scribd.com/doc/58587396/Diversifying-the-Renewable-Energy-Expansion-
Strategy-in-Brazil>. Acesso em: 31 ago. 2011.
REGO, E. E.; PARENTE, V. Brazilian experience in electricity auctions: Comparing outcomes from
new and old energy auctions as well as the application of the hybrid Anglo-Dutch design.
Energy Policy, v. 55, p. 511–520, abr 2013.
SANTOS, G.F.; HADDAD, E. A.; HEWINGS, G.J.D. Energy policy and regional inequalities in the
Brazilian economy. Energy Economics, 36, 241-255, 2013.
SCHAEFFER, R.; LUCENA, A. F.; SZKLO, A. S.; et al. Energia e a Economia Verde: Cenários Futuros
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Brasil. Revista da Fundação Brasileira de Desenvolvimento Sustentável, 2012.
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Brazil: A Country Profile on Sustainable Energy Development, Vienna: IAEA, 2006.
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5. Policy Review: Mexico
Fidel Carrasco, Jorge Islas Samperio (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)
5.1 Identifying energy policy objectives and their link to Climate Change
It’s important to note that although Mexico had adhered to international treaties and
agreements to combat Climate Change since the early 90's, it was until the year 2007 via the
National Development Plan (NDP) 2007-2012 and the Energy Sector Program (ESP) 2007-2012
when for the first time was officially given a priority role to climate change and sustainable
development issues.
The ESP 2007 - 2012 included sectorial objectives, goals, strategies and action plans which were
mainly based on: ensuring the supply of energy as required by the economy; strengthening
public sector companies in order to improve the opportunity and quality in the provision of
public services, and promoting energy efficiency and renewable energies to reduce the
environmental impact derived from fossil fuel use.
However, the turning point was the legal and institutional energy reform process experienced
by the country during the year 2008. As a result, the following laws were passed: the Law for the
Promotion and Development of Bioenergy (LPDB), the Law for the Sustainable Use of Energy
(LASE) and the Law for the Use of Renewable Energies and Financing of Energy Transition
(LAERFTE).
During the former government administration (2006 – 2012) were implemented the following
strategies, plans and programs, most of them limited to the year 2012:
- The National Strategy for Climate Change (ENACC) of 2007 identified mitigation and
adaptation opportunities.
- The Special Program for the Development of Renewable Energies 2009-2012 focused on
public policies for renewable energy utilisation. Its overall objective was to promote the use
of renewable energy by establishing goals, objectives and actions. Specific objectives were
to promote the development of a renewable energy industry in Mexico, to enlarge country's
energy portfolio, to increase energy security so as not rely on a single source of energy, and
to increase the electricity coverage in rural communities by using renewable energies where
it is neither technically nor economically feasible to connect to the network. In order to
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meet these objectives, it established the following strategies and general action lines:
Promotion of information, development of support mechanisms for renewable energy
utilisation, electrification using renewable sources, infrastructure and regulation, and
research and technology development.
- The National Program for the Sustainable Use of Energy 2009-2012 identified seven areas of
cost-effective opportunities to increase energy efficiency and reduce energy consumption in
the medium and long term. These areas were: transport, lighting, household equipment,
cogeneration, buildings, industrial motors and water pumps. It was expected that specific
action lines to each area of opportunity would have resulted in cumulative energy savings of
4,017 terawatts-hour or equivalent to about three years of final energy consumption at
current rates up to the year 2030. Similarly, the estimated impact of these strategies would
have reached 16,417 terawatts-hours in 2050.
- The Climate Change Special Program (PECC) was developed for the 2009-2012 period and
outlined and developed the guidance contained in the ENACC. The PECC was a cross-cutting
policy instrument of the Federal Government developed voluntarily which seek the
mitigation and adaptation to climate change, with no negative impact on the economic
growth. It involved agencies of the Federal Government with 105 objectives and 294 goals
of mitigation and adaptation for the years 2009-2012.
Although the NDP 2007-2012 and the ESP 2007 - 2012 have completed their execution time,
they laid the foundation for an energy transition in the country in the short, medium and long
term, as they have been the framework for implementing new developments and promotion
policies (i.e. laws, strategies, plans, programs, courses of action, etc.) for renewable energy,
energy efficiency measures and climate change mitigation.
Similarly, from 2008 to the third quarter of 2012, PECC 2009-2012 achieved an accumulated
emissions reduction of 129 MtCO2 eq. According to the progress reviews, by late 2012, Mexico
was expected to have exceeded its PECC annual mitigation goal by 4% (52.76 MtCO2 eq. /year).
