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    Cyclone

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    sandipan bhattacharjee
    The extremely severe cyclonic storm "Biparjoy" was located in the eastcentral Arabian Sea about 550 km west of Mumbai as of 11:30 AM on June 11, 2023. It is forecast to move nearly north until June 14 and then northeast, crossing the coasts of Saurashtra and Kutch in Gujarat and adjoining Pakistan around noon on June 15 as a very severe cyclonic storm. Heavy to extremely heavy rainfall and gale-force winds are expected along the coasts from June 14-15, posing threats from flying debris, crop damage, and coastal flooding from storm surge above 2-3 meters. Fishermen are strongly warned to suspend operations and evacuate from coastal areas.

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    Cyclone

    Uploaded by

    sandipan bhattacharjee
    40 views10 pages
    The extremely severe cyclonic storm "Biparjoy" was located in the eastcentral Arabian Sea about 550 km west of Mumbai as of 11:30 AM on June 11, 2023. It is forecast to move nearly north until June 14 and then northeast, crossing the coasts of Saurashtra and Kutch in Gujarat and adjoining Pakistan around noon on June 15 as a very severe cyclonic storm. Heavy to extremely heavy rainfall and gale-force winds are expected along the coasts from June 14-15, posing threats from flying debris, crop damage, and coastal flooding from storm surge above 2-3 meters. Fishermen are strongly warned to suspend operations and evacuate from coastal areas.

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    Biporjoy cyclone do and donts

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    cyclone

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    The extremely severe cyclonic storm "Biparjoy" was located in the eastcentral Arabian Sea about 550 km west of Mumbai as of 11:30 AM on June 11, 2023. It is forecast to move nearly north until June 14 and then northeast, crossing the coasts of Saurashtra and Kutch in Gujarat and adjoining Pakistan around noon on June 15 as a very severe cyclonic storm. Heavy to extremely heavy rainfall and gale-force winds are expected along the coasts from June 14-15, posing threats from flying debris, crop damage, and coastal flooding from storm surge above 2-3 meters. Fishermen are strongly warned to suspend operations and evacuate from coastal areas.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    40 views10 pages

    Cyclone

    Uploaded by

    sandipan bhattacharjee
    The extremely severe cyclonic storm "Biparjoy" was located in the eastcentral Arabian Sea about 550 km west of Mumbai as of 11:30 AM on June 11, 2023. It is forecast to move nearly north until June 14 and then northeast, crossing the coasts of Saurashtra and Kutch in Gujarat and adjoining Pakistan around noon on June 15 as a very severe cyclonic storm. Heavy to extremely heavy rainfall and gale-force winds are expected along the coasts from June 14-15, posing threats from flying debris, crop damage, and coastal flooding from storm surge above 2-3 meters. Fishermen are strongly warned to suspend operations and evacuate from coastal areas.

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    India Meteorological Department

    (Ministry of Earth Sciences)


    Meteorological Centre
    Ahmedabad-382475.
    Email:
    metahm0I@gmail.com
    Special Weather Forecast Bulletin for Gujarat State and Diu, Daman, Dadra Nagar Haveli.
    (Bulletin no.: 3)
    Time of Issue : 1630 Hrs. IST Dated: 11-06-2023

    Sub:Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm “Biparjoy” (pronounced as “Biporjoy”)over


    eastcentral Arabian Sea: Cyclone Alert for Saurashtra & Kutch Coasts (Yellow
    Message)

    The extremely severe cyclonic storm “Biparjoy” (pronounced as “Biporjoy”) over eastcentral Arabian
    Sea moved northeastwards with a speed of 8kmph during past 6-hoursand lay centered at 1130 hours
    IST of today, the 11th June, 2023 over the same region near latitude 18.2°N and longitude 67.7°E, about
    550 km west of Mumbai, 450 km south-southwest of Porbandar, 490 km south-southwest of Devbhumi
    Dwarka, 570 km south-southwest of Naliya and 750km south of Karachi (Pakistan).

