India Meteorological Department Earth System Science Organisation (Ministry of Earth Sciences)

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India Meteorological Department

Earth System Science Organisation


(Ministry of Earth Sciences)

INFORMATORY MESSAGE: 01 (BOB 01/2020)


TIME OF ISSUE: 1330 HOURS IST DATED: 13.05.2020
FROM: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT (FAX NO. 24643965/24699216/24623220)
TO: CONTROL ROOM, NDM, MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS (FAX.NO. 23093750)
CONTROL ROOM NDMA (FAX.NO. 26701729)
CABINET SECRETARIAT (FAX.NO.23012284, 23018638)
PS TO HON’BLE MINISTER FOR S & T AND EARTH SCIENCES (FAX NO.23316745)
SECRETARY, MOES, (FAX NO. 24629777)
H.Q. (INTEGRATED DEFENCE STAFF AND CDS) (FAX NO. 23005137/23005147)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, DOORDARSHAN (23385843)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, AIR (23421105, 23421219)
PIB MOES (FAX NO. 23389042)
UNI (FAX NO. 23355841)
D.G. NATIONAL DISASTER RESPONSE FORCE (NDRF) (FAX NO. 26105912, 2436 3260)
DIRECTOR, PUNCTUALITY, INDIAN RAILWAYS (FAX NO. 23388503)
CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS (FAX NO. 03192- 232656)
CHIEF SECRETARY, WEST BENGAL (FAX NO. 033-22144328)
CHIEF SECRETARY, GOVT. OF ODISHA (FAX NO. 0674 -2536660)
CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDHRA PRADESH (FAX NO. 0863-2441029, 08645-246600)
CHIEF SECRETARY, TAMIL NADU (FAX NO. 044-25672304)
CHIEF SECRETARY, PUDUCHERRY (FAX NO. 0413-2337575, 2334145)
CHIEF SECRETARY, KERALA (FAX NO. 0413-2337575, 2327176, 2327395)
CHIEF SECRETARY, LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS (FAX NO. 0413-262184)

Sub: Formation of a Low Pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining south
Andaman Sea and its likely intensification into a Cyclonic Storm by 16th May, evening.
A Low Pressure Area has formed over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining south
Andaman Sea, in the morning of today, the 13th May 2020.
It is very likely to concentrate into a Depression over central parts of south Bay of Bengal on
15th and further intensify into a Cyclonic Storm over southwest and adjoining west-central Bay of
Bengal by 16th evening. It is very likely to move northwestwards initially till 17th May and then re-curve
north-northeastwards.
In association with the above system, the conditions will become favourable for advance of
southwest monsoon over south Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea and Andaman & Nicobar Islands
around 16th May 2020.
Under its influence, the following adverse weather is likely over south & central Bay of Bengal
and adjoining Andaman Sea from 15th May onwards.

Warnings:

(i) Rainfall (over Andaman & Nicobar Islands):


• Light to moderate rainfall at most places very likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands on 15th &
16th May. Andaman Islands are also likely to experience heavy rainfall at a few places on these
two days.

(ii) Wind warning


• Squally winds, speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is likely to prevail over south and
adjoining central Bay of Bengal on 15th May 2020, 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph over the same
region on 16th May. Wind speed is likely to increase further becoming Gale force winds speed
reaching 65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph over southwest and adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal
from the evening of 16th May. Squally winds, speed reaching 45-55 kmph are likely to prevail over
Andaman Sea on 15th & 16th May.
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.
LOW PRESSURE AREA

Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.

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