The PECC was useful to establish federal government strategies against climate change in the
short term and outline the medium- and long-term goals. In its long-term vision, it considers a
flexible convergence towards a global average of 2.8 tons of CO2 eq. emissions per capita.
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Mexico’s energy sector is divided into the oil and electric power sectors. It also includes other
entities that are responsible, within their competence, to provide various services. The Mexican
Petroleum Institute (IMP), the Electrical Research Institute (IIE) and the National Institute for
Nuclear Research (ININ) develop scientific research, providing technological innovation
elements for PEMEX and CFE with the aim of increasing their competitiveness while providing
better products and services. They also promote the formation of specialized human resources
in order to support domestic oil and electric power industries.
The Energy Regulatory Commission (CRE) regulates the gas and electricity industries. The main
functions of CRE are to grant permits, authorize prices and rates, approve terms and conditions
for the provision of services, issue directives, resolve disputes, request information and impose
sanctions, among others. Regulated activities include: Supply and sale of electricity to public
service customers; private sector generation, import and export of electricity; acquisition of
electricity for public service; transmission services between agencies that provide public service
and generation, export and import permit holders; first-hand sales of natural gas and LPG;
transportation and storage of natural gas that is not related to exploration or production;
natural gas distribution, and transportation and distribution of LPG through pipelines.
The National Hydrocarbons Commission (CNH) regulates and supervises primary exploration and
extraction of hydrocarbons, which are in beds or reservoirs, whatever their physical state,
including the intermediate states, and that are components of crude mineral oil, are associated
with it or result from it, as well as processing activities, transportation and storage directly
related to hydrocarbon exploration and production projects. The CNH ensures that the
exploration and exploitation projects of PEMEX and its subsidiary companies are performed
pursuant to the following bases: Increase the recovery factor and obtain the maximum volume
of crude oil and natural gas in the long term, in economically viable conditions for wells, fields
and abandoned reservoirs, or in process of abandonment or exploitation; the replacement of
hydrocarbon reserves based on available technology and in-line with the economic viability of
projects; environmental protection and sustainability of natural resources during hydrocarbon
exploration and exploitation; minimizing flaring and venting of gas and hydrocarbons during
their extraction, among others.
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emissions avoided, due to the inclusion of actions for the sustainable use of energy, among
others. In terms of the Promotion and Dissemination: Prepare and publish books, catalogs,
manuals, articles and technical reports on the work undertaken by the Commission; participate
in the dissemination of information between government and social sectors, among others.
The National Commission on Nuclear Safety and Safeguards (CNSNS) is a semi-autonomous body
under the authority of the Ministry of Energy which takes the role of regulator. CNSNS is
responsible for ensuring the proper application of regulations and safeguards for nuclear and
radiation safety and for physical protection of nuclear and radiological installations to ensure
public safety.
95
Figure 26. Structure of the Mexican Energy Sector
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CRE promotes and enforces the efficient development of the following regulated activities:
- Natural gas first-hand sales
- Liquefied petroleum processing
- Natural gas transportation, distribution and storage
Legal framework for the development of electric power generation in the Mexican sector was
established by means of the Amendment to the Public Electricity Service Law of December 1992
(LSPEE). It allowed for private sector participation in cogeneration, self-supply, small power
producer, independent power producer, import and export projects. However, none of these
newly allowed modalities can supply electricity for public service, since this activity is
constitutionally reserved to the nation through a public utility, the Federal Electricity
Commission (CFE).
CRE promotes and enforces the efficient development of the following regulated activities:
- Public service electricity supply
- Electricity generation of private parties
- Exports and imports between private parties
- Electricity acquisitions for public service
- Transmission services between the supplier and private generation permit holders.
In Mexico the tariff system is set by the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (SHCP) in
coordination with SENER, the Ministry of Economy (SE), the CFE, and the CRE. The tariff system
is highly subsidized and none of the consumer segments have a tariff that covers the cost of
providing the service.
39
CFE has taken over the activities of this former state owned company. LFC was closed by the Federal Government
due to its unsustainable financial situation (represented in labor and pension costs) and the large amount of
energy losses in its system (32.5 %). The closure of LFC was in line with the Federal Government’s strategy to
reduce public spending in order to respond to the financial crisis. LFC was responsible for the supply of electricity
to the central area of the country with 6 million customers that accounted for 24 % of the total electricity
consumption. The company was mainly involved in distribution and retailing of electricity and had around 1 GW
of installed capacity.
