T2. Exercise 2 - Probability
T2. Exercise 2 - Probability
T2. Exercise 2 - Probability
PROBABILITY
Statistics (14362)
Statistics (14200)
Statistics (13986)
Department of statistics
1
Exercise 1
• Which of the following can be a probability function?
2
Exercise 1
• Which of the following can be a probability function?
ANSWER: C
Function A has negative values
Function B has a sum bigger than 1 3
Exercise 2
• The probability to observe a 6 in a loaded dice is three times higher than
the rest of outcomes. Calculate the probability to get a 3.
4
Exercise 2
• The probability to observe a 6 in a loaded dice is three times higher than
the rest of outcomes. Calculate the probability to get a 3.
ANSWER: 0.125
𝑃 𝑋 = 6 + 5 𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟 = 1
3 𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟 + 5 𝑃 𝑋 = 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟 = 1
1
𝑃 𝑋=3 =
8
5
Exercise 3
• Given the events A and B, with propabilities: P(A)=0.8 , P(B)=0.7 and
P(A∩B)=0.6. Calculate:
a) 𝑃 𝐴 ∪ 𝐵
b) P A ∩ 𝐵ത
c) 𝑃(𝐴ҧ ∩ 𝐵)
ത
6
Exercise 3
• Given the events A and B, with propabilities: P(A)=0.8 , P(B)=0.7 and
P(A∩B)=0.6. Calculate:
a) 𝑃 𝐴 ∪ 𝐵
ANSWER: 0.9
7
Exercise 3
• Given the events A and B, with propabilities: P(A)=0.8 , P(B)=0.7 and
P(A∩B)=0.6. Calculate:
b) P A ∩ 𝐵ത
ANSWER: 0.2
A
𝑃 A ∩ 𝐵ത = 𝑃 𝐴 − 𝑃 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 =0.8-0.6=0.2
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Exercise 3
• Given the events A and B, with propabilities: P(A)=0.8 , P(B)=0.7 and
P(A∩B)=0.6. Calculate:
c) 𝑃(𝐴ҧ ∩ 𝐵)
ത
ANSWER: 0.1
A
𝑃 𝐴ҧ ∩ 𝐵ത = 𝑃 𝐴 ∪ 𝐵 = 1 − 𝑃 𝐴 ∪ 𝐵 = 0.1
𝑃 𝐴 ∪ 𝐵 = 𝑃 𝐴 + 𝑃 𝐵 − 𝑃 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = 0.8 + 0.7 − 0.6 = 0.9
9
Exercise 4
• The table below shows the probability of the four elements in the sample
space:
x P(x) Given: A= {a, d}; B={a, c, d}; C= {a, b, c}, find the probability of
a)𝑃 𝐵
a 0.4
b 0.2
b)𝑃 𝐴 ∪ 𝐶
c 0.3 c) 𝑃 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵
d 0.1 d)𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐶)ҧ
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Exercise 4
• The table below shows the probability of the four elements in the sample
space:
x P(x) Given: A= {a, d}; B={a, c, d}; C= {a, b, c}, find the probability of
a)𝑃 𝐵
a 0.4
b 0.2 ANSWER: 0.8
c 0.3
d 0.1 𝑃 𝐵 = 𝑃 𝑎 + 𝑃 𝑐 + 𝑃 𝑑 = 0.4 + 0.3 + 0.1 = 0.8
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Exercise 4
• The table below shows the probability of the four elements in the sample
space:
x P(x) Given: A= {a, d}; B={a, c, d}; C= {a, b, c}, find the probability of
b) 𝑃 𝐴 ∪ 𝐶
a 0.4
b 0.2 ANSWER: 1
c 0.3
d 0.1 𝑃 𝐴𝑈𝐶 = 𝑃 𝐴 + 𝑃 𝐶 − 𝑃 𝐴 ∩ 𝐶 = 0.5 + 0.9 − 0.4 = 1
12
Exercise 4
• The table below shows the probability of the four elements in the sample
space:
x P(x) Given: A= {a, d}; B={a, c, d}; C= {a, b, c}, find the probability of
c) 𝑃 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵
a 0.4
b 0.2 ANSWER: 0.5
c 0.3
d 0.1 𝑃 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = 𝑃 𝑎 + 𝑃 𝑑 = 0.5
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Exercise 4
• The table below shows the probability of the four elements in the sample
space:
x P(x) Given: A= {a, d}; B={a, c, d}; C= {a, b, c}, find the probability of
d) 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐶)ҧ
a 0.4
b 0.2 ANSWER: 0.1
c 0.3
d 0.1 𝑃 𝐴𝑈𝐶ҧ = 𝑃 𝑎, 𝑑 ∩ {𝑑} = 𝑃 𝑑 = 0.1
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Exercise 5
• Given Ω={a,b,c}, E1={a,b}, E2={b,c} ; and the probabilities P(E1)=0.6,
P(E2)=0.8, what is the probability P(a)?
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Exercise 5
• Given Ω={a,b,c}, E1={a,b}, E2={b,c} ; and the probabilities P(E1)=0.6,
P(E2)=0.8, what is the probability P(a)? 0.6
ANSWER: 0.2
a b c
0.8
P(a,b)=0.6=P(a)+P(b)
1=P(a,b,c)=P(a,b)+P(b,c)-P(b)=0.6+0.8-P(b) P(b)=0.4
0.6=P(a)+0.4 P(a)=0.2.
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