Chapter 9HW - IEGR351

Chapter 9 Homework -40pts Due 8/12/2020 11:59pm
1. A consumer products company is formulating a new shampoo and is interested in

foam height (in millimeters). Foam height is approximately normally distributed and
has a standard deviation of 20 millimeters. The company wishes to test H 0: μ = 175
millimeters versus H1: μ > 175 millimeters, using the results of n = 10 samples.
a. Find the type I error probability α if the critical region is xbar > 185
The z value is the sample mean decreased by the poupullation mean divided
by the standard deviation
/
The p value is the probability of obtaining a value more extreme or equal to the
standardized test statistics z assuming that the null hypothesis
b. What is the probability of type II error if the true mean foam height is 185
millimeters?
B is the probability of a type II error that is probability of not rejecting the null
hypothesis when the null hypothesis is false
c. Find β for the true mean of 195 millimeters.

The power is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the
alternative hypothesis is true
2. The proportion of adults living in Tempe, Arizona, who are college graduates is
estimated to be p = 0.4. To test this hypothesis, a random sample of 15 Tempe
adults is selected. If the number of college graduates is between 4 and 8, the
hypothesis will be accepted; otherwise, you will conclude that p ≠ 0.4.
a. Find the type I error probability for this procedure, assuming that p = 0.4.
The number of college graduate is between 4 and 8 he hypothesis will be
accepted than equation 1 the type error probability is
is approximately normal
therefore from appendix table III the type error I probability is
Based on the symmetry of the normal distribution is
b. Find the probability of committing a type II error if the true proportion is really
p = 0.2.
In evaluating a hypothesis testing procedure it is also important to examine
the probability of type II error that is
Therefore from appendix table II that type II error probability is
3. Medical researchers have developed a new artificial heart constructed primarily of

titanium and plastic. The heart will last and operate almost indefinitely once it is
implanted in the patient’s body, but the battery pack needs to be recharged about
every 4 hours. A random sample of 50 battery packs is selected and subjected to a
life test. The average life of these batteries is 4.05 hours. Assume that battery life is
normally distributed with standard deviation σ = 0.2 hour.
a. Is there evidence to support the claim that mean battery life exceeds 4 hours?
Use α = 0.05.
The sampling distribution of the samples means has mean U and standard
deviation of
The z- value is the sample mean decrease by the population mean
divided bt he standard deviation
The p-value is the probability of obtaining a value more extreme or equal to

the standard test statistics z
If the p-value is smaller than significance level a then the null hypothesis is
rejected
There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that battery life exceed 4
hours
b. What is the P-value for the test in part (a)?
c. Compute the power of the test if the true mean battery life is 4.5 hours.
The power is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the
alternative is true
The corresponding sample mean is the population means ( of the

hypothesis ) increased by the product of z-score and standard deviation
Determine the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis using table III
d. What sample size would be required to detect a true mean battery life of 4.5
hours if you wanted the power of the test to be at least 0.9
The z-value has to be equal to the z-value of -1.28 that correspond with
power
Thus the minimal sample size for a power of 0.90 is 2

e. Explain how the question in part (a) could be answered by constructing a one-
sided confidence bound on the mean life.
4. For the hypothesis test H0: μ = 7 against H1: μ ≠ 7 with variance unknown and n =
20, approximate the P-value for each of the following test statistics.
If you construct a one-sided confidence bound on the mean life and the mean of the
null hypothesis is less than the bound, then the null hypothesis is not rejected, else
the null hypothesis is rejected
a. t0 = 2.05
b. t0 = −1.84
c. t0 = 0.4
As we can see, this is a two tailed test. Thus, getting the two tailed P values
of these z scores using table/technology,
a)
z0 = 2.05
P(z<-z0 or z > z0) = 0.040364431

b)
z0 = -1.84
P(z<-z0 or z > z0) = 0.06576823

c)
z0 = -1.84
P(z<-z0 or z > z0) = 0.68915651
5. An article in Growth: A Journal Devoted to Problems of Normal and Abnormal

