PRESS RELEASE Dated 16th May 2020 PDF

Government of India
Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department
PRESS RELEASE -4
Time of issue: 1230 hours IST Dated: 16-05-2020
Sub: Depression over southeast Bay of Bengal and its likely intensification into a Cyclonic Storm:
Pre-cyclone Watch for West Bengal and North Odisha coasts (Yellow Message)
Yesterday’s well marked low pressure area concentrated into a depression in the early
morning of today and lay centered at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 16th May, 2020 over southeast
Bay of Bengal (BoB) near latitude 10.7°N and longitude 86.5°E, about 1060 km south of Paradip
(Odisha), 1220 km south-southwest of Digha (West Bengal) and 1310 km south-southwest of
Khepupara (Bangladesh).
It is very likely to intensify rapidly into a Cyclonic Storm during next 12 hours and further
into a severe cyclonic storm during subsequent 24 hours. It is very likely to move north-
northwestwards initially till 17th May and then re-curve north-northeastwards across northwest
Bay of Bengal towards West Bengal coast during 18th to 20th May 2020.
Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:
Date/Time(IST) Position Maximum sustained surface Category of cyclonic
(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E) wind speed (Kmph) disturbance
16.05.20/0830 10.7/86.5 45-55 gusting to 65 Depression
16.05.20/1130 10.9/86.3 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep Depression
16.05.20/1730 11.2/86.2 60-70 gusting to 80 Cyclonic Storm
16.05.20/2330 11.8/86.1 75-85 gusting to 95 Cyclonic Storm
17.05.20/0530 12.3/86.0 90-100 gusting to 110 Severe Cyclonic Storm
18.05.20/0530 14.3/86.1 120-130 gusting to 145 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
19.05.20/1730 18.2/86.7 170-180 gusting to 200 Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
20.05.20/0530 19.8/87.3 160-170 gusting to 190 Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm
Warnings:
(i) Rainfall warning
 Rainfall (over Andaman & Nicobar Islands)
Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy falls at isolated places is very likely over Andaman &
Nicobar Islands on 16th May.
 Rainfall (over Odisha & Gangetic West Bengal)
 Coastal Odisha is likely to experience light to moderate rainfall at many places with heavy falls at
isolated places from 18th May evening, heavy to very heavy rainfalls at a few places on 19th May
and isolated heavy rainfall over northeast Odisha on 20th May 2020.
 Coastal districts of Gangetic West Bengal are likely to experience light to moderate rainfall at
many places with heavy falls at a few places on 19th May, heavy to very heavy falls at a few
places with extremely heavy falls at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal on 20th May.
Contact: Cyclone Warning Division, Office of the Director General of Meteorology,

India Meteorological Department, Ministry of Earth Sciences.
Phone: (91) 11-24652484, FAX: (91) 11-24643128, 24623220, E-mail:cwdhq2008@gmail.com, Website: rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.
(ii) Wind warning
 Squally wind speed reaching 45 to 55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is likely along and off Odisha coast
from 19th morning and along and off West Bengal coast from 19th afternoon. The wind speed will
gradually increase becoming gale wind speed reaching 75 to 85 kmph gusting to 95 kmph from 20th
morning along and off north Odisha and West Bengal coast. It will gradually increase thereafter.
 Squally wind speed reaching 45 to 55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is likely over Andaman Sea during
next 48 hours.
 Squally wind speed reaching 45 to 55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is prevailing over southeast and
adjoining southwest BoB. It is likely to increase becoming 90-100 gusting to 110 kmph over
eastcentral & adjoining westcentral BoB by 17th morning, 120-130 gusting to 145 kmph over southern
parts of central BoB by 18th morning, 155-165 gusting to 180 kmph over northern parts of central
BoB and adjoining north BoB on 19th and 160-170 gusting to 190 kmph over north BoB by 20th
morning.
(iii) Sea condition
Sea condition will be rough to very rough over south & adjoining central BoB and Andaman Sea till 16th
May afternoon. It will be High over southwest and adjoining central BoB from the 16th May evening, very
high over the same region from 17th morning. It will become phenomenal over southern parts of central
BoB on 18th, over northern parts of central & adjoining north BoB on 19th May and over north BoB on 20th
May 2020.
(iv) Fishermen Warning
 The fishermen are advised not to venture into south BoB from 16th to 17th May, into central BoB
during 17th to 18th May and north BoB during 19 to 20th May 2020.
 Also, fishermen are advised not to venture into north BoB along and off North Odisha, West Bengal
and adjoining Bangladesh coast during 18th to 20th May 2020.
The system is under continuous surveillance and the concerned state governments are being informed
regularly.
Kindly visit www.rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in and www.mausam.imd.gov.in for updates on the system.

DEPRESSION 10.7N/86.5E


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Government of India

Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department

Contact: Cyclone Warning Division, Office of the Director General of Meteorology,

Contact: Cyclone Warning Division, Office of the Director General of Meteorology,

Contact: Cyclone Warning Division, Office of the Director General of Meteorology,

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