47 - D395a7 - 59. National Bulletin 20230613 - 0900

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India Meteorological Department

(Ministry of Earth Sciences)

BULLETIN NO. 59 (ARB/01/2023)

TIME OF ISSUE: 1700 HOURS IST DATED: 13.06.2023

FROM: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT (FAX NO. 24643965/24699216/24623220)


TO: CONTROL ROOM, NDM, MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS (FAX.NO. 23093750)
CONTROL ROOM NDMA (FAX.NO. 26701729)
CABINET SECRETARIAT (FAX.NO.23012284, 23018638)
PS TO HON’BLE MINISTER FOR S & T AND EARTH SCIENCES (FAX NO.23316745)
SECRETARY, MOES (FAX NO. 24629777)
H.Q. (INTEGRATED DEFENCE STAFF AND CDS) (FAX NO. 23005137/23005147)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, DOORDARSHAN (23385843)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, AIR (23421105, 23421219)
PIB MOES (FAX NO. 23389042)
UNI (FAX NO. 23355841)
D.G. NATIONAL DISASTER RESPONSE FORCE (NDRF) (FAX NO. 26105912, 2436 3260)
DIRECTOR, PUNCTUALITY, INDIAN RAILWAYS (FAX NO. 23388503)
CHIEF SECRETARY, KERALA (FAX NO. 0471-2327176)
ADMINISTRATOR, LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS (FAX NO. 0413-262184)
CHIEF SECRETARY, TAMILNADU (FAX NO. 044-25672304)
CHIEF SECRETARY, GOA (FAX NO. 0832-2415201)
CHIEF SECRETARY, KARNATAKA (FAX NO. 080-22258913)
CHIEF SECRETARY, MAHARASHTRA (FAX NO. 022- 22028594)
CHIEF SECRETARY, GUJARAT (FAX NO. 079-23250305)
CHIEF SECRETARY, DAMAN & DIU (FAX NO. 0260-2230775)
CHIEF SECRETARY, DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI (FAX NO. 0260-2645466)
Sub: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “Biparjoy” (pronounced as “Biporjoy”) over
Northeast Arabian Sea: Cyclone Warning for Saurashtra & Kutch Coasts
(Orange Message)

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “Biparjoy” (pronounced as “Biporjoy”) over


Northeast Arabian Sea moved nearly northwestwards with a speed of 8 kmph during past
6-hours and lay centered at 1430 hours IST of today, the 13th June, 2023 over the same
region near latitude 21.1°N and longitude 66.5°E, about 300 km west-southwest of
Devbhumi Dwarka, 330 km west of Porbandar, 320 km southwest of Jakhau Port, 340 km
southwest of Naliya and 430 km south of Karachi (Pakistan).

It is very likely to move nearly northwards till 13th midnight, then move north-
northeastwards and cross Saurashtra & Kutch and adjoining Pakistan coasts between
Mandvi (Gujarat) and Karachi (Pakistan) near Jakhau Port (Gujarat) around evening of
15th June as a very severe cyclonic storm with maximum sustained wind speed of 125-
135 kmph gusting to 150 kmph.
Forecast track and intensity are given below:
Date/Time(IST) Position Maximum sustained surface Category of cyclonic
(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) wind speed (Kmph) disturbance
13.06.23/1430 21.1/66.5 150-160 Gusting To 180 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
13.06.23/1730 21.4/66.6 145-155 Gusting To 170 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
13.06.23/2330 21.7/66.7 140-150 Gusting To 165 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
14.06.23/0530 22.0/67.0 135-145 Gusting To 160 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
14.06.23/1130 22.3/67.3 135-145 Gusting To 160 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
14.06.23/2330 22.7/67.7 130-140 Gusting To 155 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
15.06.23/1130 23.2/68.2 125-135 Gusting To 150 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
15.06.23/2330 23.6/68.6 105-115 Gusting To 125 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
16.06.23/1130 24.1/69.3 70-80 Gusting To 90 Cyclonic Storm
16.06.23/2330 24.5/70.2 40-50 Gusting To 60 Depression
(i) Heavy Rainfall warning:
 Light to moderate rainfall at many places in Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Junagarh
and Rajkot districts of Saurashtra & Kutch with isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall on 13th June.
 Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall and extremely heavy falls at
isolated places very likely over Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Rajkot, Junagarh and
Morbi districts of Saurashtra & Kutch on 14thJune.
 The intensity of rainfall would increase with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places and extremely
heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka & Jamnagar and heavy to very
heavy rainfall at a few places over Porbandar, Rajkot, Morbi & Junagarh districts of Gujarat and Isolated
heavy to very heavy rainfall is very likely over remaining districts of Saurashtra and north Gujarat region
on 15th June.
 Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places very
likely over north Gujarat and adjoining south Rajasthan on 16th June.