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MEXICAN ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR
Electricity tariffs
SHCP
-Generation
-Dispatch (CENACE)
Activities
-Transmission
reserved to CFE -Distribution
the state
-Imports for public
service
SENER
Transmission services
Transmission
-Independent
power producers
-Small power
Activities opened Sales to CFE producer
to private
CRE
investments
(permit holders) Generation Self-supply -Cogeneration
-Self-supply
-Imports
Exports
Legal conditions schemes for renewable energy and sustainable use of energy
Mexico has started a transition towards a clean energy future in order to reduce its dependence
on fossil fuels. As of year 2008, an energy reform consisting of a package of the following laws
and decrees that created or modified existing laws in the areas of fossil fuels and renewable
energies was approved:
- Law for the Promotion and Development of Biofuels (LPDB): This law regulates the
promotion and development of biofuels with the aim of achieving energy diversification and
sustainable development as well as creating adequate conditions to the Mexican rural
sector. SENER is the body in charge of issuing permits for the activities of production,
storage, transport, distribution and retailing of biofuels carried in pipelines.
- Law for the Use of Renewable Energies and the Financing of the Energy Transition
(LAERFTE): In accordance with its first article, the goal of this law is “…to regulate the use of
renewable energies and clean technologies for power generation in different purposes than
those of public service; to establish a National Strategy and the instruments for financing
the energy transition”. This law mandates SENER to elaborate and coordinate the Special
Program for the Use of Renewable Energies (PEAER) and the publication of a National
Strategy for Energy Transition and the Sustainable Use of Energy. This strategy is included in
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the Federal Expenditure Budget by means of a Fund for the Energy Transition and the
Sustainable Use of Energy. Finally, the SENER will update this strategy every year.
- Law for the Sustainable Use of Energy (LASE): The purpose of this law is “…to favor the
sustainable use of energy through its optimum use along all processes and activities, from
its exploitation to its consumption. It fosters indirectly the use of ER, since the definition of
energy efficiency, contained in this law, states that “it is also included… the substitution of
non-renewable for renewable energy sources”. This law also mandates CONUEE to present a
National Program for the Sustainable Use of Energy (PRONASE) one year after the
publication of the law and “…will be in force over the current federal government
administration.
- Environmental Protection Law: This law mandates that power generation plants larger than
0.5 MW regardless of the technology, require Environmental Authorizations from
SEMARNAT. In addition, small hydro power projects do not require water concession
permits from the National Water Commission. Finally, at the local level, municipalities also
enact land use permits for the construction, installation and operation of infrastructure.
- Rent Taxation law: According to this law, the entities that invest in equipment and machines
for the generation of renewable energy can depreciate 100 % of the investment in the first
year (tax credit scheme).
- Interconnection contracts: The use of renewable energy sources, such as wind, hydro,
biomass, biogas, biofuels, is allowed and encouraged for private investors via specific grid
connection contracts. The general conditions for generation, connection and transmission of
energy generated from renewable sources include interconnection contracts that are
established in three complementary regulations. The most relevant aspects of these
regulations are:
CFE commits to receive the energy generated by renewable source at any time it is
produced if this reception does not compromise the stability, security and reliability of
the system.
The energy that is not used by a generator in a specific period can be delivered to the
CFE and it has the obligation to return it when requesting for it (energy bank scheme).
This exchange is an administrative procedure that does not involve a physical exchange
of electricity.
The energy exchange is carried out in the interconnection point of the project with the
National Power System and its price depends on the energy price on such an
interconnection point that varies with the load of the system.
As a preferential condition for renewable energy projects, transmission charges are
fixed for each voltage level regardless of the location of the interconnection point.
With regard to the environmental front, the Mexican energy system emits 503 million tonnes of
CO2equivalent. Out of this total, emissions from power generation account for 22.9% (115.53
million tonnes of CO2equivalent). Given this emissions level, it is very likely that the country will
be subject to significant international pressure to limit its CO2 emissions.
Similarly, this energy pattern has contributed to an increased local pollution, deteriorating soils,
rivers, forests and marine areas. This is due to the extensive use of hydrocarbons over all
different stages —production, transport, transformation and distribution— and to the emission
of local pollutants such as NOx, SOx and particulate matter, ranking the country as number 43 in
the Environmental Performance Index —below other less developed economies such as Ecuador
(ranked 30th) or Cuba (ranked 9th )—.
