Date/time (IST) Position (Lat. N/ Long. E) Maximum Sustained Surface Wind Speed (KMPH) Category of Cyclonic Disturbance
Date/time (IST) Position (Lat. N/ Long. E) Maximum Sustained Surface Wind Speed (KMPH) Category of Cyclonic Disturbance
Date/time (IST) Position (Lat. N/ Long. E) Maximum Sustained Surface Wind Speed (KMPH) Category of Cyclonic Disturbance
DATED: 11.12.2016
Sub:
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, VARDAH over west central and adjoining southwest Bay
of Bengal: Cyclone Alert for South Andhra Pradesh and north Tamil Nadu Coasts
The very severe cyclonic storm, VARDAH over west central and adjoining south Bay of Bengal
moved further westwards during past 06 hrs with a speed of 11 kmph and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST
of today, the 11th December, 2016 over west central and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal near
Latitude 13.3N and Longitude 84.7E, about 520 km east-southeast of Nellore, 490 km eastsoutheast of Machilipatnam and 480 km east-northeast of Chennai. The system is very likely to move
nearly west-southwestwards and maintain its intensity upto the evening of today, the 11th December
2016. Thereafter, it is likely to weaken gradually while moving towards south Andhra Pradesh coast
and adjoining north Tamilnadu coast. It is very likely to cross north Tamilnadu and south Andhra
Pradesh coast, close to Chennai by 12th December 2016 afternoon.
Forecast track and intensity of the system are given in the table below:
Date/time(IST)
11-12-2016/0530
Position
(lat. 0N/ long. 0E)
13.3/84.7
Maximum sustained
surface wind speed (kmph)
125-135 gusting to 150
Category of cyclonic
Disturbance
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
11-12-2016/1130
13.2/83.8
11-12-2016/1730
13.1/82.9
11-12-2016/2330
13.0/82.1
12-12-2016/0530
12.9/81.3
Cyclonic Storm
12-12-2016/1730
12.9/79.6
55-65 gusting to 75
Deep Depression
13-12-2016/0530
13.0/78.0
40-50 gusting to 60
Depression
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 124.4, Very heavy rain: 124.5 200.4, Extremely heavy rain: 200.5 or more.
Warning:
(i)
Heavy Rainfall Warning: Light to moderate rainfall at many places with isolated
heavy to very heavy falls over south coastal Andhra Pradesh and north coastal Tamil
Nadu is very likely to commence from 11th December evening for subsequent 36 hrs.
Light to moderate rainfall very likely over north coastal Andhra Pradesh during the
same period.
(ii)
Wind warning: Squally winds speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph would
prevail along and off Andhra Pradesh and adjoining north Tamil Nadu coasts
commencing from 11th December night. It will gradually increase becoming 70-80
kmph gusting to 90 kmph at the time of landfall.
(iii)
Sea condition: Sea condition would be rough to very rough along & off Andhra
Pradesh and north Tamil Nadu coasts commencing from 11th December night. Sea
condition along and off these coasts will become high from 12th December morning
(iv)
(v)
Next bulletin will be issued at 1130 hrs IST of 11th December 2016
(SHAMBU RAVINDREN)
Scientist-B
IMD, New Delhi
Copy to: DFDD, Pune/ACWC Kolkata /ACWC Chennai/CWC Vishakhapatnam/CWC
Bhubaneswar/MC Hyderabad/MO Port Blair
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 124.4, Very heavy rain: 124.5 200.4, Extremely heavy rain: 200.5 or more.
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 124.4, Very heavy rain: 124.5 200.4, Extremely heavy rain: 200.5 or more.
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: <25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 124.4, Very heavy rain: 124.5 200.4, Extremely heavy rain: 200.5 or more.