Growth [“Comparison of Measured and Estimated Fat-Free Weight, Fat, Potassium
and Nitrogen of Growing Guinea Pigs” (1982, Vol. 46(4), pp. 306–321)] reported the
results of a study that measured the body weight (in grams) for guinea pigs at birth.
a. Test the hypothesis that mean body weight is 300 grams. Use α = 0.05.
We should test
First find the mean and standard deviation the means is
= 325.496
Find the standard deviation
The critical value is
b. What is the smallest level of significance at which you would be willing to

reject the null hypothesis?
First find the p-value
The smallest significance level is equal to the p-value that is near 0.5
c. Explain how you could answer the question in part (a) with a two-sided
confidence interval on mean body weight
The 95% two sided coincidence interval is given by
Since the value of u=300 is inside this interval we do not reject the null hypothesis
6. Consider the test of H0: σ2 = 7 against H1: σ2 ≠ 7. What are the critical values for the
test statistic χ20χ02 for the following significance levels and sample sizes?
a. α = 0.01 and n = 20
b. α = 0.05 and n = 12
c. α = 0.10 and n = 15
a) Given a= 0.01 , n = 20
d.f = n -1 = 19
Two tailed test , critical values are

\chi2critical = \chi 2a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.005,19 = 6.844
\chi21-a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.995 , 19 = 38.582
The critical values ( 6.844 , 38.582)
b) For a = 0.05 , d.f= n-1 = 11
\chi2a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.025,10 = 3.816
\chi21-a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.975,10 = 21.92
The critical values ( 3.816, 21.92)
c) For a = 0.10 , d.f = n -1 = 14
\chi2a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.05,14 = 6.571
\chi21 -a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.950 , 14 = 23.685
The critical values (6.571 , 23.685)
7. An article in the British Medical Journal [“Comparison of Treatment of Renal Calculi

by Operative Surgery, Percutaneous Nephrolithotomy, and Extra-Corporeal Shock
Wave Lithotripsy” (1986, Vol. 292, pp. 879–882)] repeated that percutaneous
nephrolithotomy (PN) had a success rate in removing kidney stones of 289 of 350
patients. The traditional method was 78% effective.
a. Is there evidence that the success rate for PN is greater than the historical
success rate? Find the P-value.
b. Explain how the question in part (a) could be answered with a confidence
interval.
Null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis
The following null and alternative hypothesis need to be tested
This corresponds to a right-tailed test for which a z-test for one population
proportion needs to be used
Rejection region
Based on the information provided the significance level is a=0.15 and the
critical value for a right-tailed test is zc=1.04
Th4 rejection region for this right-tailed test is
Test statistics
The z-statistics is computed as follows
Decision about null hypothesis

It is concluded that the null hypothesis H0 is rejected there is enough
evidence to claim that the population proportion p is greater than p0 at a=0.15
significance level
Since it is observed that
Using the p value approach the p-value is p=0.0195 and since p =0.0195
<0.15 it is concluded that the null hypothesis is rejected
8. A group of civil engineering students has tabulated the number of cars passing
eastbound through the intersection of Mill and University Avenues. They obtained
the data in the following table.
a. Does the assumption of a Poisson distribution seem appropriate as a

probability model for this process? Use α = 0.05.
b. Calculate the P-value for this test.
A
Lets find the probability that more than 10 automobile appear at the intersection dunring
any minute of time
b)
now lets calculate the probability that more than 2 minutes elaspse before 10 cars arrive
Therefore

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Chapter 9 Homework -40pts Due 8/12/2020 11:59pm

1. A consumer products company is formulating a new shampoo and is interested in

c. Find β for the true mean of 195 millimeters.

therefore from appendix table III the type error I probability is

Based on the symmetry of the normal distribution is

Therefore from appendix table II that type II error probability is

3. Medical researchers have developed a new artificial heart constructed primarily of

The p-value is the probability of obtaining a value more extreme or equal to

b. What is the P-value for the test in part (a)?

The corresponding sample mean is the population means ( of the

Thus the minimal sample size for a power of 0.90 is 2

P(z<-z0 or z > z0) = 0.040364431

P(z<-z0 or z > z0) = 0.06576823

P(z<-z0 or z > z0) = 0.68915651

5. An article in Growth: A Journal Devoted to Problems of Normal and Abnormal

First find the mean and standard deviation the means is

The critical value is

b. What is the smallest level of significance at which you would be willing to

Two tailed test , critical values are

\chi2critical = \chi 2a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.005,19 = 6.844

\chi21-a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.995 , 19 = 38.582

The critical values ( 6.844 , 38.582)

b) For a = 0.05 , d.f= n-1 = 11

\chi2a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.025,10 = 3.816

\chi21-a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.975,10 = 21.92

The critical values ( 3.816, 21.92)

c) For a = 0.10 , d.f = n -1 = 14

\chi2a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.05,14 = 6.571

\chi21 -a/2 , n-1 = \chi 20.950 , 14 = 23.685

The critical values (6.571 , 23.685)

7. An article in the British Medical Journal [“Comparison of Treatment of Renal Calculi

Decision about null hypothesis

Since it is observed that

a. Does the assumption of a Poisson distribution seem appropriate as a

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