It is expected that besides international pressure to reduce greenhouse gases emissions, there
will be others increasingly important factors to put pressure for change on the energy pattern
such as the increasing internal demands of ecologist groups, the claims of society to offset
environmental damages caused by conventional energy sources, the political agenda and the
establishment of more stringent environmental regulations.
On the other hand, this energy pattern has been accompanied by the consolidation of a
structure of public monopolies in the Mexican energy sector, namely: PEMEX in the field of
hydrocarbons and the CFE in the electric power sector. This monopoly structure has fostered a
centralized generation power system which is essentially based on large power stations. As a
result, distributed power generation systems, which are smaller in size and with high potential
to directly promote social, productive and regional development through the use of local or
regional renewable energy resources, face important difficulties to pave the way in Mexico.
Mexico’s response to this problem has been inadequate. Since early 90s the Mexican energy
sector increased the use of natural gas due to its lower emissions and higher efficiency for use in
combined-cycle power plants. However, this boom in the demand for gas has brought negative
consequences such as the contribution to a foreign trade imbalance —as a result of increased
gas imports to meet the demand— and a significant energy dependence. According with data of
the Natural Gas Market Outlook, there will be a trade balance deficit in the 2011 - 2026 period
and would amount to 1,699 million cubic feet per day (MMcfd) in the year 2011 and 3,816
MMcfd (29% of the gas consumed in Mexico) at the end of the study period.
The problem of such unsustainable energy pattern in Mexico makes imperative and
indispensable its substitution for an energy pattern that favors and boosts the country’s
sustainable development. In this view, renewable energies represent the most important
alternative for Mexico, since there are plenty of these resources.
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Although there still too much to do in renewable energy resource assessment, and due to the
fact that current data are just partial estimates, the country has an average daily insolation of 5
kWh/m2 —an enormous potential for solar energy in relation to current energy needs—. There
is also a huge potential for wind energy, since the estimates for a single state, Oaxaca, indicate
that it is possible to install up to 33,000 MW of power capacity. The feasible potential for
geothermal has been estimated in 11,940 MW and there is still an important potential to be
used, since geothermal totals 964.5 MW of the total installed power capacity so far.
As for bioenergy potential assessment, it ranges from 3,035 PJ/year to 4,550 PJ/year, which
would represent between 54% and 81% of the 2002 gross domestic energy supply. With regard
to hydro resource, estimates point out that there is a potential of 3,250 MW in mini-hydro
projects, while there is an additional of 49,750 MW in conventional hydro projects —11, 050
MW or 22% of the total potential have been used so far —.
Additionally, it sets out a legal target to increase the share of non-fossil energy in the portfolio
of primary energy sources for electricity generation in at least 35% by 2024. In terms of energy
transition, which includes renewable energy and efficiency in the sector, SENER proposes the
following three scenarios so as to achieve 35% energy generation from non-fossil sources in
2024.
- The first scenario considers a project portfolio consisting of wind farms that contain 28%
capacity backed up with gas turbine technology.
- The second scenario only considers the construction of 7 or 8 nuclear power plants, with an
installed capacity of 1,400 MW each and 20,900 MW of wind power.
- The third scenario examines a hybrid scheme of nuclear power plants and wind farms, which
includes two nuclear power plants with a capacity of 1,400 MW each and 20,900 MW of
wind power.
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5.2.2 National Development Plan 2013-2018
Current National Development Plan 2013-2018 recognizes the importance of renewable energy
sources to address climate change and environmental degradation. It does not only emphasizes
the uncertainty, the volatility and the negative impact that hydrocarbons impose on
environment but also acknowledges the role that renewable energy based generation
technologies may play in addressing the challenges of energy security and diversification.
More specifically, objective 4.6 raises the need to supply country’s energy requirements with
competitive prices, quality and efficiency along the productive chain. This involves increasing the
capacity of the state in order to ensure the supply of crude oil, natural gas and gasoline;
strengthening the rational supply of electricity; promoting the efficient use of energy and the
use of renewable sources by adopting new technologies and the implementation of best
practices, besides strengthening the development of science and technology as a priority issue
for the energy sector.
As for the Inertial Scenario, the average production will reach 2,937 thousand barrels of oil and
8,061 million cubic feet of natural gas during the same period. Deep water projects will be the
same as in the inertial scenario but with higher production rates. Additionally, from 2018
onwards an enhanced oil recovery program will take place.
