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Exp-1 Minor - AAI

The document outlines an experiment for creating a Bayesian network aimed at outcome prediction in the context of Advanced Artificial Intelligence. It explains the theory behind Bayesian networks, including their structure as directed acyclic graphs and their applications in various probabilistic tasks. The conclusion confirms the implementation of a Bayesian Network for predicting outcomes.

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harshmulik03
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11 views2 pages

Exp-1 Minor - AAI

The document outlines an experiment for creating a Bayesian network aimed at outcome prediction in the context of Advanced Artificial Intelligence. It explains the theory behind Bayesian networks, including their structure as directed acyclic graphs and their applications in various probabilistic tasks. The conclusion confirms the implementation of a Bayesian Network for predicting outcomes.

Uploaded by

harshmulik03
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Class: - B.E.D.S.

Semester: - VIII
Subject: Advanced Artificial Intelligence A.Y: - 2024-25
Experiment - 1

To create a Bayesian Network

Aim: To create a Bayesian network for outcome prediction.

Theory:
Bayesian belief network is key computer technology for dealing with probabilistic events and to solve a problem
which has uncertainty. We can define a Bayesian network as:
"A Bayesian network is a probabilistic graphical model which represents a set of variables and their conditional
dependencies using a directed acyclic graph." It is also called a Bayes network, belief network, decision
network, or Bayesian model.

Bayesian networks are probabilistic, because these networks are built from a probability distribution, and also
use probability theory for prediction and anomaly detection.

Real world applications are probabilistic in nature, and to represent the relationship between multiple events, we
need a Bayesian network. It can also be used in various tasks including prediction, anomaly detection, diagnostics,
automated insight, reasoning, time series prediction, and decision making under uncertainty.

Bayesian Network can be used for building models from data and experts opinions, and it consists of two parts:

• Directed Acyclic Graph


• Table of conditional probabilities.

The generalized form of Bayesian network that represents and solve decision problems under uncertain
knowledge is known as an Influence diagram.

A Bayesian network graph is made up of nodes and Arcs (directed links), where:

• Each node corresponds to the random variables, and a variable can be continuous or discrete.
• Arc or directed arrows represent the causal relationship or conditional probabilities between random
variables. These directed links or arrows connect the pair of nodes in the graph.
• In the above diagram, A, B, C, and D are random variables represented by the nodes of the network graph.
• If we are considering node B, which is connected with node A by a directed arrow, then node A is called
the parent of Node B.
• Node C is independent of node A.
• The Bayesian network graph does not contain any cyclic graph. Hence, it is known as a directed acyclic
graph or DAG.

Each node in the Bayesian network has condition probability distribution P(Xi |Parent(Xi) ), which determines
the effect of the parent on that node.
Class: - B.E.D.S. Semester: - VIII
Subject: Advanced Artificial Intelligence A.Y: - 2024-25

Joint probability distribution:


If we have variables x1, x2, x3,....., xn, then the probabilities of a different combination of x1, x2, x3.. xn, are
known as Joint probability distribution.

P[x1, x2, x3,....., xn], it can be written as the following way in terms of the joint probability distribution.

= P[x1| x2, x3,....., xn]P[x2, x3,....., xn]

= P[x1| x2, x3,....., xn]P[x2|x3,....., xn]....P[xn-1|xn]P[xn].

Conclusion:
Thus we have implemented a Bayesian Network for outcome prediction.

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