Probability 1
Probability 1
1. M16/qp22/q21 (0580)
1
Dan either walks or cycles to school. The probability that he cycles to school is 3 .
[2]
c. Calculate the probability that
i. Dan cycles to school and is late, [2]
ii. Dan is not late. [3]
2. S16/qp21/q19 (0580)
The probability of a cricket team winning or losing in their first two matches is shown in the
tree diagram.
Find the probability that the cricket team wins at least one match. [3]
3. S17/qp11/q9
A bag contains red and blue pegs. There are 40 pegs in the bag. The probability of choosing a
red peg from the bag is 0.4.
Each time an archer fires an arrow, the probability that she hits the target is 0.7 . She fires
two arrows.
Jim plays for his local football team. The probability that Jim plays in the next match is 0.7. If
Jim plays in the match, the probability of his team winning is 0.8. If Jim does not play in the
match, the probability of his team winning is 0.6.
6. W19/qp21/q20 (0580)
9
The probability that the school bus is late is 10 . If the school bus is late, the probability that
15
Seb travels on the bus is 16 . If the school bus is on time, the probability that Seb travels on
3
the bus is 4 . Find the probability that Seb travels on the bus. [3]
7. W19/qp22/q18 (0580)
Harris is taking a driving test. The probability that he passes the driving test at the first
attempt is 0.6 . If he fails, the probability that he passes at any further attempt is 0.75 .
Calculate the probability that Harris
8. W20/qp12/q15
Two bags contain beads. The first bag contains 7 beads, of which 3 are red and 4 are white.
The second bag contains 5 beads, of which 2 are red and 3 are blue. One bead is taken, at
random, from each bag. The tree diagram is shown below.
a. Helen takes one disc at random, records the colour and replaces it in the bag. She
does this 140 times. Find how many times she expects to take a green disc. [2]
b. Helen adds 9 green discs and some pink discs to the discs already in the bag. The
2
probability of taking a green disc is now 7. Find the number of pink discs that Helen
added to the bag. [2]
10. S21/qp11/q11
a. In a survey, 3 out of every 100 women were taller than 1.9m. One of these 100 women is
picked at random. Calculate the probability that she is not taller than 1.9m. [1]
b. A new housing estate is being planned. There are three possible plans: A, B and C. A
survey was carried out to see which plan people preferred. The relative frequency table
shows the results.
11. S21/qp12/q7
A bag contains coloured counters. A counter is taken from the bag at random. The table
shows the probabilities of taking a counter of each colour. Complete the table. [2]
2. 5/6
3. (a)16 (b)80
4. (a) Probabilities 0.7 and 0.3 on the correct branches 1(b)(i) 0.49 oe (b)(ii) 0.42 oe
5.(a)0.7,0.3,0.2,0.4 (b)0.74
6.147/160
7.(a)0.3 (b)0.975
9.(a)50 (b)26
11. 0.13
12. 0.845