Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • 10 views

    Work Document

    Uploaded by

    Ahsan Ali

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Work Document

    Uploaded by

    Ahsan Ali
    10 views5 pages

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    10 views5 pages

    Work Document

    Uploaded by

    Ahsan Ali

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    of 5

    1.

    a)

    The probability notations of given informations will be as follows :

    P(T) = 0.15

    P(B) = 0.12

    P(B | T) = 0.3

    b)

    Since P(B | T) is not equal to P(B), events B and T are not independent events.

    c)

    We have to find P(B ∩ T).

    P(B ∩ T) = P(B | T).P(T)

    P(B ∩ T) = 0.3 × 0.15

    P(B ∩ T) = 0.045

    d)

    We have to find P(B U T).

    P(B U T) = P(B) + P(T) - P(B ∩ T)

    P(B U T) = 0.15 + 0.12 - 0.045


    P(B U T) = 0.225

    e)

    We have to find P(T | B).

    P( B ∩T )
    P ( T|B )=
    P(B)

    0.045
    P ( T|B )=
    0.12

    P(T | B) = 0.375

    Hence the required probability is 0.375.


    2.

    (a)

    The given information in probability notation are,

    P(D) = 2% = 0.02

    P(Not D) = 1 - P(D) = 1 - 0.02 = 0.98

    P(T | D) = 97% = 0.97

    P(Not T | Not D) = 94% = 0.94

    (b)

    P(T | Not D) = 1 - P(Not T | Not D) = 1 - 0.94 = 0.06

    By law of total probability, probability that a randomly selected person has a positive blood test
    is,

    P(T) = P(T | D) P(D) + P(T | Not D) P(Not D)

    = 0.97 * 0.02 + 0.06 * 0.98

    = 0.0782

    (c)

    Given a randomly selected person has a positive blood test, probability that they have the disease

    = P(D | T)

    = P(T | D) P(D) / P(T) {By Bayes Theorem}

    = 0.97 * 0.02 / 0.0782


    = 0.2480818

    3.

    (A)
    A suitable probability model for X is a binomial distribution.

    The parameters of binomial distribution are the number of trials   and probbaility of success or
    occurence of event P.

    It is denoted as Bin(n,p).

    Binomial distribution is an appropriate model for this situation becuase here we have only two
    possible outcomes (Whether the sold car comes under the warranty or not) and the probability
    for such an event is 0.12 (12%).

    Hence, the given situation has n=175 with probability p = 0.12.

    so it is denoted as Bin (175, 0.12).

    (B)
    The probability that exactly 18 cars require service under the warranty

    The PMF of binomial distribution is given as

    Therefore,

    Hence,
    The Probability that exactly 18 cars require service under the warranty is 0.0766

    (C)
    Probability that at least 18 cars require service under the warranty

    The Probability that at least 18 cars require service under warranty is 0.7910

    4.

    E( x )=4 Var ⁡(x )=2E( y)=6Var ⁡( y)=3X and y are independent

    cov ⁡( x , y )=0z=x− y

    a)

    E( z )=E( x− y)¿ E(x )−E(Y )=4−6=−2E( z )=E( x− y)=−2

    b)

    v( z) ¿ v ( x− y )
    ¿ ¿ 2+3−( 2∗0 )
    ¿ ¿5
    ¿ ¿

    You might also like

    pFad - Phonifier reborn

    Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.

    Note: This service is not intended for secure transactions such as banking, social media, email, or purchasing. Use at your own risk. We assume no liability whatsoever for broken pages.


    Alternative Proxies:

    Alternative Proxy

    pFad Proxy

    pFad v3 Proxy

    pFad v4 Proxy