    It is very likely to move nearly northward till 14thmorning, then move north-northeastwards and cross
    Saurashtra& Kutch and adjoining Pakistan coasts between Mandvi (Gujarat) and Karachi (Pakistan)
    around noon of 15thJune as a very severe cyclonic storm with maximum sustained wind speed of 125-
    135 kmph gusting to 150 kmph
    Forecast track and intensity are given below:

    Date/Time(IST) Position Maximum sustained surface Category of cyclonic


    (Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) wind speed (Kmph) disturbance
    11.06.23/1130 18.2/67.7 160-170 Gusting To 190 Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
    11.06.23/1730 18.5/67.8 165-175 Gusting To 195 Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
    11.06.23/2330 18.8/67.8 155-165 Gusting To 185 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
    12.06.23/0530 19.1/67.7 155-165 Gusting To 185 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
    12.06.23/1130 19.4/67.6 150-160 Gusting To 180 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
    12.06.23/2330 20.1/67.4 145-155 Gusting To 175 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
    13.06.23/1130 20.8/67.3 140-150 Gusting To 165 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
    13.06.23/2330 21.5/67.3 135-145 Gusting To 160 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
    14.06.23/1130 22.0/67.5 130-140 Gusting To 155 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
    14.06.23/2330 22.7/68.0 125-135 Gusting To 150 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
    15.06.23/1130 23.4/68.6 115-125Gusting To 140 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
    15.06.23/2330 24.0/69.3 55-65 Gusting To 75 Severe Cyclonic Storm
    16.06.23/1130 24.6/70.1 40-50 Gusting to 60 Depression
    i) Heavy Rainfall warning for Gujarat State:(Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar,
    Jamnagar, Rajkot, Junagarh and Morbi districts):

    14th June 2023


    Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated
    places very likely over Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Rajkot, Junagarh
    and Morbi districts of Saurashtra & Kutch.

    15th June 2023


    The intensity of rainfall would increase with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places
    and extremely heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Kutch, Devbhumi
    Dwarka & Jamnagar and heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places over Porbandar,
    Rajkot, Morbi & Junagarh districts of Saurashtra & Kutch.

    Isolated heavy rainfall is very likely over remaining districts of Saurashtra and north
    Gujarat region on 15 June.
    ii) Wind warning:

    1) Wind warning along & off North Gujarat coast (Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar,
    Jamnagar, Rajkot, Junagarh and Morbi districts) including Gulf of Kutch:

    ➢ Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph on 11th June, 45-55 kmph
    gusting to 65 kmph during 12th and becoming 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph from 13th to
    evening of 14th June.
    ➢ Gale wind speed reaching 65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph very likely to prevail from 14th June
    evening and becoming 120-130 kmph gusting to 145 kmph from 15th morning for subsequent
    12 hours.
    ➢ Squally wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph very likely to prevail along & off
    remaining districts Saurashtra coast on 14th & 15th June.

    2) 11th June: Gale wind speed reaching 160-175 kmph gusting to 195 kmph is prevailing
    over eastcentral and adjoining westcentral & northeast Arabian Sea.
    12th June: Gale wind speed reaching 150-165 kmph gusting to 185 kmph is likely to
    prevail over northeast and adjoining central Arabian Sea.

    13th June: Gale wind speed reaching 145-155 kmph gusting to 170 kmph is likely to
    prevail over northeast and adjoining central Arabian Sea. Gale wind speed reaching
    80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph over adjoining areas of northwest Arabian Sea.
    14th June : Gale wind speed reaching 135-145 kmph gusting to 160 kmph is likely to
    prevail over northeast Arabian Sea. Gale wind speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to
    90 kmph over adjoining areas of central & northwest Arabian Sea.
    15th June: Gale wind speed reaching 125-135 kmph gusting to 150 kmph is likely to
    prevail over northeast Arabian Sea and likely to decrease becoming 100-110 kmph gusting
    to 125 kmph from evening over the region. Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph
    gusting to 70 kmph is likely over adjoining areas of central Arabian Sea.

    (iii) Sea condition


    1) Along & off Saurashtra & Kutch coasts:
    Sea conditions likely to be rough to very rough till 14th evening and high to phenomenal thereafter
    till 15th June noon and improve thereafter.
    2) 11th June: Sea condition is likely to be phenomenal over eastcentral and adjoining westcentral &
    northeast Arabian Sea.
    12th June: Sea condition is likely to be phenomenal over northeast and adjoining central Arabian
    Sea.
    13th June: Sea condition is likely to be phenomenal over northeast and adjoining northwest &
    central Arabian Sea
    14th June: Sea condition is likely to be phenomenal to very high over northeast and adjoining
    northwest Arabian Sea and high to very rough sea condition is likely over adjoining areas of
    central Arabian Sea.
    15th June: Sea condition is likely to be very high to phenomenal over northeast and very rough
    to high over adjoining northwest Arabian Sea and very rough to rough sea condition over adjoining
    areas of central Arabian Sea.
    (iv) Storm Surge Warning (Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar and Morbi
    districts)
    Storm surge of about 2 -3 m above the astronomical tide is likely to inundate the low-lying areas
    of above districts during the time of landfall.