Exports are expected to be reduced from 1,247 thousand barrels per day in 2012 to 1,164
thousand barrels per day in 2026 in the inertial scenario, while they are expected to increase to
1,690 thousand barrels per day in 2026 in the ENE scenario.
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Both, Inertial and ENE scenarios, considers a future demand of electricity that is estimated in
445.1 TWh in 2026, representing a growth rate of 4.7% per year for the prospective period. The
sector with the highest consumption in 2026 will be the industrial, accounting for 58.4% of total
sales of public service and then followed by the residential sector with 25.5%. However, the
fastest growing sector will be the commercial sector with a growth rate of 6.1% per year.
5.2.5 Programs and Strategies for renewable energy and sustainable use of
energy
The following list presents several support programs, strategies, and support schemes for
renewable and the sustainable use of energy:
- A number of sectorial funds of the National Council for Research and Development
(CONACYT): Funds like the institutional fund of regional promotion for scientific
development, technology and innovation, or the Upfront Fund (Fondo Avance) have the
target to finance the applied research and innovation activities of research institutes,
universities and private companies by providing grants, seed capital, guarantees, and tax
discounts. Accesses to these funds depend on the thematic call for proposals organized by
CONACYT.
- Sectorial Fund SENER – CONACYT Energy Sustainability fund: This fund is being established
to finance scientific research and applied technological develop-ment in the field of
sustainable energy. The project leader should be a Mexican university or research institute.
Resources for this fund come from an equivalent right to 0.13% of the value of crude oil and
natural gas extracted by PEMEX.
- Fund for the energy transition and the sustainable use of energy. The fund provides loan
guarantees for energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies. The National Bank for
Public Services and Constructions operates the fund. A technical committee has the
responsibility to disburse the fund resources.
- Sustainable lighting program, with the objective of replacing 47 million incandescent light
bulbs for compact fluorescent lamps. This program is the world’s largest of its kind.
- Appliance modernization program, grants subsidies and loans for the purchase of new air
conditioning and refrigerator units in exchange for old appliances to be scrapped.
- Green mortgages, provides additional financing for the purchase of green technologies in
new households. Water and energy savings can reach 2-3% of household income. This
program can grow to cover 2.7 million additional credits between 2013-2020.
Regarding the National Communications, the National Institute for Ecology and Climate Change
(INECC), the former INE, and the Ministry of the Environment and Natural Resources
(SEMARNAT) leads and coordinates its development. This integration is carried out with the
participation of the federal, state, and municipal agencies, research centers, and public and
private higher education institutions, as well as of civil and private sector organizations.
Within the scope of their powers, the different States establish local offices of Inter-ministerial
Commissions on Climate Change charged with coordinating the appropriate public policies,
designing or modifying their laws to include climate change issues aligned with Federal
Government provisions. They also make progress on the development of the State Action Plan
on Climate Change (PEACC).
Municipal governments appoint the personnel to lead and/or coordinate the activities of the
municipality in the development of the Municipal Climate Action Plan (PACMUN) working with
the academia and other stakeholders.
According to a study by the Mexican Institute for Competitiveness (IMCO) to estimate the
potential of the PECC goals by 2020, it will be possible to reduce 195 MtCO2 eq. by
contemplating the additional potential in certain measures, the entry into force of new
standards and the substantial boost given to various programs, the implementation of the
REDD+ mechanism and electricity generation using clean technologies. This study also points out
that achieving the goals for 2020 and 2050 will require incorporating an additional 17 actions as
well as a combination of NAMAs, which would contribute 46.5 MtCO2 eq. of mitigation in 2020.
5.3.2.1 BAU scenario and potential for GHG emissions reduction in Mexico
Using information from the 2006 National GHG Emissions Inventory, historical data and
economic and population growth projections for sectors with the highest emissions, a baseline
was constructed representing a BAU scenario. This baseline was constructed on the assumption
of 2.3% annual GDP growth between 2006 and 2020.
GHG emissions in Mexico are expected to rise to 872 MtCO2 eq. in 2020, and 996 MtCO2 eq. in
2030. The sectors with the highest GHG growth and emissions will be electricity generation and
transportation. For 2020, the abatement potential identified is 261 MtCO2 eq., which
represents a 30% reduction of the GHG emissions baseline in regard to the BAU scenario. For
2030, the potential is 523 MtCO2 eq., a 53% reduction.
