India Meteorological Department Earth System Science Organisation (Ministry of Earth Sciences)
India Meteorological Department Earth System Science Organisation (Ministry of Earth Sciences)
India Meteorological Department Earth System Science Organisation (Ministry of Earth Sciences)
Sub: Formation of a Low Pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining south
Andaman Sea and its likely intensification into a Cyclonic Storm by 16th May, evening.
A Low Pressure Area has formed over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining south
Andaman Sea, in the morning of today, the 13th May 2020.
It is very likely to concentrate into a Depression over central parts of south Bay of Bengal on
15th and further intensify into a Cyclonic Storm over southwest and adjoining west-central Bay of
Bengal by 16th evening. It is very likely to move northwestwards initially till 17th May and then re-curve
north-northeastwards.
In association with the above system, the conditions will become favourable for advance of
southwest monsoon over south Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea and Andaman & Nicobar Islands
around 16th May 2020.
Under its influence, the following adverse weather is likely over south & central Bay of Bengal
and adjoining Andaman Sea from 15th May onwards.
Warnings:
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.