    (v) Damage expected over Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Morbi & Junagarh
    & Rajkot districts of Gujarat on 15th June:
    ➢ Total destruction of thatched houses/ extensive damage to kutcha houses. Some damage to
    Pucca houses. Potential threat from flying objects.
    ➢ Bending/ uprooting of power and communication poles.
    ➢ Major damage to Kutcha and Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes. Minor disruption of
    railways, overhead power lines and signalling systems.
    ➢ Widespread damage to standing crops, plantations, orchards, falling of green coconuts and
    tearing of palm fronds. Blowing down of bushy trees like mango.
    ➢ Small boats, country crafts may get detached from moorings.
    ➢ Visibility severely affected.
    (vi) Fishermen Warning & Action Suggested (Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar,
    Rajkot, Junagarh and Morbi districts) and for Offshore & Onshore Industries (Graphics
    Attached):
    ➢ Total suspension of fishing operations over eastcentral and adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea till
    15th June. north and adjoining central Arabian Sea during 12th -15th June
    ➢ Fishermen are advised not to venture into:
    o Central Arabian Sea till 15th June.
    o North and adjoining central Arabian Sea during 12th -15th June.
    ➢ Those out at sea are advised to return to coast.
    ➢ Judicious regulation of offshore and onshore activities.
    ➢ Mobilise evacuation from coastal areas.
    ➢ Judicious regulation of rail and road traffic.
    ➢ People in affected areas to remain indoors.
    ➢ Movement in motor boats and small ships all & off these coasts to be avoided.
    vii) Port Warning: issued

    ➢ Signal: Keep Hoisted Signal LW 4 at the North Gujarat ports( PORBANDAR, OKHA,
    BEDI GROUP OF PORTS, NAVLAKHI, MAND VI, MUND RA, JAKHA U) and Keep
    hoisted Distant Warning signal II- ( DW- II ) at all ports of South Gujarat in all
    South Gujarat Ports ( VERA VAL, JAFRABAD, ALANG, BHA VNAGAR, DAHEJ AND
    MAGDALLA)

    The systems are under continuous surveillance and the next message will be issued at 1430 hours
    IST of 11th June, 2023.

    (Manorama Mohanty)
    Scientist-E & Head
    India Meteorological department
    Ahmedabad
    District wise heavy rainfall warning Map for 14th and 15th June 2023

    Wind Warning Map from 11th to 15th June


    Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
    “Biparjoy”
    (18.2N/67.7E)
    OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK ALONGWITH CONE OF
    UNCERTAINITY OF EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
    “BIPARJOY” OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA BASED ON
    0600 UTC (1130 IST) OF 11TH JUNE 2023.

    Forecast DISTANCE(KM) AND DIRECTION FROM STATIONS


    Date and Time PORBANDAR BOMBAY / COLABA GOA/PANJIM KARACHI AIRPORT MASIRAH
    12.06.23/0600 330, SW 560, W 800, NW 610, S 920, E
    13.06.23/0600 260, WSW 620, WNW 910, NW 450, S 880, E
    14.06.23/0600 220, W 660, WNW 990, NW 320, S 910, E
    15.06.23/0600 230, NNW 670, NW 1040, NNW 230, SE 1050, ENE
    16.06.23/0600 330, N 690, NNW 1080, NNW 300, E 1230, ENE
    OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK ALONGWITH QUADRANT WIND
    DISTRIBUTION OF EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
    “BIPARJOY” OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA BASED ON 0600 UTC
    (1130 IST) OF 11TH JUNE 2023.
    Storm Surge Warning Map based on Forecast Track

    Astronomical Tide on 15th June 2023


    Station Time (IST) Height (m)
    Porbandar 09:37 2.61
    Navlakhi 13:38 7.54
    OKHA 11:36 3.74
    DEENDAYAL PORT (KANDLA) 13:02 6.79

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