105
Total emissions MtCO2e
1200
995
1000 872
800 709
600
611
400 472
200
0
2006 2020 2030
Breaking down the abatement potential at sectorial level (See Figure 5), power generation (60
MtCO2e), forestry (58 MtCO2e) and transportation (37 MtCO2e) would account for nearly 60%
of total estimated reductions for year 2020. The remaining sectors such as waste (26 MtCO2e),
industry (25 MtCO2e) and agriculture (20 MtCO2e) altogether would represent 27% just
followed by the oil and gas (19 MtCO2e) and buildings (17 MtCO2e) both accounting for the
remaining 13%. In order of magnitude, reduction potentials as a share of total avoided
emissions would remain the same for year 2030 except for waste (88 MtCO2e), transportation
(79 MtCO2e), and industry (59 MtCO2e) which would increase their participation, being the
most significant increase found in waste with 7 % in relation to its 2020 share. In contrast,
power generation (112 MtCO2e), forestry (96 MtCO2e), agriculture (79 MtCO2e), oil and gas (23
MtCO2e) and buildings (27 MtCO2e) would slightly decrease their share in relation to that of the
year 2020.
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This portfolio includes several types of initiatives: standards and regulatory, development and
technological substitution, social programs, best practices, capacity building, etc. The projects
are at various stages of design and execution. The greatest potential for reduction in these
projects (92 MtCO2 eq., 70% of the total portfolio) is concentrated in the forestry, agriculture,
oil and gas industries and energy efficiency sectors.
700 Forestry
600 Transportation
500 Waste
400 Industry
300 Agriculture
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actions and the elimination of barriers. In order to cover this impact, it is estimated that
Mexico will require economic support in non-recoverable funds.
Mitigation actions with negative or zero as well as positive reduction costs would be financed
via local funding and soft loans, while the incremental cost to the economy and the cost of
eliminating barriers would be covered by non-reimbursable loans . The main contribution comes
from private capital, representing 43% of the investment required, followed by the public
sector, which contributes 31% and the end users, who absorb 25% of the expense.
Mexico also promotes the design of Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) in
various productive sectors. In collaboration with various sectors, in 2011-2012 twelve NAMAs
were designed and promoted in the following categories: households, transportation, domestic
appliances, energy efficiency, cement, chemical industry, mining, oil industry and electricity.
108
5.4 References
CFE http://www.cfe.gob.mx/paginas/home.aspx
DOF. Decreto por el que se aprueba el Programa Nacional para el Aprovechamiento Sustentable
de la Energía 2009-2012.
Dr. Sergio Romero-Hernández, Dr. Omar Romero-Hernández, Dr. Duncan Wood (Editores).
Energías Renovables: Impulso político y tecnológico para un México sustentable. ITAM-
USAID, México, 2011, 391 pp.
FIDE. Programas y Proyectos del Ahorro y el Uso Sustentable de la Energía Eléctrica en México,
2011. Disponible en:
http://www.cmic.org/comisiones/sectoriales/medioambiente/Varios/The-Green-Expo-
2011/Energ%C3%ADa/Energ%C3%ADa/Expo%2028/9.%2028%20LicFelipeOrtega.pdf
Herrera Flores, Jordy. Eficiencia energética en México: iniciativas y programas. SENER, 2009.
Disponible en: http://www.eclac.org/drni/noticias/noticias/8/37118/Jordi_Herrera.pdf
INECC. México, Quinta Comunicación Nacional ante la Convención Marco de las Naciones Unidas
sobre el Cambio Climático, 2012.
Ley del servicio público de energía eléctrica. Última reforma publicada en el DOF 09-04-2012
Ley general de cambio climático. Nueva ley publicada en el DOF el 6 de junio de 2012.
PEMEX http://www.pemex.com/
PND 200-2012. Gobierno de los Estados Unidos Mexicanos, Presidencia de la República, 2007.
Salazar Diez de Sollano, Francisco Xavier (Chairman, Energy Regulatory Commission, Mexico).
Universal access, energy efficiency, and economic regulation: the Mexican Experience.
Energy Efficiency & Access Forum, Mexico City, October 29th, 2010.
109
SEMARNAT. Cambio Climático: Ciencia, evidencia y acciones. México. 2009.
SENER http://www.sener.gob.mx/
GTZ. Energy-policy Framework Conditions for Electricity Markets and Renewable Energies - 16
Country Analyses, 2009.
110
For further details contact Bob van der Zwaan (vanderzwaan@ecn.nl) or James Falzon
(falzon@ecn.nl)
This publication has been produced with the assistance of the European Union. The contents of
this publication are the sole responsibility of the CLIMACAP consortium and can in no way be
taken to reflect the views of the European Union.
111