(ii) Wind warning:


Northeast Arabian Sea: Gale wind speed reaching 150-160 kmph gusting to 180 kmph prevailing over the
region likely to decrease becoming 125-135 kmph gusting 150 kmph by 15th morning to evening. It would
weaken gradually further more thereafter becoming 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph by 16th morning.
Eastcentral Arabian Sea: Gale wind speed reaching 150-160 kmph gusting to 180 kmph prevailing over
the region likely to decrease becoming 90-100 kmph gusting to 110 kmph on 14th morning and 40-50 kmph
gusting to 60 kmph on 16th morning.
Wind warning along & off Saurashtra & Kutch coasts (Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar,
Jamnagar, Rajkot, Junagarh and Morbi districts) including Gulf of Kutch:
 Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph prevailing over these regions and likely to
continue till 13th midnight.
 It would increase becoming Gale wind speed reaching 65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph from 14th June
morning along & off Porbandar & Devbhoomi Dwarka district coasts.
 It would become 125-135 kmph gusting to 150 kmph from 15th morning for subsequent 12 hours along &
off Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Rajkot, Junagarh and Morbi districts. Thereafter it
would decrease gradually becoming 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph over north Gujarat and adjoining
south Rajasthan from 16th morning to evening.
 Squally wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph very likely to prevail along & off remaining
districts of Saurashtra coast on 14th & 15th June and 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph during 16th morning
to evening.
(iii) Sea condition
Sea condition will be phenomenal over northeast and adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea till 15th evening and
rough to very rough over adjoining northwest Arabian Sea and rest parts of eastcentral Arabian Sea during
the same period.
Along & off Saurashtra& Kutch coasts:
Sea condition is likely to be rough to very rough till 14th morning and high to phenomenal thereafter till 15th
June evening and would improve thereafter.
(iv) Storm Surge Warning (Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagarh and Morbi districts)
Storm surge of about 2 -3 m above the astronomical tide is likely to inundate the low lying areas of above
districts during the time of landfall. The astronomical tides along these districts could be upto 3-6 meters in
different places.
(v) Damage expected over Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Morbi & Junagarh &
Rajkot districts of Gujarat on 15th June:
 Total destruction of thatched houses/ extensive damage to kutcha houses. Some damage to Pucca houses.
 Potential threat from flying objects.
 Bending/ uprooting of power and communication poles.
 Major damage to Kutcha and Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes. Disruption of railways, overhead
power lines and signalling systems.
 Widespread damage to standing crops, plantations, orchards, falling of green coconuts and tearing of
palm fronds. Blowing down of bushy trees like mango.
 Small boats, country crafts may get detached from moorings.
 Visibility severely affected due to salt spray.
(vi) Fishermen Warning & Action Suggested (Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar,
Rajkot, Junagarh and Morbi districts) and for Offshore & Onshore Industries (Graphics Attached):
 Total suspension of fishing operations over
o Eastcentral and adjoining Westcentral Arabian Sea till 15th June.
o Northeast Arabian Sea during 13th -15th June
 Those out at sea are advised to return to coast.
 Judicious regulation of offshore and onshore activities.
 Ports along the west coast of India may take necessary precautions.
 Naval base operations may maintain necessary precautions.
 Movement in motor boats and small ships all & off these coasts to be avoided.
 Mobilise evacuation from coastal areas of Saurashtra and Kutch (Kutch, Devbhumi Dwarka,
Porbandar, Jamnagar, Rajkot, Junagarh and Morbi districts).
 Judicious regulation of rail and road traffic.
 People in affected areas to remain indoors.
 Tourism activities may be restricted over these areas.
 Preparatory actions before the cyclones.

The system is under continuous surveillance and the next message will be issued at 2030 hours IST of
today, the 13th June, 2023.

(Ananda Kumar Das)


Scientist F, Cyclone Warning Division, New Delhi

Copy to: ACWC Kolkata/ ACWC Chennai/ CWC Bhubaneswar/CWCVisakhapatnam/CWC


Ahmedabad/ MO Port Blair/MC Raipur/MC Bhopal/MC Hyderabad/RMC Nagpur

LEGEND: Heavy Rainfall: 64.5 to 115.5mm, Very Heavy Rainfall: 115.6 to 204.4mm Most Places:
more than 76% of total stations, Isolated Places: Less than 25% of total
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “Biparjoy”
(21.1°N/66.5°E)
Radar Imagery of Doppler Weather Radar at Bhuj
OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK ALONGWITH CONE OF UNCERTAINITY OF VERY
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM “BIPARJOY” OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA BASED ON
0600 UTC (1130 IST) OF 13TH JUNE 2023.

Forecast DISTANCE(KM) AND DIRECTION FROM STATIONS


Date and Time PORBANDAR DWARKA JAKHAU PORT NALIYA KARACHI AIRPORT
14.06.23/0600 250, WNW 180, W 160, SW 190, SW 280, S
15.06.23/0600 230, NW 130, NW 50, W 70, W 220, SSE
16.06.23/0600 280, N 190, N 120, NE 110, NNE 240, ESE
OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK ALONGWITH QUADRANT WIND DISTRIBUTION OF
VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM “BIPARJOY” OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA BASED
ON 0600 UTC (1130 IST) OF 13TH JUNE 2023.

.
All India Heavy Rainfall Warning for 14th to 16th June 2023
District-wise Heavy Rainfall Warning Maps for 14th to 16th June
Cyclone Biparjoy Flood Hazard Map (Tehsil-wise) on 15th June – Flood Depth
District-wise Wind Warning Maps for 14th to 16th June
Cyclone Biparjoy Wind Hazard Map (Tehsil-wise) on 15th June - Wind Speeds
District-wise Heavy Rainfall Warning Maps for 16th June for Rajasthan
District-wise Wind Warning Maps on 16th and 17th June for Rajasthan
Storm Surge Warning Map based on Forecast Track

Astronomical Tide on 15th June 2023


Station Time (IST) Height (m)
Porbandar 09:37 2.61
Navlakhi 13:38 7.54
OKHA 11:36 3.74
DEENDAYAL PORT (KANDLA) 13:02 6.79

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